DXY 4HR , Daily AnalysisThe DXY is expected to make a minor bullish move until it reaches the 101.56 level. From there, a bearish reversal is anticipated, potentially driving the index lower until it forms a new lower low or reaches the key support zone between 96.80 and 95.40. At that level, a significant bullish reversal or a strong upward movement is likely to occur.
Community ideas
SPY: Where to next? These are just my thoughts and opinions, not advice.
I forgot to mention in the video, Monday has a bearish forecast. If you pay attention to the Weekly forecast I share in the video, this is more similar to the bullish path (selling into Monday). :-O.
Bit of a longer video because lots to talk about.
Safe trades everyone!
Cardano: Buy Opportunity In The Making (Buy When Red)Retraces, even if these are very small, can be used as an opportunity to buy. Whenever the market turns red that is an opportunity in the making, because we are set to experience growth long-term.
When the market is green, we either wait patiently or secure portions of profits. When the market turns red, that's the time to buy because as soon as the low is in (higher low always) what happens is the continuation of the initial and main move, the bullish wave.
Cardano is red today but it was also red on the 30th of April, the 29 and so on. If you consider the chart closely, the action always fluctuates between green and red. Now, this red action won't last long so the opportunity within hours or days can be gone.
» Any drops, corrections and retraces are an opportunity to buy-in, rebuy and reload. This is true for Cardano as it is true for Bitcoin and the rest of the Altcoins.
Namaste.
CHFJPY: Potential Bearish Move?CHFJPY at a Key Resistance – Potential Bearish Move?
CHFJPY tested a strong daily resistance zone. This is an area that has been challenged multiple times in the past, often triggering significant bearish moves.
There’s a good chance CHFJPY could start another major decline from this zone.
Key support levels where traders may take profits include 171.40, 168.50, and 166.50.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Lingrid | EURUSD in Consolidation - BREAKOUT Catalyst AwaitedFX:EURUSD is holding above the global upward trendline, despite trading within a descending triangle. The pair recently retested the key confluence support zone formed by both local and major trendlines. If bulls defend this zone near 1.12330, we could see a sharp rebound and a return of upside momentum.
📈 Key Levels
Buy trigger: bounce from 1.12330 support
Bullish confirmation: breakout above 1.14420
Target area: 1.15690
Invalidation: break below 1.1230
💡 Risk Notes
Price is still trapped in a narrowing range — expect volatility near the triangle apex
A failed defense of support could send price quickly toward 1.0738
Watch for fakeouts in the 1.12–1.13 area before a clearer trend develops
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Where will EURUSD go next? 4hr1. Technical Analysis
• Bearish Structure Break
After a strong bullish impulse in March and early April, price formed a rising wedge pattern—typically a bearish continuation structure when it follows an uptrend. Price has now broken below the wedge support and is retesting the underside of the structure.
• Key Supply Zone (1.1377–1.1444)
Price failed to break through this resistance twice, forming a double top with strong wicks and rejection candles. That zone remains a key institutional supply area, reinforcing downside bias.
• Break and Retest Confirmation
The break of the ascending trendline and horizontal support near 1.1287 confirms a change in structure. Price is now retesting the area as resistance—textbook bearish price action.
• Target Zones
• TP1: 1.1204 – minor demand and previous support
• TP2: 1.1090 – high-probability demand zone and fib confluence
• TP3: 1.0938 – extended move to fill imbalance and hit key structure low
• Stop Loss
Place stop above 1.1377—the recent high and above wedge resistance—to maintain a good risk-to-reward ratio.
2. Fundamental Analysis
• ECB–Fed Divergence
Recent comments from the ECB suggest a potential rate cut in the near term as inflation cools across the Eurozone, while the Fed remains relatively hawkish due to persistent U.S. core inflation. This divergence supports USD strength.
• Weak Eurozone Data
Recent German and French PMI data came in under expectations, pointing to slowing growth. Meanwhile, the U.S. economy continues to show resilience—especially in labor and retail sales—boosting USD demand.
• Risk Sentiment
As global markets flirt with risk-off sentiment due to geopolitical tensions and slower growth forecasts, safe-haven demand increases—typically favoring the U.S. dollar over the euro.
