GBPCHF → Retest of resistance to the global downtrendFX:GBPCHF is facing resistance from the local trend, which is aligned with the global bearish trend. The trend may continue...
A retest of resistance is forming within the global downtrend. As part of the correction, the price is testing the zone of interest and, after a false breakout of 1.7935, is returning to the selling zone.
The currency pair is rebounding from the resistance of the local trend, which coincides with the global trend. Consolidation of the price below 1.078 may trigger a continuation of the decline
Resistance levels: 1.07932, 1.0823
Support levels: 1.07744, 1.07255
Price consolidation in the selling zone followed by a break of the local structure could strengthen the bearish sentiment, which could trigger a further decline overall.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Parallel Channel
GBPJPY: Get Ready to Buy 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY is consolidating within a narrow horizontal range
on a daily time frame.
I am waiting for its bullish breakout and a daily candle close above
199.85 to confirm the next bullish wave.
A rise will be expected to 201 level then.
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IBM Wave Analysis – 18 July 2025
- IBM reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance 295.40
IBM recently reversed up from the support zone between the support level 280.00, upper trendline of the recently broken weekly up channel from 2024 and the support trendline of the more recent up channel from April.
This support zone was further strengthened by the lower daily Bollinger Band and by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the sharp upward impulse from May.
Given the clear daily uptrend and the oversold daily Stochastic, IBM can be expected to rise further to the next resistance 295.40 (which stopped the previous waves 3 and (b)).
US30 Rejection at Channel Resistance US30 is showing a repeated pattern of rejection at the upper boundary of the descending channel. Price has now tapped this trendline for the fourth time, forming a consistent bearish structure.
Price rejected again at the top of the descending channel (marked by orange circles)
Clear sell setup with stop above the most recent swing high, targeting the lower channel boundary around 44,200, aligning with past demand.
Short below 44,685
Target: 44,200
Stop: Above recent highs near 44,913
Risk/Reward: Favourable if structure holds. If this pattern plays out as before, we can expect another push to the downside within the channel.
A break and retest of the midline could add extra confirmation.
#US30 #DowJones #PriceAction #SellSetup #BearishRejection #ChannelTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
XAU/USD Forms Bearish Continuation Triangle – Future Downside
XAU/USD (4H) | FX | Gold Spot vs US Dollar
🔴 SHORT BIAS
📅 Updated: July 18
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🔍 Description
Gold is trading within a bearish contracting triangle, suggesting a continuation move to the downside after the recent corrective bounce. Price is currently approaching the key 3,371–3,376 resistance zone, which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and upper triangle boundary.
This resistance confluence could mark the termination of the (E) wave of the triangle, paving the way for a larger downward thrust. A confirmed break below 3,302 would open the door toward 3,221 as the next major target.
The structure also leaves room for a minor internal triangle (a)-(b)-(c)-(d)-(e) pattern within the broader range, reinforcing the bearish setup.
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📊 Technical Structure (4H)
✅ Bearish contracting triangle: (A)-(B)-(C)-(D)-(E)
✅ 78.6% Fibonacci + supply zone = ideal rejection point
✅ Internal triangle projection aligns with lower support test
📌 Downside Targets
Target 1: 3,302.47
Target 2: 3,221.78
🔻 Invalidation: Above 3,376.03
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📈 Market Outlook
Macro View: Rising real yields and cooling inflation reduce gold’s appeal
Fed Watch: Hawkish tone supports USD, weighing on XAU
Technical View: Structure favors downside break from triangle formation
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⚠️ Risks to Bias
Break and daily close above 3,376.03 invalidates triangle structure
Sudden risk-off sentiment or dovish Fed shift could boost gold demand
Sharp reversal in dollar strength
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🧭 Summary: Bearish Breakout Setup Forming
XAU/USD is completing a bearish triangle structure, with price sitting just below resistance. A rejection from the 3,371–3,376 zone can trigger a breakout lower, first toward 3,302, then extending to 3,221. As always, confirmation and tight risk control are key.
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ETHUSD - ANOTHER GROWING WEEK
ETHUSD - ANOTHER GROWING WEEK✅
ETHUSD has been growing all these days together with a bitcoin. All the news, listed in my previous post for the BTCUSD are also valuable here. Really nice fundamental support, people are purchasing the asset.
But what's with technicals? 📊
Compared to the bitcoin, ETHUSD hasn't reached ATH. According to a daily chart (pic 1), the price has been moving sideways since 2021 and a strong resistance is waiting ahead at 4,000.00. However, for now we are good. I bet that during upcoming days the asset will reach this level and rebound from it. Will it break the resistance? I think it is too early to make any conclusions.
