TAU/USDT - Reversal Since its listing on perpetual markets, TAU/USDT has corrected over 70%, entering deep value territory. Recently, aggressive buyers have stepped in, defending the $0.055 zone signaling a potential reversal point and the formation of a new demand base.
If this support continues to hold, the structure favors a bullish reversal from current levels. The setup offers an attractive entry with upside targets:
Community ideas
BTC sell set upBack in the markets 🔥
Finally trading again after one of the toughest years personally — and what a start.
📈 Currently up +21% on the account today! Some quick BTC scalps + a longer hold on BTC buys doing the heavy lifting.
🛑 Running a high-risk setup against the trend, but it’s tightly managed with a well-defined stop and fully within my risk profile.
🎯 Targeting a lower order block based on imbalance/FVG from the previous move. Risk-to-reward sits at a juicy 1:21 if we reach TP.
📌 Will secure break-even ASAP — even if I get tapped out, the setup is managed and calculated.
Let’s see how this plays out. Eyes on the chart 👀
#BTC #CryptoTrading #RiskManaged #BackAtIt #CryptoAnalysis #Scalping #OrderBlocks
USD/MXN Defends Rebound from July LowUSD/MXN seems to be defending the rebound from the July low (18.5116) as it attempts to retrace the decline from earlier this week.
A breach above 18.7780 (50% Fibonacci retracement) may push USD/MXN toward the monthly high (18.9810), with a move/close above 19.3720 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) opening up the June high (19.4441).
Next area of interest comes in around 19.6280 (23.6% Fibonacci extension), but USD/MXN may struggle to retain the rebound from the July low (18.5116) should it track the negative slope in the 50-Day SMA (18.8511).
A move/close below the 18.5090 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement) to 18.6330 (50% Fibonacci retracement) zone brings the August 2024 low (18.4291) on the radar, with the next area of interest coming in around 18.1840 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement).
--- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
Mastering One Good Trade for New York Session📍 Trade Overview
Asset: Nasdaq 100 E-Mini Futures
Direction: Short
Entry Price : 23607.0
Exit Price : 23512.85
Date of Trade : 08/07/2025
R:R Target : 5.26
Result: Win
Timeframe: 15min
🧠 Trade Thesis
Behavior of price was the key to this trade around the specific time of New York open along with sweeping the London high combined with an ADR pivot level and a rise in Asian and London for the reversal in New York.
📊 Technical Breakdown
Structure: (M formation, False Breakout, double top)
Key Levels: (HOD supply/demand, pushed above London high, directly at ADR Pivot Level)
Indicators (if any): (e.g., TDI, EMA confluence, RSI divergence)
Volume Behavior: (3 pushes into the high for NY open, stop hunt, bearish engulfing on the 15 and 5 minute)
⏱️ Timing
Session: NYC
Minute of Entry: Early in the session / 10:10amEST
Context in Session: Breakout window, equities hour
🧩 Execution Details
Entry Trigger: (Candle close confirmation with a bearish engulfing)
Stop Loss Location: (Above wick of 5 minute entry candle)
Target: (ADR / measured move)
🔍 Post-Trade Analysis
What went right?
Price instantly rejected the level it was at and reached target fairly quickly.
What could have been better?
Could have taken YM for a better setup instead.
Would I take this trade again? Yes. A+ setup but not A+++ due to it not being at a major level like the other indices were.
SOLUSD H4 | Bearish dropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we can see the price rising to the sell entry, which acts as a pullback resistance, and it could drop from this level to the take profit target.
Sell entry is at 175.373, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 193.149, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 157.422, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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GBPCHF Strong Bullish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#GBPCHF is trading in a strong
Uptrend and the price
Made a bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 1.07860 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Bullish biased and we will
Be expecting a further move
Up after the potential pullback !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
NZDUSD SHORTsMarket structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry on Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.59500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 3.67
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
FTNT Long-Term Support & SetupWith Fortinet (FTNT) recently reporting strong Q2 earnings and beating expectations on both top and bottom lines, the stock is seeing a sharp sell-off. Driven by macro uncertainty, rising competition, and weaker Q3 guidance, this move was anticipated for months as FTNT has been trading at the top of a well-defined trend channel, and we've been waiting for a pullback to key long-term support levels.
Fortinet's Fundamentals:
With the semiconductor rally stealing the headlines, the demand for cybersecurity is only rising in tandem with the digital transformation and AI adoption. FTNT remains at the top when it comes to firewalls and network security with consistently high margins, strong FCF, and revenue. Long-term, FTNT is a strong player, and the fundamentals support higher valuations.
This quarter:
- Revenue $1.63B (+13.6% YoY)
- EPS $0.57 (+16.3% YoY)
- Cash From Operations 451.9M (+32% YoY)
- Gross Margin 80.7%
- ROIC 37.5%
This pullback was expected at some point this year and represents a strong opportunity to capitalize on increased demand for a top cybersecurity firm.
On the monthly chart, FTNT has now retracted to its major technical area near $70 - an area of strong historical support and key moving averages:
- The 50-month SMA sits around $69.4, an area where high volume-by-price is elevated, showing high interest starting around the $69.6 level.
- FTNT has respected the 50 SMA numerous times over the last several years, typically at the bottom of this trend channel.
The weekly & daily charts show a similar story:
- The 200-week SMA also aligns ~ $69.4, reinforcing the idea of a strong long-term support to be tested.
- The 1000-day SMA around the same zone has acted as another reliable bounce level - notably in November 2023 and July 2024, where the stock launched to all-time highs after the bounce.
Trade Setup:
- Entry: Initiate position ~ $69-70
- Add to position ~ $65 (a multi-year trendline support & final buy zone)
- Target 1: $96 to fully close the gap following recent earnings
- Target 2: $110+ (prior highs and back to the top of the trendline resistance)
Swing trade, holding for 4-12 months depending on momentum and shifting macro environment
Bullish reversal?USD/JPY is reacting off the support level which is an overlap that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 147.06
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 145.83
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing low support.
Take profit: 148.95
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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ETHUSDT - Multi-year Symmetrical Triangle ETH has formed a massive symmetrical triangle since the 2021 top (~$4,800).
This triangle has been tightening since 2022 with:
- Lower highs from $4,800 → ~$4,000
- Higher lows from ~$850 → $1,370 → $1,850+
We now close to the apex, meaning a major breakout or breakdown is imminent in the coming weeks/months.
Price Action
ETH is pressing against the upper resistance of the triangle (~$3,850–3,950).
A monthly close above $4,000 would be the first breakout in over 2 years.
Volume
Volume has decreased over time, typical for a symmetrical triangle.
We are looking for volume increase on breakout to confirm it’s on the right track.
Momentum (Laguerre RSI: 0.67)
Momentum is rising, supportive of a bullish breakout.
RSI is not yet overbought, so there’s room for continuation.
Scenarios
Bullish Breakout Scenario:
Trigger: Monthly close above $4,000–4,200
Target: ~$7,000–7,500
Timeline: Could play out over 3–6 months
Bearish Breakdown Scenario
Trigger: Monthly close below $2,500
Target Zone: $1,850 → $1,300 (last major supports)
Would invalidate the higher low structure
I am bullish but it is hard to not to be cautious given its crypto and this is a pretty tough resistance.
Do your own research and make responsible decisions all.
Peace out.
#ETC/USDT Might Be Good Zone to Bounce From#ETC
The price is moving within an ascending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking strongly upwards and retesting it.
We have support from the lower boundary of the ascending channel, at 19.61.
We have a downtrend on the RSI that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upside.
There is a major support area in green at 19.34, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We have a trend to hold above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 20.30.
First target: 20.83.
Second target: 21.32.
Third target: 21.95.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Hyperliquid (HYPE): Looking For Recovery | Possible Buy AreaHYPE has had its fun with 200EMA, which recently got broken and now most likely we are going for a retest of that broken zone, which also would fill a local FVG area.
That's what we are looking for rn, a smaller recovery before another wave of sell-side movement.
Swallow Academy
Gold Roadmap — Short termGold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) rose to $3,383 as I expected in yesterday's idea .
Gold is currently moving in the Resistance zone($3,393-$3,366) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed 5 impulse waves , and we should wait for corrective waves on the 15-minute time frame .
I expect Gold to start declining from one of the Fibonacci levels and fall to at least $3,351 .
Second Target: $3,344
Third Target: Monthly Pivot Point/Support lines
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,392
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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GBPJPY - at ResistanceSterling Yen long term was consolidating since Aug 24.
Now the price reached the FR 127.2 and respected it as Resistance.
On Aug 1st the support at FR 100 was broken. Yet, price crossed down SMA200 (4H)
Now price is testing the SMA200 from below, which is aligned with FR 61.8 of the latest impulse down.
If the Resistance at 198 holds, price may commence a longer correction, potentially down to 194 or even to 190.
Just my humble opinion.
August 8, 2025 - XAUUSD GOLD Analysis and Potential OpportunitySummary:
Price is hovering near a key inflection zone. 3388 acts as the current bull-bear dividing line. If price holds below it, bearish momentum may continue. If price breaks above 3395, bulls could regain control. Until then, watch for rejection near resistance and possible long setups near the lower support band. Patience is key — wait for confirmation around the outlined levels.
