$META Daily Chart: Ascending Triangle – Breakout on the Horizon?On the NASDAQ:META daily chart, we see a classic ascending triangle pattern forming. The price action is tightening, signaling potential bullish momentum as buyers test the upper resistance.
A confirmed breakout above the resistance could open the door for a significant upward move. Keep an eye on volume for confirmation, as this could be a strong signal for continuation to the upside. Targets will be set based on the triangle’s height from the breakout point. I smell $600.
Optionstrading
VFS VinFast Auto Options Ahead of EarningsIf you didn’t short VFS before the major selloff:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of VFS VinFast Auto prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 5usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-12-20,
for a premium of approximately $1.97.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$SPY Ranges Playing Out Perfectly - Expectations for 9/13/24For tomorrow - Above $559.60 -> $562 could be hit on AMEX:SPY
There is significant resistance at $559.60, so it could be a reversal point to watch for a bearish trade back down through the channel.
We have trend support that has become resistance at $562, which will be a mountain to climb and I don't expect that to happen tomorrow.
Today's Recap - We did great trading the bullish breakout on $556C for 100%+ (overall).
We caught the wick down on entry one, then the breakout entry on entry two.
Map out your pivot points, trade smart, and execute within your plan!
We will be going LIVE at 2:30 on our private community stream to discuss the week in review, map out some trades, and set ourselves up for clear profitability into next week!
Is there an AI bubble around the corner?Are semi conductors forming a rounded top or will they bounce on the trend support line? If you are even asking yourself if this is a serious question you are probably already late. get your calls asap. don't wait for the trend line support bc semi conductors are leading the way into AI. looking at the 265 calls sept 27 at the open on monday...
FINNIFTY 1000+ Points Profit Done!Do I have to say the words?
Superb trade caught using Risological.
FINNIFTY CE buy entry at 22,905
Last profit target: 23,885
Thats almost 1000 points! MASSIVE gains!
This is why I prefer trading in 15m time frame and buy only the monthly contracts.
You might need larger initial capital to take these trades, but results like his reminds us that it is totally worth it!
Namaste!
MID CAP NIFTY - Target 3 done! Target 4 on the way?After getting a clear CE Buy side entry at 13,131 Mid Cap Nifty (MIDCPNIFTY) has hit the profit target 3 of this trade.
The reason why a lot of people lose in Options trading is because of lack of strategy and descipline.
There are time when Iam seduced to trade in 1m and 5m time frames because of crazy trade setups.
Ive made this mistake earlier in my trading life - FOMO and emotional imbalance (lol).
Now, for me Options trading is 15m time frame and this setup works pretty decent.
So, enjoy your profit and good luck!
Do follow for more charts and inspiration.
Namaste!
PATH UiPath Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought PATH before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PATH UiPath prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 13usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $1.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Option Chain Before Earnings - $NVDA huge CALL skewThis week, keep an eye on NASDAQ:NVDA , which will release its quarterly earnings on Wednesday.
Here are this week’s earnings releases implemented by the TanukiTrade Options Overlay indicator for Tradingview:
08/28 Wednesday after market close: NVDA , CRWD , CRM
08/29 Thursday after market close: MRVL
The Options Overlay indicates that NVDA's call skew is above 55% at 54DTE, meaning that CALL options are priced 55% higher than PUT options for the binary expected move distance .
This suggests that the market is pricing in a strong upward move.
The yellow curve represents the binary expected move, while the blue curve shows the 16-delta OTM options. The green rectangle highlights the area where you can potentially profit from the butterfly trade if the earnings report meets bullish market expectations.
Upward price levels:
7/8 - 138
8/8 - 150
Downward price levels:
6/8 - 125
5/8 - 112
If you agree with the market’s bullish sentiment, one of the best R:R trades might be a directional NVDA call butterfly. You can buy it for $109 with the nearest Friday expiration, with a maximum (theoretical) profit of nearly $900. It’s worth executing this trade before the earnings announcement. Note that the green dashed line is theoretical; while it's not a traditional trendline according to classic TA, the long-term upward trend is still quite clear
Expiry: Aug 30
Legs: 1x140C -2x150C + 1x160C
Net debit: ~$100
Max profit: $890
BankNifty Continues Bullish MomentumBankNifty Continues Bullish Momentum with a gap-up today 26 August, 2024
Trailing stop loss as per Risological swing trader: 50,920
Resistance: 51,430 - 52,110 - 52,530
If Banknifty closes below 50,920, then all CE position will be closed and a fresh PE side buy position will be opened.