BTCUSD - GOOD SUPPORT ESTABLISHED?BTCUSD - GOOD SUPPORT ESTABLISHED?📈
Yesterday, after a record-breaking nine-hour House session, U.S. lawmakers passed three major crypto bills: CLARITY Act (294-134), which establishes a market structure for cryptocurrencies, GENIUS Act (308-122) that supports U.S. stablecoin innovation and an Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (219-210) that opposes central bank digital currencies. All of this supports crypto and especially Bitcoin.
Technically, BTCUSD looks bullish also, establishing a new bullish trend. I expect the ATH at 123,190.30 will be rewritten soon. Where will be the next stop, I've got no idea. To my mind, the best strategy here will be to buy on trend support, then transfer the stop loss at your entry point and sell o local hikes.
Stay tuned for the next report! 🔔
BRENT CRUDE OIL FORMED A BEARISH WEDGE. ANOTHER POSSIBLE DECLINEBRENT CRUDE OIL FORMED A BEARISH WEDGE. ANOTHER POSSIBLE DECLINE?📉
USOIL has been trading bullish within the last couple of days, supported by prospects of tighter supply and an improved demand outlook. US crude inventories dropped last week, which indicates firm demand despite the rising output.
Still, technically, oil looks bearish. It has formed a bearish wedge and is currently testing the former trendline from below. The most probable scenario is that wee see the bearish impulse towards 6,500.00 with further decline. Another option is that the rise will continue towards 6,900.00 level.
EURAUD → Correction for accumulation before growthFX:EURAUD reaches the zone of interest during a correction and forms a false breakdown of local support. Traders can switch to the buy side to support the trend.
Against the backdrop of a global bullish trend and a correction in the euro, the currency pair is following this movement, the essence of which is to consolidate funds for further growth. Liquidation is forming in relation to the liquidity zones of 1.785, 1.78, and 1.773, and the market imbalance is changing. The current movement is bringing the price to the zone of interest: the liquidity area of 1.773 and the order block. The capture of liquidity relative to 1.773 leads to the formation of a false breakdown and a pullback to the area of interest for buyers. Accordingly, price consolidation above 1.776 and 0.7 Fibonacci could support the main trend and allow the price to strengthen.
Support levels: 1.776, 1.773, 1.763
Resistance levels: 1.786, 1.795
The euro clearly demonstrates an upward trend, the structure of which has not been broken during the correction. Correction is a perfectly healthy movement within a trend, allowing positions to be opened at more favorable prices. If the bulls hold their defense above 1.776, momentum towards the specified targets may form.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Nikkei 225 Wave Analysis – 17 July 2025
- Nikkei 225 reversed from support area
- Likely to rise to resistance level 40550.00
Nikkei 225 index recently reversed up with the daily Doji from the support area located between the key support level 39000.00 (former resistance from May) and the support trendline of the daily up channel from May.
This support area was further strengthened by the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the sharp upward impulse i from May.
Given the strong daily uptrend and the improved sentiment across global equity markets, Nikkei 225 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 40550.00 (former multi-month high from January).
#ETHUSDT #4h (Bitget Futures) Ascending channel on resistanceEthereum printed a gravestone doji followed by a shooting star, RSI is overbought, local top seems in.
⚡️⚡️ #ETH/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Bitget Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Short)
Leverage: Isolated (9.0X)
Amount: 5.0%
Entry Zone:
2996.99 - 3050.49
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 2864.25
2) 2744.02
3) 2623.80
Stop Targets:
1) 3157.46
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:ETH BITGET:ETHUSDT.P #4h #Ethereum #PoS ethereum.org
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +47.5% | +83.3% | +119.0%
Possible Loss= -39.8%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 weeks
Euro may reach seller zone and then continue to fall in channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price pair has recently shifted its market structure, establishing a clear downward channel after breaking its previous uptrend. Before this breakdown, the price was consistently trading within an Upward Channel, repeatedly finding support in the buyer zone (1.1325–1.1350) and reversing upward. The bullish momentum eventually faded when the price failed to break the major horizontal resistance level at 1.1630. This failure triggered a strong bearish impulse, leading to a decisive breakout below the channel's support line and confirming a trend reversal. Currently, the price is making a corrective move up inside the newly formed downward channel, which appears to be a classic retest of the broken structure from below. I expect this upward move to stall as it approaches the heavy confluence of resistance formed by the channel's upper Resistance Line and the horizontal seller zone at 1.1630–1.1655. After testing this area, I anticipate a rejection and the beginning of a new bearish leg down. That's why I've set my TP at the 1.1500 level — it aligns perfectly with the support line of the current downward channel, making it a logical target for sellers. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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WEDGE IN XAUUSD, POSSIBLE OUTCOMESWEDGE IN XAUUSD, POSSIBLE OUTCOMES👀
Since the fundamentals didn't influence this asset (I mean yesterdays U.S. PPI report, escalation in the Middle East and Trump's hint on Powell's resignation), let's talk about technicals in gold.
