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XAUUSD XAU/USD SHORT BIAS (at $3396) โ Expecting a Sharp Decline
Thesis:
Gold is currently overextended at $3396, showing signs of exhaustion after a strong rally. Technical indicators and macroeconomic conditions suggest an imminent correction.
Reasons for Bearish Outlook:
1. Overbought Conditions โ RSI and momentum oscillators are at extreme highs; a retracement is statistically likely.
2. Strong Resistance โ Price approaching a historical supply zone; failed breakouts are common at this level.
3. Dollar Strengthening โ If DXY gains strength due to Fed policy, gold could see downward pressure.
4. Bond Yields Rising โ Higher yields reduce goldโs appeal as a non-yielding asset.
Target Zones:
โข Immediate target: $3310โ$3290
โข Deeper support: $3225โ$3190
Risk:
If gold breaks and holds above $3420, the short thesis may be invalidated.
GALAUSDT Breakout soon ? from the box ? GALAUSDT is currently consolidating within a box pattern, and a breakout appears imminent. A similar box pattern formed last year, which was followed by a strong upward rallyโthis setup is showing similar characteristics now.
Additionally, the 4-hour chart indicates a bullish wedge breakout, suggesting that the price is likely to test the upper resistance of the box. Whether it breaks through that level will be crucial to watch in the coming sessions.
FLOKI : Will growth continue or will prices be dumped?Hello friends๐
โ
Well, this meme coin grew well when it was first created and surprised everyone, and now that some time has passed since its creation, it has been listed on an exchange and we are going to examine together what effect it has on its price.
โ
Well, when this meme coin was first created, it grew well and has given good profits to its holders so far. Now that it is listed on an exchange and more transactions are taking place, it will definitely be impressive, but the chart always has the final say.
So what does the chart tell us?
โ
In the 30-minute time frame, which is considered a short-term time frame, we had a decline due to the decline in the entire market, and the price was supported in the specified support area, but not definitive support.
โ
Several channels have been drawn so that in the event of a break from above or below, we can understand whether the power is in the hands of buyers or sellers.
Now, if the buyers show their strength, which they did to some extent (a trendline break and a strong pullback), we can buy in the specified areas with risk and capital management and move with it to the upcoming goals.
๐If buyers cannot dominate the price and sellers dominate more, we should wait for lower support areas.
โ Don't forget risk and capital management, friends.โ
๐ฅFollow us for more signals๐ฅ
*Trade safely with us*
COIN Gamma Storm Incoming!!!## ๐จ COIN Weekly Options Setup (Aug 7, 2025) ๐จ
**Massive Call Flow vs. Bearish Momentum โ Who Wins?**
> ๐ Multiple AI models conflicted. Gamma risk rising. One day to expiry. Here's the trade...
---
### ๐ง Key Model Consensus (Across Grok, Claude, Llama, DeepSeek, Gemini):
โ
**Bullish Options Flow** from institutional players
๐ **Bearish Price Momentum** and RSI
โ ๏ธ **High Gamma Risk** into expiration
๐ค **Signal Divergence** = Uncertainty + Volatility
---
### ๐ฉ **Bullsโ Case (Grok, Claude, Llama):**
* Oversold conditions + call buying = Rebound Setup
* Volume spike confirms institutional interest
* Moderate bullish lean with upside potential
### ๐ฅ **Bearsโ Case (DeepSeek, Gemini):**
* Price action still weak
* Distribution pressure detected
* Recommending no trade or puts
---
### ๐ Trade Setup Summary
| Parameter | Value |
| -------------------- | ----------------- |
| ๐ฏ **Strike** | \$322.50 |
| ๐
**Expiry** | 2025-08-08 (1DTE) |
| ๐ **Direction** | CALL (LONG) |
| ๐ต **Entry Price** | \$0.96 |
| ๐ฏ **Profit Target** | \$1.44 |
| ๐ **Stop Loss** | \$0.57 |
| ๐ **Size** | 2 Contracts |
| ๐ **Entry Timing** | Market Open |
| ๐งช **Confidence** | 65% (Moderate) |
---
### โ ๏ธ Risks to Watch:
* 1DTE = High volatility swings โก
* Momentum still leaning bearish ๐
* Gamma moves could trigger sharp reversals
---
๐ **Final Take**:
**Trade if youโre aggressive. Sit out if youโre cautious.**
This is a classic high-risk/high-reward setup driven by **options flow vs. price action divergence**.
$TSLA - High CAGR Strikes againTeslaโs long-term bullish structure remains intact on the 2-month logarithmic chart, with price breaking out of a two-year ascending triangle capped near $350. This move tests the 78.6% retracement level at $347, opening the door to Fibonacci extension targets at approximately $595, $892, and $1,189 if momentum follows through.
The volume profile highlights strong historical support in the $180โ$250 range, a key zone to defend on any pullback. Notably, the macro backdrop adds a tailwind โ the last significant Fed rate cut in early 2020 coincided with Teslaโs parabolic advance, and the next major cut is projected for late 2025.
