SOLANA SOL to 3800$ nextSolana is in mid range, 61.8% retracement bottom, similar to TSLA at 19 Aug 19,
since Sol is the most used cypto (90% of blockchain usage) i expect a massive bullrun.
Sol will outperform bitcoin
Community ideas
TRBUSDT - at CUT n REVERSE Area? What's next??#TRBUSDT - market just reached at his ultimate supporting region and below that we can expect a further straight drop.
So we will cut n reverse below our mentioned region that is around 35 (region neck line)
Good luck
trade wisely
DOLLAR INDEXThe relationship between the US Dollar Index (DXY) and the 10-year US Treasury yield is generally positive but has shown signs of weakening and occasional breakdowns recently.
Key Points:
Typical Positive Correlation:
Historically, when the 10-year Treasury yield rises, the dollar tends to strengthen, and when yields fall, the dollar weakens. This is because higher yields attract foreign capital seeking better returns, increasing demand for the dollar. Conversely, lower yields reduce dollar appeal.
Mechanism:
The 10-year yield reflects investor expectations about inflation, economic growth, and Federal Reserve policy. Higher yields often signal stronger growth or inflation, supporting a stronger dollar due to higher real returns on US assets.
Recent Weakening of Correlation:
Since early 2025, this positive correlation has weakened significantly. Despite rising 10-year yields (around 4.4% to 4.5%), the DXY has hovered near the 98–99 range and even declined over 10% year-to-date. This divergence is attributed to:
Investors re-evaluating the dollar’s reserve currency status and shifting capital to other markets (e.g., European equities).
Outflows from US assets amid geopolitical and economic uncertainty.
Asynchronous monetary policy cycles globally, with some central banks hiking or cutting rates at different paces than the Fed.
Market Sentiment and Safe-Haven Flows:
In times of stress, the dollar’s traditional role as a safe haven can be challenged, further complicating the yield-dollar relationship.
Conclusion
While the 10-year Treasury yield and the US dollar index usually move together, recent market dynamics have disrupted this pattern. Rising yields have not translated into a stronger dollar in 2025, reflecting broader shifts in investor sentiment, geopolitical risks, and global monetary policy divergence.
DOGEUSDT - near support? Holds or not??#DOGEUSDT... market just reached near his supporting area even ultimate area. That is around 0.10 and current market price is around 0.15
If market holds current supporting area then we can expect a bounce from here.
Below 0.10 we will never see again bounce ... Note that.
Good luck
Trade wisely
Bitcoin Trend AnalysisBITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT COINBASE:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD
BTCUSD trend shows multiple bearish indications.
- Monthly RSI bearish divergence. This is the 3rd monthly bearish divergence in the entire BTC history. The previous one was the ATH before the 2022 recession. BTC price dropped 70% in 2022.
- Weekly RSI downtrend.
- Weekly MACD downtrend.
- Weekly bearish momentum red candles and downtrend wicks.
If the history repeats itself and BTC drops 70% like in 2022, it will find its final support around 31,500, but we don't know for sure yet. Before that, a few key levels of support needs to be penetrated. 75,000 is a major support we need to watch for.
EUR/JPY Short✅ EUR/JPY Swing Short Setup (Multi-Entry)
🎯 Entries:
Entry 1: 169.00 (light position)
Entry 2: 170.10 (core entry)
Entry 3: 170.90 (final top entry)
🛡️ Stop Loss (Unified):
171.50
Placed above the entire resistance zone and previous all-time wick highs, allowing for normal trap behavior without overexposure.
🎯 Take Profits:
TP1: 164.00
TP2: 157.50
You can scale out partially at TP1 or run the full position to TP2 depending on how momentum builds.
