XAUUSD Hi,
The Price was in an UPTREND before settling for consolidation, The moving Avarage is sloping downward, which indicates POTENTIAL REVERSAL.
We can only have a BULLISH CASE if the price breaks above the CONSOLIDATION RANGE with strong BULLISH CANDLESTICKS.
If the Candlestick Patterns show LONG RED BODIES it suggests STRONG SELLING PRESSURE , But if they begin forming HIGHER LOWS $ HIGHER HIGHS it will then be indicating BUYING PRESSURE.
Using Fibonacci Retracement Levels , We Identified KEY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS, where price might REVERSE or GAIN STRENGTH. The common Levels 38.2 % , 50 % and 61.8% .
if the price retraces to the 38.2% level and bounces , it suggests BULLISH CONTINUATION
if the price drops to the 61.8% level it's a stronger SUPPORT ZONE , indicating POTENTIAL BUY PRESSURE.
A break below 61.8% may signal FURTHER DOWNSIDE.
The pattern formation like DESCENDING CONTRACTING TRIANGLE, FALLING CHANNEL and FALLING WEDGES indicate SELL ENTRIES.
OVERALL we are still on Consolidation and expecting to hit $3292 and then Experience a MINOR MELTDOWN TO at least $3193 and only then we will decide on where the market is headed to.
Will be back with FURTHER UPDATES.
Community ideas
GOLD SELL ZONE The $3271:$3272 sell zone for gold might be due to several factors:
- *Resistance Level*: This price range could be acting as a resistance level, where gold prices face selling pressure or struggle to break through.
- *Profit-Taking*: Investors might be selling gold at this price range to secure profits, especially if they've seen significant gains recently.
- *Technical Analysis*: Traders may be using technical indicators, such as moving averages or Relative Strength Index (RSI), to identify $3271:$3272 as a selling opportunity.
- *Market Sentiment*: Shifts in market sentiment, driven by news or economic data, could lead to increased selling pressure around $3271:$3272.
GOLD / XAUUSD: Breaking the down channel (correction wave)Therefore, if the 21-day SMA holds in the event of a weak US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, a rebound toward the immediate static support-turned-resistance at 3260 could occur.
A sustained move above that level would encourage Gold buyers to push further toward the former channel support, now acting as resistance, at 3405.
BTC Next target 70kwaiting for one bad news that will accelerate the fall of BTC into this zone, the Printing press has not yet been launched, the data is stable but everything is on the verge of collapse, in order to start the movement of lowering the rate and the printing press, the market needs to collapse again
FIL Stands While the Top 20 Bleed – Watch This DivergenceWhile top 20 crypto assets flash red across the board, Filecoin (FIL) prints green — up +0.49% on the day. This isn't noise — it's signal.
Price is holding its ground above support while sitting just under the 50 EMA resistance at $2.79. Bear Load at 75% means pressure, but it’s thinning.
The shakeout phase might be nearing its end.
MACD is flattening — signs of reversal brewing.
Smart capital hunts relative strength when others panic.
FIL is showing resilience, potential accumulation, and could be preparing for a break while the rest sleep.
Quant eyes are watching.
#FIL #Filecoin #CryptoTrading #TrendReversal #QuantEdge #Altcoins #MarketDivergence #TechnicalAnalysis #EMA #MACD
XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 3275.86, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 3222.63, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 3314.24, a swing high resistance.
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DAX Correction Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DAX is trading in a strong
Uptrend but the index is
Locally overbought so after
The retest we will be expecting
A local pullback and a
Bearish correction
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Can it hit the bottom and rebound?Fundamental Analysis: Driven by the trade concerns sparked by Trump and the risk aversion sentiment arising from the global economic slowdown, the trajectory of oil prices has been shaped. Additionally, OPEC+ convened an early meeting on Saturday and confirmed an increase in production of 411,000 barrels per day in June. This decision has indubitably intensified the market's apprehensions regarding the oversupply of crude oil 📉.
Technical Analysis: Technically speaking, the price of crude oil has persistently lingered below the midline of the Bollinger Bands, distinctly indicating that the bearish trend is in the ascendancy 📉. Last week, on the weekly chart, it closed with a substantial bearish candlestick, exhibiting a downward tail pattern, and in the short term, the price has been fluctuating within a trading range 📊. As for the upcoming week's trend, whether the support level established by the previous double doji bottoming formation will be broken through effectively will be the focal point of market attention 👀. Nevertheless, once the price reaches the crucial support level, there exists the potential for a technical rebound. Investors should closely monitor the variations in trading volume and the response of the moving average system 📈.
Market Situation: It is crucial to note that due to the holiday factor in the Asian market next Monday, market liquidity is anticipated to decline significantly. Under such circumstances, the oil price is likely to encounter a higher risk of more pronounced volatility, further escalating the uncertainty of the market situation ⚠️.
⚡⚡⚡ USOIL ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Buy@56.0 - 57.0
🚀 TP 59.0 - 60.0
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
BTCUSDHello trader, this week the bitcoin possible price action.. the price is currently filled the 1hr fvg and it could go bullish but still have high risk since day candle is bearish... the next price it can reverse from is around 88k after filling daily fvg... and if dollar get stronger then price can continue to 74k... weekly candle is still bullish though however anything can happen if bullish liquidity drops.. chart is just based on Fvg and the MACD
good luck
Analysis and Layout of Gold at the Opening of the Market!The underlying logic behind the current price movements of gold has changed. Previously, the main factor driving the sharp increase and subsequent decline of gold prices around $3,500 was the tariff war. Currently, the situation has gradually shifted from tension to relaxation, and the latest news indicates that both sides are attempting to make contact in preparation for the next round of negotiations.
Attention should now be focused on the Federal Reserve. Previously, Trump asked the Fed to cut interest rates to mitigate the economic impact of the tariff war. Powell's resistance led to Trump considering replacing the Fed chair. The better - than - expected non - farm payrolls data on Friday implies that the Fed's interest rate cut will be postponed, which is bearish for the gold market. Therefore, gold prices are likely to decline further in the early next week.
On the other hand, since the global - largest gold ETF significantly reduced its positions after gold prices peaked at $3,500 on April 22nd, it has continued to reduce its positions slightly without any significant addition of positions. This, to some extent, suggests that gold prices may further decline.
If your current gold trading performance is not satisfactory and you hope to avoid detours in your investment, you are welcome to communicate and exchange ideas with us!
15-minute gold time frame analysis
To start the market structure, the 15-minute market is currently bearish, but to start an upward movement, it can be expected to reach the order block 3259-3263 and then continue towards the support area 3220-3210 and from this area it will rise towards the liquidity of the dynamic line of the 1 and 4-hour time frames. If the initial market rise closes above 3264, any lower market pullback is considered an upward trend.
CVV.ASX - Corrective Elliot Wave After a Large Impulse WaveThere is a large triangle that has formed on this chart that indicates that a potential push is under way with this one. Shown with the yellow you can see the impulse Elliot wave defied, and then following this two corrective waves within the triangle. I will say, I am not completely happy with how I have defined those corrective waves within the triangle because they're not fitting strict definition, but I have never been happy with charting corrective Elliot Waves so I wont loose sleep over that. Also, this is why we use other signals to guide us, which is that triangle.
If this decides to break out there is a good chance that it will follow another impulse wave which I have roughly drawn in the with second yellow impulse wave, using Fibonacci levels to define targets. One could safely begin to accumulate now, however, I do believe that this has a good chance of throwing back before taking off, if this happens price will likely return to the dotted blue 0.089 level. At which point either the pattern will fail and price will decline or price will push into the impulse wave. So using 0.090 as a stop, or "reassess" level wouldn't be silly. If the fakeout happens, targets are defined with the Fibonacci levels as previously said.
AUDNZD Daily Short from 1.1000 → 1.0657 (R:R ~9.9 : 1)Chart: Daily AUDNZD
Setup: Supply-zone rejection into established downtrend
🔍 Analysis
Trend Context:
― Since mid-February price has been making lower highs & lower lows, confirming a bearish bias.
Supply Zone:
― 1.0980–1.1035 area (highlighted) has flipped from support to resistance, printed clear bearish wicks on multiple daily closes.
Fibonacci Confluence:
― Entry at 1.1000 lines up with the 61.8% retracement of the March–April leg down.
Structural Support:
― Next major demand cluster sits at 1.0650–1.0680 (your TP zone), then psychological 1.0500.
📈 Trade Details
Entry (Sell): 1.10000
Stop-Loss: 1.10346 (just above the supply zone)
Take-Profit: 1.06568 (below April swing low)
Risk: 34.6 pips
Reward: 343.2 pips
R : R: ~9.9 : 1
🛠️ Execution & Management
Entry Trigger: Wait for a bearish daily close (engulfing or pin-bar) back inside 1.0980–1.1035.
Stop Adjustment: After +50 pips, move SL to breakeven to neutralize risk.
Scaling: Consider taking 50% off at 1.0850 (swing-to-swing) and letting the remainder run to 1.0657.
Catalyst Watch: Be mindful of RBA/NZ CPI events and AUD or NZD-related commodity data.
EURCHF new bearish push expecting
OANDA:EURCHF FALLING WEDGE we are have, in moment its be breaked, price is also be and on trend line with FW, i am expect price will continue pushing, but looks like we will have break of trend line and bounce on sup zone 0.93950
SUP zone: 0.94000
RES zone: 0.92450, 0.92000
XAUUSD Analysis: Make or break
Price is currently approaching a key Level.
Upside Scenario: If XAUUSD breaks above 3270 and holds, we may see a bullish move towards the 3310 target.
Downside Scenario: If price fails to break above and instead breaks below the trendline, it could trigger a downside move toward 3200.
Watch for confirmation before entering any position.
GOLD JUMPS ON ASIAN OPEN Geopolitical Tensions Fuel Early SurgeGOLD JUMPS ON ASIAN OPEN – Geopolitical Tensions Fuel Early Surge
Gold opened the week with a strong upside move during the Asian session, gaining nearly $30/oz in early trading. The bounce comes amid a weekend full of heightened geopolitical tensions and expectations of increased central bank activity later this week.
🌍 Geopolitical Backdrop:
Rising concerns over Russia–Ukraine and India–Pakistan flare-ups.
No official confirmation from governments yet, but the market is clearly on edge.
Former US President Donald Trump is reportedly pushing for an earlier Fed rate cut.
All eyes now turn to the FOMC meeting this week, with potential policy shifts that could stir further volatility.
These developments have re-ignited safe-haven demand for gold, making this week's opening surge a logical reaction to global uncertainty.
🔍 Key Technical Zones
Resistance levels:
3278 – 3288 – 3301 – 3314
Support levels:
3250 – 3246 – 3238 – 3224 – 3204
🎯 Trade Setups – 06 May 2025
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3246 – 3244
SL: 3240
TPs: 3250 → 3254 → 3258 → 3262 → 3266 → 3270 → 3280
Gold may continue its bullish run into the European session. A clean bounce from this support range could offer a solid risk/reward entry.
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3300 – 3302
SL: 3306
TPs: 3296 → 3292 → 3288 → 3284 → 3280 → 3270
If price rallies into this resistance cluster, look for signs of exhaustion for a potential intraday reversal trade.
⚠️ Weekly Outlook:
The FOMC meeting later this week will be key. A dovish tone may extend gold’s rally, while hawkish surprises could trigger sharp reversals.
Any new geopolitical flashpoints may also accelerate volatility — stay alert to global headlines.
Avoid FOMO — trade the reaction, not the prediction.
📌 Pro Tip: Let price come to your zone. Be patient, wait for confirmation, and manage SL/TP with discipline.
Market appears supportive of Tesla's growth prospects**Direction:** **LONG**
**LONG Targets:**
- **T1 = $287.50**
- **T2 = $295.25**
**Stop Levels:**
- **S1 = $275.00**
- **S2 = $268.75**
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**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Tesla.
**Key Insights:**
Tesla continues to dominate the EV sector with substantial global market share and expanding demand across multiple territories. It has consistently outperformed competitors by innovating battery technologies and ramping up production capabilities. Recent improvements in cost efficiency and scaling production have reinforced positive outlooks from traders. Key focus areas include Tesla's development of its 4680 battery production and advancements in energy generation/storage, further suggesting a long-term competitive edge.
The broader market appears supportive of Tesla's growth prospects, particularly with EV subsidies and green energy initiatives in major economic regions. Tesla's brand recognition and consistent product releases continue to draw consumer attention, while strategic efforts like the buildout of gigafactories globally are seen as favorable catalysts for sustained revenue expansion.
**Recent Performance:**
Over the last week, TSLA has displayed steady consolidation and formed a strong technical base approximately near $280. This stability follows a significant bullish rally earlier in the month, and the stock now appears poised for a continuation to test resistance levels. Technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remain within neutral-to-positive territory, while moving averages support the potential for upward trajectory amidst firm buying support.
**Expert Analysis:**
Analysts broadly expect Tesla to capitalize further on its technological leadership in the automotive market. Hedge funds and institutional investors have shown significant interest in maintaining long positions on Tesla due to growth-driven profitability and aggressive expansion. Experts view Tesla's ability to scale its production and integrate advanced AI technologies into the manufacturing process as differentiating factors in the industry.
Tesla's Q3 production and delivery targets have received favorable feedback, aligning with expectations of robust growth narratives. If global macroeconomic pressures ease, Tesla could benefit further from optimistic market dynamics, broadening its appeal among investors.
**News Impact:**
Tesla's recent progress in scaling production at its factories and updates on the highly anticipated Cybertruck have sparked renewed confidence in the company's product lineup and potential market penetration. News regarding expansions into new territories coupled with strategic collaborations in energy storage solutions bodes well for long-term growth. Positive sentiment in this area tends to support the general bullish narrative among professional traders and market participants.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Tesla exhibits strong fundamentals and resilient technical qualities conducive to a long play this week. Professional trader consensus supports a bullish stance, further backed by favorable news impacts and sustained market demand for Tesla vehicles and innovations. Maintaining stops near broader support levels while aiming for gradual upward price targets is recommended to balance risk and reward. Consider this a solid long opportunity for near-term price advancements.
Gold bull-bear game intensifies
Weekly analysis of the gold market: bull-bear game intensifies, pay attention to the Fed's decision and trade situation
Market Overview
In the early Asian session on Monday (May 5), spot gold rose slightly by 0.2%, trading around $3246.44/ounce. Although retail investors are optimistic about gold prices, most Wall Street institutions are bearish on gold trends this week. The market focus has shifted to the Fed's interest rate decision this week and the progress of the international trade situation. These two factors are expected to dominate the short-term gold market.
Significant divergence between bulls and bears
Institutions are mainly bearish
Kitco survey shows that 50% of 18 analysts are bearish, only 28% are bullish, and 22% expect sideways trading.
Technical indicators show that gold is trending downward in the short term. If the US dollar rebounds due to the Fed's decision, it may further suppress gold prices.
Some analysts believe that the 7% adjustment of gold from its recent high is insufficient and there is still room for decline.
Retail investors are bullish
In Kitco's online voting, 52% of retail investors are bullish, 29% are bearish, and 19% expect consolidation.
Some believe that the current correction is excessive, and gold prices may rebound if US economic data is weak or the Fed sends a dovish signal.
Analysis of key influencing factors
Federal Reserve interest rate decision (May 7)
The market generally expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged, but Powell's press conference may trigger volatility.
If the Fed's statement is hawkish, a stronger dollar may suppress gold; if economic risks are mentioned, it may boost safe-haven demand.
International trade situation
The easing of trade tensions may weaken gold's safe-haven appeal, and vice versa, it may drive gold prices up.
Be wary of the market's "knee-jerk reaction" to related news, and gold volatility may increase.
Technical key positions
Support level: $3,200 (psychological barrier), if it falls below, it may fall to the $3,150-3,000 range.
Resistance level: $3,315, only after breaking through can the downward pressure be relieved.
Summary of institutional views
Bearish view:
The adjustment of gold has not yet ended. If the trade optimism continues, the gold price may test $3,000.
The rebound of the US dollar and the rise in US bond yields may further pressure gold.
Bullish view:
The current sell-off may be a short-term phenomenon, and economic and political uncertainties still support the long-term demand for gold.
If the gold price is oversold, it may attract bargain hunting.
Neutral view:
It is expected that gold will maintain a wide range of fluctuations, and the fluctuation range is large. Investors are advised to operate with caution.
Operational suggestions
Short-term traders: Pay attention to the breakthrough of the $3,200-3,315 range and follow the trend.
Medium- and long-term investors: If the gold price falls back to the $3,000-3,150 range, consider arranging long orders in batches.
Hedging strategy: Use inverse ETFs (such as GLL and ZSL) to hedge short-term volatility risks.
Summary
The gold market is currently in a stage of long-short tug-of-war. The Fed's decision and trade trends will become the key drivers of the short-term market. The technical side is bearish, but if risk aversion rekindles or the Fed releases a dovish signal, gold prices may still rebound. Investors need to pay close attention to market dynamics and adjust their strategies flexibly.