Long-term momentum indicators are turning higher, suggesting the early phase of a new bullish cycle. A sustained hold above $300 on any retest would reinforce the breakout, while a drop back under $280 risks a move toward $200โ$220.
I wouldn't want to be short long term.
Ethereum Outperforms Majors as Crypto Sentiment Shifts Again ๐ Ethereum Outperforms Majors as Crypto Sentiment Shifts Again ๐๐
Trump talks 401(k) crypto ๐๏ธ, BTC reclaims the key $115,800 level ๐ช, but today we zoom into what the charts are screaming โ and Ethereum is leading.
While headlines fly, structure never lies. Letโs compare ETH against other majors ๐
๐ท ETHUSD โ The Breakout That Sparked It All
๐ ETH broke free from the "Clashing Resistances" zone (SYMPLIGADES).
Itโs now targeting $4,086.5, with potential expansion toward $4,881.9 if momentum holds.
๐จ Key zones:
$3,744 = retest zone
$3,830 = resistance-turned-support
$4,005 = psychological milestone
The 1-2-3 model is alive and well.
And ETF news + BTC support is the fuel ETH needed. ๐ฅ
๐ ETHBTC โ The Hidden Strength Ratio
This is what most traders miss:
โก๏ธ ETHBTC has been in stealth accumulation mode.
Now aiming for 0.06274 โ a huge reclaim zone not seen since mid-2022.
This ratio matters because it signals altcoin rotation, not just price action.
๐ SOLETH โ The Bleed Continues
We called it months ago:
Solana may have great tech (Rust, speed), but itโs paying the price for memecoin mania and diluted narrative.
SOLETH is in freefall โ currently below 0.045, with support at 0.04176 and 0.02080 next if weakness continues.
ETH is eating market share back.
๐ XRPETH โ Short Hedge in Play
XRPETH structure remains bearish.
Even after multiple divergence plays, XRP continues to underperform against both BTC and ETH.
Target zones:
๐ง 0.00004638
๐ง 0.00002246
XRP fans โ this is not personal. This is chart-based reality.
๐๏ธ Donโt Forget the Macro Backdrop:
SEC just greenlit direct BTC/ETH usage in ETF flows
Trump hints at crypto-friendly 401(k) policies
China is brewing something (rumor or tumor โ still unclear ๐
)
BTC just reclaimed $115,800, setting sights on $122,795 โ $132,595
This market isnโt waiting for confirmation โ itโs moving based on structure.
๐ซ What I Avoid in This Cycle:
โ Memecoins (low trust, no ETF tailwind)
โ GameFi (zero relevance right now)
โ Ghost L1s (no users = no bids)
๐ง Final Take:
Ethereum is clearly leading the pack.
BTC is reclaiming its throne.
Solana is bleeding relative to ETH.
XRP is stuck in divergence hell.
So we trade the structure, not the hopium.
๐ Alt season wonโt be a meme โ it will be rotation-driven, narrative-backed, and ETF-aligned.
๐ฝ๏ธ Full explanation in my previous video post โ check it out if you want full breakdown on ETFs, ETHโs structural strength, and the geopolitical backdrop with China.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR ๐
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! ๐๐ค๐
ETH โ Possible Pullback After Sharp Rally | Watching Buy ZoneAfter a strong breakout toward the 4014 USDT area on ETH/USDT, we might be seeing signs of a local top forming. Based on technical analysis, Iโm watching for a potential pullback to the support zone around 3447 USDT, which is where Iโve placed a Buy limit order.
Key levels:
Sell zone: 4000โ4100 USDT (already reached) SELL NOW
Buy zone: around 3447 USDT (waiting for possible dip)
Strategy: Buy the dip and prepare to sell on the next upward move
๐ Repeating the cycle: Buy low โ Sell high
โ ๏ธ This is not financial advice โ just my personal market view.
Let me know in the comments if youโre watching similar levels or using the same kind of strategy.
Trade active
Trade was activated
MOVEUSDT | Long | L2 Narrative Support | (Aug 8, 2025)MOVEUSDT | Long | Oversold Tech + L2 Narrative Support | (Aug 8, 2025)
1๏ธโฃ Quick Insight:
MOVE is trading near ATL levels while Layer-2 and Move VM narratives are gaining traction again. This setup offers a high-reward potential if momentum returns.
2๏ธโฃ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry Zone: ~0.1372 โ 0.1395
Stop Loss: 0.1028 โ
TP1: 0.1525 โ
TP2: 0.1882 โ
(partial take + 70% out)
TP3: 0.2287 โ
(partial take + 90% out)
TP4: 0.3372 โ 0.3658 โ
(final target zone)
Max Target: 0.3836 (moonshot level ๐)
3๏ธโฃ Key Notes:
MOVE has a clean reclaim setup on the 4H after long accumulation. Fundamentals align wellโthis is the first MoveโEVM L2 backed by major VCs like Binance Labs and Polychain.
The R/R is favorable here but watch BTC and ETH sentiment closely, as MOVE is highly reactive to broader market flows.
