GBPUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisCOT Report Analysis:
Overall we can see strong bullish sentiment in the COT.
and price will most likely continue higher- in the longterm.
Longs 91K, Short 67K We can see longs decreasing = profit taking and pullback needed
to rebuild. There is no heavy shorting = market is still Bullish , but long will be rebuild in lower
prices.
Hey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. Im always trying to trade with the Big players so knowing their positions is good thing.
Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage.
I created this simple free indicator which you can find in the my scripts. It's highlighting the day of the real report - Tuesday.
Here is the tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
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GBPNZD: Potential Bearish Wave AheadGBPNZD: Potential Bearish Wave Ahead
GBPNZD is forming a Head and Shoulders pattern at the top of its bullish trend, signaling a possible downward move.
Since this is a large pattern, the bearish wave may unfold gradually.
However, if the price consolidates in the current zone and shows sell signals, the downtrend could resume in the coming days or weeks.
Key Support Levels: 2.2000, 2.1870, 2.1730, and 2.1500.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Gold Trade Plan 5/5/2025Dear Traders,
If we take a look at the gold chart, it is currently in a descending channel, and the price is trying to reach the top of that channel. Given these conditions, I believe the price will reach the target zone around 3285–3290 by midweek. If we observe a rejection at that level, we can enter a sell position, with the first target being the midline of the channel and the final target being the bottom of the channel. If the descending channel is strongly broken and the price stabilizes above it, a new update will be necessary.
Trend-base Fibo Extension AB=CD 3290
Fibo Retracement(1.618)= 3298
Top Of Descending Channel : 3290-3300
So we Are looking for Reversal 3290-3300 Area !
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold.
Resistance 1: 3260 - 3288 area
Resistance 2: 3350 - 3386 area
Resistance 3: 3482 - 3501 area
Support 1: 3191 - 3210 area
Support 2: 3135 - 3167 area
Support 3: 2956 - 2981 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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BTCUSDT – Small Bullish Setup Forming Above Key SupportBitcoin is currently holding above a strong support zone marked by a Break of Structure (BOS). After a healthy retracement, price is respecting this demand area and may be setting up for a move higher.
✅ Support Zone Holding (Purple Box)
🔁 Retest of Breakout Level (BOS)
📈 Potential Move to $97,950+ if momentum continues
Short-term bulls may look for confirmation signals around the support zone. Keep an eye on price action in the next few candles!
#BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #CryptoSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportZone #BreakOfStructure #TradingPlan
NASDAQ's Inverse H&S that targets $25000Nasdaq (NDX) is forming the Right Shoulder of a potential Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern. The price action is 'stuck' within the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which got tested on Friday for the first time since March, and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Since the 1D MA200 was the level that initiated the March 26 rejection, it is possible to see a short-term pull-back now, all in the process of forming the Right Shoulder and after the market digests the new Fed Rate Decision, starts the next Leg Up. Note that the 1D RSI is already on its February highs.
As a result, our long-term Target is at 25000, just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level, which is a standard technical target for IH&S patterns.
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ALERT: ALT SEASON INCOMING? 🚨 ALERT: ALT SEASON INCOMING? 🚨
Take a close look at the BTC/ETH chart — we’re seeing early signs of a major rotation out of Bitcoin and into Ethereum and altcoins. Historically, when the BTC/ETH ratio starts to fall, it's a clear signal that capital is flowing into altcoins, marking the beginning of alt season.
🔍 The ratio is showing bearish divergence and approaching a key support zone. If this level breaks, ETH is likely to outperform BTC significantly — and we all know what follows: altcoins explode.
📉 BTC dominance is stalling, ETH gaining strength, and altcoins are waking up. The market is shifting. Don't get caught late.
🚀 Get ready. The alt season might just be starting now.
#AltSeason #Crypto #BTC #ETH #TradingView #CryptoTrends
USDJPY Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my USDJPY analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
Triangle in oil, OPEC+ decision = gap down on Monday? 🛢️☕ #OilNotCoffee | 📐 #TECHANALYSIS
📉 Oil appears to have formed a triangle in wave 4 and is poised for a major gap down on Monday, driven by OPEC+’s decision to accelerate production increases beyond initial plans.
Position:
▫️ Entered the weekend with short positions near peak exposure.
▫️ Critical level marked by the 100% red line.
▫️ Scenario suggests WTI prices won’t drop below $50 immediately—wave completion within the highlighted range may lead to an extended sideways phase.
Strategy Status:
▫️ This scenario has been executed successfully for an extended period.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Our analysis is food for thought 💡, not trading signals 🚫📊.
