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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-5-25 : GAP Reversal PatternToday's pattern suggests the SPY will open with a GAP range from yesterday's candle Body and attempt to reverse the trend we saw last week. I believe this move will resolve to the downside, as I've been warning of the May 2-5 Major Bottom for many weeks. I believe the extended uptrend over the last few weeks was pure speculation related to Q1 US earnings. It is hard to argue that traders playing into the Q1 earnings boost didn't play the right side of the trend after watching the markets rally over the past 2+ weeks. But, I still believe the markets will consolidate and attempt to move downward over the next 10- 20+ days. The one thing that we have to understand is Q1 was almost on auto-pilot from Biden's economy/spending until Trump threw a curveball at the global markets with tariffs. I don't believe the US & global markets have truly priced in a global -25% to -45% economic contraction because of the ongoing tariff negotiations. It has been reported that shipping rates are down 60% in China. I believe we still need another 30-60+ days to work out the tariff issues and to allow the markets to settle into proper expectations for future economic output/growth. Because of this, I continue to urge traders to stay cautious. Sitting on CASH right now (only trading 20% of your total capital) is probably the smartest thing you can do at the moment. I still expect the July and October 2025 lows to be the base/bottom of the markets, leading to a stronger upward price trend. Right now, I've very cautious we've just seen a "dead-cat bounce" off recent lows because of Q1 earnings expectations. Now that we've passed most of the Q1 data - we are staring at Q2 & Q3. What comes next. I believe Gold/Silver will continue to price in extreme risk factors - resulting in a strong rally through May and into June. I believe Bitcoin will stall and move back down to the lower consolidation range. Let's see how things play out this week. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
5
QQQ Technical Analysis! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the QQQ next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 488.86 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 463.87 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by AnabelSignals
#202518 - priceactiontds - weekly update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Bulls want at least 20536 now and run all the stops from before the big sell-off. Bears are not doing anything at all, so bulls will likely get it. This could be a breakout-retest and I marked the area for that with the red rectangle. Small chance bears come around next week but for now it’s too early to short and buying into 9 consecutive bull days is statistically beyond moronic. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 15500 - 23000 (upper range is a guess, could also become 21000 but for now we don’t know so I assume the higher price) bull case: 20536 and then 21000. Those are the next targets and bulls are in full control of the market. The measured move from the buy spike at the lows is around 22350 and it’s possible that we get there. I think we need to see a pullback and how deep that will be. If we get only another sell spike and immediate buying for higher highs, we can also assume much higher prices. Above 21100 there is no reason not to go for 23000. Invalidation is below 19100. bear case: Bears have nothing. Below 19100 market is neutral but until then, selling this is dumb. Wait for more bears to appear or at least seeing something that resembles a topping pattern. Like a lower high on the 1h chart. Don’t try to be the lucky bear who shorted the exact high. Invalidation is above 21100. short term: Neutral. No interest in buying such a buy climax but it’s way too early for shorts. Patience is key. medium-long term - Update from 2024-04-26: My most bearish target for 2025 was 17500ish. Now I assume we will be in a trading range 16000 - 23000 for much longer.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
by priceactiontds
$MSFT BEST TRADE EVER? SUB $400 incoming by Mid JuneHey everybody, I hope that rally didn't kick your arses the way it did mine. You know, it's like I'm allergic to taking upside atm due to how bearish the MACRO is. Of course, with time, I'm going to assume I get most of my downside Price Targets in the next several years. If you refer to the previous 23% Run to the 200DMA from the 50day in 2023 , NASDAQ:MSFT produced a 9 COUNT SELL SIGNAL , RALLIED for a week, and then dropped to new lows. That is what I am expecting here. NASDAQ:MSFT looks absolutely ripe for the taking. We just rallied 17% and got the 9 COUNT SELL SIGNAL . Mind you, Gaps galore below. The Monthly and the Weekly both have Gaps . Charts do not like that, let me tell ya. I'm excited if you can't tell. NASDAQ:META and NASDAQ:AVGO look great as well. I'm still cautious about a spike out but I figure if we continue higher, i will have opportunity to grab more for cheaper as I am very confident in this move. The price moved above the DEATH CROSS and above the 200DMA . Not ever a healthy move if it moves Vertically from the 50 day and Crosses above both MA's without a stop. Mid June NASDAQ:MSFT should be at new lows.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by TazmanianTrader
