BITCOIN UPDATELooking good....looking good. Bitcoin holding very good so far. Bitcoin just completed its first stage on the 4hrs retrace move . Knowing where the 4 hrs is heading we can forecast the 1hr tf next move for the next 2 to 3 days and its as shown on the 1hr chart. Once we have the 1hr tf cycle completed we will have the 4hrs tf cycle getting ready to re-take its UPtrend, and once it re-takes its UPtrend move and by the time the 4hrs tf cycle is mid-way up then the Daily will joint them to push prices to new highs and that will be around the 9th or the 12th and as long as price doesn't cross below its Zero Line. Place your bets ladies and gentlemen and buckle up cause we are heading for a wild ride.
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The worst-case scenario for Bitcoin📉 Potential Dip to $70,000 in 2026
Some analysts suggest that Bitcoin could experience a correction to around $70,000 in 2026. This potential downturn may be influenced by:
Market Cycles: Bitcoin's price has historically followed cyclical patterns, with periods of rapid growth followed by corrections.
Regulatory Changes: Shifts in global regulatory stances toward cryptocurrencies could impact investor sentiment and market dynamics.
Macroeconomic Factors: Economic events, such as changes in interest rates or geopolitical tensions, could influence risk appetite among investors.
It's important to note that while a dip to $70,000 is within the realm of possibility, other forecasts for 2026 are more optimistic. For instance, CoinCodex projects Bitcoin trading between $94,836 and $160,074 in 2026, with an average price of $119,743 .
🚀 Surge to Over $130,000 in 2027
Looking ahead to 2027, several factors could contribute to a significant increase in Bitcoin's price:
Institutional Adoption: Growing interest from institutional investors could drive demand.
Technological Advancements: Improvements in blockchain technology and scalability solutions may enhance Bitcoin's utility.
Global Economic Conditions: In times of economic uncertainty, Bitcoin is often viewed as a hedge against inflation.
Analysts have provided various projections for 2027:
Binance forecasts a price range between $140,491 and $216,738, with an average of $170,100 .
Bittime estimates an average price of $138,000, with potential highs up to $150,000
SPX: trade should not be a weaponPositive sentiment continued on the US equity markets during the previous week, after stronger than expected US jobs data. The Non-farm payrolls posted on Friday reached 177K in April, which was significantly above the 130K expected by the market. The market estimate was significantly lower from March data, as analysts were expecting to see a spill over effect of the imposed trade tariffs. As the jobs market seems still quite strong, the positive market sentiment was intact during the week. However, the recession fears are still holding among investors. The S&P 500 continued its 9-days winning streak, ending the week at the level of 5.686.
On a positive side was the news that Chinese authorities are considering starting negotiations with the US Administration regarding trade tariffs. This was another positive boost for investors' sentiment. Berkshire Hathaway was holding shareholders annual meeting on Saturday, where the most attention of both media and investors was on the speech of its founder and famous investor, Warren Buffet. In his address to the shareholders, Buffet strongly criticized the trade tariffs, noting “Trade tariffs are an act of war … trade should not be a weapon’.
For the moment, it could be expected that the positive sentiment might continue also in the future period. However, the FOMC meeting and Fed rate decision is scheduled for Wednesday, May 7th. This could be a day of higher volatility, as Fed Chair Powell will address the public at the press conference after the meeting. The markets will closely watch what he has to say regarding the current state of the US economy and potential rate cuts during the course of this year.
BTCUSD: Gathering Momentum for a BreakthroughThe price of BTCUSD strongly broke through the threshold of $97,000 this week, showing a robust upward momentum. Although there has been a pullback currently, it still remains in a strong uptrend above $95,000 overall. In the short term, the primary target for the upward movement is $98,000. If this level is broken through, the focus will shift to the significant psychological level of $100,000. However, when the price of BTCUSD approaches the level of $98,000, this area will form a resistance, and investors should be cautious about the potential risk of a pullback. If it unexpectedly breaks below the support level of $93,000, it may pull back to the area around $89,000.
Taking all factors into consideration, the overall trend of BTCUSD next week is relatively optimistic, with a high probability of continuing to break through upwards. However, the risk of a pullback should also be watched out for. There are uncertainties in the market, and macroeconomic factors such as the progress of negotiations between the United States and its major trading partners may also have an impact on the price of Bitcoin. Therefore, relevant news should be closely monitored.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D5 Y25GBPUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D5 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block rejection
✅Daily order block rejection
✅Intraday 15' order blocks
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
USDZAR-SELL strategy 9 hourly chart GANN SQThe pair is oversold, and for those willing to go long for correction, the move upwards will be likely stalling near 18.4750 (double bottom area.
