NFLX Why am I in no rush to buy Netflix.Many analysts say that now is the best time to invest in some stocks. For example, Netflix. But according to Elliott’s theory, I will invest in stocks when the price is around $ 250 per share. I believe that the price will reach this level by the end of summer
Nflxbuy
NFLX - I've officially lost it - Why I'm short $NFLXA word of advice because I think this idea is straight up crazy. I'm not sure I'd trade this myself, but if I was bullish on netflix - like 90% of the market appears to be, I'd maybe reduce the size of my position.
So...$NFLX has practically every reason under the sun to go up today:
NASDAQ premarket is way up as is the rest of the market futures.
Netflix crushed their subscriber targets increasing global streaming subscribers by 20% YoY
Earnings per share crushed analyst estimates of $.53 taking in $1.30/share
Quarter sales topped estimates of $5.45B taking in $5.47B
Heck, even average revenue per subscriber was up an extra 9%
With all those glittery stats hitting the news wire yesterday, who in their right mind would consider shorting Netflix?!
The daddie of hacks...that's who...and even I think I might be crazy. Post market, the stock is sitting at $344 and we're working our way through the morning premarket session. Whether that price level holds is doubtful. (Edit: it's already pulled back to $341-2)
So you might ask me, 'Hacky, what's got your knickers in a bunch? NFLX is printing money!' To which I would respond, 'That's what they want you to think.'
Here's what has me thinking something about NFLX doesn't smell right:
NFLX has been dropping at the open of almost every trading session for the last week during the heaviest volume periods. Why? My guess is institutional investors are liquidating some of their positions. Let's face it, earnings surprises really aren't all that surprising with the price action leading up to them. What is surprising is the higher than usual volume that has been acting like an anchor on NFLX's stock price. With so much bullish sentiment and high expectations from earnings - why has the stock gone sideways or even down the last few days???? With this stellar outlook confirmed, John Q. Public isn't going to sell netflix, if anything, you'd expect a stampede of buyers to flood the market - and that's just the stampede the institutions are waiting for to make some big shifts in their positions.
February is looking rather dismal for the market at large, and let's face it - we're overdue for at least a small correction. At the top of that list is the NASDAQ - gaining 38% last year and NFLX practically in sync. The institutions have been selling off Netflix at the start of each session, and it's weighed on the price - which slowly recovered through the late morning and afternoon session each day. Every 'major' time period (9:30-10, 3:30-4) for the last few days has seen big selling pressure or traded sideways. Why during those time periods? Because that's when the institutions can mask their activities.
What I think will happen:
1) NFLX will gap up - how big of a gap is uncertain. Likely between $342-347 would be my best guess.
2) Here comes the head fake and get ready for the whip saw. I think it's highly likely we hit $355-360 at the outset (in the first 5 minutes of trading possibly)...BUT, it'll be short lived. The institutions will then step in and wreck house. We'll see a retracement back down and fill the gap before the stock makes a slight rally in the afternoon session after bouncing off support in the $338 area. Expect the stock to settle back close to where it opens today.
How I'll play it:
1) I'll watch the first minute of the trading day from the sidelines and watch relative volume. If the volume is lower than usual but price is rising, the market is being driven by the fish. I'll likely get a couple calls if the stock shows good momentum and sell them in the $358 range, just prior to completing the gap fill at $360.
2) The volume will be a key indicator - if it's down, and it's obvious the institutions are on the sidelines - what are they waiting for? They're waiting on the price to rise so they can get a premium when the sell off their positions. The second the price gaps get thick to the downside and sell volume ramps up, any long positions are immediately reversed to shorts....expect to ride the stock back down to the $338 level. If that level falls, the uptrend channel going back to september is the next big support in the $320 range. From there what happens likely depends on the market at large. If we see the pullback in february that I think we will, it'd be time to cash in the NASDAQ positions.
Beat NFLX easily.it's mainly for swing trading, i use the 3 day / 15 day / monthly charts with it and it works perfectly,
it works good for stocks and cryptocurrency.
you will use heiken ashi chart style and turn on the EMA DOTS indicator.
once the indicator is on you will hide the heiken ashi so you only see the dots.
when a green dot appears you buy, if a green dot appears after that green dot you hold your investment.
if a red dot appears you sell your position. easy as that.
shorter time frames will be choppy.
larger time frames will be smooth.
$NFLX INC DOUBLE TOP, BEARISH TRENDI think that we need to look after what will happen in general towards the world economy at the moment before to look specifically towards certain company or you know, the whole sub industry.
I got some issues that it might be happening for crisis in 2019. It's quite terrifying but I can't wait to see what happen towards cryptosphere!
At the moment the chart of Netflix is kinda bearish, which is already seen it touched $276. Dead cat bounce and right now at the moment sitting above $300, $309 to be exact.
This one is not gonna hold as I see it'll play around $200ish. My scary scenario it will go to $190 as the nearest strong support and start longing from there.
*************************************************************************
If all of these ideas I posted helps you, give them thumbs up, shares, comments and follow me. If you have a suggestion, just fill in the comment sections or message me. Looking forward to hear from you all. Thanks a lot!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
www.tradingview.com Rules:
#1 Always obey tradingview.com house rules
#2 Always read the description
#3 Don't spam on the comment section
#4 If you wanted to request my opinions about a coin/token just give 10 likes on my published charts and I will do it the day or two after
#5 My opinions are not financial advice, follow it at your own will and your own risk
#6 Together, let's build a better community on this platform
-------------------------------------------------------------------------