Pivot Points
USNAS100 – Bearish Bias Below 21780 Ahead of CPI and Trade TalksUSNAS100 – Bearish Pressure Below 21780, CPI & Trade Talks in Focus
Overview:
USNAS100 remains under downward pressure ahead of a key macro week, including US-China trade talks and the upcoming US CPI data.
Technically, price remains bearish while below the pivot level at 21780.
A break below 21635 may lead to further downside toward 21470 and potentially 21360.
On the upside, a 1H close above 21780 could invalidate the bearish view and open the path toward 21920 and the ATH at 22200.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 21780
Support: 21635, 21470, 21360
Resistance: 21920, 22200
Bitcoin — Breakout or Bull Trap? SFP Setup ExplainedAfter a clean drop that nearly tagged the psychological $100K level, Bitcoin printed a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) — sweeping the lows and snapping back with strength. That bounce wasn’t just a reaction — it was a liquidity reclaim.
Now, price structure is shaping into a potential Inverted Head & Shoulders — a classic reversal pattern often forming before a bullish continuation.
🔍 Key Level to Watch:
$106,694.63 — This recent key high was just taken out. If we see rejection here (SFP), it could set up a high-probability low-risk short opportunity.
🎯 Short Trade Idea (Only on SFP confirmation):
Entry: After price sweeps $106,694.63 and shows rejection
Stop-Loss: Above wick high (e.g., ~$107.4K)
TP Zones: $103.5K and $101.7K
R:R: ~1:7
✅ Cleaner setup with confluence from structure and liquidity — high probability if confirmed.
📚 Educational Insight: Why SFPs Work So Well
SFPs (Swing Failure Patterns) are some of the most powerful setups in trading because they:
Trap breakout traders
Sweep liquidity and reverse quickly
Offer clear invalidation (wick high/low)
Allow for tight stop-loss and high R:R setups
Using SFPs in conjunction with key highs/lows, volume, and structure dramatically increases your edge.
📈 Why Order Flow Is Crucial for SFPs
1. See the Trap Form in Real Time
SFPs are essentially traps — price sweeps a key level, sucks in breakout traders, and then reverses. Order flow tools let you see this happen:
A spike in market buys above resistance
Followed by a lack of follow-through (no new buyers)
And then an aggressive absorption or reversal (selling pressure hits)
Without order flow, this is all hidden in the candles.
2. Confirm Liquidity Sweeps with Delta & CVD
Watch for a delta spike or Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) divergence — a clear sign that aggressive buyers are getting absorbed.
This gives you confirmation that the sweep failed, not just a random wick.
3. Tight Entries with Confidence
When you see actual trapped volume or liquidation clusters at the SFP level, you can enter tighter with conviction — because you're not guessing, you’re reacting to actual intent and failure in the market.
4. Early Warning System for Reversal or Continuation
If the SFP fails to trigger a reversal (e.g. buyers step back in with strength), you’ll see it early in the flow — and can quickly reassess.
🧠 Bottom Line:
Order flow lets you stop guessing and start seeing the actual fight between buyers and sellers. Combine it with SFPs, and you're not just trading price — you're trading intent. That edge is huge.
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NAS100 - Will the stock market reach its previous ATH!?The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in the specified pattern. In case of a valid break of this range, I expect a new trend to form. It is better to wait for confirmation on the break in order to control further risk.
U.S. President Donald Trump announced that an American delegation will meet with Chinese representatives in London on June 9 to discuss a potential trade agreement. In a post on Truth Social, Trump stated, “I’m pleased to announce that Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will meet with Chinese officials on Monday, June 9, 2025, in London to discuss a trade deal.” He added that he expects the meeting to go “very well.” U.S. stock markets rose on Friday, and Chinese markets are now following suit. The Hang Seng Index has reached its highest level since March.
Meanwhile, Amazon has completely halted its hiring budget for office workers in its core retail business. This decision applies only to white-collar staff and excludes warehouse employees and those in its cloud computing division. According to Business Insider, which cited internal company emails, the hiring freeze affects Amazon’s online marketplace, logistics operations, and grocery business.
Having doubled its workforce between 2019 and 2021 to 1.6 million, Amazon reduced that number to 1.55 million last year. Since late 2022, the e-commerce giant has laid off at least 27,000 employees.
This move comes as the U.S. jobs report released Friday helped ease some concerns, though signs of broader economic challenges remain. Experts suggest that such a hiring freeze could reflect broader economic trends—where mass layoffs are avoided, but hiring slows down significantly.
In May, the U.S. economy added 139,000 jobs, down from 147,000 in April. The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2%, staying within the narrow range it has held over the past year. The labor market has remained resilient, dismissing fears that tariffs would cause a significant slowdown. So far, tariff-related disruptions have not been severe enough to destabilize the job market—at least not in May.
Data indicates that employers continue to refrain from layoffs, even as hiring has slowed considerably compared to the post-pandemic surge. Labor market analysts expect signs of weakness to emerge in the coming months, as businesses become more cautious about hiring due to uncertainty surrounding tariffs—according to recent surveys. For now, however, the labor market remains strong.
The absence of red flags in employment may give the Federal Reserve more room to maintain its patient stance on interest rate cuts. This year, Fed officials have kept interest rates higher than average to curb inflation by increasing borrowing costs. The Fed’s dual mandate is to keep inflation low and employment high, and it may opt to cut rates to stimulate the economy if the labor market weakens.Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other FOMC members have said they are waiting to see whether President Trump’s trade wars will stoke inflation, trigger job losses, or both. So far, neither scenario has materialized. Strong labor market data may give them further justification to stay in wait-and-see mode. Rosner wrote, “Given the Fed’s sharp focus on inflation risk management, today’s stronger-than-expected jobs report is unlikely to alter its patient approach. We expect the Fed to remain on hold at this month’s meeting and believe further deterioration
ETH NEW UPDATE (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Inside the red zone from the previous analysis, there was also a SWAP zone that price reacted to. The pullback trendline has also been broken. After re-evaluating the chart, the best area for a potential re-entry is the $2,165 to $2,250 range.
Do not enter a position without a proper setup and risk management | you could easily become market maker bait.
A daily candle close above the invalidation level would invalidate this bearish scenario.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
GBPUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
US May Nonfarm Payroll data influences Fed policy expectations: slowing job growth but strong wage growth raises odds of a September rate cut, exerting pressure on the USD. Meanwhile, the UK manufacturing sector faces headwinds from US tariff policies, while domestic policy adjustments (e.g., tightened stamp duty relief) impact the economy. Diverging expectations on BoE rate policy and unimplemented parts of the US-UK trade agreement add uncertainty.
Technical Analysis (4-hour chart):
MACD histogram remains negative but is shrinking, indicating marginal bullish momentum recovery amid an unclear overall trend.
Rising prices with declining volumes signal weakening upward momentum.
Key resistance: ~1.3600; support: ~1.3400.
Trading Recommendation:
Aggressive traders may initiate light long positions near 1.3450 on price retracement.
Trading Strategy:
buy@1.3450-1.3480
TP:1.3550-1.3600
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EURUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
Easing EU-U.S. trade tensions have provided support for the euro, though the stability of the eurozone's economic recovery remains uncertain—subsequent economic data will influence EUR dynamics. Markets are closely monitoring U.S. economic indicators and Federal Reserve policy: weak data or dovish signals could weaken the USD, benefiting EUR/USD.
Technical Analysis (4-Hour Chart):
MACD: Positive histogram shrinking, indicating diminishing bullish momentum and a non-trending market environment.
Price-Volume Divergence: Rising prices accompanied by declining trading volumes signal insufficient upward momentum.
KDJ: Reading of 95 suggests overbought conditions.
Key Levels: Resistance at 1.1461 (upper Bollinger Band), support at 1.1300.
Trading Recommendation:
Consider light long positions near 1.1350 on price retracement.
Trading Strategy:
buy@1.13500-1.13550
TP:1.14500-1.15000
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BTCUSDT: Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
The U.S. Senate’s procedural vote on the GENIUS Stablecoin Act could inject significant 合规 capital into the crypto market if passed. Regulatory sentiment has improved following the Trump administration’s push to include Bitcoin in strategic reserves. Concurrently, Bitcoin ETFs recorded over $40B in inflows during May, while Coinbase’s inclusion in the S&P 500 has solidified crypto’s mainstream investment credentials.
