Bitcoin Outlook May 5th โ Short, Swing, & Long-Term Views1/ Short-Term (Intraday): Chop City
BTC is stuck in a tight range between 95K (demand) and 98K (supply). Oscillators mixed, momentum fading near resistance.
Play: Fade extremes, scalp carefully.
Watch: Breakout above 98K or breakdown below 95K for momentum triggers.
2/ Swing Traders (DaysโWeeks): Cautiously Bullish
Weekly bullish structure intact, but daily charts flashing caution (Three Black Crows, Double Top, RSI stretched).
Ideal scenario: Buy dips near 96Kโ95K if momentum resets bullishly.
Invalidation: Daily close below 94.5K flips bias neutral/bearish.
3/ Long-Term Investors (Months+): Bullish with Caution
Macro backdrop remains supportive (SPX bullish, DXY weak, yields stable/rising). Institutional BTC flows steady.
BUT monthly chart shows bearish divergenceโmomentum slowing.
Core strategy: Accumulate on major dips (ideal: 87Kโ76K).
Critical invalidation: Monthly close below $76K demands risk-off rebalance.
4/ Macro Catalysts to Watch
- Equity markets (SPX) & bond yields (US10Y) maintaining risk-on stance.
- USD weakness (DXY bearish) supports BTC upside.
- Watch ETF news, institutional flows, and altcoin rotation signals for early clues.
5/ Risk Management
Short-term: Tight stops, quick profits.
Swing: Respect daily structure; cut below $94.5K.
Long-term: Hold bullish conviction above $76K monthly support.
Bottom Line for Traders & Investors
- Short-term: Range-bound scalps
- Swing: Buy dips cautiously
- Long-term: Bullish, but respect slowing momentum
Stay agile, manage risk, and trade smart. Good luck this week! ๐
Community ideas
USOIL:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next Week This weekโs trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 90% accuracy rate!
Currently, the crude oil market is affected by factors such as the economic data of the United States and the expectations of production increases by OPEC+ and is generally showing weakness, with prices fluctuating. Pay attention to the resistance level at 60 above. If the price fails to effectively break through this resistance level, considering taking a short position with a light position can be an option.
Trading Strategy:
sell@60-59
TP:57-55
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
๐ ๐ ๐ Obtain signals๐๐๐
Nu Holdings (NU, 1D) โ Technical AnalysisNu Holdings (NU, 1D) โ Technical Analysis: Trendline Breakout, EMA/MA Confirmation, Recovery Toward Key Levels
On the daily chart, Nu Holdings has broken out of a descending trendline, signaling a potential structural reversal. The breakout was confirmed by a close above key exponential and simple moving averages (EMA 50/100/200), with the EMAs beginning to align in a bullish sequence. The price has held above the critical Fibonacci retracement level at $11.73 (0.618), which now serves as a key demand zone. Volume shows signs of increasing during upward impulses, suggesting accumulation interest. The current recovery structure indicates potential targets at $12.58 (0.5 Fibonacci), followed by $13.42 (0.382) and $14.46 (0.236). A more extended move could lead toward the previous supply zone near $16.15 if momentum persists.
From a fundamental standpoint, Nu Holdings continues to attract investor attention within the fintech sector, especially amid broader rotation back into growth and tech-driven financial platforms. The company's expanding market presence and improving financial metrics may support the current technical setup. As long as the price holds above the broken trendline and maintains strength above the key $11.73 level, the bullish scenario remains in focus with targets pointing toward the $13.42โ$14.46 range and potentially higher in the medium term.
My Thoughts #005My thoughts are that the pair will sell...
The daily trend is very much bullish and with trend once it have made a new High(HH)
We need to see it printing a new Low(HL)
Confirmation?
I see a Consolidation/Accumulation and the market is creating Highs confirmation for the manipulation what would come next would be distribution...
The pair might just continue buying
So use proper risk management
Let's do the most
EUR_AUD BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
โ
EUR_AUD was trading along
The rising support but now
It is broken and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
On Monday after a potential
Local pullback
SHORT๐ฅ
โ
Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!โ
โจโจ
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USDCADThis 4-hour chart of USD/CAD presents a bearish channel setup, signaling continuation of the downtrend. Here's a breakdown of the technical context:
Trend & Structure Analysis:
๐ป Descending Channel:
The price is respecting a downward-sloping channel (highlighted in red).
Lower highs are marked by red arrows showing consistent rejection at the upper trendline.
๐น EMA Resistance:
EMA 9 (blue line) and EMA 21 (orange line) are above price and sloping downward.
The 9 EMA is currently at 1.38199, reinforcing resistance in this area.
๐น Horizontal Levels:
Daily Resistance around 1.38554 has been rejected repeatedly.
Immediate support lies around 1.37603.
Fibonacci Levels & Bearish Projection:
Fibonacci retracement from a recent swing shows:
0.382 โ 1.38241
0.5 โ 1.38133 (currently acting as resistance)
Fibonacci Extensions (Downside Targets):
1.618 = 1.36972
2.618 = 1.35951
3.618 = 1.34930
4.236 = 1.34371 (aligns with Daily Demand Zone)
Trade Setup Idea (Short Bias):
Bias: Bearish while price stays below the descending channelโs upper boundary and EMA resistance.
