Double top formed! Will Nifty reverse it's trend?After having a bull run for a while, Nifty has finally formed a double top pattern. If the next session breaks the previous day high, it can rally upto 13700. If Nifty fail to cross the mark, there are chances it might consolidate.
Disclaimer: These are my personal views. I have drawn the chart in such a simple manner for the beginners to understand. I don't recommend anyone taking trades blindly. Please analyze yourself before you enter a trade.
Niftyforecast
Nifty forecasting for Upcoming session 08 Dec 2020Nifty levels forecasting for Upcoming session
15 M chart used for analysis
*Trading Range:
13141-13393 is the Trading Range for upcoming session. (Remain as last analysis)
*Resistance & Support /Chart Pattern & Trend:'
Pls Refer the chart,
Trading in range of channel and it was taken support at 50 EMA on 04 Dec.
Trend is heading towards 13393 and then we can see little bit retracement.
You can refer the previous session analysis to know the more as given in to link of related idea
*PE: 36.42 All time High (04 Dec 2020)
*RSI: 76 (1 D Time frame Chart) Bullish momentum
*FII & DII Activity
FII- Net Value: +3792 Crores
DII- Total Value: -2767 Crores
*Call PUT OI Buildup ( Weekly Expiry 10 Dec 2020):
Massive Put writing @ Strike 13200/13100/13000/12900 in the comparison of than Call Option strike 13100/13200/13300/13400 . Only @ 13500 we can see good call writing so it seems that call writers assuming that market will take rest above 13500 .
Pls note : Above All mention data are captured on last trading session.
If any suggestion or query pls comment or ask in to chat.
If You agree with my idea then pls hit the like button ,follow me & share my ideas to other needy.
Disclaimer:
Markets are Supreme ,If I am proven wrong,i will accept it & learn.
I am not SEBI Registered ,This is just my own view.
If any data having any typing error then pls correct it for your analysis & drop a line to me in chat.
Nifty forecasting for Upcoming session 07 Dec 2020Nifty levels forecasting for Upcoming session
15 M chart used for analysis
*Trading Range:
13141-13393 is the Trading Range for upcoming session.
*Resistance & Support /Chart Pattern & Trend:'
Pls Refer the chart,
Trading in range of channel and it was taken support at 50 EMA on 04 Dec.
Trend is heading towards 13393 and then we can see little bit retracement.
You can refer the previous session analysis to know the more as given in to link of related idea
*PE: 36.42 All time High
*RSI: 74 (1 D Time frame Chart) Bullish momentum
*FII & DII Activity
FII- Net Value: +2970 Crores
DII- Total Value: -1972 Crores
*Call PUT OI Buildup ( Weekly Expiry 10 Dec 2020):
Massive Put writing @ Strike 13200/13100/13000/12900 in the comparison of than Call Option strike 13100/13200/13300/13400 . Only @ 13500 we can see good call writing so it seems that call writers assuming that market will take rest above 13500 .
Pls note : Above All mention data are captured on last trading session.
If any suggestion or query pls comment or ask in to chat.
If You agree with my idea then pls hit the like button ,follow me & share my ideas to other needy.
Disclaimer:
Markets are Supreme ,If I am proven wrong,i will accept it & learn.
I am not SEBI Registered ,This is just my own view.
If any data having any typing error then pls correct it for your analysis & drop a line to me in chat.
Nifty forecasting for Upcoming session 04 Dec 2020Nifty levels forecasting for Upcoming session
15 M chart used for analysis
*Trading Range:
13010- 13283 is the Trading Range for upcoming session.
*Resistance & Support /Chart Pattern & Trend:'
Pls Refer the chart,
Trading in range of channel
*PE: 36.12 All time High
*RSI: 72 (1 D Timeframe Chart) Bullish Trend
*FII & DII Activity
FII- Net Value: +3637 Crores
DII- Total Value: -1440 Crores
*Call PUT OI Buildup ( Weekly Expiry 10 Dec 2020):
Put Options Strike 13100/13000/12900 Having Cumulative OI More than Call Option strike 13100/13200/13300 .
interpretation: We can see move in upside.