Conclusion
EUR/USD is showing strong signs of a bearish reversal after rejecting a major supply zone and breaking below wedge and trendline support. With structure, momentum, and fundamentals aligned, a short setup targeting 1.1204 down to 1.0938 makes sense. Wait for continued rejection or bearish confirmation before entering.
EUR/USD) Big Support level Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of EUR/USD on the 1-hour timeframe. The idea centers around a potential reversal from a major support zone, aiming for higher resistance targets. Here's a detailed breakdown:
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1. Big Support Level
A strong horizontal support zone is highlighted around 1.1275–1.1290.
Price is currently reacting off this level, suggesting a potential bullish reversal.
2. EMA 200 as Resistance
The 200-period EMA (~1.1346) is above current price, possibly acting as a dynamic resistance.
A break and hold above it could confirm bullish momentum.
3. Resistance Levels & Target Points
The first target is the 1.14367 resistance level, a clear supply zone.
The second target point is around 1.15622, aligned with a previous major high and strong resistance zone.
4. RSI Indicator
RSI is at 44.02, indicating neutral to slightly oversold conditions—this supports a potential bullish move, especially from support.
5. Forecast Path
The chart projects a likely pullback and breakout pattern:
Rebound from the support zone.
Break through EMA 200 and minor resistance.
Rally toward first and second targets.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary of the Idea:
This is a trend-reversal-to-continuation setup, with EUR/USD expected to rise from a key support area toward 1.14367, and potentially 1.15622, provided price holds above the support and breaks the EMA 200.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?USTEC is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 20,418.65
1st Support: 19,265.30
1st Resistance: 21,137.24
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCAD → Storming the support level to break throughFX:USDCAD continues to storm support within the trading range amid a global downtrend
The currency pair is within the range, but the battle for support continues. The reaction to false breakouts is weakening and the price continues to attack the 1.378 level, which only increases the chances of a further decline
The dollar is rebounding from resistance and beginning to fall, which is having a corresponding effect on USDCAD. If the currency pair breaks 1.378 and consolidates below the level, this could trigger a continuation of the trend after consolidation...
Resistance levels: 1.381, 1.383
Support levels: 1.378, 1.374
Focus on the lower boundary of the trading range at 1.378. The role of the range is consolidation against the backdrop of a downtrend. Thus, a breakout of support will activate the distribution phase
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD Daily AnalysisGold long-term trend is still bullish. based on ICHIMOKU the Xauusd is in supposed correction. daily support level (3228) was touched. the price is near important support level (3188).
For next weeks:
Support levels:
3188
3166
Resistance levels:
3351
3381
After that waiting for Ichimoku to give us the exact road map.
Lack of bullish momentum, gold price waits, slight decrease✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 05/05/2025 - 05/09/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold (XAU/USD) slipped by more than 0.35% on Friday and is on track to close the week with a decline exceeding 2.5%, as easing trade tensions and upbeat US labor market data boosted investor risk appetite. This shift in sentiment encouraged profit-taking ahead of the weekend, weighing on the safe-haven asset. At last check, XAU/USD was trading around $3,226, pulling back from an intraday peak of $3,269.
Adding to the improved market mood, China’s Commerce Ministry confirmed that the US has shown a willingness to resume discussions on tariffs, while reiterating that Beijing remains open to dialogue.
🔥 Identify:
Gold price continues to adjust down, lacking momentum to increase price. around price range 3200 - 3350
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3285, $3316, $3355
Support : $3202, $3155
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Ethereum: Sell Or Hold? Panic Buy, Panic Sell or Panic Hold?If I were you in this situation, what would you do?
What would you do if you were not you in this situation?
Ethereum hit bottom on the 9th of April and the bottom is confirmed based on the same candle. It ended full green and with really high volume.
The action moved back above support on 22-April when the 3-Feb. low resistance was conquered. Ethereum now trades within a tight price range.
This range's support has been tested four times and it holds, Ethereum now trades higher but what will happen next? What would you do if I were me?
Market conditions can change in a day. Two days green, two days red it is all sideways, nothing changes and nothing has changed.
If you are still wondering if you should panic sell or panic hold right now all you have to do is panic buy because Ethereum is going up.
Ignore the short-term nothing because this chart isn't showing even noise. It is the consolidation of the higher low before additional growth.