ROSE EASY 3X FROM HERE FOR 2025🔥 LSE:ROSE long setup (1D) 🚀
✅ Entry Zone: $0.0225 – $0.020 (multi-year demand + wedge apex)
🎯 Targets
• TP-1: $0.060 (2024 range mid)
• TP-2: $0.082 (last breakdown block)
⛔ Stop-Loss
Daily close < $0.017
📊 Thesis
• Sapphire – the ONLY confidential EVM – live & onboarding dApps 🛡️
• illumineX, the first MEV-resistant private DEX, launched on Sapphire ⚡
• $200 M Oasis Ecosystem Fund (Binance Labs, a16z) fuels builder grants 💰
• Native “ROFL” privacy layer lets AI & RWA apps run off-chain yet settle on-chain 🤖
• 2.3 B ROSE reserved for stakers; ~28 % of supply already locked 🔒
• Roadmap 2025 = easier TDX containers + OasisAI privacy compute stack
• Meta & other AI giants piloting confidential data sharing on Oasis 🌐
GBP/USD Trade idea for the week. Price seems bullish, but it has to retest the previous low and then continue above. To continue the trend. if it breaks below and does not show a bullish engulfing candle, then this trade idea is null.
S&P 500 E-mini Futures In the S&P 500 futures (/ES), a decisive break and close below 5965 would confirm bearish structure on the higher time frames, signaling a shift in market sentiment. Following the break, we anticipate a corrective pullback toward the 6000–6010 supply zone. This retracement can offer an optimal short entry, with the initial downside target set at 5900, aligned with the next liquidity pool and previous demand zone
New 5 wave cycle?This is my idea for a new 5 wave cycle. Targets for each wave are in the chart. Could this be wave 1 of 5? Possible top for wave 5 in 2033 or around this time. After, our first real bear market, multiple years ( Maybe 5 or so)?
xauusdLet the time to fix rest ...................... Big time frame is super bullish, previous obvious level break out and retest with double bottom pattern with bullish single bottom.
USD/CHF Buy🎯 Long Entry Strategy
🔸 Standard (Conservative) Breakout Entry
Entry: 0.8255 (daily close above key compression + reclaim zone)
Stop Loss: 0.8120 (below 0.8150 structure + most recent wick low)
Target 1: 0.8300 (minor resistance)
Target 2: 0.8900 (major weekly resistance)
Target 3 (Optional Hold): 0.9150 (weekly swing high)
✅ Best if you want confirmation. Higher probability but less RR.
🔸 Aggressive Limit Entry (Inside Range)
Entry: 0.8155 (retest of support zone)
Stop Loss: 0.8040 (below April + June wick lows)
Target 1: 0.8300
Target 2: 0.8900
Target 3: 0.9150
⚠️ Best for RR, but higher chance of drawdown or stop-out.
AAVE — Rising Wedge + Resistance Grind = Risk of PullbackStill one of the strongest DeFi leaders. Bullish market structure, but this persistent grind into diagonal resistance usually ends with a sharp pullback — and that's the zone I'm watching.
Eyes on $210–$237 for bids.
Targets: $400 and $600.
Set alarms and chill — opportunity comes to those who wait.
BTC USDT PLAN I favor a short-term pullback unless BTC can reclaim and close above the $111K–112K zone with strong volume.
If price breaks below $106K and confirms it as resistance, it could accelerate a move toward $100K and below.
Caution is warranted for bulls — this looks more like a distribution phase near the highs than a breakout.
US30 POTENTIAL SETUPUS30 Analysis
Fundamental Analysis:
The US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) continues to face turbulence as global and domestic factors interplay. Recently, several key macroeconomic and geopolitical developments have influenced sentiment:
FOMC Outlook: The Federal Reserve’s decision to pause interest rate hikes amidst easing inflation suggests a more dovish stance. However, labor market resilience and retail sales indicate lingering strength in consumer demand.
Geopolitical Risk – Iran-Israel Conflict: The renewed tensions in the Middle East—especially between Iran and Israel—have heightened risk sentiment. Oil prices are sensitive to the conflict, indirectly pressuring inflation and causing volatility in equity markets.
US Economic Indicators:
CPI (Consumer Price Index): Showed moderate deceleration, aligning with the Fed’s inflation target.
Unemployment Rate: Remains low, strengthening confidence in the soft-landing narrative.
Manufacturing and PMI Data: Indicate a slowdown, showing a mild contraction phase in industrial activity.
These mixed signals are feeding into a cautious yet opportunity-laden market environment for indices like US30.
Technical Analysis (SMC - Smart Money Concepts):
Current Market Structure:
The price recently broke structure (BOS) to the upside after a series of higher lows and equal highs.