Pls note : Above All mention data are captured on last trading session.
If any suggestion or query pls comment or ask in to chat.
If You agree with my idea then pls hit the like button ,follow me & share my ideas to other needy.
Disclaimer:
Markets are Supreme ,If I am proven wrong,i will accept it & learn.
I am not SEBI Registered ,This is just my own view.
If any data having any typing error then pls correct it for your analysis & drop a line to me in chat.
long OPPORTUNITY IN TITAN BEARS SEEMS TO BE TRAPPED
WHY NOT BENEFIT FROM THEIR STOP LOSSES GETTING LIQUIFIED?
AFTERALL TRADING IS A ZERO SUM GAME, PROFIT OF ONE = LOSS OF ANOTHER.
SOME FACTS -
*PRICE MAKING HIGHER HIGHS ON WEEKLY AS WELL AS ON DAILY TIMEFRAME.
*PRICE TAKING SUPPORT ON THE PREVIOUS RESISTANCE MULTIPLE TIMES ON DAILY CHART AFTER EVERY RECENT UPWARD BREAKOUTS.
Nifty levels forecasting for Upcoming session : 25 Nov 2020Nifty levels forecasting for Upcoming session : 25 Nov 2020
15 M chart used for analysis
Trading Range:
12946-13135 is the Trading Range for upcoming session.
Resistance & Support /Chart Pattern & Trend:'
Pls Refer the chart,
Consolidation pattern near to complete So may be we can again see the GAP Up opening ,today same pattern was extended .(you can see the given related idea link of 24 nov.2020)
PE: 35.90 (20 Nov 2020) , 35.90 (Highest PE)
(Be Alert)
RSI: 75.61 (1 D Timeframe Chart)
FII & DII Activity (24 Nov.2020):
FII- Net Value: +4563.18 Crores
DII- Total Value: -2522.11 Crores
Call PUT OI Buildup (Weekly Expiry 26 Nov 2020):
CALL:
Call option unwinding at strike 13100/13200 & not having good cumulative OI in comparison to PUT OI & less change in OI also in call options chain So it indicating that writers assuming that the FII inflow will be continue .
PUT:
Massive Put writing at options 13000/12900/12800 & OI also increasing ,Strong support @ 12900 (highest OI)
(Data is Indicating that uptrend will be continue)
If any suggestion or query pls comment or ask in to chat.
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered ,This is just my own view.
Nifty 50 Intraday Trade Setup for 23rd November 2020Good Morning everyone,
Hope you all doing good and made good money last week. Nifty 50 is Trading on their Phycological resistance and harmonic PRZ, We had seen the same thing on the 12000 Level. The index is following the same thing at this point. The current Index range is 13030 to 12720. This 300 Points range shows that how many indexes strong since Sep month. We had seen the last major correction in September month after that Index has not given more than 400 points correction in his 2000 Point run. Straight run. In the last Video given you a short from the top in the Intraday. Intraday is very tricky at this point because of this range. Most of up move eaten by the FIIS in Overnight by Trading on sgx Nifty. Let's talk about current affairs.
Trade setup
================
Long :
========
India 50 is trading on a positive note around 60 Points up from the previous closing .so we can see a gap up opening today but you guys need to consider buying only above 13100. Very Less room in the upside as 13000 is the Phycological resistance followed up with Harmonic PRZ so be alert on Buy-side and buy only above 13100 which is hard to come in the Intraday but I do not want to take risks. Above 13100 we will get a Breakout confirmation and will see another 500-1000 run in the upside. 13100 is valid for the whole week as well.
Short
==========
An intraday day trade is very tricky in a range-bound market but there is a chance to sell from the top @12960-13000 SL is 13040.
The second confirmation for short is the Intraday Harmonic PRZ in India 50 at level 13013.
www.tradingview.com
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst and all the information provided here is for educational purposes Views are shared based on market research and study and personal in nature. Others can take different views and opinions.