Good luck.
CSIQ Canadian Solar Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold CSIQ before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CSIQ Canadian Solar prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 13usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $0.43.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Nifty Expiry Analysis and Outlook(29-08-24)In the last week (14th August Expiry), Nifty traded within a narrow range, largely hovering around the CPR (Central Pivot Range) calculated for the expiry. This week, we saw Nifty open above the Pivot, signaling a bullish reversal. The index then tested the Pivot before surging to R4, forming a strong green expiry candle.
This upward move was anticipated following a week of range-bound activity. Looking ahead to next week, if history is any guide, we might expect a range-bound movement after such a strong surge. However, it's wise to remain on the long side of the market while observing how the market behaves tomorrow. I'll provide updates as the situation evolves.
BankNifty Prediction for Tomorrow : 22 August 2024Bank Nifty Market Prediction for Tomorrow 22 August 2024
Bank Nifty Today's Market Update
-Market went sideways.
-It respected and took a support exactly on the Risological dotted Trendline and bounced back.
-I am still holding my CE position
-If the market takes a gap down tomorrow morning and closes below the Risological dotted line (50,447), I will consider PE side buying.
SUPPORT: 50,447
RESISTANCE: 50,751 - 51,429 - 52,107 - 52,526
$GLD Breakout and Option Strategy Spotlight with Overlay
It looks like GLD 0.44%↑ finally broke out of its sideways-upward channel on Friday. Time to explore some opportunities using our Options Overlay indicator on TradingView.
The current IVR is at 84, while the 62 DTE average IVx is only 19.9, making this IVx level exceptionally high for gold over the past year. On the daily chart, the Gold ETF is trading between the 6/8 and 7/8 levels. The options chain shows that calls 62 DTE are about 130% more expensive, indicating a strong bullish sentiment in the market.
Examining the standard expected move (STD1), even at 4 DTE, the upside target is 237 (7/8), with the downside at 6/8. The delta curve shows the 16 delta OTM call trending upwards toward the 8/8 level, which aligns with the 250 level. Given this, I would caution against buying single-leg calls at such inflated prices. A pullback could dramatically reduce their value, and time decay will work against you. If you're determined to go bullish, a simple CALL butterfly offers a better risk-reward ratio!
GLD Bullish strategy - if we are expecting rising IV
Assuming further IV increases (IVx rose by 2% over the last 5 days despite a drop in VIX and a rise in the underlying), a CALL calendar spread presents a solid R:R setup.
The Options Overlay quickly highlights the optimal expiry dates to target: Sep 20-27. I noticed a 4% volatility skew between these dates. The standard expected move (STD1) and delta16 suggest an upward probability range capped at 245, meaning there's an 86% chance that AMEX:GLD stays below this level by Sep 20.
Here's my setup in this case: GLD Sep 20th - Sep 27th 245 Calendar Call Spread.
This spread, spotted in under a minute on TradingView, offers nearly 8x risk-reward, but it's beneficial only if you're betting on continued IV increases.
NVDA Nvidia Buy the Dip OpportunityIf you haven`t bought NVDA before the breakout:
It's important to note that the leading company in Artificial Intelligence is currently trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 29.48. This valuation suggests it might be relatively inexpensive for investors considering a long-term position. Given the company's strong market position and growth potential in the AI sector, this could be an opportune time to enter, especially if you believe in the sustained growth and innovation of the industry. The Forward P/E ratio is a key indicator of expected future earnings and, at this level, it indicates that Nvidia is reasonably priced in comparison to its future earning potential.
My price target for the end of the year is $140-145.
SPX Prep and Scenarios for Daytraders 8.16.24
We have a couple scenarios:
Where would I want to be bullish with confirmation:
Above 5543
if we get to and catch a bid at 5506
if we get to 5581 and hold
Where I want to be BEAR with confirmation:
Below 5543
If we get to 5581 and catch an offer. Below 5581
If we get to 5506 and stay below
If you want to see more of my SPX plans for day trading.
Please press the rocket ship down below on tradingview. Thank you.
Stay Frosty!
GLNG Golar LNG Limited Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GLNG Golar LNG Limited prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 34usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-9-20,
for a premium of approximately $1.57.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.