It’s now in a pullback phase, showing a classic inducement pattern where early liquidity is grabbed below recent equal lows.
Key Zones:
Buy Zone: Marked between 41,460 to 41,357 (H1 FVG) , which lies just above the protected low at 41,150.
A sweep of equal lows followed by confirmation (e.g., BOS on lower timeframe like H4) would validate a long entry.
Risk Management:
Stop-loss: Below 41,150, signaling bearish intent if broken (CHOCH – Change of Character).
Take-profit Target: Upwards toward 42,911, aligning with previous highs and order block inefficiencies.
Bearish Scenario: A daily closure below 41,150 would invalidate the bullish setup and suggest a deeper retracement toward the next key support near 40,636.
NOTE: Not a financial advice only for educational purpose
XAUUSDXAUUSD Gold its looking for 3.500, breaking that and closing above we can look for something after that.
Geopolitical situations its also pushing gold to the upside.
BTC posibility if fundamental favoursBTC posibility if fundamental favours.
This baby has beenrushing downhill for afew days now.
As always, my thoughts are on the chart.
Please trade this RR of 1:1.69 with care
A time for a rebound? Doge just hit the bottom of the yellow descending channel and a rising blue support line.
Will the doge rebound to the upper channel area in coming days?
CELO FOR Q3 2025🔥 SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:CELO long setup (1D) 🚀
✅ Entry Zone: $0.23 – $0.26 (wedge & YTD demand)
🎯 Targets
• TP-1: $0.58 (Q4-24 supply flip)
• TP-2: $0.72 (2024 breakdown block)
⛔ Stop-Loss
Daily close < $0.21
📊 Thesis
• Celo is now an Ethereum L2 built on OP-Stack 🛠️
• Native USDC pays for gas; mobile UX ↗️
• Carbon-negative chain & $20 B impact-fund push 🌱
• Deutsche Telekom + a16z run validators, tightening float
• Real-world-asset pilots (+ tokenised carbon) live
• Vision 2030 = phone-number onboarding for the under-banked
PLATINUM TAI drew these lines end of 2024. Now I look back and see the power these lines hold. Sometimes I am amazed how accurate TA works.
Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps you I. Next Week's Crude Oil Trend Analysis
(1) Supply Side: Gas Stations Signal Shortages, but Refineries Keep Pumping More
The supply dynamics present a paradox. OPEC+ is like a massive refinery deciding to continue increasing crude oil production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, marking the third consecutive month of output hikes. Strangely, however, U.S. gas stations (crude oil inventories) saw a sudden sharp drop in supplies last week—ending June 13, inventories fell by 11.473 million barrels, the largest decline since November last year. A closer look reveals that refineries produced more gasoline, with inventories jumping by over 5 million barrels, indicating robust oil refining but weak consumer demand for gasoline, suggesting a supply glut.
Additionally, U.S. shale oil wells may be facing headwinds. Reports suggest that U.S. shale oil production might peak in the second quarter of this year and then gradually decline in the second half. This is analogous to farmers planting fewer crops when vegetable prices are low—oil wells reduce extraction when oil prices are deemed unprofitable.
(2) Demand Side: Summer Arrives, but Where Are the Fuel-Hungry Cars?
Logically, with summer in the Northern Hemisphere, more people driving for trips should mean a peak season for gasoline demand. But reality shows U.S. gasoline demand has dropped to its lowest level for this period in five years, akin to an ice cream shop seeing fewer customers in summer. Europe’s situation is grimmer, with crude oil imports down 5.1% year on year, as they aggressively develop clean energy like wind and solar power, reducing dependence on oil.
There’s also the U.S. dollar factor. Although the dollar weakened slightly last Friday (the U.S. Dollar Index fell 0.16%), it remains relatively strong overall. This is like shopping where the price tag stays the same, but your money buys less, making purchases feel costlier. As a result, other countries may cut back on U.S. dollar-denominated crude oil purchases.
Analysis of crude oil trend next week, hope it helps you
USOIL sell@74.5~75
SL:76
TP:73.5~73
Fractal to move UPAs you can see the fractal it seems like the price now so if that true we will se up movement before correction again to make new highs