Good Luck and Happy Trading
Virendra Pandey
Bearish but, still in no trade zone
Nifty has been bearish for quite some time now but, it is going sideways it, hasn't really fallen through. So it would it would not be prudent to short it now. Until it falls below 11600, and the way it has been finding supports it has been like holding on its own, shorting it seems risky.
And long red candles give high stop loss and near supports give very short rewards. Risk reward ratio is always important. So, no overnight trades in Nifty. It might be good for intraday options selling...
Bearish but, hold your gunsAs expected, Nifty pulled back today. But, it could not cross the resistance. So, it's dancing between support created by previous breakout and resistance created by previous support. That's a strong support. But the weak resistance held on to its own. And the bearish engulfing candle from yesterday says bearish chart.
Take trade only when the direction is clear and risk reward ratio is favourable.
Nifty 50 Weekly View & Trade Setup for October 4th week Hello everyone,
Last week we had given a short from 12000 with 12030. The index high is 1224.55. The index has fallen like a knife from this level and made 11664.00 Low almost 336 Points in the previous week. Hope you guys have made good money last week. Now the main question is what will be our setup for this week and what position we will be preferred in a shorter time frame and Intraday as well.
There is no doubt that the index is still bullish in a longer time frame but we are intraday and short-term swing trader and buy-sell are both positions is for us. In a shorter time frame, In shorter time frame Index is in a correction fedge and Short Position is much stronger than Long. Remember one thing always that Entry is very Important in Intraday. In the chart, I had marked some trend line so you guys can understand the current market situation. These lines are so Important in Intraday.
Trade setup
================
Long :
========
SGX nifty is trading on a positive note so we can see a gap up opening today but you guys need to consider buying only above 11900. so wait until this level comes and the Index must be sustained on this level.Stop loss will 11850 Target: Open
Short:
===========
Short Position is tricky. Today Important level for short is 11860 and 11770 As I said before the current sentiment is bearish so both levels can consider for your short Position. Second If you see an up move at the first trading session and index test 11860-11870 then you guys can build your short position here with 11910 Stop loss.
The second short can considerably lower than 11770 with 11820 stop loss. Target is Open
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst and all the information provided here is for educational purposes Views are shared based on market research and study and personal in nature. Others can take different views and opinions.
Good Luck and Happy Trading
Virendra Pandey
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup for Friday 16th October 2020Good Morning everyone,
Hope you guys did well in yesterday's trading session and made a good buck. Yesterday fall was massive and target killers. Index fall was accepted from 12000 levels but to be honest I never think that it will be so huge and so straight. Bear always does this that's why I love Bear Market :) The main question is what about today's trading session, Well short-term correction is on and we can see a little more correction from here but the main question is what is our entry point for today's trading session...
Marked all stairs which were used in the bull run These stairs aka support can be used in the downside as well. Remember 11550 to 11600 is the major support in midterm so book you positional short at this level. Higher chances for a pullback or trend continue. Index short, Mid, and long term is an Uptrend so don't be nasty with your short and keep booking the profit.
Intraday View
=====================
We can see a small gap up Opening today but does not mean that will change the yesterday sentiment for now Index is short. We need to watch the 1st Trading session and see what will happen. The index is short in today's Intraday and you just need to wait for it.
Levels
========
Today is only selling position and it has 2 points to build your short Position.
1st Sell Position: 10,640
Stop loss: 10680
Target and room in downside: 11580
Second Sell Position
===================
Tricky but worthy. Wait a first Trading hour and see the pullback for the previous swing low and wait for test the stairs no 11 which is an Intraday Resistance. The level is 11740-11760 short from here
Stop loss: 11800
Target and room in downside: 11670
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst and all the information provided here is for educational purposes Views are shared based on market research and study and personal in nature. Others can take different views and opinions.
Good Luck and Happy Trading
Virendra Pandey
Clearly Bearish but, hold your gunsOk, that huge red is candle is clearly a bearish signal. But, I am yet to go short. When it makes such a huge move in 1 candle, some buying may occur. And the immediate support is at 11660, see the horizontal line to depict support. That's a terrible risk reward ratio...
