EURUSD M15 Forecast - Check related IdeaAs explained in previous post we are expecting a pull back down to our order block (H4) then a bullish reversal to retest last weeks highs (1.16) region. If price breaks and closes above the M15 supply zone will have to re-evaluate and potentially take a long position from a retest into a FVG.
Community ideas
AERO: Clears the Runway! Can it gain altitude!?AERO gave a valid long setup
We were eye a possible retrace of an impulsive move and it displayed enough to trigger a rules-based entry.
Technical Breakdown
Key structural elements supported the setup:
Initial leg up showed impulse-like behavior
Pullback found support at a clearly defined AOI
Multiple MLT levels aligned with a common zigzag framework
Swift bounce off the Golden Corner Pocket (GCP)
Break and close above 0.54 completed the impulse structure
Prior resistance flipped into support
Volume confirmed the move, and price reached the first algo target, producing a reactive wick and confirming potential of algo activity.
This created a textbook TDU-style GCP/Algo/C-3 setup with measured entry and exit.
Risk Management
Partial profit was taken at the first MLT zone
Stop loss was moved into profit post-structure break
Scenario planning:
If move continues: positioned
If move stalls as a larger zigzag: no loss
Outlook
Attention now shifts to the next actionable level, possible second entry long
0.62 is the AOI for re-entry atm
Ideal scenario = Continuation in a wave 3, obvi
Alt scenario = Clean corrective to AOI + long
Bear scenario = Zig Zag complete
Conclusion
The trade played by the book!
Confluence across AOI, GCP, MLT, and volume created a qualified entry — not a guess.
This remains a great example of structure over sentiment and waiting for the market to meet criteria before engaging.
AUDNZD BULLISH SETUPThe 4-hour chart of AUD/NZD shows a strong bullish breakout from a prolonged consolidation phase, followed by a healthy retest of the breakout level, suggesting the pair is gearing up for further upside.
Key Observations:
Consolidation Breakout: After spending several weeks in a tight consolidation range between 1.0760–1.0800, the price has convincingly broken above the range resistance near 1.0810.
Key Level Retest: The breakout zone (previous resistance) is now acting as new support, confirmed by multiple rejections (highlighted area).
Bullish Momentum: Structure is forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating continuation of upward trend.
Upside Target: With the breakout holding, the next logical target lies near the resistance zone around 1.0910, which served as a previous swing high.
Conclusion:
AUD/NZD is showing bullish strength after breaking out of consolidation and holding above the retested key level. As long as 1.0800–1.0810 support holds, the pair remains poised for a bullish continuation toward the 1.0900–1.0920 resistance zone. A break below this level would invalidate the setup and bring price back into the previous range.
WOOF - The Next Big JumpAs we approached Friday today, we saw a strong rally of WOOF as it closes the $2.50 gap, putting us 2.70 as the market closed. What a beautiful way to finish off the week.
As next week approaches, here are the important prices to watch out for:
- As the day ended, we saw a huge selling pressure as RSI reached 80 (Indicating that it is very overbought). What this means is that we could see price decrease down to the $2.58 line. Personally, I have loaded WOOF at $2.44 and own about 300 shares, and I would be buying at least 300 more as price touches this line again.
- Next week, if buying pressure continues, I would be looking to sell half of my holdings at $2.77. This would mean a 6% increase from today's close. We would see resistance at this level as it has faced multiple resistance at this level. The reason for selling is to mitigate risk. Earning less money is still earning money, and if the bullish trend continues, we could always re-enter.
- Nearing the end of the week, I predict WOOF returning back and closing up the huge gap it made on June 6th. This would mean a closing price of $3.21 which is a 21% increase from the current price. My initial point of interest would be the bottom of the gap, as WOOF price reached the bottom of gaps almost 95% of times.
- The best scenario that we all hope to achieve is to see WOOF reach $3.58, which would be a 35% increase as of the current price. This price would take longer to achieve as well... we still got a long ways to go. I don't think we will be seeing that for another two weeks.
My sentiment on WOOF is extremely bullish. Just for reference, this company that has beat 5 out of 6 earnings, an eps that has increased every single time, P/S of 0.12, and an insider holding of 51.77% tells me that this company has a very solid foundation. In addition, WOOF has always held on on the $2.50 dollar range before (March 2025, August 2024) which tells a strong reversal is about to happen.
