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Ethereum’s $26K Path: Pitchfork Precision Meets 401(k)🚀 Ethereum’s $26K Path: Pitchfork Precision Meets 401(k) Mega Capital Inflows
Ethereum’s long-term pitchfork structure — stretching back nearly a decade — has been an uncannily accurate roadmap for the asset’s entire price history. Every major bull run and retracement has respected these channel boundaries with surgical precision. And now, the math points to a euphoric cycle peak near $26,240.
But here’s what’s different this time: a perfect storm of structural, macro, and legislative catalysts could fuel the most explosive Ethereum rally in history.
1️⃣ The Technical Blueprint: ETH’s Pitchfork to the Moon
The chart above speaks for itself:
Multi-cycle median line respect → Every parabolic move in ETH has peaked near the upper bound of this pitchfork.
2025 setup mirrors 2017 & 2021 → Both prior cycle expansions occurred from near the lower channel up to the upper band within 12–18 months.
Current positioning → ETH is breaking away from the midline, with momentum building toward the $10.4K resistance area before a final euphoric move to the $26K upper band.
2️⃣ The Game-Changer: Trump’s 401(k) Executive Order
On August 7, 2025, President Trump signed an executive order allowing 401(k) retirement plans to invest directly in private equity — and by extension, in private tokenized assets and alternative vehicles that can include crypto exposure.
Why this matters for Ethereum:
$7.3 trillion 401(k) market in the U.S. alone.
Even a 1% allocation into ETH through tokenized or pooled products equals $73 billion in demand — over 25% of ETH’s current market cap.
Coupled with upcoming Ethereum-based private market tokenization rails, this could create persistent retirement-driven demand that never existed before.
3️⃣ Ethereum’s Unstoppable Macro Tailwinds
Beyond the 401(k) shockwave, ETH’s macro positioning has never been stronger:
BlackRock’s Ethereum staking ETF pending SEC approval — opening the floodgates for institutional inflows.
Ultra-sound money supply mechanics — ETH’s burn rate has outpaced issuance in multiple months, meaning supply is shrinking while demand is about to accelerate.
Tokenization megatrend — Real estate, private credit, and commodities are increasingly issued on Ethereum rails, boosting transaction demand and fee burns.
Layer 2 explosion — Rollup adoption is pushing more economic activity onto Ethereum, while fees and settlements still flow to ETH validators.
4️⃣ The Cycle Anatomy: How $26K Happens
If history rhymes, here’s how the final leg could unfold:
Breakout to $6K–$7K as ETF approval and 401(k)-related flows kick in.
Acceleration to $10.4K — the mid-pitchfork resistance — as retail and media hype return.
Parabolic blow-off into the $20K–$26K zone as institutional + retirement inflows collide with ultra-low liquid supply.
5️⃣ Why This Time Could Overshoot
Unlike past cycles, Ethereum now sits at the intersection of:
Institutional-grade adoption (BlackRock, Fidelity, JPMorgan)
On-chain structural scarcity (post-merge burn dynamics)
Legislative green lights (401(k) access to alternatives)
Global macro rotation into risk assets as interest rates pivot
If prior cycles were crypto’s “dot com era,” this one is the mobile internet + cloud migration phase — except ETH is the protocol on which everything runs.
Bottom line:
The $26K target isn’t just a chartist’s fantasy — it’s a mathematically reinforced roadmap now backed by the largest pool of retirement capital in the world.
Ethereum is no longer just “digital oil.” With this convergence of technical, macro, and legislative forces, it’s becoming the primary settlement layer for global finance — and this cycle could be the moment the market finally prices that in.
SOL 4H Bounce From Support, Will Resistance Hold at July Highs?SOL has bounced cleanly from its ascending trendline, showing buyers are still defending key structure. Price is now approaching the 178–180 zone with the July highs near 208 acting as major resistance. A breakout above that level could fuel another leg higher, while failure to push through may invite another pullback toward trendline support. Bulls maintain control as long as the trendline remains intact.
$ETH - New monthly Signal! Been focusing heavily on CRYPTOCAP:ETH lately — price action remains clean, easy to read, and primed for a push into new highs.
By now, most of you should already have a solid position in $Ethereum. We’ve been calling some great entry spots, and if you’re still indecisive… this might be your last real chance.
The $3,400 zone held strong, and in my opinion, that’s the low for the next couple of months. We’ve also just triggered a fresh monthly signal inside this massive multi-month consolidation. If you’re expecting lower prices, you might be waiting a long, long time.
I’ve been eyeing the possibility of $10K since last month’s breakout opened the gate. Keeping our analysis grounded, $7K is the realistic target we should see this year — maybe even within the next two months.
Until the signal expires or the target is hit… keep holding.
Chasing new highs - GRT weekly update August 8 - 14thThe Graph (GRT) has formed two higher-degree 1–2 setups — one at the Cycle degree and one at the Primary degree — creating a structurally bullish foundation. At the Intermediate degree, price is currently advancing in Wave 1, while at the Minor degree, it is in Wave 3, the most dynamic phase of an impulse. This alignment of early waves across degrees suggests a potentially strong continuation if key resistance levels are broken.
The immediate bullish confirmation comes from a break above the $0.097 resistance, which would open the door for a sustained rally toward the $0.106–$0.122 zone, based on Fibonacci extensions. However, there is an alternative scenario: if the market fails to clear $0.097 and sells off, breaking the $0.0873 support, it would indicate that Intermediate Wave C and therefore Primary Wave 2 are not yet complete. In that case, a final low to complete the larger correction would be expected before the uptrend resumes.
From a sentiment perspective, funding rates are positive, and open interest is rising, showing increasing long exposure. The liquidity heatmap reveals significant liquidity resting below current price, with only minor clusters above — a configuration that could invite a short-term liquidity sweep before continuation.
This setup also needs to be viewed in the context of broader macroeconomic conditions. For much of this year, capital inflows into crypto were limited by the Federal Reserve’s restrictive monetary policy. However, the CME FedWatch Tool now shows a 89.1% probability of a rate cut at the September FOMC meeting. Markets tend to front-run such events, and this expectation could fuel Wave 3 advances across the crypto sector. But with anticipation running high, there is also the risk of a sell-the-news reaction, particularly if retail traders over-leverage into the move.
It’s worth noting that this structure in GRT closely mirrors many other altcoin charts at the moment — a sign of high correlation within the crypto market.
As long as the $0.097 resistance is broken and the $0.0873 level remains intact, the probability favours the bullish scenario — with a multi-degree Wave 3 advance potentially underway, fueled by both technical structure and macro catalysts.
ETH/USDT 12h chart1. Punction of the downward trend
• The black inheritance trend line has been broken up - this is a strong signal of Bycza.
• Breaking was confirmed by a strong candle movement and high growth dynamics.
⸻
2. Key levels of support and resistance
• Support:
• 3930 USDT - previous resistance, now the defensive zone with possible correction.
• 3709 USDT - deeper support.
• 3488 USDT - critical support, below which the upward trend would be negated.
• resistance:
• 4048 USDT - current local resistance (the candle touched and lightly reflected).
• 4304 USDT - another strong resistance.
• 4484 USDT - long -term resistance and potential goal when continuing to grow.
⸻
3. RSI
• RSI is around 70 - close to the purchase zone.
• suggests the possibility of a short correction or consolidation before the upward trend continues.
⸻
4. Scenarios
Bycza (continuation of growth)
• Maintenance above 3930 USDT.
• Breaking over 4048 USDT opens the road to around 4300–4480 USDT.
Bear (correction)
• Rejection to USDTT 4048 and a decrease below 3930 USDT may bring a rate to around 3709 USDT.
Sell GBP/USD into trend line to resume recent trend.Sell GBP/USD into recent trend line to resume the trend into 200 Daily MA.
Please note : Adjust profit target as 200 Daily MA will change everyday.
Sell : 1.3460 Trend line
Stop : 1.3552 Above 50 Daily MA
Profit : 1.3000 ( 200 Daily MA ) changes everyday
Risk 1:5
Xrp - This is the bullrun breakout!🔑Xrp ( CRYPTO:XRPUSD ) breaks the triangle now:
🔎Analysis summary:
After the recent bullish break and retest, Xrp managed to already rally another +100%. This is a clear indication that bulls are still totally in control of cryptos and especially Xrp. It all just comes down to the all time breakout, which will then lead to a final parabolic rally.
📝Levels to watch:
$3.0
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
ETH Don’t Miss Out!!!