Nifty 50 Intraday Trade Setup for 09th October 2020Hello everyone,
Nifty has given an awesome move in the upside for the last 2 weeks. The index is still bullish until its not break 11500 but as I said always the Intraday trader doesn't care about the longer trend since the nature of trade is in the very short time frame. The current level is the strongest resistance as per fib and from the previous day swing high.
Chances for correction or a sideways market at the current level so our trade is based on this view. Consider a short position in today's trading session and it has 2 levels.
1st level is 11780 SL: 11835(Closing basis) Target is Open
The second level is based on the volatility of the index. if you have seen any up move in the first trading session and index test 11870-11890 again then open short from the top with a tight SL (11910).
Buying position only and only on confirmation and its come above 11920
Nifty 50 weekly forecast & Intraday setup for 05th October 2020Hello friends,
Hope you guys have done good in the last week and made some good money from the trading. I had seen that lot of peoples want to trade in Nifty and Banknifty Index just because of the volatility. I do agree that Index always has an opportunity for a knowledgable trader but the worst part is Index momentum is very hard to predict in the Intraday and you must follow the discipline more than any analysis. September is always a nightmare for Nifty 50 as per the last 3 year data. very volatile as we had seen recently. Total 1800 Points movement we had seen in the September month which is shown how many indexes volatile these days. Let's Investigate what was happened in September month.
Before the September Index was so bullish and making higher high and breaking most of the resistance but we had given you 10,750 level for a correction. This level has come from the harmonic and worked very well. The index has given 1000 Point downside move and made a low 10,790. Tou can see our 31st august analysis on the trading view. We predicted most of the major moves. I am gonna update all, check bellow images
Updated chart :
Then we predicted an upside move.
Updated chart :
Our last idea has been shared on Thursday and we pick Inda 50 for this analysis because Nifty 50 has not enough data. Check bellow Image
Updated chart :
These all our Past analysis and we have just updated them for your study purpose so you can believe that swing trading is far better than Intraday ... Now the main question is what gonna happen in October first trading week. Let's talk about key factors first.
Key Factors
==============
1-The Govt announced the launch of an ambitious information technology project 'Sunidhi' to digitize all provident fund and pension related activities of the Coal Mines Provident Fund Organisation.
2-India posted a trade deficit of $2.91 billion in goods in September. Merchandise imports contracted 19.60% in September to $30.31 billion from a year ago while exports rose 5.27% to $27.40 billion.
3-Automobile manufacturers showed significant signs of recovery as they dispatched 13% more vehicles to dealers in September. Tractor sales also increased, indicating that a good monsoon is driving the rural economy
4-NBFCs pin hopes on festive season for revival in credit disbursals. The collection efficiency of non-banking lenders and housing finance companies picks up.
5-India registered 79,705 new Covid-19 cases, taking the tally to 6,471,734. With a high level of recoveries, India was maintaining its global position as the country with the highest number of recovered Covid-19 patients.
6- An effective vaccine is not likely to be available for the general public before the fall of 2021, according to experts working in the field of vaccine development.
7- India’s economy posted its worst slump in the three months ended June as disruptions caused by the Covid-19 outbreak brought Asia’s third-largest economy to a halt. Economists expect growth to shrink in the year through March 2021, in the first such contraction in more than four decades.
8-Bringing huge relief to individual and MSME borrowers, the Centre told the Supreme Court that it would waive interest on the repayment of loans of up to Rs 2 crore. The move will provide relief to individual borrowers MSMEs during the COVID-19 outbreak. The waiver on interest would apply, irrespective of whether the borrower has availed of the moratorium in the categories of loans specified by the Govt. The waiving off interest on loans to every category would amount to a burden of Rs 6 lakh crore for banks.
9- Indian rupee, Crude oil is stable.
Weekly Trade Setup
====================
Nifty is trading on a major resistance area (11,500) and a correction is accepted.11,200 is the support area. This 300 Point range will decide Nifty Movement for this and for this month so keep an eye on both levels and set up your trade according to it .