Of course what I wrote here is not financial advice and of course this post would be slightly skewed to the bullish side as well... I'm bullish. This post, like any other of my posts, are to help other traders who have a similar sentiment as I do but aren't really aware of the key points of resistance of the stock. Please, before any trade, do your own research and that there is always a risk of losing money.
Have an AMAZING weekend traders and GOOD LUCK!
AUDCHF BEARISH SETUPThe AUD/CHF 4-hour chart is presenting a classic Head & Shoulders pattern within a well-defined bearish descending channel, signaling a likely continuation to the downside if neckline support fails.
Key Observations:
Bearish Channel in Play: The broader trend remains bearish, with price action respecting both channel boundaries.
Head & Shoulders Formation: A visible Head & Shoulders pattern has formed near the top of the channel, with the neckline around 0.5275.
Neckline Break Risk: Price is currently testing the neckline area (highlighted in red). A confirmed break below would likely trigger bearish momentum.
Downside Target: A break below the neckline could push AUD/CHF toward the support zone near 0.5220, in line with the lower boundary of the channel.
Trend Structure: Lower highs and lower lows continue to dominate, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Conclusion:
AUD/CHF remains technically weak, and the emerging Head & Shoulders breakdown may act as a strong continuation signal within the existing downtrend channel. A clear close below 0.5270 could open the door for a further drop toward 0.5220. Caution is warranted for bulls unless a significant reversal signal emerges.
ETH: Short 20/06/25Re-Upload as first was accidental Private
Private:
Trade Direction:
ETH Short
Risk Management:
- 0.5% account risk
Reason for Entry:
- H4 Bear FVG BTC
- H4 Bear FVG Total
- Failure to displace above weekly open on TOTAL
- 0.5 Fib retrace
- Bearish divergence on BTC
- Sentiment remains poor across majors
Additional Notes:
- High Timeframe point of interest respected
- No reclaim of critical resistance zones across majors
- Risk is half because I can see a scenario where it moves one leg higher
SPX vs VIX: Is this a sign of a bullish market?VIX has seen a strong decline in the past 2 months following the massive surge of Feb-March due to the Tariff War. In contrast, the S&P500 rose massively to almost its ATH, which is a natural response as the two assets are negatively correlated. This VIX pattern has been seen during every major market bottom in the past 15 years, the strongest of which was the 2020 COVID crash. This is a sign of a very bullish market, TP = 6,800 by the end of the year.
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BTCUSD 1D | big consolidation
🧠 1. Pattern and Market Structure Identification
✅ Trend and Pattern: Bullish Flag
• Structure: Price forms a descending consolidation pattern (descending channel) after a sharp upward impulse — this is a classic characteristic of a bullish flag.
• Breakout volume occurred from the consolidation zone near the green support area → an early signal that bulls are active.
• However, the price is currently retesting the breakout area and is testing the demand zone again.
📊 2. Volume Analysis
• Volume spikes (purple arrows) occurred at several key points:
• Initial breakout
• Support retest
• High volume during the breakout = valid breakout confirmation.
• Currently, volume is slightly declining = a signal of consolidation and possible accumulation.
📉 3. Support & Resistance Levels
• Strong Support: 96,961 USDT (marked by the blue line and breakout volume).
• Major Resistance: 111,980 USDT (all-time high and projected target from the flag breakout).
• Current Price: 103,272 USDT → sitting between these two key levels.
🎯 4. Potential Price Direction
Bullish Scenario:
• If the 96,961 USDT support holds, price could continue upward → the bullish flag target = projected height of the flagpole.
• Conservative Target: 111,980 USDT (ATH)
• Aggressive Target (if ATH breakout occurs): 115,000+ USDT
Bearish Scenario:
• If price breaks below 96,961 USDT with strong volume, it could invalidate the bullish pattern and drop further to the 92,000 – 90,000 USDT range.
EUR/USD Slips Toward Trend SupportEuro plunged nearly 1.6% from the highs with price rebounding this week at former resistance at the 1.618% extension of the May advance. While the risk remains for a deeper correction towards the April uptrend, we’re looking for signs of support / that a low is in.
EUR/USD is trading within the confines of a proposed descending channel with price rebounding off confluent support at the lower parallel yesterday. The immediate focus is on this recovery with initial resistance eyed at the 61.8% retracement of the recent decline / the high-day close (HDC) at 1.1560/85. Ultimately, a breach / close above the 2016 high would be needed to mark uptrend resumption towards the upper parallel (currently near 1.1680s) and the August 2015 high / 78.6% retracement of the 2021 decline at 1.1714/47- both regions of interest for possible top-side exhaustion / price inflection IF reached.