XAUUSD primarily trades sideways since the beginning of June. Main support levels are 3,250.00 and 3,300.00. Main resistant levels are 3,375.00 and 3,450.00. Currently the asset trades within a range of 3,300.00 - 3,375.00. Additionally, bullion has formed a bearish wedge since the beginning of July. Right now the price is heading towards lower border of this wedge, where the SMA50 is situated and may act as an additional support here.
I see 2 main scenarios for a mid-term here:
1) Break below the wedge, rebound from 3,300.00 support, targeting 3,375.00.
2) Rebound from the wedge’s lower border, show a bearish move to 3,375.00, then drop to 3,300.00.
In both cases, I assume the price to stay sideways for a long period of time.
EURUSD - BEARISH TREND CONTINUESEURUSD - BEARISH TREND CONTINUES📉
On Tuesday, despite the bullish divergence (highlighted as green on RSI), the price broke through the trendline, formed since the beginning of May. Yesterday this trendline got retested on Bloomberg's rumor that Powell may resign. Currently the price is going through the support level of 1.16000.
I see the major way is to go towards 1.15000 support level with a further rebound and possible target of 1.16000. Another option is to go straight towards 1.14000. Will see.
U.S. NATURAL GAS - BEARISH DIVERGENCE DETECTED
U.S. NATURAL GAS - BEARISH DIVERGENCE DETECTED🕵🏻♂️
The Natural gas has been trading bullish for 7 days in a row since last Wednesday, reaching the 3.6000 resistance level. Primarily this happened due to a warm weather in the U.S. states, that supports the demand on gas. Despite warmer-than-normal summer weather, analysts expect energy firms to inject more gas into storage than usual in coming weeks. Record-high output in June, likely to be surpassed in July, and reduced gas flows to LNG export plants since April's peak, support this trend.
Technically chart shows us a bearish divergence on 1-h timeframe. I suppose the price to slowly decline towards major support level of 3.0000 with minor rebounds. The 2nd option is the rebound from 3.4000 support level with a first target of 3.6000.
MarketBreakdown | EURAUD, GBPJPY, WTI CRUDE OIL, SILVER
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #EURAUD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇦🇺
The market is trading in a bullish trend.
The price is steadily growing within a rising parallel channel.
A recent test of its support triggered a strong bullish reaction.
I think that a rise may continue at least to a current high - 1.8035
2️⃣ #GBPJPY daily time frame 🇬🇧🇯🇵
The market is consolidating within a narrow horizontal
parallel channel.
Consider consolidation, trading within its boundaries.
The next bullish wave will be confirmed with a breakout and a
daily candle close above its resistance.
3️⃣ CRUDE OIL #WTI daily time frame 🛢️
The market remains weak and consolidation continues.
I see a wide horizontal range where the price is now stuck.
I think that we may see a pullback from its support.
4️⃣ #SILVER #XAGUSD daily time frame 🪙
The market is retracing after a formation of a new higher high.
I see a strong demand zone ahead: it is based on a rising trend line
and a recently broken horizontal resistance.
The next trend following movement will most likely initiate from there.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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BTC to $12,000,000 December '27I had a years-old bookmarked chart from @MillionaireEconomics that I wanted to update and pick a random, extremely bullish candle pattern from the last time BTC came off the bottom channel to slap on it.
Riddle me this:
Why shouldn't Bitcoin go to $12,000,000 by December 2027?
Saylor continues to lead the way for global companies to scramble to build their own BTC warchests. These early adopters are having investor money dumped into them by the truckload.
Countries are stacking BTC
The BTC ETFs are a smash hit
Trump is all for making his own multi-billy family bitty stack
Mid-curvers will sell far too early, for far too little.
In the next two years, you'll be bombarded with countless, seemingly good reasons to sell your Bitcoins for hundreds of thousands of dollars - and then millions of dollars.
A shocking number of people will be far too early to sell. They will wake up in a cold sweat, night after night, haunted by their "could-have-been" stack, the number that updates in their head ten times a day, going up by six or seven figures a day .
... until they FOMO right back in at $11,999,999.