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Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis – 1D
🏛 1. Current Market Structure
🚀 Gold reached a peak at $3,500 following Trump’s tariff announcement, triggering a sharp bullish reaction.
🔻 This move was followed by a strong correction, leading price back down to key structural support zones.
🌍 2. Bigger Picture Outlook
📉 This violent retracement allowed the market to revisit accumulation areas, including tested supply zones and bullish OTE levels.
🔎 Price seems to be stabilizing now, suggesting a potential directional move could emerge once structure confirms.
🔍 3. Key Technical Observations
⬜️ Supply Zone: A structural area of interest now acting as potential support.
🟦 Bullish OTE: Located lower, it serves as a final line of defense in case of further downside.
📐 Descending trendline is currently being tested — a breakout would confirm bullish momentum shift.
🎯 4. Short-Term Expectations
📉 Controlled pullback scenario:
Price may revisit the supply zone, or even dip into the OTE, to consolidate before a bullish breakout.
📈 Confirmed bullish scenario:
A clean break above the trendline and recent highs would validate a strong reversal and aim again for $3,500+.
🔥 5. Upcoming Catalysts
📰 Geopolitical or economic updates linked to the US (tariffs, inflation).
📊 Institutional reaction to tested support zones.
💡 Volume confirmation on structural breakout.
✅ Conclusion
👉 After a sharp rejection from a geopolitical news-driven spike, gold is now retesting major support zones.
📍 Three key levels to watch:
The Supply Zone
The 50% retracement
The Bullish OTE
🔎 Price action around these areas will determine whether this is just a pullback — or the start of a new bullish leg.
Gold Hits Key Resistance – Will It Break Out or Pull Back? Gold has been moving in a downtrend, and there's a clear descending trendline marked in red. The price has just reached that trendline right around the 3316 level, which also aligns with a horizontal resistance at 3329 — making this a very strong resistance zone.
The price surged from the support area near 3224, breaking through minor resistances until it reached the current level. But what we need to keep an eye on is that momentum indicators like MACD and Stochastic below the chart are starting to show overbought signals, which could mean the price might pull back or at least slow down.
🎯 Expected scenario now:
If the price fails to break above 3329 and can't push through the trendline, we might see a corrective drop toward 3269, and possibly down to 3224 again.
However, if the price breaks above this zone with strong volume and holds above it, we could see a continued bullish move toward 3352 — which looks like an ideal selling zone.
DeGRAM | EURUSD Decline in the Channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Relief rally stalled at 1.1350 where the descending resistance meets the rectangle’s upper boundary; a string of lower highs confirms supply.
● Failure to reclaim the resistance line and a break below 1.13 exposes 1.12.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● U.S. factory orders jumped 4.3 % in March on commercial aircraft demand, underpinning dollar strength and pressuring EUR/USD.
● Eurozone HCOB manufacturing PMI eased to 49.0 in April—still in contraction—underscoring weak euro fundamentals.
✨ Summary
Confluence resistance at 1.1350 caps the pair; short bias targets 1.1270 → 1.1200, invalidated on a close above 1.1380.
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Dollar Decline Against All Major CurrenciesThe Dollar’s decline didn’t start with the recent ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs. In fact, it has been gradually weakening since the 1970s.
More recently, however, the Dollar has lost value against many currencies since January. Why is that?
Why have the USD/CHF and USD/SGD strengthened against the US Dollar over the past few decades? One reason is that both countries have managed their money supply with discipline. For example, as of end-2024, Switzerland’s net federal debt stood at 141 billion Swiss franc, their debt to GDP ratio at 17.2%.
In contrast, the United States has expanded its national debt at an alarming rate. Some might point out that Japan’s debt-to-GDP ratio is even higher—around 230%. That is why the Japanese Yen has also been in decline for decades.
Why does printing more money through QE and increasing the money supply weaken a currency?
Just imagine in a close economy with 10 people and 1 central bank. If the central bank printed $100 and distributed equally to the 10, each of them will receive $10 to buy 10 available cheesecakes.
But now the central bank decided to print $1,000 and each person will have $100 to buy 10 available cheesecakes.
The global economy is not a close, but an open system.
When the US and other major economies printed massive amounts of money, they didn’t just inflate their own economies—they exported inflation worldwide. This contributes to rising cost of living not all around the world.
In my view, Gold is also a currency pair against the US at the start of 1971. The moment dollar unpeg itself from gold, gold appreciates. With each QE, we can see how the currencies have diluted with gold and inflation appreciating over these years.
Why different currencies have started to appreciate against the USD since January this year?
We can see all the currencies have either reached its bottomed in January and started moving higher or it formed a reversal pattern like the Aussie dollar and the Dollar Yuan, in this case with this inverted hammer, it is indicating Dollar Yuan to reverse downward, meaning dollar coming off and yuan to appreciate.
January was President Trump inauguration and February was when he rolled out tariffs against Canada, Mexico and China, and the market do not like that and has been selling the USD against the rest of the currencies?
If US has printed the so much money, but why other than Swiss franc and Singapore Dollar, many other currencies have been depreciating against dollars over the past decades?
I’d like to hear your thoughts on this.
Euro FX Futures & Options
Ticker: 6E
Minimum fluctuation:
0.000050 per Euro increment = $6.25
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
EUR/USD - Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileOn EUR/USD , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 1.13600. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated.
I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again.
Fair Value GAP (FVG) and Volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go short on this trade.
Happy trading,
Dale
Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil TumblesMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Tumbles
WTI Crude oil is down over 10% and remains at risk of more losses.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil prices extended downsides below the $60.00 support zone.
- A major bearish trend line is forming with resistance near $57.25 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price struggled to continue higher above $60.00 against the US Dollar. The price formed a short-term top and started a fresh decline below $58.00.
There was a steady decline below the $57.75 pivot level. The bears even pushed the price below $56.20 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the price tested the $55.00 zone. The recent swing low was formed near $55.01, and the price is now consolidating losses.
There was a minor move above the $55.50 level. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $56.10 level and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $59.49 swing high to the $55.01 low.
The next resistance is near the $57.25 level. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near $57.25. The trend line is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $59.49 swing high to the $55.01 low.
The main resistance is near a trend line at $57.75. A clear move above the $57.75 zone could send the price toward $59.45. The next key resistance is near $62.25. If the price climbs further higher, it could face resistance near $63.20. Any more gains might send the price toward the $65.00 level.
Immediate support is near the $55.00 level. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near $53.00. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $52.00. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $50.00 support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
USD/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
USD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 144.163
Target Level: 139.852
Stop Loss: 147.018
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 15h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Ethereum (ETH): Waiting For Dominance By Buyers At $1,900Ethereum has formed a proper foundation from where we might see a good upward movement coming pretty soon; all we need is just to secure the $1,900, which then might send the price towards our target zones.
There is nothing much to talk about rather than waiting for the resistance zone and once we see that buyers will overtake that zone we are going to look for long positions here!
Swallow Academy
Alts: Dead or Ready to Explode ?!Hello Traders 🐺
Still doubting the possibility of an Altcoin Season?
Probably yes — and that’s fair. We’ve been through a major correction over the past 4 years, especially in the altcoin sector. But the big question is:
Are alts dead... or is this just the calm before the actual storm? 🤔
As you may already know, market movements depend on a mix of factors — and altcoins, in particular, need real FOMO in the market to shine, whether that’s to the upside or downside.
Let’s break it down based on the crypto bull cycle, because understanding this cycle helps you track smart money and ride along with it.
🚨 Here’s what typically happens:
Before any real BTC season, we get the halving event (every 4 years).
Right after that, whales and big players begin accumulating BTC quietly.
They maintain pressure on the market to load up at cheap prices 😁🤯
But of course, they can't keep this up forever...
As time passes, others start to catch on. On-chain data becomes more visible, and retail traders begin spotting these moves — which is key, because you can track the whales and use that data to make smarter decisions.
This BTC season usually lasts 1–2 years, during which:
BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance) climbs steadily 📈
Money flows out of alts, and many ALTS/BTC charts crash
Some altcoins hit new all-time lows vs BTC 😒🤦♂️
But here’s the plot twist...
Nothing goes up forever — and BTC Dominance is no exception.
Right now, it’s sitting at a monthly resistance level, and we’re starting to see bearish signs building up:
Bearish divergence on the daily RSI
A clear rising wedge on the daily chart
RSI shows weakness, even while price continues climbing
This setup looks very similar to what we usually see in a distribution phase 👀
And you already know what tends to come next... 🔥🐺
Hope you found this idea helpful.
If you have any questions or thoughts, feel free to drop them in the comments below — I’m always around.
And as always, remember:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable. 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D5 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D5 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Wipro Trend direction..Good for long term investmentWipro 242 has given a symmetrical triangle pattern which is indecisive . Resistance at 249 ad support at 238. it may move any ways. Volume suggests bulls over bears.
Fundamentally it is trading at 10 Years of P/E which is good for long term investment. Additionally FII's have the highest stake in this quarter of last 12 quarters.
Breakout trading point: 1861.57
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The 1861.57 point is the HA-Low indicator point on the 1W chart.
The key is whether it can receive support and rise around the A section, that is, 1861.57.
Since the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 1647.06 point, it is important whether it can receive support and rise in the 1647.06-1861.57 section.
If it shows support in the 1647.06-1861.57 section, it is a time to buy.
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If it falls from 1647.06, there is a possibility that a stepwise downtrend will continue, so you should also consider a response plan for this.