In terms of the break and the GANN SQ it is likely better to sell into rally.
Strategy SELL @ 18.4150-18.4450 and take profit near 18.2750 for now.
XAUUSD:It is the right time to go short at high levels.The price of gold has strongly surged to around $3,315, forming a key resistance level. Analyzing from both the technical perspective and market sentiment, the selling pressure above this price level is remarkable, and the risk of a short-term pullback has intensified. The current market structure indicates that placing short positions at this high level may effectively capture the profit-taking space during the price correction, which can be regarded as a sensible trading strategy.
XAUUSD
sell@3315-3320
tp:3300-3280
The price of gold has strongly surged to around $3,315, forming a key resistance level. Analyzing from both the technical perspective and market sentiment, the selling pressure above this price level is remarkable, and the risk of a short-term pullback has intensified. The current market structure indicates that placing short positions at this high level may effectively capture the profit-taking space during the price correction, which can be regarded as a sensible trading strategy.
XAUUSD Today's strategySince breaking through the narrow trading range, the price of gold has entered a new round of fluctuations and is currently trading within the range of $3,200 to $3,272. Although the gold price has adjusted by approximately $300, this does not mean that the pullback market has come to an end.
From a technical perspective, within the 4-hour cycle, all moving averages are pressing downwards, forming strong resistance and continuously suppressing the upward movement of the gold price. At the same time, the gold price has repeatedly fallen under pressure after touching the downward trend line, indicating that the bearish force still dominates and the overall downward trend has not been reversed. If the resistance level of $3,272 continues to function effectively, it may be a more ideal trading strategy to place short positions at higher levels in the short term.
XAUUSD
sell@3272-3265
tp:3240-3230
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
US30 – Key Supply Rejection at 41,000 | Is a Pullback ? The Dow Jones (US30) is currently trading at 41,089, slightly below the critical supply zone between 41,000 - 41,150, as identified by LuxAlgo’s Supply & Demand Visible Range. Price is showing signs of exhaustion after testing the top of the range, hinting at a potential short-term correction.
Chart Breakdown:
Supply Zone: 41,000 – 41,150 (visible resistance from recent price reaction).
Current Price: 41,089
First Support: 40,971 – the last breakout zone.
Next Support: 39,703 – major structure break level.
Demand Zone: 38,735 – 38,000 (bullish reversal zone, high volume node).
Bearish Scenario:
A clean break below 40,971 could confirm short-term bearish momentum.
Watch for price to fill the inefficiency gap toward 39,703 and possibly test 38,735 if weakness continues.
Red arrows on chart signal likely downside zones if buyers fail to defend higher levels.
Bullish Scenario:
Reclaim and close above 41,150 on strong volume may invalidate the bearish bias and push price to new highs.
Upcoming Volatility Alert:
Key U.S. economic news is on the calendar (highlighted on chart) – could cause sharp movement in either direction. Stay alert!
Trade Idea: Look for short entries around current levels with stops above the supply zone. Target the 39,703 and 38,735 levels with proper risk management.
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Will Dow stay strong or finally give in to bearish pressure? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
#US30 #DowJones #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoney #VolumeProfile #LuxAlgo #PriceAction #Forex #Indices #MarketUpdate
GBP/USD LONG 5/4/25📊 GBP/USD LONG
• Bias: Bullish (HTF aligned)
• Current Price: 1.3327
• H4 Demand Zone: 1.3300–1.3280
• Entry Plan:
• Look for a pullback to the demand zone with bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing on M15/H1).
• Confirm with RSI > 60 and SAR flip below price.
• Stop Loss: 30 pips below entry
• Take Profit:
• TP1: 1.3380
• TP2: 1.3420
• Lot Size: 1.33 lots (based on $400 risk and 30-pip SL)
• Confidence: High ✅
• News Filter: Monitor UK economic data releases during the week.
Trend Analysis and Trading Tips for the Gold MarketThe market is deeply trapped in the tariff issue. US stocks and the US dollar are in urgent need of economic data to boost their performance. If the April NFP data is poor, it will trigger a selling spree in the market, and the risk of economic recession in the United States will increase. On the contrary, the significance of good NFP data far exceeds the data itself.