Trade with cold-headed calculation ❄️, your own plan 📝, and independent analysis 👁️🗨️.
💬 Your Forecast?
🔄 Comment below ➡️: How do you assess the risks and opportunities? 🎯
XAU/USD: NFP has come,What's Next? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart on the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that after yesterday’s analysis, the price successfully rallied from $3231 to $3268. Once it reached that zone, selling pressure kicked in, and gold has since corrected down to $3239.
If gold stabilizes below $3257, we may expect further downside. The potential bearish targets are $3237 and $3221.
Keep a close eye on the $3209–$3220 zone, as price reaction there could be significant.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Nasdaq Pending Short: previous wave 4 as resistance This idea is complementary to the S&P500 pending short idea. I've labelled the waves slightly differently but it doesn't impact the forecast for it's still the same expectation of a last wave. I purposely left it as a different count as comparison.
I would start building a short position around 20300. Stop above purple Fibonacci extension level.
Baba waking up after 3 years accumuationMonthly
VRVP indicate huge multiyear volume accumulation
Need to close monthly May candle above last month's high
Weekly
Expecting green continuation candles (good thing that each weekly candle is making a higher high each) as low is probably in with that weekly reversal candle and volume spike
Medium term target 200
300 in the cards along with monthly target RSI 70, but let's see if it goes through 200 without any major reversal candle
SIGNUSDT could make another pumpSIGN exits consolidation (price breaks resistance of corrective descending channel)
The coin is consolidating above the line and testing resistance at 0.09. There is a rally ahead....
Overall, the young coin has a good chance. The price has completed the dump phase after the dump and is again preparing to realize the accumulated potential.
A break of the resistance at 0.09 may give a chance to strengthen to 0.10 - 0.109
Scenario: I expect a breakout of 0.09 and price consolidation above this zone, which will only confirm the buyer's intentions to go even higher. Target 0.10 - 0.11
Bitcoin's Weekly MACD & RSI —Back To Basics (Part 1)We looked at Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe and mentioned the rare Michael Saylor 4 weeks green bullish signal. But what about the MACD and RSI? What are these indicators currently saying?
Let's dive deep into these two and see what we can find.
First, Bitcoin's weekly RSI.
1) Here we have first what is called a hidden bullish divergence. The RSI hit a lower low in March 2025 compared to September 2024, but Bitcoin is currently trading within a strong higher low (March/April 2025 vs September 2024). This is an interesting signal.
2) The same RSI support that was activated in September 2023 and September 2024 worked in March 2025. Once this level was activated—blue dotted line on the chart—the RSI started to move upward.
Each time this support is activated Bitcoin goes on a major bullish wave. In September 2023 Bitcoin started a major rise from 20 something toward 70K+. In September 2024 Bitcoin started a major advance from 60 something toward 110K.
3) A triple bottom. Another signal related to this same support level is a triple bottom. It was challenged three times and holds. In 2025, this support zone was pierced briefly and then the RSI started growing. This makes the reversal signal an even stronger one.
Bitcoin doubled in 2024 from this RSI support and more than triple in 2023. So this time around we can count on a double minimum but can be a triple or more. If it increases each time, first a double, then a triple and then a quadruple.
The next signal is Bitcoin's weekly RSI broken downtrend and bullish reading:
1) The downtrend has been broken on the RSI, pretty simple. Here depicted with blue lines. Needless to say, when the downtrend breaks the RSI moves up. A strong RSI is bullish for Bitcoin and this takes us to #2.
2) The RSI has a strong reading at 59. Bullish is above 50 and there is also a bullish cross, when the RSI moved above the RSI based MA (moving average).
The weekly RSI reveals Bitcoin's eternal bullish bias. Over time this indicator becomes overbought but never oversold. Interesting isn't it? It shows that market participants are ready to buy beyond what is reasonable but not willing to sell that much.
As it happened back in late September 2024, the RSI doesn't have to move straight up, there are ups and down within a rise, please keep that in mind. The RSI doesn't necessarily reflect what Bitcoin is doing or will do, it only supports a broader bias, trend or cycle, in this case the bullish case.
Next comes the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence).
This is pretty interesting as well and the first signal is a higher low in April 2025 vs September 2024, a standard bullish signal:
Revealing Bitcoin's eternal bullish bias, the MACD starts to recover without reaching the bearish zone. The bearish zone is when the MACD moves below zero, here the recovery is happening above.
The fact that the bullish cross on the MACD, when the MACD line crosses upward the signal line, is not yet in means that this bullish cycle is still early.