Ethereum's chart looks very different to Bitcoin, it is incredible. Ethereum is no longer "#2" but more like an Altcoin, Bitcoin has its own chart while Ethereum has the chart of a medium sized Cryptocurrency pair. This is good, it tells us that Ethereum is about to grow really strong and will produce a new All-Time High in 2025. This All-Time High will be higher than 2021 because while this isn't Bitcoin it is still a very strong chart. Expect lower no more, panic buy followed by panic hold while you rest easy and relaxed because there is no panic when the market grows.
The only panic right now is on the short side because the bottom is in and the bears are gone.
Rest easy, do not let go of your coins. Hold strong.
Never ever use a stop-loss. Think long-term and the market will bless you with amazing results.
Namaste.
BTC Fractal Update!!Join our community and start your crypto journey today for:
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Let' analyse BTCUSDT:
BTC is repeating the same ABC pattern that led to past 70%+ rallies.
We're now at a decision point — next weekly close will confirm:
Scenario 1: Rejection Below $96K (Circle 1)
→ Likely dip to $78K–$80.5K (channel bottom + 0.5 Fib)
→ Final shakeout before major move.
Scenario 2: Breakout Above $96K (Circle 2)
→ Retest at $90.5K
→ Then rally toward $160K+ begins (Circle 3)
BTC just needs to cool off after a 30% run — setup is identical to past breakouts.
If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button to support my content! Share your thoughts in the comments, and feel free to request any specific chart analysis you’d like to see.
Happy Trading!!
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionGold ended last week under pressure as investors booked profits following improved risk appetite, driven by easing trade tensions and a strong U.S. labor market report.
📰 NFP came in at +177K in April, with the unemployment rate steady at 4.2%, matching forecasts—possibly keeping the Fed cautious on policy easing.
Technically, Gold remains bullish but is now testing the $3,200 support zone, and sellers are gaining momentum.
As we head into next week, gold price action is at a critical decision point, and whether buyers or sellers will take control is unclear.
In this video, I break down the key technical zones, share my trading plan, and discuss potential opportunities to help navigate the uncertainty ahead.
Disclaimer:
This is my take based on experience and what I see on the charts. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #GoldPrice #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #GoldOutlook #FedRateDecision #NFP #GoldBreakdown #GoldBulls #GoldBears #USJobsReport #ForexMentor
(XAU/USD) Bullish Trade Setup – Targeting $3,506.52 with Entry aEntry Point: $3,221.19
Stop Loss: $3,169.80
Resistance Zone: Around $3,277.98 to $3,280.64
Target (TP) Point: $3,506.52 (Approx. 9.05% upside)
📊 Technical Indicators and Markings:
Moving Averages:
Likely a 50-period (blue) and 200-period (red) moving average.
Price is currently below both MAs, signaling a short-term downtrend.
Support & Resistance Zones:
Strong support around $3,207.67–$3,221.19 (entry area).
Resistance at $3,244.25–$3,280.64.
Stop-loss is strategically placed below support to limit downside risk.
Target Area:
Projected upside target is $3,506.52, with a potential 9.05% gain from the entry.
This is marked as the EA (Expert Advisor) Target Point, possibly suggesting this is a strategy from an automated trading system.
Orange Circles:
Likely indicate swing highs and lows, used to identify trend patterns and potential reversal points.
📈 Trading Idea Summary:
Bullish Setup: Buying at support, aiming for breakout above resistance to reach target.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable, assuming price holds above $3,207.
Watch for Confirmation: Price needs to break above resistance around $3,280 for momentum continuation.
ETH : What the Options Are Saying (Hint: Big Move Ahead)Right now, Ethereum’s key players are positioning themselves to make some money on the rise.
And guess what? The market's already whispering where it’s headed next — but only if you know how to listen. And the loudest voice right now? Options flow on Deribit.
Let me break it down for you…
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We caught some serious heat in the options pit lately. On Deribit, someone — or maybe a few someones — started stacking **Call options on ETH at 1,800 and 2,200 strike prices**, all under one portfolio. That’s not random. That’s a classic **Call Spread** setup, expiring June 27, 2025.
Translation? Someone’s betting hard on ETH heading north — straight toward **$2,200**.
But here's where it gets spicy. The **Max pain** for this contract sits right at **$2,000** — currently above spot price. Yeah, we’ve seen mixed stats on whether "price gravitates" to max pain like magic. But from experience? Right before expiry, price tends to *flirt* with that level.
So here's our read:
- There's **bullish sentiment** building.