Intraday Trade Setup for 05th October 2020
===========================================
As per Sgx nifty, we are going to see a huge gap down again so most of the levels based on previous data is Invalid now. We need to set up a fresh trade today. I suggest Use 30 Minute candle high low set up your trade. Wait first 30 minutes. Go in long if a high break or short if low breaks . Use less exposure on the buying side.
Major Intraday Resistance is 11,456 and major Intraday support is 11,300.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst and all the information provided here is for educational purposes Views are shared based on market research and study and personal in nature. Others can take different views and opinions.
Good Luck and Happy Trading
Virendra Pandey
Nifty 50 weekly forecast & Intraday setup for 31st August 2020 Good Morning friends,
Hope you guys have spent a great time this weekend and made good money in August expiry. Last trading week Index has given an awesome move in the upside. There is no doubt that The Index is trading in an uptrend and making a new high every week but the September month is gonna different from other months. This is a crucial area for the nifty 50 Index because Harmonic prz sits on 10736 to 10800 and it is the supply zone. The important thing is what you guys need to do at this point and what not do. First, stop chasing the trade and do not fight with the Market. Let's talk about key factors for this week and for today's trade setup.
Key Factor
=============
1-The Home Ministry issued the Unlock 4 guidelines under which metro trains will be allowed to resume services from September 7 in a graded manner, while political, social, and religious congregations of up to 100 people will be permitted from September 21. However, schools, colleges, and other educational and coaching institutions will remain closed for students till Sept 30, with some relaxations for students of classes 9 to 12.
2-The ED said it has unearthed an online betting scam that involved Chinese nationals and used payment wallets such as Paytm, Cashfree, and Razorpay to make remittances worth Rs 1,200 crore in India and abroad.
3-States will have to bear the interest burden if they decide to borrow the entire Rs 2.35 trillion shortfalls estimated in GST revenue: that’s the second option the central Govt has proposed to raise resources to compensate states amid inadequate cess collection.
4-India reported an increase of 76,472 in its total count of confirmed coronavirus cases. With this, the country’s total Covid-19 case tally reached 3,463,972, and 1,021 fatalities pushing its death toll to 62,550. It is now the third most affected country by total cases, second by active cases, and fourth by death toll.
5-The I-tax dept will soon start sending out intimation to assessees undergoing scrutiny that such cases would now be handled under faceless assessment. Domestic transfer pricing cases too will be covered under the faceless assessment mechanism.
6-The RBI is unlikely to extend the moratorium on repayment of bank loans beyond August 31 as an extension could impact the credit behavior of borrowers without resolving the issues being faced by them following the outbreak of the Covid-19.
7-The Supreme Court held that no state or university can promote students in the final year without holding exams as per the guidelines of the University Grants Commission.
8- Dow is still strong and trading on upside note.300+ Point rally after the Friday trading session.
9- Crude oil steady but almost flat since June month.
10-Rupees is looking strong and in a much better position in August Month.
Trade setup for 31st August
================================
As I said in starting that Index is trading on their supply zone so Intraday Trade is a bit tricky here. I will prefer shorts Positions but only for confirmation. There is no a certain level since a lot of chances to see a major gap up opening. Today use 15-minute candlestick to build your trade. the first 15 minutes and set up your trade on it. Go for long if 15 minutes candle high break or open a short if the low break of 15-minute candles
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst and all the information provided here is for educational purposes Views are shared based on market research and study and personal in nature. Others can take different views and opinions.
Good Luck and Happy Trading
Virendra Pandey
Nifty 50 Intraday Trade Setup for 24 August 2020Good morning everyone,
In the last trading week, we have seen a sideways market. Momentum and direction both were missing in the nifty 50 Index. this is an indecision point to tell what our nifty will do this week. Possibilities on both sides and Index can give any move either upside or downside. The important thing is what you guys need to do at this point and what not do. First, stop chasing the trade and do not fight with the Market. There is no trade and you guys need to accept it. Let's talk about key factors for today's trade setup.
Key Factor
================
1-Union Minister said that the country will have a vaccine against the deadly coronavirus by the end of the year. India currently has three vaccine candidates for Covid-19 -- ChAdOx1, developed by Oxford University, manufactured jointly by the Serum Institute of India and AstraZeneca; Bharat Biotech's Covaxin, jointly developed with the ICMR, and the third is ZycovD by Zydus Cadila.
2-SEBI’s decision to appoint GP Garg as ED has sparked a "strong protest" from the market regulator’s employee association, which has objected to the practice of appointing outside persons or those from non-core streams.
3-India is poised to hire Deloitte & SBI Capital Markets Ltd. to help LIC of India prepare for an initial share sale. The Govt is keen to go ahead with the IPO, potentially India’s biggest to help plug a widening budget gap.
4-The country recorded 69,878 new coronavirus cases in the last 24 hours, taking the total tally to 29,75,70. During this period, 945 people lost their lives due to Covid-19 infection, taking the death toll to 55,794.
5-The RBI suggested bringing down the Govt’s stake in six leading PSBs to 51% over the next 12 to 18 months. This, the regulator feels, will give a much-needed push to the Govt’s disinvestment efforts.
6-The RBI is at the end of its rate cut cycle as inflation is unlikely to decline materially from the current level, and the onus of economic recovery has now shifted to the Govt.
7-SGX nifty is trading on 11419 which is 36 points up from the previous closing. Flat or small gap up is Possible.
Technical View & Trade Setup
============================
Friday range (11420-11360) is so Important and you guys need to avoid trade btw this range. You can call them as Intraday resistance and support and our long and short can build on these levels. Nifty Strongest resistance on 11750 and support is on 10900. Sell the bellow image to understand the support and resistance in a longer time frame
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst and all the information provided here is for educational purposes Views are shared based on market research and study and personal in nature. Others can take different views and opinions.
Good Luck and Happy Trading
Virendra Pandey
Nifty Intraday Trade setup for 17th of August 2020Good Morning everyone,
Hope you guys are doing great and making some money from the stock market.IIn the Friday trading session we had seen a free fall move-in downside from the resistance area. This move was accepted and due to the last week. The main question is does this fall will continue in today's trading session or we will see a short-covering in today's Trading session. Let's see the key factors for today's trading session.
Key Factors
==============
1-PM said that mammoth steps have been taken to make the country self-reliant in the defense sector, import of more than 100 military equipment has been stopped. From missiles to light military helicopters, from assault rifles to transport aircraft all will be made in India.
2-Russian President greeted the Indian Govt on 74th Independence Day, *India rightfully enjoys high prestige among the international community, and the success achieved by India in economic, social and other spheres is widely acknowledged.
3-The Govt withdraw a controversial tweet that talked about a proposal to bring transactions under the income tax scanner. The tweet was put up by mygovindia. According to the tweet, the Govt proposed to include life insurance premium above Rs 50,000, health insurance premium over Rs 20,000, foreign travel, education-related fees, and donations above Rs 100,000 in a year in the list of Statement of Financial Transactions. Other transactions proposed to be included are the purchase of white goods, jewelry and paintings over Rs 100,000, and Demat accounts and bank lockers.
4-ivatives of crude oil, their prices move in tandem with crude oil prices. Polyplex group’s profitability margins remain susceptible to any adverse movement in the prices of raw materials. The overseas subsidiaries of PCL have availed term borrowing denominated in EURO and USD and hence remain exposed to foreign currency fluctuation on the payment date. Thus the company is exposed to forex risk on account of any adverse movement in the foreign currencies. In this quarter foreign currency gain was recorded around INR 106 Cr
5-The next few months will be "critical" for the country in the bid to revive economic activity and further fiscal measures may be warranted to ensure that recovery gathers pace, Niti Aayog Vice-Chairman said.
6-India’s exports contracted by 10.2% in July, as the trade of major foreign-exchange earners such as petroleum, gems, electronics, and textiles remained subdued.
7-India has recorded over 65,600 coronavirus cases in the past 24 hours, taking its total to 2,525,222. With over 1,000 fatalities reported on Friday, India's death toll has surged to 49,134.