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
• 3408 – Resistance
• 3402 – Resistance
• 3397 – Resistance
• 3388 – Bull-bear dividing line
• 3375 – Support
• 3365 – Support
• 3350 – Psychological support
• 3345 – Support
• 3334 – Support
📈 Intraday Strategy
SELL below 3387, targeting 3385, then 3380, 3375, 3370
BUY above 3395, targeting 3397, then 3402, 3408, 3410
👉 If you find this helpful or traded using this plan, a like would mean a lot and keep me motivated. Thanks for the support!
Disclaimer: This is my personal view, not financial advice. Always use proper risk control.
DXY: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 97.871 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
ASML enters buy zone and will posibly rotate to uptrend again.ASML is lagging behind after stagnated growth and a weak order intake due to china chip machine restrictions and uncertaincy about chip machine import tarrifs. It looks like tarrifs on chip machinery is settled and companies will likely place orders again after internal investment approvals.
Earnings of alphabet, microsoft, meta and amazon have confirmed stronger growth in AI datacenter chips than expected and more demand than production, therefore more ASML EUV machines are neceserry to fullfill production needs.
The chart analysis is in the lower range and lower P/E ~26 zone, very cheap for this company which is the monopolist in the EUV machines and therefore undervalued based on history.
Cisco Is Up 30%+ Since April. Here's What Its Chart ShowsCisco NASDAQ:CSCO is set to release fiscal Q4 earnings next week at a time when the tech giant has gained some 30% since its April low and more than 50% over the past 12 months. What does Cisco's fundamental and technical analysis say could happen next?
Let's check things out:
Cisco's Fundamental Analysis
Cisco plans to unveil earnings after the bell on Wednesday (Aug. 13), with the Street looking for $0.98 in adjusted earnings per share on $14.6 billion of revenue.
That would represent a 12.6% gain on the $0.87 in adjusted EPS that CSCO reported in the year-ago period, as well as about 7% growth from Q4 2024's $13.6 billion in revenue.
Of the 19 analysts that I found that cover CSCO, 16 have increased their earnings estimates since the latest quarter began, while just one has revised their estimate lower. (Two kept their estimates unchanged.)
Cisco has enjoyed several seemingly positive catalysts recently. Just last week, J.P. Morgan's Samik Chatterjee reiterated his "Buy" rating on CSCO while raising the stock's target price to $78 from a previous $67.
Matthew Nikham of Deutsche Bank also recently upgraded Cisco to a "Buy" from a "Hold," while boosting his price target to $73 from $65.
And last month, Bank of America included the stock in its top 10 ideas for the third quarter – interestingly, a list that wasn't crowded with tech stocks.
There were none of the "usual suspects" on the list -- no "Magnificent Seven" names and no elite GPU designers. Cisco and Datadog (DOGG) were the only tech stocks that I saw.
Cisco's Fundamental Analysis
Ironically, Cisco had been rallying from early April right up until the point where the analyst community seemed to jump on the bandwagon.
The stock has basically gone sideways since then, as you can see from this 10-month chart that runs through Tuesday afternoon:
Readers will see that CSCO developed a bullish "cup with handle" pattern from early February into late May, as denoted by the purple curving line in the chart's center.
The stock then spent June breaking out of this pattern, but really only tacked on about 6% or 7% above the pattern's pivot.
After that, Cisco traded in a very narrow range from early July into the present. This is referred to as a "tight area," marked with a purple-shaded rectangle at the chart's right.
Tight areas often denote a consolidation period ahead of a violent move that could go either way. It's little surprise that CSCO went into a period like this ahead of earnings.
Meanwhile, Cisco's Relative Strength Index (the gray line at the chart's top) is neutral, but its daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence index (or "MACD," the gold and black lines and blue bars at the chart's bottom) is anything but.
Within the daily MACD, the histogram of Cisco's 9-day Exponential Moving Average (or "EMA," denoted with blue bars) has been in negative territory and for almost a full month. That's typically a bearish signal.
Also note that Cisco's 12-day EMA (the black line) has been running below the 26-day EMA (the gold line) for just about the same time period, although both lines are still above zero. That, too, is traditionally a very bearish posture.
Cisco bulls have to hope that the stock will break out above the tight area's upper trendline at about $69 a share. That wouldn't take much –- in fact, CSCO closed at $69.21 Wednesday.
However, the stock has also been straddling its 21-day EMA (the green line above) for more than three weeks now. That likely means that the swing-trade crowd is active in Cisco, which should add momentum to any catalyst that next week's earnings might provide.
Still, the worry for Cisco bulls (and the hope for CSCO bears) could involve the stock's rapidly rising 50-day Simple Moving Average, or "SMA," marked with a blue line above.
Should Cisco sink below that line ($66.90 in the chart above), many portfolio managers might feel forced to reduce their long-side exposure. Keep in mind that with the swing crowd probably all over this stock, any such move could quickly become exaggerated.
(Moomoo Technologies Inc. Markets Commentator Stephen “Sarge” Guilfoyle was long CSCO at the time of writing this column.)
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