- Eyes are locked on the **$2,200 zone** — likely within the next **30–50 days**.
- BTC’s playing the same game — big interest around **$100K–$110K strikes**, same expiry.
This isn’t noise. This is signal.
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If you're tired of FOMO and want to catch the real setups before they blow up — follow. We turn complex flows into simple edge. Just actionable insights.
---
📈 *Trade smart. Stay sharp.
Join the crew that reads the market — not the hype.
"Bitcoin Analysis" (Update)Here's what I can gather from the chart right now:
The Minor Resistance zone has been strongly broken to the upside; we haven't seen good pullbacks to this level yet.
On the other hand, below the broken zone, there's a price gap toward the FVG, as indicated by the arrow.
Also, the pullback to the breakout level at 0.382 has not been completed, and no patterns have formed in that area!
So? When we analyze all the breakout factors, we see a very high chance of a correction.
Now, this correction could start from the confirmation level at 96,364, or with an overextension, it could happen from the 98k zone.
Stay Awesome , CobraVanguard
Master HBAR with Fibonacci: The Golden Pocket BlueprintSince topping out at $0.20151, HBAR has spent the last nine days in a corrective pullback. Digging into a rich confluence of supports that offers a long trade setup. Here’s how to spot the high‑probability entries, manage your risk, and scale out for maximum reward.
Current Context
Two days ago, price was firmly rejected at the weekly open ($0.19029) right alongside the anchored VWAP drawn from the $0.28781 swing high.
HBAR now trades below the monthly open ($0.18210), the weekly open ($0.19029), and the daily open ($0.18024), sitting at about $0.177.
Just beneath today’s level lies the swing low at $0.17543. Breaching this could flush out stops before any meaningful bounce.
The Golden Support Zone
All signals converge between $0.170 and $0.1725:
The anchored VWAP from the $0.12488 low sits at around $0.17.
The 0.618 fib retracement of the $0.15396→$0.20239 move falls at $0.17246. Just under the swing low where the liquidity lies.
The secondary 0.666 fib retracement lands at $0.17014, reinforcing that floor.
Volume‑profile analysis of the past 27 days pins its Point of Control right at $0.17, great confluence with the anchored VWAP.
This “golden pocket” is your pivot for a low‑risk, high‑probability long.
Long Trade Setup
Ladder buy orders between the swing low ($0.17543) and the 0.666 fib at $0.17014.
Aim to average in around $0.1725.
Place a single stop‑loss just below $0.17
Scaling Your Exits
First Partial Exit at the monthly open ($0.18210). This offers roughly a 2:1 R:R.
Second Exit Zone around the weekly open and VWAP resistance (~$0.19) for about a 3:1 R:R.
Final Target at the 0.618 fib retracement of the entire down‑wave (from $0.28781 to $0.12488) near $0.2256. An astounding 10:1 payoff for the patient trader.
Keep in mind a potential false‑break (SFP) at $0.17543: if price briefly dips below then snaps back up, with increased volume.
Short Trade Setup
For traders looking to play the downside from the “golden pocket” flip, here’s a clear short strategy:
Entry Zone: Ladder short entries between the 0.618 fib at $0.22557 and the 0.666 fib at $0.23339.
Confluence: The 0.666 level aligns perfectly with the negative 0.618 fib from the prior swing, creating a resistance zone.
Stop‑Loss: Place your stop just above $0.23339, invalidating the confluence.
Take‑Profit: Target a return to around $0.206, where you can lock in gains as HBAR retests its previous high.
By scaling into shorts across that fib band, you balance your risk and capture the high‑odds reversal offered by stacked Fibonacci confluence. Let the golden pocket guide both your longs and shorts!
Key Takeaways
Confluence is king: VWAPs, Fibonacci retracements, Liquidity and volume‑profile all align in the $0.170–$0.175 zone.
Risk control: One stop‑loss under $0.17 protects the entire laddered entry.
Tiered targets: Small wins at $0.182, larger as you clear $0.19, and a big payoff if HBAR rallies toward $0.225. Trail your SL accordingly.
Patience pays: Wait for price to enter the golden pocket, avoid chasing!
With these confluences lining up and clear levels to work from, HBAR’s next high‑probability long setup is staring you in the face. Trade smart, size appropriately, and let the market reward your discipline.
Happy Trading!
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