Reconnecting with a Short Idea on EURUSDHello TradingView community!
I’m excited to reconnect with all of you after a long break. First off, I want to thank my amazing followers for your continued support—I truly appreciate it!
Today, I’d like to share a trading idea that I believe could be of interest, particularly regarding the EURUSD pair. I’ve observed a classic head and shoulders pattern forming, signalling a potential short opportunity. While the risk-to-reward ratio isn't the most enticing, the pattern itself appears convincingly strong, and I feel it’s worth considering.
Here's a brief overview of my thoughts:
- Pattern: Head and Shoulders, indicating a reversal.
- Entry Point: .
- Stop Loss: .
- Target: .
I encourage you all to conduct your own analysis and consider this trade within the context of your overall strategy. Let’s keep the conversation going—I'd love to hear your thoughts and any insights you have on this pair!
Looking forward to sharing more ideas in the future!
Happy trading!
E.K
Community ideas
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [May 05 - May 09]This week, the international OANDA:XAUUSD has dropped sharply from 3,352 USD/oz to 3,201 USD/oz and closed the week at 3,240 USD/oz.
The reason for the sharp drop in gold prices is that US President Donald Trump said that the US is about to reach a trade agreement with India, Japan, South Korea, and is likely to reach a trade agreement with China, although the two sides have not had any official negotiations.
In addition, an equally important factor is that China is on holiday from May 1 to May 5, so the demand for transactions in the world's largest gold consuming country is almost non-existent. While they have been continuously buying before even though the gold price was high.
The FED meeting on May 6-7 may have a strong impact on gold prices next week. US GDP in the first quarter grew by -0.3%, while the labor market still has potential tariff risks; inflation remains stable at a high level. With these data, it is likely that the FED will maintain interest rates at current levels, but may signal that a rate cut is coming soon. According to many experts, if the FED signals that it will cut interest rates after the meeting next week, it will push gold prices to recover next week. On the contrary, if the FED maintains a wait-and-see attitude, declaring that it is not in a hurry to cut interest rates, then gold prices next week may continue to adjust.
🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES THIS WEEK:
Next week, all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting on Wednesday, with an interest rate decision and a press conference from Chairman Jerome Powell following keynote remarks earlier in April.
Fed officials will then continue their participation in the Reykjavik Economic Conference in Iceland on Friday. Fed Governors Michael Barr, Lisa Cook, Philip Jefferson and Christopher Waller will be present at the conference as speakers in panels on topics including artificial intelligence, employment and monetary policy research.
In addition, investors will also watch the ISM services PMI on Monday morning and the weekly jobless claims number on Thursday.
📌Technically, if gold prices fall below $3,200/oz next week, there is a possibility of a further decline to $3,129/oz. A deeper correction could see gold prices fall to $2,980-$3,000/oz next week. If gold prices reverse and break the $3,270/oz barrier, they could continue to rise above $3,350/oz.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,228 – 3,163USD
Resistance: 3,245 – 3,267 – 3,292 – 3,300USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3311 - 3309⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3315
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3119 - 3121⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3115
Xrp will outperform btc in the coming months.Xrp/btc has double bottomed vs BTC for many years. At some point it will show and prove what it has lacked for almost a half decade. I myself am a long term investor who has called Xrp from the major lows and expect it to gain over btc in the next 6 months.
Each Timeframe gives you crucial information so USE IT!!!All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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Aussie Perks Up As Asia NapsAUD/USD closed last week at the highest level of 2025 and has extended the move today, pushing above the key 200-day moving average. The rally coincides with further strength in the offshore-traded Chinese yuan, which also finished last week at 2025 highs against the U.S. dollar.
While the price action is undeniably bullish—mirrored by strengthening momentum indicators—light turnover due to holidays across much of Asia warrants caution. The European open may offer a clearer read on whether this break above the 200DMA will stick.
If there’s no immediate reversal during European trade, traders may consider establishing longs with a tight stop below the 200DMA, targeting resistance near .6550. Alternatively, a move back beneath the 200DMA—echoing Friday’s reversal—could open the door for shorts, with uptrend support around .6370 and the 50DMA below that as possible downside targets.
Good luck!
DS
Bearish reversal?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 100.51
1st Support: 97.85
1st Resistance: 101.83
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Gold Market Outlook – Upcoming FED Decision & Trading StrategyAs we head into the upcoming week, all eyes are on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which is a major catalyst for gold. This event could significantly influence gold’s direction — either fueling the ongoing bullish trend or triggering a pullback.