In the case of a decline, the Fibonacci ratio section of 0 (1190.57) ~ 0.786 (1259.39) is expected to be an important support and resistance section.
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Since the price is located below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, it is recommended to conduct trading from a day trading or short-term trading perspective.
When it breaks through the 1861.57 point, a breakout trade is possible, but as I mentioned earlier, trading requires a short and quick response.
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If the StochRSI indicator is above the midpoint, it is recommended to focus on finding a time to sell, and if it is below the midpoint, it is recommended to focus on finding a time to buy.
When creating a trading strategy by referring to the movement of these auxiliary indicators, you must check whether there is support at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Take - Two Interactive SoftwareIn this idea, I will analyze the current situation of TTWO and continue the analysis I previously carried out ( ).
Following everything that was mentioned in the previous idea, it has been said that GTA VI will only be released on May 26, 2026 (something that can only be confirmed with 100% certainty on that day).
This same news delayed, to some extent, the upward trend that could have occurred with the release of the game (GTA VI) and its sales this year.
Of course, this company doesn't rely solely on GTA, and I believe that with the release of other games, the company will continue its upward trend. However, I think that with the sales of GTA VI, there will be a strong bullish trend in 2026.
This is a long-term analysis, which should also be accompanied by solid fundamental analysis.
The long position tool shown on the chart serves only as a support for the trade entry.
Several moving averages and a Parabolic SAR were also used in this analysis, to which special attention should be given.
BTCUSDT - Black Monday ? What's next??#BTCUSDT.. market perfect holds our resistance area as we discussed in our perveious idea regarding #btc
now market is going to close below our supporting area.
Keep close guys because eif market hold his current high then a drop expected below that.
Good luck
Trade wisely
TSLA technically turntUP... so the stock pops on a sob story. there will be action. pullback possible, but doesn't have to. 2-3 week rallies expected while the getting is good.
*weekly bullish close (engulfing)
*pullbacks should not be lower than prev week high (270 good)
*it's big tech earnings, so running during other strong tech success while down is a TSLA thing
tootles
Silver – Bearish Move Toward Support🧠 Market Overview:
Instrument: Likely Silver (based on file name).
Chart Context: The price is currently trading below both the 50 EMA (red) and 200 EMA (blue), indicating bearish momentum and a possible shift in market structure.
📊 Key Technical Components:
🔹 Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):
50 EMA (32.614) is above the 200 EMA (32.526) but both are above the current price.
This crossover is recent and could indicate the beginning of a larger downtrend if confirmed by continued price action below both EMAs.
🔹 Market Structure:
POI (Point of Interest) marks a previous swing high where selling pressure emerged.
The chart shows internal liquidity (INT.LQ) sweeps both above and below consolidation areas, hinting at smart money manipulation to grab liquidity before making a move.
🔹 Resistance Zone:
Clearly defined between approx. 33.4–34.0, where price was rejected after a failed attempt to break higher.
Multiple rejections from this zone show strong selling pressure.
🔹 Support Zone:
Sitting between approx. 30.8–31.2.
Price previously consolidated here before a bullish move, making it a likely target for a return test or a potential bounce.
📉 Bearish Scenario & Projection:
The price broke below a short-term structure and failed to hold above EMAs.
The current price action shows a bearish pullback likely to form a Lower High (LH).
The projected path shows a pullback to previous support-turned-resistance, followed by a breakdown targeting the support zone.
✅ Bias:
Short-term bias: Bearish
Medium-term bias: Bearish, unless price reclaims the 200 EMA and consolidates above the resistance zone.
🔍 Confluences Supporting Bearish Outlook:
Price below EMAs (dynamic resistance).
Failed higher highs with liquidity sweeps (indicating smart money selling).
Clear market structure shift to the downside.
Anticipated retest of support zone around 30.8–31.2.
Silver is Again in the Bullish directionHello Traders
In This Chart XAGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XAGUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XAGUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XAGUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
DXY Outlook: FVG Retest Complete — Is 105 the Next Sweep?DXY Weekly Forecast
In recent weeks, DXY dropped to the extreme demand zone, sweeping the lows around 98–99, before launching a bullish reversal and breaking through multiple minor highs.
Last Friday, price retested a daily Fair Value Gap — perfectly aligned with the NFP release — and held. Now, we may see some sideways consolidation at this level before continuation higher toward the 105.000 zone, where key liquidity sits above prior highs.
Bias: Bullish
Key Zones:
• Support: 102.000 (FVG / demand area)
• Resistance: 105.000 (liquidity target)
The structure is clean: bulls in control, as long as the FVG zone holds.
—
Weekly forecast by Sphinx Trading
Drop your thoughts in the comments.
#DXY #DollarIndex #USD #ForexAnalysis #LiquiditySweep #SphinxWeekly #FairValueGap #NFP #SmartMoney