Initial support rests at 1.1455 and is backed by the 38.2% retracement of the May advance at 1.1415. Note that the April trendline converges on this threshold mid-week and a break / close below this slope would be needed to suggest a more significant high weas registered las week / a larger trend correction is underway. Subsequent support rests with the objective monthly open at 1.1347 and the 2023 high / 61.8% retracement at 1.1276/82- look for a larger reaction there IF reached.
Bottom line: The Euro rally remains vulnerable to a test of uptrend support while below 1.1585. From a trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to the April trendline IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above 1.1616 needed to mark uptrend resumption.
-MB
ETHUSD: Channel Up testing 1D MA50. Optimal buy.Ethereum is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 47.020, MACD = 17.220, ADX = 20.205), consolidating for the past 3 days. This time it is about to test the 1D MA50, which is technically the long term Support. Since it is also almost at the bottom of the Channel Up, we see this as the most optimal level to buy and aim for the same +17.43% rise (TP = 2,880) it did in May.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-20 : Pause Bar PatternToday's Pause Bar pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will slide into a sideways type of PAUSE in price action today. I'm not expecting much to happen and if we do see any breakaway or breakdown trending it will likely be related to news.
While we have options expiration today and a host of other things that could drive the markets, I believe the markets are struggling to find direction right now. Thus, a pause in trading would be somewhat normal after a holiday-shortened trading week.
Gold and Silver are struggling after a brief rally last week. I believe this is fear related to the Israel/Iran conflict. Metals should continue to move higher.
BTCUSD is slightly higher (forgot to cover BTCUSD in the video), but not moving into a breakaway phase.
Overall, everything is very flat in early trading today. It may stay that way with my PAUSE BAR pattern.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
SILVERSilver, US 10-Year Yield, and Interest Rate Dynamics
the relationship between silver prices, the US 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y), and interest rates is characterized by strong inverse correlations, driven by macroeconomic forces and monetary policy expectations. Below is a detailed analysis:
1. Silver and US 10-Year Yield: Inverse Correlation
Core Mechanism: Silver prices typically move inversely to the US 10-year yield. When bond yields rise, silver becomes less attractive as a non-yielding asset, increasing its opportunity cost. Conversely, falling yields boost silver’s appeal.
Current Data (June 2025):
US10Y: ~4.377% (slightly down from recent peaks).
Silver (XAG/USD): ~$36.02.00/oz,
Historical Evidence:
A correlation coefficient of -0.94 between silver and 5-year yields (and -0.86 vs. 10-year yields) confirms this inverse link.
Periods of declining yields (e.g., 2024–2025) coincided with silver rallies (Aprail 2024 and jan 2025) silver buyers come bullish
2. Interest Rates and Silver: Opportunity Cost Driver
Rate Hikes: Higher interest rates strengthen the dollar and increase the opportunity cost of holding silver, pressuring prices.
Rate Cuts: Lower rates weaken the dollar and reduce silver’s opportunity cost, boosting demand.
Fed Policy Impact (June 2025):
The Fed held rates at 4.25%–4.50%, but signaled potential cuts in late 2025, will give silver under valued metal a bullish impulse.
Geopolitical/Safe-Haven Demand Conflicts (e.g., Israel-Iran) or recessions increase silver’s appeal.
Industrial Demand Renewable energy/electronics demand provides structural support.
4. Current Market Outlook
Bearish Pressures:
Rising bond yields or delayed Fed cuts could trigger silver selloffs.
US10Y above 4.5% historically pressured silver.
Bullish Catalysts:
Fed rate cuts (expected late 2025) and falling real yields could drive silver toward $40/oz. to 50$
Geopolitical risks and sustained central bank buying (e.g., inflation hedging) add upside.
Conclusion: Silver remains highly responsive to US10Y and interest rate shifts, with real yields being the paramount driver. In 2025, silver’s rally hinges on Fed easing, subdued real yields, and safe-haven demand—though bond yield resurgences pose risks.
#silver #gold #dollar
Sei Goes Bullish, Same Pattern & SequenceIt is the same price pattern and sequence. A bullish wave ends December 2024 and leads to a correction. The correction ends with a bottom 7-April. This bottom marks the start of a new phase, the bullish cycle. Recently, SEIUSDT produced a higher low and this higher low marks the start of the next advance, a bullish continuation.
Makes sense?
Bullish action already confirmed —The bigger picture
Today we have three green candles and the most bullish since the end of the initial bullish breakout. If you take this chart together with my other recent publications: COIN, ETH, DOGS, NOT and BCH, you can start to decipher the bigger picture. It is already confirmed.
A great opportunity
I am here to alert you of the event before it happens. Taking action now can be life changing or simply put, taking action now can translate into huge profits; the best possible entry after the 7-April low.
Don't worry, even if this opportunity gets away from you, the market will continue to produce countless more; endless opportunities the Cryptocurrency market has to offer for sure.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Uranium The Epic Explosion!Global uranium demand is up to rise about 28% by 2030, driven by clean-energy pushes, nuclear restarts (e.g., Japan), and advanced modular reactors
Kazakhstan’s largest producer, Kazatomprom, cut its 2025 production forecast by ~17% due to logistical hurdles and resource constraints
Iran signaled openness to discussions with European counterparts aimed at curbing its uranium enrichment levels. However, seasoned diplomacy and regional conflict issues complicate prospects for an agreement
Bottom line: Uranium markets are tightening due to production cuts and geopolitical risk, while long-range demand is gaining momentum thanks to nuclear expansion and emerging energy technologies.
Ethereum’s Last Chance: Let Jesus Take The WheelEthereum’s price action over the course of this crypto bull run, and especially since the beginning of this year, 2025, has been nothing short of horrendous. It’s failed to hold almost every single important level that it needed to, to be able to keep pushing higher. This has caused almost all crypto investors and altcoin traders to pull their investments out, and drive the price even lower. At its current point, altcoin traders have lost all but 100% of the confidence they once had in it, and to retail investors, this is basically toxic waste once they see the losses that have been taken, it’s driving them away en masse.
With that being said, this is ETH’s final stand, it’s time to either show out, or go home with nothing to show for itself. It’s at a very critical support level right now, and if it breaks down below this, the trade will be cancelled. It’s just finished completing the ‘Jesus Take The Wheel’ pattern on the weekly & MONTHLY. This is an extremely high probability pattern, and could cause a blow-off top for Ethereum.
We also see that we got a Wykoff Pattern here, with the last one that we got around the $2k level being a fake out. The only other times it has printed aside from the last fake out, it has been the start of a bull run. ETH now has 6 weeks in total, or about 4 more weeks from now to start recovering old levels, and taking off to the moon.
I drew a bar pattern on the chart that I took from its original bullish pattern from the start of the 2013 bull run. I believe we’ll have a shortened cycle, and due to not having much time left to complete the bull run during this 4-year cycle, that’s all we will get. Thankfully, the price has been beaten down so much, that getting in now, will offer 1000% gains, in just about 6 months. This will be one of the most incredible feats in all of crypto.
Fear is at an all time high, and ETH has been teasing everyone with a bull run for months and even years now. We haven’t seen an all time high since 2021. Most investors will suffer from boredom exhaustion as well, and with the stock market also sinking, we could see a huge push once we recover some levels, for the masses to finally come into the market via Ethereum ETF’s, so they don’t have to actually risk any money moving crypto around. The boomers and traditional investors with stock accounts will be free to throw cash at these ETF’s and that’s what will give us our final pumps past all time highs, once the crypto traders all get back into the market, and get us to new ATH’s in the first place, and help us recover key levels.
One thing is clear: ETH needs to stop trying so hard to control its environment, it’s time to just let Jesus Take The Wheel 🚀
MAJOR TOP IS NOW IN PLACE 5th wave up from 4835 has ended 6059The chart posted is that of the sp 500 and I now have counted 5 waves up as ending based on this wave structure I will look for two things to happen a rather deep ABC if there is a bull market intact and it should decline in 3 waves back to .236/382 area from 6059 - 4835 The 4th wave or A low This MUST HOLD at .382 or The cycle has ended the 5 wave sup from march 23 low 2020 I sold longs this morning based on NAAII exposure and Now have moved to a 100 % long VERY DEEP IN THE MONEY PUTS 2027 Best of trades The WAVETIMER
NATGAS Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS made a great
Bearish correction and
And then retested a
Horizontal support
Around 3.800$ from where
We are already seeing a
Bullish rebound so we
Are bullish biased and we
Will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
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