From a technical perspective, when the data is bearish, the upward pressure on the gold price doubles. Overall, it is highly likely that the April NFP data will be bearish for the gold price and drive it down. The fact that the gold price hit a low of nearly 3,220 yesterday also confirms this expectation. In addition, good data reduces the market's expectation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. Since an interest rate cut by the Fed is bullish for the gold price, and vice versa.
The tariff issue is likely to cool down soon. Although it doesn't mean the end, it will still suppress the gold price. Recently, we have accurately grasped the gold market, attaching equal importance to fundamental and technical analysis. In the following period, the market will still fluctuate around fundamental news such as the tariff issue. If the NFP data exceeds expectations and the tariff issue takes a turn for the better, the risk aversion sentiment will fade away, and the gold price is highly likely to retrace. It is recommended not to rush to buy at a higher price next week.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
DOGEUSDT Ready for Pump(Soon again above 0.25$)We are looking for breakout to the upside and pump which hit targets like +20% -- +50% asap.
Price broke the major daily resistance like red trendline and now is getting ready for next phase pump this time hit targets like 0.25$ after more range here.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
AUD/USD Ready To Give Us A Second Entry With Extra 250 Pips !Here is my second area to can enter a buy trade on AUD/USD , First Entry +90 Pips , now i`m looking for second entry , we have a very good breakout after long time , so it will be my fav place to add another entry and targeting another 250 pips , just waiting for touch and good bullish price action to confirm my analysis .
EURUSD Will Fall! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.133.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.125 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NAS100 - Stock Market, Waiting for FOMC?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I expect corrective moves from the specified range, but if the index continues to move upwards towards 21,000 points, we can look for the next Nasdaq short positions with a risk-reward ratio.
Last week, U.S. equity markets experienced $8.9 billion in capital outflows, while equity markets in Japan and the European Union saw net inflows. Additionally, U.S. Treasury bonds recorded an outflow of $4.5 billion—the largest since December 2023. Meanwhile, the gold market witnessed its first weekly investment decline since January.
Looking ahead, financial markets are focused on the upcoming earnings reports from major companies across sectors such as technology, healthcare, automotive, energy, and financial services. These reports are expected to significantly influence equity trends, investment strategies, and corporate outlooks. Below is a daily breakdown of key companies set to release earnings this week:
Monday, May 5, 2025
The week starts with a focus on the healthcare and biotech sectors:
• Before market open: Companies such as Palantir, Ford, Onsemi, and Tyson Foods will report earnings. Palantir and Ford are particularly noteworthy for investors in the tech and auto sectors.
• After market close: Healthcare firms like Hims & Hers Health, Axsome Therapeutics, and financial company CNA Financial will report.
Tuesday, May 6, 2025
Tuesday highlights several key tech earnings:
• Before market open: Celsius, Datadog, Rivian, and Tempus will publish their results. Rivian’s report is especially anticipated due to the intense competition in the electric vehicle space.
• After market close: Tech giants like AMD and Arista Networks will release earnings, along with Marriott from the hospitality sector.
Wednesday, May 7, 2025
A packed day for earnings reports:
• Before market open: Reports from Uber and Teva are expected, along with ARM Holdings, a key player in semiconductors.
• After market close: AppLovin, Unity, and Robinhood will release their reports—representing digital gaming, software, and fintech respectively.
Thursday, May 8, 2025
This day centers on digital health, cryptocurrency, and e-commerce:
• Before market open: Peloton and Shopify will report. Shopify’s performance is particularly critical in the online retail sector.
• After market close: Crypto firm Coinbase and online sports betting platform DraftKings are in focus.
Friday, May 9, 2025
Fewer companies will report, but some are of strategic interest:
• Firms like 1stdibs, Ani Pharmaceuticals, and Embecta are scheduled, as well as Telos and Algonquin—key names in energy and cybersecurity investing.
This week, markets are closely monitoring Wednesday’s FOMC meeting. At the March session, the Fed left rates unchanged and signaled only two potential cuts totaling 50 basis points for the year, based on its dot plot—suggesting a cautious approach to monetary easing.
Simultaneously, April’s U.S. Services PMI is set to be released today, providing clearer insights into post-tariff business activity.