When the MACD line (blue) starts to curve on the weekly timeframe after making a long-term low, as it is now, the market turns bullish and there is no going back.
I will go deeper on the MACD in part 2 of this publication.
If you enjoy it and like it boost it to give me feedback. The more feedback, the deeper the next analysis will be.
Thanks a lot for reading, your support is truly appreciated.
I'll see you next time.
Namaste.
Eyes Fresh Upside Within Ascending Channel 📈🟢 BTCUSD Eyes Fresh Upside Within Ascending Channel 🚀💰
No time to wait for the open – this dip might already be the setup! 🔍
Bitcoin continues to respect the ascending channel, with the latest touch on the lower boundary lining up perfectly with the 95,568 zone. Historically, each visit to this trendline has produced a strong bounce – and we can see it clearly through the green arrows across the chart.
As of now, price is holding just above the key support at 95,120, and unless we see a strong break below that level (with confirmation below 94,806), this looks like another textbook “buy the dip” scenario. 🛒
Upside targets remain:
🔹 97,432 – mid-channel resistance
🔹 99,161 – channel top, potential exhaustion zone
I’ll be watching for a minor pullback or consolidation (as shown), but I’m not waiting on the sidelines for the open – structure supports continuation. Don’t fight the trend when the channel is this clean. 📊
Key support levels to monitor on downside invalidation:
⚠️ 94,806
⚠️ 94,120
⚠️ 93,806
⚠️ 92,709 (channel invalidation below here)
Stick to structure, trust the levels, and respect the momentum. And if we end up under the channel remember it becomes resistance. Long ONLY over 95600 here.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
US100 – Bullish Continuation Setting Up Inside the ChannelUS100 remains firmly bullish, showing consistent strength after breaking out from the prior consolidation range in mid-April. Price action has been moving cleanly within a well-defined ascending channel, supported by strong impulsive moves followed by shallow retracements. Each pullback so far has been relatively controlled, and buyers have been stepping in aggressively from clearly defined zones, which aligns with the current risk-on sentiment across tech-heavy indices.
Consolidation Structure
We’ve now had two solid retests of prior fair value gaps (FVGs), both of which acted as demand zones and helped fuel continuation. The first pullback dropped into a previously formed imbalance, consolidated briefly, and then launched a strong bullish leg. The second did the same, creating a layered structure of bullish continuation through efficient retracements. Each of these reactions confirms that price is respecting areas where institutional orders may have been left behind, which adds confluence to the trend’s strength.
Currently, price is working on forming a third FVG within the upper half of the channel. This is developing just below recent highs and has not yet been retested, which makes it a key area of interest. If the market pulls back into that imbalance with proper structure, it could offer the next high-probability opportunity to join the trend.
Bullish Scenario
If price retraces into this newly forming FVG and holds, especially with a wick or lower timeframe rejection candle inside the zone, it could mark the start of the next impulse. The overall trend remains intact as long as we stay within the channel and each FVG continues to serve as valid support. Given the strength of the previous bounces and the orderly nature of this structure, any retest into this new FVG would likely lead to another push into fresh highs and a move toward the upper boundary of the channel.
Bearish Scenario
On the flip side, if price fails to respect this new FVG and breaks below with momentum, especially if the channel support fails at the same time, it would be a sign that buyers are losing control. In that case, we’d want to see how price interacts with the last confirmed FVG below before making any bearish assumptions. A deeper pullback into that area could still provide another long opportunity if structure holds, but any sharp momentum break through both imbalances would put the bullish trend on pause and shift focus to downside levels.
Price Target and Expectations
Assuming the bullish structure continues to play out, the next projected move would be a clean rally toward the top of the channel. There’s enough space left between current levels and the upper trendline to justify an entry on the next pullback, provided it lands inside the newly created FVG. The setup is fairly straightforward, let price come back into the imbalance, confirm with lower timeframe strength, and ride the continuation leg.
Current Stance
There’s no need to chase price here. The best scenario is waiting for a patient retest of the fresh FVG forming now. If it pulls back cleanly, holds the zone, and gives confirmation, that would be the entry. Momentum, structure, and market context are all aligned for continuation, but the trade needs to be built off a level that shows actual commitment from buyers.
Conclusion
US100 is holding its bullish structure well, forming clean legs within an ascending channel, and repeatedly respecting fair value gaps as demand zones. With a new imbalance forming beneath the most recent high, the setup is shaping up for another continuation play if price rotates back and holds. It’s a wait-and-see moment for now, but if the FVG gets tagged and buyers show up, this could be the next leg higher in an already strong trend.