**🚀 ETH WEEKLY TRADE IDEA — \$4K BREAKOUT WATCH**
📈 **Market Bias:** Bullish (Long-term uptrend intact, ETH above key MAs)
⚠ **Short-Term Risk:** MACD bearish crossover + RSI overbought → possible pullback before breakout
📊 **Key Level:** Testing **\$4,000** psychological resistance
**🛠 Setup:**
* **Direction:** LONG
* **Entry:** \$3,966.12
* **Stop Loss:** \$3,900 (below key support)
* **Take Profit:** \$4,050 (first target)
* **Size:** 0.5 (volatility-adjusted)
* **Confidence:** 75%
* **Entry Timing:** Market open
📌 **Why Long?**
* Strong uptrend + above key moving averages
* Positive funding rates and recent momentum support bullish case
* Risk-reward favorable for a potential \$4K+ breakout
💡 *Watch for volume confirmation — failure to break \$4K with strong buy-side pressure could trigger a pullback to \$3,900.*
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**#ETH #Ethereum #Crypto #Cryptocurrency #CryptoTrading #ETHUSD #Altcoins #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoSignals #CryptoSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #DayTrade #PriceAction #BreakoutTrading #CryptoMarket #CryptoInvesting #MACD #RSI #TradingStrategy #BullishSetup #SupportAndResistance #VolumeAnalysis**
AUDNZD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDNZD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0961
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.0951
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.0967
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis | August 8, 2025📊 Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis | August 8, 2025
Gold price has reached the midline of the channel in the 4H timeframe and reacted to it, forming a descending trendline afterward.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
If the price rejects from this area, the next downside targets will be:
3382.71
3375
3370
🔺 Bullish Scenario:
If the descending trendline and the channel’s midline are broken decisively with confirmation, the next upside targets will be:
3413
3423
📌 Conclusion:
The reaction to the channel midline and whether this zone holds or breaks will determine gold’s next move. Traders should closely watch these key levels for potential opportunities.
Baidu (BIDU) –AI Upgrades + Open-Source Strategy Powering GrowthCompany Snapshot:
Baidu NASDAQ:BIDU is cementing its position as a top AI platform leader in China, combining core search dominance with cutting-edge AI innovations and strategic open-source moves.
Key Catalysts:
Next-Gen AI Infrastructure ⚙️
Major Qianfan platform upgrades and PaddlePaddle 3.0 launch streamline model training & deployment for China’s AI developer ecosystem.
Reduces barriers to AI adoption, expanding the company’s developer base and ecosystem stickiness.
Open-Source Breakthrough 📂
ERNIE language models released under Apache 2.0 license—mirroring successful U.S. big-tech strategies.
Aims to accelerate adoption, attract global partnerships, and enhance monetization over the long term.
Rising User Engagement 📱
724M MAUs (+7% YoY) on Baidu’s mobile app.
AI-generated content now on 35% of search pages (up from 22% in January), increasing ad monetization potential.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Entry Zone: Above $76.00–$78.00
Upside Target: $160.00–$165.00, fueled by AI leadership, developer adoption, and rising engagement metrics.
📈 Baidu’s combination of AI innovation, open-source strategy, and a massive user base creates a strong runway for both near-term revenue growth and long-term platform dominance.
#BIDU #AI #PaddlePaddle #ERNIE #OpenSource #ChinaTech #Search #CloudComputing #ArtificialIntelligence #BigData #DigitalTransformation #TechStocks
$AAPL: +57% in 2 years or lessLong term trend will confirm this quarter, nice catalyst with the events that took place a week ago after the latest earnings report: Tim Cook held a rare all hands meeting telling employees the following: The AI revolution is “as big or bigger” than the internet, smartphones, cloud computing and apps. “Apple must do this. Apple will do this. This is sort of ours to grab”.
Check out the historical track record of quarterly trend signals in the chart, every single damn one of them worked.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
XRP | Ripple Game Plan - Swing Long Idea📊 Market Sentiment
Overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by expectations of a 0.25% rate cut in the upcoming FOMC meeting. The weakening USD and increased risk appetite across global markets are creating favorable conditions for further upside in crypto assets.
📈 Technical Analysis
Price broke the bearish trendline that had been driving the downtrend since July 18th.
A strong breakout and close above the trendline confirmed the move.
The breakout area also aligns with a significant HTF key level, adding strength to this zone.
📌 Game Plan
Looking for a quick retest of the broken trendline and HTF key level before a rejection.
🎯 Setup Trigger
Confirmation will come from a clear 1H break of structure after the retest.
📋 Trade Management
Stoploss: Below the 1H swing structure that caused the break of structure
Targets: TP1: 3.57 | TP2: 3.66
Will trail stop aggressively to secure profits as the move develops.
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this breakdown supports your trading!
More setups and market insights coming soon — stay connected!
TSLA nearing breakout TSLA’s been winding tighter for weeks, and we’re finally pressing right up against the top of this symmetrical triangle on the 4H chart. Sitting at $333 price level after breaking out of that $315 area with some momentum behind it. Volume’s picking up, RSI’s pushing north of midline, and the MACD just flipped bullish.
If we can get a clean break and hold above that $335–$340 range, there’s room to stretch toward $367–$370, basically a retest of those June highs. But if we get rejected here, we probably stay stuck in this coil a bit longer. This is one of those decision point moments for TSLA where the next few candles could tell the story.
AUDUSD What Next? SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the AUDUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.6526
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.6495
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK