EURCHF Technical & Order Flow AnalysisOur analysis is based on multi-timeframe top-down analysis & fundamental analysis.
Based on our view the price will fall to the monthly level.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis can change anytime without notice and is only for assisting traders in making independent investment decisions. Please note that this is a prediction, and I have no reason to act on it, and neither should you.
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Gold Outlook: After Breaking 3,260 — Is 3,000 the Magnet?Gold Weekly Forecast
Gold closed last week below the previous weekly lows at 3,260, confirming bearish intent. Price has now left behind multiple imbalances from the bullish leg that started at the 3,000 level.
We could first see a retracement to the small imbalance zone around 3,300, followed by a bearish continuation back to the main support/imbalance zone near 3,000.
Sideways price action is likely early in the week — but unless bulls reclaim 3,300+, momentum favors a retest of the base.
Bias: Bearish
Key Zones:
• Resistance / Rebalance: 3,300
• Support / Imbalance Target: 3,000
—
Weekly forecast by Sphinx Trading
Drop your view in the comments.
#Gold #XAUUSD #GoldForecast #LiquidityVoids #TechnicalAnalysis #SphinxWeekly #SmartMoney #FVG #3kLevel
GBP/USD "The Cable" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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GBP/USD "The Cable" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bearishness,., driven by several key factors.
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AXS/USDT: Whale Driven Distribution, Shakeout, and AccumulationAXS/USDT Daily (Dec 2024–May 2025):
Price dropped from $10 to $2, driven by whale distribution and now whale accumulation at the $2–$3 levels. This is based on developing high volume node indicating high trading activity.
Whales sold into FOMO in Dec 2024, triggered panic sells during Feb–Apr 2025, and are buying at current support.
Watch for a bounce toward $5 (VWAP resistance) if volume turns green, or a drop to $2.000 if support fails.
Monitor #axs sentiment on X.com for confirmation. A call for lower prices, lack of interest, fear and general panic in the community, will signal the true bottom!
BTCUSD: Expecting Bearish Continuation! Here is Why:
Looking at the chart of BTCUSD right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
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XAUUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next Week This week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 90% accuracy rate!
On Friday during the U.S. trading session of the gold market, the Non-Farm Payrolls data was bearish for gold. We directly initiated a short position on gold at 3,260. Although gold rebounded subsequently, it was still prompted that as long as gold did not break through 3,280, a short position should be taken. Below this level remains the optimal price point for placing a short order. Next week, we will still mainly wait for a rebound to initiate short positions.
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BTC - retracement levelsHello chart people 👋
BTC 1D timframe
Key level I'm watching 👀 atm is 94,960. If we break below this level you can see in the chart where price might head to next.
Both RSI and candle uptrend have started to break down signalling negative momentum. This week could be bearish.
A move to the 618 would fill a fair-value-gap. I expect that price will react from the 88,300 - 89,300 range. Wouldn't be surprised if we saw a touch on the daily high Mon 21st Apr @ 88,340 on the button. This move is worth -6.5% from current position 📉
There is a small liquidity Zone sat right above us @ 97,100 so the cruel whales 🐋 might destroy the short people before moving down.
Re: fib levels - I've pinpointed the weekly open 21st Apr as the "swing low" and the 618 and 786 levels seem to magnetise to key levels.
Bitcoin Still Stuck in Resistance – Eyes on CME Gaps & USDT.D%Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) touched $92,830(first target) and started to rise as I expected in the previous idea . Overall, Bitcoin has been moving in a range for about 12 days .
Note : In general, trading in a range market is more difficult than in a trending market . If your performance in a range market is not good, it is better not to trade until the trend is clear (this is just a suggestion).
Bitcoin is currently trading at a Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) and has failed to break through it, and it seems like Bitcoin needs more momentum to break through this zone. Do you think Bitcoin will finally break through the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500)?
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it appears that Bitcoin has completed a five-wave impulsive and we should expect Corrective waves .
The analytical conditions of the Bitcoin chart have been a bit ambiguous in the past few days, so it's better to take a look at the USDT.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D ) chart to increase the accuracy of Bitcoin analysis .
USDT.D% failed to break the Support zone(5.13%-4.95%) after several attacks. It currently appears to be forming an Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern . It appears that USDT.D% needs to complete this pattern to break the support zone, and if this pattern fails , we should expect further increases =Bitcoin crash .
I expect Bitcoin to decline to the Support zone($92,910-$91,414) , 21_SMA(Weekly) and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($93,359-$92,296) and probably fill the CME Gap($92,525-$91,415) this time and then start to rise and prepare to break the Heavy Resistance zone($95,950-$88,500) and fill the CME Gap($97,680-$96,455) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $98,989-$97,924
Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the Support zone($92,910-$91,414), we should expect further declines.
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Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
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CHFJPY: Pullback From Support 🇨🇭🇯🇵
There is a high chance that CHFJPY will pull back from
the underlined intraday horizontal support.
As a confirmation, I see a bullish imbalance candle
after a release of today's Swiss CPI data.
Goal - 175.37
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How to plan when gold’s rise encounters resistance🗞News side:
1. Pay attention to the recent trade situation and news about the Fed's interest rate cuts
2. Be wary of DXY trends
3. The situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the follow-up events of the India-Pakistan conflict
4.Trump imposes 100% tariff on non-US films
📈Technical aspects:
Compared with today's market, the morning rise happened to be a sideways price, breaking through the previous high point. In a volatile rise, it doesn't matter. It is very likely that in the later trend, the price will return to the starting point or even lower, but it can continue to rise. This is a feature of the shock. At the same time, the current market is not extremely strong, and it is still in a volatile rise. Therefore, do not chase long, but retrace as much support as possible.
🎁SELL 3315-3325
🎁TP 3280-3270
🎁BUY 3270-3280
🎁TP 3300-3310
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
EURAUD – Bullish Outlook from Demand Zone (Continuation Trade)As we move deeper into Q2 2025, EURAUD is approaching a critical demand zone that could provide a bullish springboard for price action. At the time of analysis, the pair trades at 1.74889, resting just above a historically significant demand zone formed in early April. We have been holding a swing position since Feb (Trade plan published 26.02.2025).
🔍 Technical Outlook:
Trend Context:
Price has completed a Wyckoff Accumulation Cycle, with a clear Break of Structure (BoS) marking the transition from consolidation to expansion. Following the impulse move, price retraced gradually into the demand zone, potentially signaling a reaccumulation phase.
Key Zones:
Demand Zone: 1.74000 – 1.70500 (last point of demand)
Supply Target: 1.85600 (last point of supply)
Market Structure:
BoS confirmed the strength of buyers and institutional interest.
Currently printing higher time frame retracement, offering discounted long opportunities.
Bias:
🟢 Bullish until 1.70500 demand is invalidated.
🧠 Smart Money Concepts (SMC):
Liquidity Grab: The slow drift into demand suggests engineered liquidity build-up. If price taps deeper into the zone and prints bullish intent, we may see aggressive displacement.
Institutional Order Flow:
Strong signs of mitigation and re-accumulation from previous order blocks.
🧱 Wyckoff Method:
Phase C – Spring Test in play as price returns to the demand range.
A successful test may initiate a Phase D markup, with potential reaccumulation on lower timeframes.
🔮 Projection:
If price respects this demand level, I anticipate a bullish reaction back toward 1.80, with a longer-term target at 1.85600. Failure to hold 1.70500 invalidates the bullish thesis.
⚠️ Final Thoughts:
Stay alert to fundamental catalysts and use confirmation tools such as:
Bullish engulfing candles at demand
Lower timeframe BoS + market structure shifts
Volume spikes indicating smart money entry
📊 I remain bullish on this pair until the previous supply level fails.
🔔 Follow for live updates, deeper Wyckoff breakdowns, and Smart Money setups.
USOIL Is Going Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 57.535.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 61.620 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis - 1D🏛 1. Current Market Structure
🚀 After a strong rally from $84,000 to around $97,500, the price encountered a major resistance.
🔻 This area corresponds to the bearish OTE from the broader retracement between $109,000 and $74,000, leading to a temporary rejection.
🌍 2. Bigger Picture Outlook
📐 The rejection at the bearish OTE suggests a liquidity grab at a key potential reversal level.
🔎 The market could now come back to test intermediate support levels before continuing its directional move.
🔍 3. Key Technical Observations
⬜️ Supply Zone: An area of interest coupled with a former resistance now acting as potential support.
🟩 FVG 1D (Fair Value Gap daily): Strong technical confluence just above the supply zone.
🟦 Bullish OTE (from $84K to $97.5K): A deep retracement level that could act as ultimate support if the upper levels fail.
🎯 4. Short-Term Expectations
📉 Controlled retracement scenario:
Price could first seek liquidity within the FVG 1D or test the supply zone.
If bearish pressure increases, price might dip into the bullish OTE, which would be a key reaccumulation zone.
📈 Bullish scenario (quick recovery):
A clean bounce from the FVG 1D or the supply zone could form a higher low (HL) and target $97,500 again, potentially breaking above $100,000.
🔥 5. Upcoming Catalysts
📅 Upcoming US macroeconomic data or FED policy decisions.
🧠 Market’s reaction to technical levels (confluences = algo zones).
📊 Volume analysis around these zones: sustained buying = confirmation of support.
✅ Conclusion
👉 After a clear rejection from the bearish OTE of the larger range, the market is now retesting key supports.
📍 Three key levels to watch:
FVG 1D
Supply Zone
Bullish OTE (84K - 97.5K)
🔎 The price reaction around these levels will determine the next phase: bullish continuation or deeper retracement.
BankNifty levels - May 06, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
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(XAU/USD – Gold Spot, 1H Chart) Long🔍 Technical Analysis (XAU/USD – Gold Spot, 1H Chart)
🔹 Chart Structure & Trendlines
Descending Trendline Breakout: Price has decisively broken above the long-standing descending trendline, indicating a potential bullish trend reversal.
Horizontal Support/Resistance:
Key support zone: Around 3260–3270, shown with horizontal cyan lines and multiple bounce points (green arrows).
Key resistance zones:
Minor resistance at 3334.48.
Strong resistance at 3358.62 (previous structural high).
🔹 Price Action Insights
Double Rejection & Breakout: After testing the descending trendline twice (red arrows), price finally broke above it with strong bullish momentum.
Retest Expected: Price may retest the 3260–3270 support zone (previous resistance and trendline convergence), which aligns with standard breakout-retest-continuation behavior.
Projected Targets:
Target 1: 3334 (recent high/resistance).
Target 2: 3358 (next major resistance).
🔹 Bullish Structure Confirmation
Higher lows and higher highs are forming.
Bullish engulfing breakout candle above resistance zone.
🌐 Fundamental Analysis – Key Drivers for Gold (XAU/USD)
🔸 Global Economic Context
U.S. Dollar Weakness: If recent U.S. economic data (jobs, inflation) shows signs of cooling, it weakens the dollar, boosting gold prices.
Fed Policy Outlook: Markets are closely watching the Federal Reserve’s stance on rate cuts. Dovish signals (rate cuts or pause) tend to support gold due to its inverse relationship with real yields.
🔸 Geopolitical & Safe-Haven Demand
Any rise in geopolitical tensions (e.g., Middle East, Eastern Europe) increases demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Recent market uncertainty may explain the breakout move shown on the chart.
🔸 Inflation & Commodities Correlation
Persisting inflation keeps gold attractive as an inflation hedge.
Rising oil prices also tend to support gold prices due to commodity correlation and inflationary spillovers.
📈 Conclusion & Outlook
Technical Bias: Bullish (breakout confirmed with clean structure).
Fundamental Bias: Mildly bullish to bullish, depending on Fed tone and macroeconomic prints.
Short-term Strategy: Look for a retest around 3260–3270 as a potential long entry zone targeting 3334 and 3358.
Risk Management: Use stops below 3250 to protect against false breakouts.
Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis – Will the Rally Continue or Is a CorrectBitcoin is currently trading at $94,500 💰, but statistical studies and mathematical models indicate a potential downward movement 📉 that could push the price toward $93,800, with a strong likelihood of testing the $89,900 zone.
🛡️ Critical Support at $89,000
To maintain the long-term bullish trend, it is crucial that Bitcoin holds above the $89,000 support level. If the price closes below this level for an entire week, it would be a clear negative signal ❌ and could suggest a trend reversal to the downside for a longer period before any renewed upward movement.
✅ When Does the Correction End?
According to statistical studies and mathematical models, the clearest signal that the current correction has ended would be a break above $97,650 followed by three consecutive daily closes above this level 📈.
If this scenario plays out, we could see a strong and rapid surge toward the following targets:
🎯 Target 1: $104,900
🎯 Target 2: $112,900
💡 Investor Advice
If the breakout occurs, it is advisable to take profits 💸 at the mentioned targets and avoid entering new positions until further notice. The market could experience dramatic and swift movements ⚡, so caution is essential.
📢 The analysis will be updated upon reaching these levels to provide a clearer outlook based on price behavior at that time.
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