Entry: Near 1.3813โ1.3824 (after a potential pullback)
Stop-Loss: Above 1.3855 (daily resistance)
Targets:
TP1: 1.3760
TP2: 1.3697
TP3: 1.3595
TP4: 1.3437 (Daily Demand Zone)
My Thoughts #004My thoughts are that the pair will buy...
The daily trend is very much bearish and with trend once it have made a new low(LL)
We need to see it printing a new High(LH)
Confirmation??
I see a Choch and the market is creating Highs confirmation for the new High(LH)
The pair might just sell
So use proper risk management
Let's do the most
Oil long term downOil
Monthly
Monthly continuation down
Psychological support level 50
Strong 43.5 level
Weekly
Expecting weekly continuation down
R/R high as price is really close to 55 last's month low level
Conclusion
Not a good trade setup
However long term is down maybe all the way to weekly or monthly RSI 30
BTCUSDT:Sharing of the Latest Trading Strategy This weekโs trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 90% accuracy rate!
Bitcoin is holding above the $94,000 mark, demonstrating strong upward momentum. It is currently gathering strength to challenge the key resistance level of $98,000. Keep an eye on the support level at $94,000 below. In terms of trading operations, wait for a pullback and then go long.
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
๐ ๐ ๐ Obtain signals๐๐๐
USD-CAD Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CAD is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair is
Consolidating below the
Horizontal resistance
Around 1.3880 so we are
Bearish biased and we can
Enter a short trade on Monday
With the Take Profit of 1.3725
And the Stop Loss of 1.3908
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUD-CAD Correction Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CAD keeps going up
But the pair will soon hit
A horizontal resistance level
Around 0.8936 and as the
Pair is locally overbought
We will be expecting a
Pullback and a local
Bearish correction
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$CGPT Holding Strong โ Another Move Coming?$CGPT is holding the uptrend well. ๐
It bounced from the trendline and the 200 EMA, just like before.
The structure still looks strong with higher lows and steady volume.
This pullback could be the setup for another move up.
Watch this level closely.
Retweet if you are bullish!
DYOR, NFA
#Altseason2025
$DARK Breakout Alert โ 2x Potential in Sight?Spotted something interesting on $DARK ๐
After 10 days of slow grinding, it broke out of a falling wedge, and now itโs retesting that level perfectly.
No panic, just a clean setup.
If this bounce holds, we could see a strong move up, even 2x from here.
It might be time to zoom in before everyone else does.
USOIL What Next? BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on USOIL and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 58.35 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 60.83
Safe Stop Loss - 57.06
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โโโโโโโโโโโ
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Lingrid | ARBUSDT potential BREAKOUT. Long from SUPPORT zoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea . BINANCE:ARBUSDT is moving inside a clean upward channel, currently pulling back toward the 0.3175 support and trend-line after rejecting from the 0.3627 resistance. If buyers step in around trend-line support, the bullish structure could continue, pushing price back toward the top of the range.
๐ Key Levels
Buy zone: 0.3175 โ 0.3200
Buy trigger: bounce from trend-line
Target: 0.3627
Sell trigger: break and hold below 0.3175
๐ก Risks
Flag breakdown or failure at support may push price lower.
Loss of trend-line = structure invalidation.
Market-wide pullbacks could pressure ARB even with strong setup.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ๐ฉโ๐ป
DXY (US Dollar Index) โ Bullish Setup๐ DXY (US Dollar Index) โ Bullish Setup from FVG & Trendline Confluence
Price tapped into a well-defined Fair Value Gap (FVG UP) aligning with bullish trendline support. I'm anticipating a small retracement toward the 99.88โ99.81 area before continuation upward.
๐ Entry Zone: 99.88 โ 99.81 (FVG + Trendline)
๐ Stop Loss: 99.71
๐ฏ Target (TP): 100.32
๐ RR: Approx. 1:3
Confluences:
Bullish market structure
FVG filled & respected
Ascending trendline support
Liquidity taken below previous lows
๐ Watching for bullish reaction after the minor pullback for confirmation.
Kava potential Reversal and Target ProjectionKAVA is forming a potential bullish reversal after completing Wave 5 within a descending channel, reaching the External Demand Zone. A rally from current levels is anticipated, with initial support at the Immediate Resistance Level.
The setup targets a short-term move to 1.10, then mid-term at 2.25, with a final breakout aimed at 4.97. The pattern suggests strong upside potential, contingent on holding support and breaking through key resistance zones. A confirmed upward break above immediate resistance will validate the bullish projection toward the final target.
Down for SPX500USDHi traders,
Last week SPX500USD did not close below the Daily FVG and broke the Weekly FVG. Now the trend has changed to bullish but price is moving very slow. This could indicate a leading diagonal (wave 1).
So next week we could see a (corrective) move down from the Daily FVG above.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for price come into the Daily FVG above and a change in orderflow to bearish, a small impulse wave down and a small correction up on a lower timeframe to trade (short term) shorts.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave