Patterns
Solana (SOL/USDT) 4H Reverse H&S PatternSolana (SOL/USDT) – 4H Market Outlook | July 1, 2025
Introduction
SOL has formed a reverse head and shoulders pattern, followed by a clean breakout above resistance. While the lower time frame is bullish, the higher time frame remains bearish, creating a short-term opportunity within a broader downtrend.
Context 1: Key Zones
Supply Zone: 176 – 187
Demand Zone: 126 – 143
Psychological Levels: 140 and 160
Context 2: Technical Structure
Pattern: Reverse Head & Shoulders
Breakout: Confirmed above neckline/resistance
FVGs:
One below price (within demand)
One above price (potential target)
Golden Pocket: Sits just above lower FVG and inside demand — strong confluence support
Context 3: Volume Insight
OBV Indicator: Shows a sudden volume spike, adding strength to the breakout and the bullish pattern confirmation.
Bullish Scenario
Price pulls back into the golden pocket + FVG + demand zone
Finds support → bounces to form higher low
Second leg of the move breaks swing high → targets upper FVG and 160 psychological level
Bearish Scenario
Price breaks back below demand zone and invalidates the golden pocket
Fails to hold structure → reverts to macro bearish trend
Potential retest of previous swing low below 126
Summary
SOL is showing bullish momentum on the 4H after completing a reversal pattern and spiking in volume. A pullback into the demand zone confluence may offer a strong long setup — but failure to hold could revalidate the higher timeframe downtrend.
EURAUD -0.7% Short and AUDUSD MistakeA short position taken on EURAUD for a small loss after manually closing before swaps. I have also included a breakdown of a +4% AUDUSD long I was looking at taking but a small error on my behalf that caused me to stay out of the trade. Full explanation as to why I executed on this position and made the decision to manually close at the level I did.
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Bitcoin - Will it explode up or down?Introduction
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading within a symmetrical triangle pattern, forming a series of higher lows and lower highs. This price action indicates a tightening range as the market approaches the apex of the triangle. A breakout is becoming increasingly likely in the coming days, and traders are now watching closely to see which direction BTC will choose. Will it break to the upside or the downside?
Pattern Trading
The symmetrical triangle has been a consistent feature of BTC’s recent price action. Price has been oscillating between the descending resistance and ascending support trendlines, gradually compressing the range. Based on the current structure, Bitcoin could continue moving within this pattern until around June 26th, when the triangle becomes extremely narrow and a breakout becomes imminent. Historically, such setups can produce false breakouts or “fake-outs,” where the price temporarily moves in one direction before sharply reversing and breaking out in the opposite direction. These moves often trap traders who enter too early, so caution is advised. Market manipulation is not uncommon in these tight formations, making it essential to wait for confirmation before entering a position.
4H Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Bitcoin has recently filled a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), a zone that often attracts price due to inefficiencies in the market. Now that this gap has been filled, there could be increased selling pressure, potentially pushing BTC back down toward the lower boundary of the triangle. If BTC is unable to break through the resistance created by this FVG, we may see more bearish momentum. However, should BTC manage to break and hold above this imbalance zone, it would be a strong sign of bullish intent and could open the door for a move to the upside. For now, though, this area remains a significant resistance level.
Upside Target
If BTC manages to break out of the triangle to the upside with strong volume and confirmation, the first major resistance level is around $109,000. This would be a logical target for bulls, as it represents a key zone of liquidity and previous interest. A successful move toward this level would confirm the bullish breakout and could set the stage for further gains, depending on broader market sentiment.
Downside Targets
Conversely, if BTC breaks below the lower trendline of the triangle, the first area to watch is around $103,500. This level is where a significant amount of liquidity has built up, and it could act as initial support. However, if that level fails to hold, the next key psychological level to watch would be $100,000. A drop below this milestone could trigger panic selling and further downside, especially if market sentiment turns negative.
Conclusion
At this point, BTC is at a critical juncture, and traders should remain patient as the market decides its next direction. While the current rejection from the 4H FVG suggests some short-term bearish pressure, the overall pattern remains neutral until a confirmed breakout occurs. Trading within the triangle can be risky due to the possibility of fake-outs, so it’s best to wait for clear confirmation before committing to a trade. Stay cautious, manage your risk carefully, and prepare for volatility as Bitcoin approaches a decisive move.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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US100 - Trading within a bearish parallel channel!Introduction
The US100 is currently trading within a well-defined parallel channel to the downside, consistently finding support along the lower trendline and facing resistance near the upper boundary. This structure has led to a clear pattern of lower lows and lower highs on the 1H timeframe. Most recently, price action broke market structure, and we now anticipate a reaction near a high-confluence resistance area.
Parallel Channel
A distinct parallel channel has been developing on the US100 over the past several days on the 1H timeframe. During last night's move, the price touched the lower boundary of the channel and has been trending upward since. After breaking above the midline at $21,640, momentum suggests a potential continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel around $21,830.
FVG
During the most recent downward move, the US100 created a significant 1H Fair Value Gap (FVG), stretching from $21,775 to $21,840. This zone represents a key imbalance that could generate a strong reaction to the downside if price revisits it.
Conclusion
Given the break in structure on the 1H timeframe, short-term upward moves are likely to face resistance. The confluence between the upper boundary of the parallel channel and the 1H FVG creates a high-probability area for price rejection, making it a critical level to watch for potential downside pressure.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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