Technical Analysis:
Bitcoin is consolidating above $100k, with MACD showing diminished but dominant bullish momentum. RSI at ~55 indicates balanced market forces. On-chain metrics reveal historically low distribution pressure from long-term holders and accelerating retail participation, forming a supportive backdrop for price appreciation.
Trading Recommendation:
Seek long entries on pullbacks. Light positions may be initiated between $103k-$104k.
Trading Strategy:
buy@ 103000–104000
TP:106000-108000
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USOIL:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
OPEC+ plans to increase production by 411K bpd in July, with major producers like Saudi Arabia and the UAE holding ample idle capacity. This expansion could exacerbate global crude oil oversupply, pressuring prices. Concurrently, the U.S. steel import tariff hikes may trigger trade frictions, dampening global economic recovery and curbing industrial crude demand.
Technical Analysis:
The MACD indicator shows expanding green bars (bearish momentum), with short-term moving averages trending toward a bearish crossover of long-term averages. However, recent price retracement from relative highs suggests potential rebound. Key resistance lies at the $66–67/barrel zone, while critical support holds at $61.5–62/barrel.
Trading Recommendation:
Aggressive traders may initiate light short positions near 66 on a confirmed resistance rejection.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@66-65.5
TP:63-62
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XAUUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Gold Market Analysis:
Despite minimal deviation between Friday’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) release and prior figures, gold prices accelerated below the key support level of 3333 during the U.S. session after a period of bearish consolidation. Technical structure suggests further downside potential: the weekly opening gap at 3292 remains unfilled, serving as the first target for bearish continuation. A decisive break below this level could open space toward 3280–3272, with 3280 identified as a strong support zone.
Monday Focus: Prioritize rebound shorting, targeting initial support at 3304–3298.
Key Threshold: Long positions may be considered on failure to breach 3292, with a focus on gap closure dynamics.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@3350-3340
TP:3300-3280
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NOT / USD. Local trend. Reversal zones 08 06 2025Local work ("market noise") is not a breakout of the inverted head and shoulders resistance zone (yellow reversal level). A rollback back to the horizontal channel formation zone with a 100% step. Everything is as before, nothing new can happen, for clarity, I showed the % to the key local support/resistance levels.
NOT Main trend. Channel. 16 03 2025
BTC.D (Dominance at Critical Fibonacci Confluence) 2025 Weekly
**Summary:**
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is testing a major Fibonacci confluence near the 66% level. This zone historically acts as a major pivot and may signal either a continued dominance rally or a potential reversal setting the stage for altseason. We use three layered Fibonacci retracements to outline dominant trend zones, key resistances, and projected targets.
**Chart Context:**
This chart uses **three distinct Fibonacci retracements** to map the historical and projected behavior of BTC dominance:
1. **Primary Fib** (100% to 0%): Captures the macro move from BTC.D \~100% down to its 0% level at \~0%, which aligns with the first altseason (2018–2019).
2. **Secondary Fib** (100% to 38.88%): Maps the first bearish wave to identify potential recovery levels. BTC.D retraced up to the 61.8% (\~73.68%) but failed to break further.
3. **Third or the Current Fib** (73.68% to 38.88%): Maps the latest bearish fall in BTC.D. As of now, BTC.D is hovering at the 78.6% retracement level of this move, indicating heavy resistance.
**Key Technical Observations:**
* **1st TP (Resistance):** 66% — Strong Fibonacci confluence zone:
* Fib2 48.6% ≈ Fib3 78.6%
* Major reversal zone historically
* **2nd TP (Support):** 52.25% — Multi-Fib confluence:
* Fib1 48.6%, Fib2 61.8%, Fib3 38.2%
* **3rd TP (Ultimate Support):** 38.88% — Historical BTC.D bottom, aligned with the first altseason.
* Intermediate Fibonacci confluences between 48%–60% serve as layered support during decline phases.
**Indicators:**
* No external indicators used; pure multi-frame Fibonacci confluence.
* Price action structure and historical patterns highlight potential market rotation zones.
**Fundamental Context:**
The current phase of the market reflects increasing speculative activity in altcoins while Bitcoin consolidates. Historically, high BTC.D correlates with Bitcoin-led rallies, while a sharp drop often triggers altseason.
* Growing inflows into ETH, SOL, and possible now XRP, and mid-cap alts suggest capital rotation.
* If BTC.D faces rejection from 66%, the market could enter a new altseason phase.