🔎 Current Technical Outlook:
Gold is currently showing strong bullish momentum across higher timeframes.
Liquidity targets remain above, with key zones likely to be breached via wicks or trendline taps.
Given the uncertainty around the news and macro factors, we’ll execute trades only on confirmed setups from lower timeframe's confirmation.
📌 Trade Plan:
Open 50% of the position at $3160,
an inevitable level which is a critical level backed by technical confluence.
Enter remaining positions based on lower timeframe confirmation.
📝 Supporting Fundamentals:
COT (Commitment of Traders) Report indicates an increase in net long positions on gold.
$3160 is highly probable — we anticipate price to tap this zone.
The U.S. has significantly increased gold imports, reflecting strategic accumulation.
Smart money has taken partial profits, but large bullish positions are still being held.
Expectation: A sweep of major liquidity levels, followed by a continuation of the bullish trend.
Stay sharp and disciplined. Wait for confirmation before adding full exposure.
Tata Motors - Short term target - 850 to 900Tata Motors has formed Shark pattern confirmation.
Based on Fib targets it will have resistance at 850 to 900.
In short term it will have potential to reach 900 with following targets,
700 / 750 / 780 / 820 / 860 & 900.
2 Weekly candle close above 900 will have further potential upside.
US Stocks Pare Back All Tariff-Fueled Losses. Are We So Back?Remember “Liberation Day”? The one that felt more like Liquidation Day ? When markets tanked, tickers turned red, and you were afraid to check the markets on the next day? Well, turns out the rumors of the market’s demise were — once again — greatly exaggerated.
If the average recession 10 years ago lasted two years, this year’s recession was approximately 37 minutes (more or less, depending on the day).
Just a month ago, the S&P 500 SP:SPX started crumbling to the point it entered into correction territory (and then got out of correction territory ).
Long story short, it took the punches, went down 15%, stood back up, and is now throwing jabs with a nine-day winning streak — its longest since 2004, when iPods were still a thing and Facebook was just for Harvard students.
So… are we back? Like, really back? Let’s dig in.
💰 Trillions Lost, Trillions Found
On April 2, President Donald Trump dropped the hammer — or rather, the online post — unveiling his “reciprocal tariffs,” which, in true Trumpian fashion, sounded equal parts policy and promo PR.
Markets didn’t take it well. Global stocks collectively threw a tantrum. The S&P 500 dropped like it had a brick in its pocket . Financials cratered, energy took a gut punch, and tech? See for yourself — we don't want to talk about it .
But now? The dip buyers are shopping up, scooping up, snapping up everything from banks to oil stocks to beleaguered megacaps. Suddenly, all those stock discounts look like missed opportunities, and the cash-on-the-sidelines traders are jumping in.
👌 Jobs Data: Not Too Hot, Not Too Cold
Friday was a good day. Why? Because April’s nonfarm payrolls ECONOMICS:USNFP report came in at 177,000 jobs — not too strong to trigger Fed-tightening fears, not too weak to imply economic decay. It was the goldilocks print.
The number was a drop from March’s revised 185,000, but what mattered was the beat: economists had pencilled in just 135,000. Markets took that as permission to throw a party.
The S&P 500 jumped 1.5%, reclaiming the level it had before Trump’s tariff tirade and putting an emphatic end to the selloff. Nine green days in a row? That’s a bull flex Wall Street hasn’t seen in two decades.
💥 Truth Social Posts That Move Markets
Not to be left out of the celebration, Trump hopped onto Truth Social with his usual caps lock enthusiasm:
“THE FED SHOULD LOWER ITS RATE!!!”
Sounds familiar?
Still, even without a rate cut (for now), the market got what it wanted: signs that the US labor market isn’t collapsing, trade talks might be back on the table, and the economy hasn’t lost its way.
😌 A Global Sigh of Relief
While the US led the rally, global markets also joined the rebound chorus. China’s commerce ministry chimed in Friday, saying Washington had expressed a “desire to engage in discussions.” In market-speak, that translates to: "Everyone calm down — we might not blow this up after all."
It doesn’t take much to change sentiment. A tweet here, a headline there, a hint of diplomatic progress — suddenly risk appetite returns and everyone forgets they were panic-selling just three weeks ago.