Amazon’s CEO stated that, so far, there is no indication of reduced demand due to tariff concerns. Some inventory spikes were noted in specific categories, likely driven by stockpiling ahead of tariff implementation. Retail prices, on average, have not significantly increased, and most sellers have yet to raise prices—though that could change depending on how tariff policies evolve. Notably, essential goods have grown at twice the rate of other categories and now account for a third of all unit sales in the U.S.
Following April’s jobs report, the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in June dropped from 75% to 42%. With only one more employment report due before the June 18 meeting, hopes for an early policy shift have faded. Some analysts argue that without the tariff conflict, the Fed might already be cutting rates, given the downward trend in inflation, steady growth, and Congressional focus on fiscal measures.
The April jobs data showed that the U.S. labor market remains resilient—neither too strong to spark inflation fears nor too weak to trigger panic. After the release, with market confidence rebounding, Goldman Sachs forecasted the Fed’s first rate cut to come at the July 30 meeting.
The consensus expectation is for the Fed funds rate to remain in the current 4.25%-4.5% range, unchanged since January. The CME FedWatch tool currently assigns just a 1.8% chance of a rate cut at the upcoming meeting.
Economists warn that Trump’s newly imposed tariffs—active since April—could drive up prices and hurt employment, challenging the Fed’s dual mandate of controlling both inflation and joblessness. However, recent data shows inflation remained mild in March and the labor market held steady in April.
Nancy Vanden Houten, Chief U.S. Economist at Oxford Economics, wrote: “The data is strong enough for the Fed to stay on the sidelines and monitor how tariffs influence inflation and expectations.” While hard data remains stable, forecasts and sentiment surveys signal looming challenges. Business leaders and individuals express concern that rising costs may burden consumers and businesses in the coming months or years, possibly even tipping the economy into recession.
XAUUSD Bearish Setup: Rising Wedge Breakdown Towards 3,166 Targe Overview
This chart illustrates a high-probability bearish setup for XAUUSD based on the breakdown of a rising wedge pattern. Rising wedges typically signal a potential reversal or correction, especially when they occur near a resistance zone and are followed by lower highs and diminishing bullish momentum.
🔍 Technical Breakdown
📐 Rising Wedge Pattern
The price of gold has been rising within a narrowing wedge, forming higher highs and higher lows but within converging trendlines.
This structure generally suggests weakening bullish momentum, and a breakdown is often followed by sharp bearish movement.
The breakdown from the wedge is already starting to form, as price struggles to make new highs near resistance.
🟥 Resistance Level (~3,280 – 3,300)
This area has historically acted as a supply zone.
Recent candlestick wicks show clear rejection in this area, confirming the presence of strong selling pressure.
Price failed to break above this level convincingly, indicating buyers are losing control.
🟩 Support Level (~3,200 – 3,215)
This zone provided a short-term base before the wedge formation.
If the wedge breaks, price may retest this zone on the way down.
If broken, this support could flip into resistance during a pullback.
🎯 Trade Setup
Bias: Bearish
Pattern: Rising Wedge
Timeframe: Suitable for short-term to swing trades (1H – 4H)
✅ Entry Point
Enter short on confirmation of a wedge breakdown (strong bearish candle close below the lower trendline).
Conservative traders can wait for a retest of the broken trendline for additional confirmation.
📉 Target
Primary Target: 3,166.10 – Measured move from wedge height and also aligns with a previous support area.
This area could act as a profit-taking zone as it represents both technical and psychological support.
🛑 Stop Loss
Place SL above the wedge resistance, around 3,313.69.
This protects against false breakouts or unexpected bullish reversals.
⚠️ Risk Management
Only risk a small percentage of capital (1–2%) per trade.
Ensure confirmation before entry – avoid entering early on low-volume breakdowns.
Consider scaling out partial profits near the support zone before the full target is hit.
🔧 Confluence & Validation
The setup aligns with basic price action principles: lower highs at resistance and exhaustion of bullish momentum.
Volume tends to drop during wedge formation and pick up during breakout – monitor volume for confirmation.
RSI or MACD divergence may further validate the bearish momentum.
🏷️ Conclusion
This rising wedge on XAUUSD presents a textbook short setup with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. The structure, resistance zone, and loss of momentum indicate a potential shift to the downside. Traders should watch for confirmation before entering and use disciplined stop-loss management.