4๏ธโฃ Follow-up Note:
๐ก If this idea reaches 10+ likes ๐, Iโll post a detailed follow-up with updated structure and short-term pivot zones!
Please LIKE ๐, FOLLOW โ
, SHARE ๐ and COMMENT โ if you enjoy this idea! Every interaction helps keep the content free, pushes it to more traders, and motivates me to post deeper analysis here on TradingView.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Risk aversion is intensifying. Is gold poised for a breakout?Gold prices fell slightly in Asian trading on Friday, retreating from a two-week high of $3,409 hit the previous day as most investors chose to take some profits before the weekend.
Nevertheless, trade-related uncertainties continue to support gold. US President Trump announced this week that he would impose additional tariffs on Indian imports as a "punishment" for its purchase of Russian oil, raising the total tariff to 50%. He also plans to impose additional tariffs on semiconductors and pharmaceutical products next week.
In addition, the Federal Reserveโs policy expectations are also positive for gold prices. US non-farm payroll data for July was weak, with unemployment claims rising for the second consecutive week, signaling a weakening labor market. Data from the US Department of Labor showed that initial jobless claims rose to 226,000 in the week ending August 2, the highest level since early July.
Technically, gold prices encountered resistance near the upper limit of the daily rising channel and retreated after testing $3,410. Previously, the price of gold effectively broke through the resistance area of $3,380, showing that bulls still have momentum.
The momentum indicators in the daily chart: MACD and RSI remain upward, but the short-term rise has slowed down, indicating that the market has entered a consolidation phase.
If the gold price can regain its footing above $3,409, it is expected to test the $3,420 resistance area, and further targets will point to the historical highs of $3,434 or even $3,500.
RATS/USDT This is how smart money makes 10x - Example RATSRats is at this moment at a bottom, one of the best dips we have seen for this coin, and we scan it right now. And we expect more smart money will see this in the coming time.
This is how smart money makes money when it becomes 10x
The smart money could scan this in the coming time and buy the dip with whale candles.
Bitcoin Bears Lining Up? My Short PlanBitcoin is flirting with a potential pullback, and Iโve got my eyes locked on this short setup.
The setup is a double top on the hourly chart.
๐ Risk/Reward: 3.7
๐ฏ Entry: 117 515
๐ Stop Loss: 118 033
๐ฐ Take Profit 1 (50%): 115 629
๐ฐ Take Profit 2 (50%): 115 116
Seeing negative rsi divergence on the hourly chart, signaling slowing buying momentum.
I am looking for the hourly candle to close within the range drawn on the chart with lower volume.
Iโll be scaling out at TP1 and letting the second half ride if the bears get their way.
๐
Will today be the start of a deeper drop?
๐ Iโm documenting my trades as part of my live trading journey โ follow along to see how this one plays out and catch my next setups in real time.
Not financial advice โ just my personal analysis.
GBP/JPY - Full Trade Plan๐ GBP/JPY Short Setup โ Structure Cracking Below
Pair: GBP/JPY
Timeframe: 4H / Daily
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: 196.900 - 197.100 (71% + EMA Retest)
Target Zones:
๐น TP1: 195.00
๐น TP2: 190.00 (W-Target)
๐ง Technical Breakdown:
โ
4H Structure Shift Confirmed
Price has broken and shifted structure on the 4H timeframe.
Multiple BOS (Breaks of Structure) confirm a weakening bullish trend.
โ
Daily Still Holding โ But Weak
Daily structure hasn't fully flipped yet, but bullish pressure is cracking.
This gives us a high-risk-reward opportunity before full higher-timeframe confirmation.
โ
Breakout & Retest + 71% Retracement
Classic breakout and retest pattern from the high.
Price has pulled back into the 71% Fib level, providing a premium entry.
โ
Retest of EMA + Contested POI
Price also tested the 4H EMA, acting as dynamic resistance.
This zone overlaps with a previous point of interest (POI) โ heavy confluence for sell pressure.
๐ Sell Plan:
Sell Zone: 196.900 โ 197.100 (watch for rejection candles or LTF structure breaks)
Stop Loss: Above the last swing high or EMA
Take Profits:
TP1: 195.00
TP2: 190.00 (Weekly Target)
โ ๏ธ Risk Management
Only execute once LTF confirms entry (M15/M5 BOS or bearish engulfing rejection).
Position size with R:R in mind; this setup offers a potential 1:4+ move.
๐๏ธ Market Outlook:
GBP/JPY is showing early signs of rolling over. The 4H shift, combined with a premium retest and EMA rejection, creates a clean short window. Watch the daily close for full confirmation.
๐ Like and follow for more clean smart money & structure-based setups.
Relief Rally or Further Drop? Key Levels to Watch on ARBUSDTARBUSDT continues its descent after invalidating the macro rising wedge, with price action firmly suppressed below key supply zones. Current wave structure hints at a potential relief rally toward 0.3886 before resuming the broader bearish trajectory toward the projected drop target at 0.1718. Until the macro descending trendline at 0.6259 is decisively broken, bearish sentiment remains dominant.