But don’t go lining up the espresso martinis just yet — not everything is fully recovered. The US dollar, for example, remains nearly 4% below its pre-tariff-announcement level.
🤔 We Are So… Back?
So are we officially back? Short answer — “put the word out there that we back up” for now . Markets are up, volatility is down, and everyone’s pretending they didn’t sell the dip at the worst possible time.
But — and you knew there’d be a “but” — caution still applies. Trade tensions aren’t over. The next Trump post could shake things again. The Fed hasn’t made its next move (that’s coming this Wednesday). And geopolitics remains a powder keg.
Still, what this rebound tells us is clear: the market has resilience. Maybe not logic. Maybe not grace. But resilience? Yes.
It also reminds us that trying to time news-driven selloffs is a dangerous game. Often, the best trades happen when fear peaks and everyone else is running for the hills.
👉 Final Thoughts: Watch the Calendar, Not the Chaos
The key takeaway from this tariff-to-rally rollercoaster? Markets can move fast — but they can also recover faster. If you panicked, you probably sold low. If you stayed focused, checked the earnings calendar , and remembered that market narratives shift like wind direction, you're probably doing well right now.
We’re so back — for now. But stay sharp. This market may have nine lives, but it also has the attention span of a toddler.
Your move : Did you ride the dip? Buy the bounce? Or just mute the chaos and sip your coffee? Drop your best “Liberation Day to Redemption Rally” trade below.
EUR/USD - Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 1.13600. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated.
I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again.
Fair Value GAP (FVG) and Volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go short on this trade.
Happy trading,
Dale
Did Small Cap Altcoins Bottomed In?Hello, Skyrexians!
It's not a secret that we are waiting for Bitcoin dominance drop to at least 62% right now, but after that we expect the final shakeout to 67%, but the CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D gave us a hint that may be this shakeout will not affect on low cap alts that much like on top-10.
Let's take a look at the 12h time frame to see the waves in details. After a large wave 3 we have seen the triangle correction in wave 4, after that price showed the impulsive structure in wave 5. Subwaves 3 and 5 formed divergence with the Awesome Oscillator. Yesterday's dump looks like the deep wave 2 inside new impulse to the upside. Green dot was formed on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator which confirms the further growth scenario.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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Bearish breakout?EUR/USD is falling toward a support level that acts as both a pullback support aligned with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and a potential breakout below this level could lead to a further decline, potentially reaching our take-profit target.
Entry: 1.1272
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.1423
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.1146
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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USDCADON THE 4HR TIMEFRAME
⚡️We established the key monthly zone.
⚡️weekly trendline.
⚡️wide divergence all signaling bullish and hence rhyming with the monthly,
⚡️weekly and daily bullish bias.
Our confirmation will be the break of the 4hr trend line for a possible quick entry long!!
It's Bullish🚀 guyss
SIGNUSDT could make another pumpSIGN exits consolidation (price breaks resistance of corrective descending channel)
The coin is consolidating above the line and testing resistance at 0.09. There is a rally ahead....
Overall, the young coin has a good chance. The price has completed the dump phase after the dump and is again preparing to realize the accumulated potential.
A break of the resistance at 0.09 may give a chance to strengthen to 0.10 - 0.109
Scenario: I expect a breakout of 0.09 and price consolidation above this zone, which will only confirm the buyer's intentions to go even higher. Target 0.10 - 0.11
A New Beginning AMC’s story is far from over! From where I’m standing, the stock is simmering in an accumulation zone, quietly building momentum like a sleeping giant ready to roar. Are these rock-bottom prices at $2.68 the last we’ll see before this titan wakes? What’s the vibe from your side of the street? Drop your take below! #AMC #ToTheMoon
Bitcoin: Strong Support —Back To BasicsNotice the black lines on this chart...
The lower line marks the January 2025 wick low.
The second line, a bit higher, matches the December-November 2024 wick low.
Last week Bitcoin smashed this resistance range and is now safely trading above it. The break of this support turned resistance turned once more support is a major bullish development.
The action as it is happening now on the weekly timeframe puts Bitcoin back in the same conditions as before the March 2025 breakdown.
Notice the entire period after the March 2025 breakdown and April recovery, this is a classic stop-loss hunt event, liquidity hunt or bear-trap. The action moved below support just to quickly recover.
This can also be read as a "failed signal."