Technical View
================
One thing is clear that Index is now in the correction phase but the main question is what will our entry in Intraday and what position we will prefer. Well, Index is gonna more volatile for today's trading session and we can see a gap up Opening today. 11250-11270 is the Intraday Resistance, and a correction is accepted from here. Nifty Major Resistance area is 11360.
Nifty Major support is on 10875 and Intraday support sits on 11025..
Trade Setup
=======================
There is no buy position in today's trade setup. We, Risky Trader, can open a short if see any gap up or the first hour up move and Index tests 11250-11270 with 11300 stop loss. Safe Traders can wait the first 30 minutes and mark the high lows of first 30-minute candle and setup trade on it.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst and all the information provided here is for educational purposes Views are shared based on market research and study and personal in nature. Others can take different views and opinions.
Good Luck and Happy Trading
Virendra Pandey
Nifty Big Bear Case - long term view.Nifty has managed to close above its 100 week EMA. Previously the zone near this EMA has acted as a major trend reversal zone and has also had many fake-outs near 100 WEMA (which you can see on charts) before reversing the trend which is a possibility here. It can test upper levels of 11000+ to potentially trap bulls before reversing. A weekly close below 10728 on Nifty spot would confirm this thesis. As long as Nifty doesn't close a weekly candle below 100 WEMA this bear case will be null and void.
Nifty 50 Intraday Trade Setup for 10th July 2020Good Morning friends,
Hope you guys are doing great and making some money from the stock market. In July month we had seen a choppy start and an infection market. The index is testing 10,840 levels multiple times this week but failed to sustain above on it. In June month we had seen an awesome bull run and index rally was more than 1000 points. Questions are in the index bull run is stop or there is still room to go upside. As per my analysis, the Index is still bullish and can be tested 11,100 but need to sustain above 10,840. Let's talk about the key factor first.
Ket Factors
============================
1-A slow and steady start in Sgx nifty. The index is trading on 10,975 which is 40 points low from the previous closing. Sgx nifty is also trading on the resistance from the last couple of days and sustaining above on it which is a clear sign for strength. See the below chart.
2-I had predicted Dow move a couple of days ago and it works as per our analysis. Trading on a negative note. Check the below Image to understand the DOW move for the next couple of weeks.
3-COVID-19 cases rose from around 9,000 in the first week of June to over 20,000 in the first week of July.
4-There are also red flags regarding fresh non-performing assets for banks, which may begin to show up after the moratorium period ends on August 31.
5-Stock exchange data also shows a sharp jump in the market share of non-institutional investors (retail investors) participation in the cash segment; this is the highest since August 2009. The share of NICs, which stood at around 50% in FY20, jumped sharply over the last three months and rise to 68%.
6-Global banks face combined loan losses of $2.1 trillion by the end of 2021 as a result of the coronavirus crisis, credit rating agency S&P Global estimates, with a hit of $1.3 trillion this year more than doubling the 2019 level.
7-A fraud of 36.9 billion rupees ($492 million) is being reported to the Reserve Bank of India in the accounts of Dewan Housing Finance Corp., Punjab National Bank said in an exchange filing. The lender has set aside 12.5 billion rupees of provisions pertaining to this incident
8-INDIAN GOVT IS SAID TO TAKE STRICT MEASURES ON STEEL IMPORTS|| INDIAN GOVT PREPARING TO IMPOSE MORE CUSTOM DUTY ON STEEL
Technical View
=====================
10,800 to 11,100 the whole area is supply zone. We had seen a sharp fall on 08th July but yesterday Index has covered the all down move and closed again above 10,800 which is a good sign for Bull. The index is still trading in an uptrend channel so there is no weakness.
Resistance: Intraday Resistance is sitting on 10,850 and the key Resistance is on 11.126.
Support: Intraday support is on 10670 and key support sitting on 10,450
Trade setup
==============
Buy : 10,850 Target:10,890/10,940/11,000 Stop Loss:10,800
Sell : 10,740 Target: 10,690/10,630,10,570 Stop loss : 10,810
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI Registered Research Analyst and all the information provided here is for educational purposes Views are shared based on market research and study and personal in nature. Others can take different views and opinions.
Good Luck and Happy Trading
Virendra Pandey