* Macro tailwinds (e.g., easing monetary policy, risk-on sentiment) support altcoin performance in the medium term.
**Philosophical or Narrative View:**
BTC.D acts as a barometer of market risk preference. As confidence expands beyond Bitcoin, money flows into altcoins—like tributaries branching off the main river. The rejection from major confluences signals this psychological shift, marking phases of creative decentralization.
**Related Reference Charts:**
* TOTAL3 Fibonacci Setup (Altcoin market excluding BTC & ETH):
* TOTAL2 Correction Probabilities:
**Bias & Strategy Implication:**
* **Primary Bias:** Bearish rejection from 66% followed by correction to 52% and potentially 38.88%.
* **Alternative Scenario:** Brief breach above 66% before reversal.
* Traders may consider rotating into altcoin exposure if BTC.D confirms reversal at the confluence zone.
**Time Horizon:**
* Mid to Long Term (1–6 months outlook)
* Weekly timeframe tracking
**Notes & Disclaimers:**
* This analysis is for educational purposes. Market conditions may evolve rapidly.
* Use proper risk management when acting on dominance signals.
EURUSD: Support & Resistance Analysis For Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important supports and resistances for EURUSD
for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
UNI Sell/Short Setup (4H)The overall structure in UNI is bearish, considering the recent CH (Change of Character) observed in the swing.
The price is currently below the resistance line, and if it approaches the premium zone of the previous minor wave, we can look for sell/short positions based on UNI’s overall outlook. The zone where we are interested in entering a position is marked with a red circle.
The target can be the green box.
A daily candle close above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
MORPHO Analysis (12H)After losing the trendline and forming a bearish CH (Change of Character), the price is now pulling back into the supply zones. A rejection from the red zone toward the green zone could lead to a drop.
A candle close above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Gold liquidity run short setup In this video I map out the range using the fixed range tool and talk about the possibility of a liquidity run on the weekly high before dropping back inside the range .
Engineering liquidity at the range value area high and thus heightening the expectation for more upside continuation , take the liquidity at $3392 and pull back below the vah *Value area high and head down to fill the new week open gap and the new monthly pivots $3297 and the poc * point of control and remain rangebound.
We all know that nothing is set in stone and this is just an idea out of many but its something to consider .
Set alerts and wait for reaction and lower time frame for confirmation
Thanks for your support
BITCOIN REVERSAL INCOMING !!!! BUT WHEN????Currently we have seen a great move from 75k to new ATH 112k BUT now whole bullish momentum seems to be fading.
If we see charts, we clearly see ranges and recently Bitcoin has swept range high & reclaimed back into range, which indicates lose momentum. We may see BTC tapping 90K even 80'sK for next bullish move.
For all to maintain it's bullish momentum, Bitcoin have to stay above 74.5k and needs to break and hold above 109.5K.
Breaking below 74.5k would push BTC as low as 60-55k
STAY CAUTIOUS !!!!
XAGUSD(SILVER):To $60 the silver is new gold, most undervaluedSilver has shown remarkable bullish behaviour and momentum, in contrast to gold’s recent decline. Despite recent news, silver remains bullish and unaffected by these developments. We anticipate that silver will reach a record high by the end of the year, potentially reaching $60.
There are compelling reasons why we believe silver will be more valuable in the coming years, if not months. Firstly, the current price of silver at 36.04 makes it the most cost-effective investment option compared to gold. This presents an attractive opportunity for retail traders, as gold may not be suitable for everyone due to its nature and price.
Silver’s price has increased from 28.47 to 36.25, indicating its potential to reach $60 in the near future. We strongly recommend conducting your own analysis before making any trading or investment decisions. Please note that this analysis is solely our opinion and does not guarantee the price or future prospects of silver.
We appreciate your positive feedback and comments, which encourage us to provide further analysis. Your continuous support over the years means a lot to us.
We wish you a pleasant weekend.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx
ILVUSDT: Trend in daily timeframeThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames, and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
Be careful
BEST
MT
DIAUSDT: Trend in daily timeframeThe color levels are very accurate levels of support and resistance in different time frames, and we have to wait for their reaction in these areas.
So, Please pay special attention to the very accurate trend, colored levels, and you must know that SETUP is very sensitive.
Be careful
BEST
MT