The bears attempted to move the market lower but failed. A failed signal turns into a strong signal contrary to the initial direction of the move. So if this is a failed bearish signal it translate from a TA perspective into a strong bullish signal. This works because it reveals a double-bullish dynamic. The failed bearish continuation after breakdown reveals bears weakness, the successful recovery reveals bullish strength; two points for the bulls.
Now, the active weekly candle/session did not wick lower to test the "strong support" price range, between $89,250 and $90,500, black lines on the chart, no, instead the action is happening safely above this range.
Bitcoin is super strong right now. Strong support.
If Bitcoin were to move lower and challenge this support zone, this would become a unique opportunity, a very strong opportunity, an amazing opportunity to buy LONG with high leverage or simply accumulate more if you are spot.
If it drops, awesome, a unique buy opportunity.
If it continues higher right away we are good because Bitcoin has been green four weeks straight.
It doesn't get any better and we have the support of the entire Altcoins market which is starting to heat up. I told you we would see slow steady growth, it doesn't happen in a day because are in a long-term bullish phase but oh boy, oh boy, oh girl oh boy it will grow.
By late May 2025, everything will be green 2-3 levels up. That is, minimum 200%-300% up and that is just the start. You've been warned.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Feel free to follow if you enjoy the content.
Namaste.
ADA/USDT: Is ADA Preparing for Its Next Rally?(READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Cardano (ADA) chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that over the past few months, the price surged from $0.33 to $1.32, delivering a gain of over 300%. After reaching its highest level in 3 years, it faced selling pressure and corrected down to $0.50.
Currently, Cardano is trading around $0.70, and if the price can hold and close above the $0.65 level, we may expect further upside in the medium term.
The next potential targets are $0.75, $0.81, $0.93, and $1.05, respectively.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Analysis of the latest gold trend on May 5:
Core logic analysis
Impact of non-farm data:
The 177,000 new jobs in April exceeded expectations, but the downward revision of historical data (revised from 228,000 to 185,000 in March) weakened the absolute positive of the data, showing that the resilience of the labor market contains implicit fluctuations.
The slowdown in hourly wage growth (0.2% lower than expected month-on-month) eased inflationary pressure, and the market continued to play the game on the Fed's expectations of rate cuts. Gold rebounded after short-term pressure, reflecting the long-short tug-of-war.
Key technical signals:
The shock range is established: 3240-3270 US dollars is the short-term long-short balance range, and the breakthrough direction determines the medium-term trend.
Signs of momentum conversion: 1-hour moving average dead cross but turn, if it stands firm at 3265-3270 resistance, it may trigger short covering to promote the rise; on the contrary, if it falls below 3220-3215 support, it will open up space for continued decline.
Closing price guidance: On Friday (May 2), the market bottomed out and rebounded to close at around 3240, showing buying support below, but the trend is still unclear before the resistance is effectively broken.
Trading strategy suggestions
1. Short-term shock market (not breaking through the range)
High: 3260-3265 light position short test, stop loss 3272, target 3240-3230.
Low long: 3225-3220 batch long orders, stop loss 3215, target 3245-3255.
Reason: The market sentiment is cautious after the non-agricultural data, and the high-selling and low-buying within the range need to strictly stop losses.
2. Breakthrough market response
Break above 3270: follow up long orders at 3260-3255, stop loss 3250, target 3280-3300.
Logic: After the breakthrough, confirm that the bulls are dominant, or test the previous high pressure level.
Breaking below 3215: short near rebound 3225, stop loss 3232, target 3200-3180.
Logic: Open the downward channel, may test the support of the April low.
Key risk reminder
Fed policy expectations: Before the June interest rate decision, economic data (especially inflation) may cause sharp fluctuations.
Geopolitics: The escalation or easing of the situation in the Middle East will directly impact the safe-haven properties of gold.
Dollar linkage: If the US dollar index returns to above 101, it will suppress the rebound space of gold.
$NKN Heating Up — Breakout Imminent?GETTEX:NKN is waking up.
It held that trendline perfectly, and now it’s pushing back strongly.
Price was getting squeezed in that wedge for days looks like it’s ready to pop.
That top line? It’s not going to hold for long.
Volume is picking up, and this move could easily send it flying to $0.06.
Feels like one of those setups where momentum just builds up and boom, breakout.
Keep your eyes on it. This one’s heating up fast.
DYOR, NFA