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Kadena: Your Altcoin ChoiceThis is a fractal. The same pattern that was present in 2024 is also developing in 2025.
A bullish wave that is corrected into a long-term accumulation zone. Then sideways and consolidation leads to a bullish breakout with a major high. Kadena can easily move back to $2 in the mid-term. 1-3 months.
This wouldn't be the end of the bullish action, there is more for 2025 as Kadena (KDAUSDT) has potential to grow much higher, but this is a start.
Technical analysis: There is a really high volume day in early February. Then we have a shy lower low in in April, two days ago. This tells us that the bearish wave is over.
When Kadena was crashing, the decline was very steep. The lower lows are easy to appreciate; see the 1,2,3 on the chart. Now, after #3 it goes sideways and then the shy lower low. This means that the bearish momentum died down, it is over. After bearish momentum wanes it is only a matter of time before the market turns.
The bars pattern is for illustration only. It can start growing higher and faster than shown on the chart. Like stronger swings and the first up-move strong and also higher volatility. So don't be guided by the drawing. We focus on resistance and support.
The support we use to map our entry price. The resistance to take profits, to sell. To take money home. Both are really important. It is not only the right timing and price, but also the right time to exit.
No leverage = no risk. Buy and hold long-term.
Only consider leverage/margin when you've been successful for 2-3 years straight trading spot.
No need to gamble, Cryptocurrency is here to stay.
If you can't make money slow, you wont be able to make it fast.
If you can't appreciate small amounts, you won't be able to accept and appreciate big amounts.
So first we need to learn to take profits. Make a habit of withdrawing even if small portions.
Be grateful for your wins. Win, win, win. Buy... wait... sell. That's a win. Check!
Then again. Buy... wait... sell. Another win. Check!
When in the green, consider trimming out some positions. If it keeps rising, that's great. Your profits are secured. If the pair drops, good, you already sold and secured some profits.
Do not become greedy. Focus on the long-term.
Cryptocurrency is a new market but it is here to stay.
Trade spot. Focus on the basics. Make a plan, it is a mental exercise. This will create a vision where you win in the end. It will also prepare you for all possible scenarios, this is what leads to success. With a plan, there is no stress when the market shakes. Without a plan, you can close a good position due to a small drop. Look at Bitcoin, it dropped but only to recover in a matter of days. Those without a plan freaked out, panicked and sold everything at a loss. The greedy ones and gamblers got liquidated because of wrong timing and bad choices. Wouldn't it be better to earn a sure 200%, than to lose everything trying to make a risky 1,000%?
The sure 200% is better because the risky 1,000% never comes. It turns into a race, a gamble; trying to catch the market at every turn. Like this it will never work.
Go out, detach. Engage nature and have some fun.
Comeback with a clean mind, build a plan and the next time you decide to trade, you will see how fast and easy your money grows.
Thanks a lot for your support.
...
By the way, you have to trust me.
What's the point of reading from the most advanced Cryptocurrency analyst in the world if you don't trust what I have to say?
Namaste.
BTCUSDT:Sharing of the Latest Trading Strategy This week’s trading wrapped up successfully. Our exclusive VIP trading signals achieved a 90% accuracy rate!
Bitcoin is holding above the $94,000 mark, demonstrating strong upward momentum. It is currently gathering strength to challenge the key resistance level of $98,000. Keep an eye on the support level at $94,000 below. In terms of trading operations, wait for a pullback and then go long.
The signals in the Signature have brought about continuous profits, and accurate signals are shared every day. Hurry up and click to get them!
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BTCUSD: Gathering Momentum for a BreakthroughThe price of BTCUSD strongly broke through the threshold of $97,000 this week, showing a robust upward momentum. Although there has been a pullback currently, it still remains in a strong uptrend above $95,000 overall. In the short term, the primary target for the upward movement is $98,000. If this level is broken through, the focus will shift to the significant psychological level of $100,000. However, when the price of BTCUSD approaches the level of $98,000, this area will form a resistance, and investors should be cautious about the potential risk of a pullback. If it unexpectedly breaks below the support level of $93,000, it may pull back to the area around $89,000.
Taking all factors into consideration, the overall trend of BTCUSD next week is relatively optimistic, with a high probability of continuing to break through upwards. However, the risk of a pullback should also be watched out for. There are uncertainties in the market, and macroeconomic factors such as the progress of negotiations between the United States and its major trading partners may also have an impact on the price of Bitcoin. Therefore, relevant news should be closely monitored.
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.