$RDDT Earnings Beat 30% / Earnings Growth 101.6%I have taken a position in NYSE:RDDT at $120.50 and I will put my stop on a definitive close under the 21 EMA (blue). At the current price that would be about an 8% stop. (Sometimes I take positions off before they hit my stop loss if it is not acting well.) I am looking for this to retake its prior leadership but it may not. From ATH to lowest low was a 65% drop. It has gained about 26% of that back. If you like this idea, please make it your own trade that fits with your trading rules. Reddit Beat Expectations Thursday, May 1, 2025 at 4:06 PM ET Reddit (RDDT) reported earnings of $0.13 per share on revenue of $392.36 million for the first quarter ended March 2025. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.02 per share on revenue of $373.33 million. The Earnings Whisper number was $0.10 per share. The company beat expectations by 30.00% while revenue grew 61.49% on a year-over-year basis. The company said it expects second quarter revenue of $410.0 million to $430.0 million. The current consensus revenue estimate is $399.36 million for the quarter ending June 30, 2025. Reddit is a community of communities built on shared interests, passion, and trust and is home to the most open and authentic conversations on the internet.
NYSE:RDDTLong
by jaxdog
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-2-25 : Major CRUSH PatternToday's pattern is a Major CRUSH pattern in Counter-Trend mode. These types of patterns (CRUSH patterns) are usually very large range bars that move against the current price trend. A Counter-trend Major CRUSH pattern would likely be a huge bar that moves counter to a counter-trend - thus potentially BULLISH. Today, I have my reservations related to how this Major Crush pattern will setup. As I stated in my video, yesterday's price bar setup an Island type of bar (in an Evening formation) which is very typical of a topping pattern. Today, I'm expecting the markets to sell downward into the Major CRUSH pattern. I believe the move of my MRM system into Bullish Trending yesterday sets up a perfect opportunity for the markets to shake out the longs on a big CRUSH pattern today. But, I've also highlighted bullish breakaway levels on the SPY/QQQ chart for traders to be prepared for any outcome today. In short, I believe the May 2-5 Major Bottom aligns with this Major CRUSH pattern as a downward price trend today. But, I'll be prepared to take my lumps if I'm wrong and the markets rally straight upward. Over the past few days, we've seen some interesting developments in China and other places. I do not believe the US market is immune from the global slowdown which is taking place right now. Therefore, I urge traders to continue to stay protected from risks and to keep allocation levels rather small. It may seem like a fantastic time to throw out some big trades - but it is still very dangerous in this extreme volatility. I see Gold and Silver trying to base/bottom near recent lows over the next 5+ days. I still believe Gold will be trading at or near $4100 before the end of May. Bitcoin seems to have followed the SPY/QQQ upward since April 21. I believe this is pure speculation. I'm still very cautious of a breakdown in the markets right now. Let's see how this Major CRUSH pattern plays out. It should be interesting - one way or the other (again, I'm still leaning toward a BEARISH breakdown in price today). Get some... #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
20
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update : Behind The Scenes ResearchI want to say thank you to all of you and to share with you all the work/resources/servers/and other data I maintain to help me identify where and how the markets will present opportunities to all of us. This video shows you a bit of the behind-the-scenes work I do and some of my proprietary modeling systems. I'm not sharing this with you to try to win you over or to tell you I do more than anyone else in terms of research. I'm sure there are many others who go much further than I do in terms of trying to dissect the markets and the opportunities available. But I do believe I deliver very unique research, which is a one-of-a-kind solution for traders. Again, I'm not 100% accurate (I wish I were). But I am trying to share some of the decision-making solutions I use to understand where the markets are likely to move over the next 2- 4+ months and how traders can profit from my research. Remember, you are only seeing about 10% of my total research, tools, modeling systems, and capabilities in these Plan Your Trade videos. I want to thank all of you who continue to value my work. It is not easy. It takes money, time, and resources to continue to monitor all of these systems/algos. The end result, I believe, is one of the most unique future/current modeling system resources you can find anywhere. Again, thank you for making my research a success. I promise to do more and improve my tools over the next 12+ months for everyone to find better profits. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
2
Today is oct 14th 1929 I have moved back to Long puts at 105%The chart posted was in the forecast written dec 8th 2024 We have now reached my targets of 5669 area I have been buying the dips in calls and made $ I am now 105 % long in the money puts and I do Not see a bottom until july once we break and a second bottom mid oct The market should see a drop of 38 % into july and form a small double bottom in oct at 41 % off the highs . I will move to 125 % long puts on a sell stop at 5300 even the math at 5334 is key Best of trades WAVETIMER
SP:SPX
by wavetimer
6
Nasdaq-100 Goes Back to 'PRE-PAIN' 20 000 Level. Series IIApril has gone.. Wow.. Duh..!? ..really? ... or still not!? Briefly a month ago or so, we have examined at our wonderful @PandorraResearch Team what is 'Revenge Trading', watch our recent 'Educational' idea right here (if you missed one), to learn what sort of lessons we should know about it. Indeed, it was a really bad story, to purchase in late March 2025 most-hyped so-known Mag Seven stock that came flagships of the recent stock market collapse. First of all, watch how it's been below (late March 2025) 👇👇 What's happened next just in a week or two since our publications has been made? ⚒ Russell 2000 Index TVC:RUT 95% stocks were: DOWN ⚒ S&P500 Index SP:SPX 96% stocks were: DOWN ⚒ Nasdaq-100 NASDAQ:NDX as well as Dow Jones Industrial Averages DJIA indices: 97% stocks were DOWN ⚒ Magnificent Seven: ALL STOCKS WERE DOWN Since Nasdaq-100 went back to pre-pain 20'000 Level, lets repeat some lessons. Revenge trading is DANGEROUS AND HARMFUL pracrice where traders, after suffering a loss, attempt to immediately recoup their losses by making impulsive, emotionally-driven trades. This behavior is widely recognized as one of the major reasons traders lose significant amounts of money and often blow up their accounts. Why Revenge Trading Is Bad 1. Emotional Decision-Making Replaces Strategy When traders engage in revenge trading, they abandon their carefully crafted trading strategies and risk management rules. Instead, trades are made based on anger, frustration, or the desire to "get back" at the market. This emotional state clouds judgment, leading to irrational decisions such as increasing position sizes recklessly, disregarding stop-loss orders, or chasing trades without proper analysis. As a result, the likelihood of making successful trades plummets. 2. Escalating Losses and Account Blowups The urge to recover losses quickly often leads traders to double down or over-leverage their positions, exposing a large portion of their capital to additional risk. Statistically, 80% of revenge trading ends disastrously, with only a small fraction experiencing temporary success before ultimately facing larger losses. This cycle of chasing losses can rapidly erode trading capital, making recovery increasingly difficult. 3. Psychological Burnout and Stress Revenge trading is mentally and emotionally exhausting. The constant cycle of loss and frantic attempts to recover can lead to stress, depression, and burnout. This further impairs decision-making, creating a vicious cycle of poor performance and deteriorating mental health. 4. Long-Term Damage to Trading Habits Repeatedly succumbing to revenge trading ingrains bad habits, making it difficult for traders to maintain discipline and consistency in the long run. This lack of consistency undermines the potential for sustainable profitability and can end trading careers prematurely. Recent Real-World Examples Recent years have seen numerous cautionary tales illustrating the dangers of revenge trading (all links are from r/wallstreetbets subreddit for learing/ educational purposes only): $40,000 Lost on NVDA Options (2024). A trader repeatedly doubled down on Nvidia (NVDA) put options during its price rally in mid-2024. Despite initial small wins, the trader, driven by the urge to recover losses, continued to increase his position size, ultimately losing over $40,000. $26,000 Lost in 20 Minutes on SPX. A Reddit user reported losing $26,000 in about 20 minutes trading the S&P 500 index (SPX) after prices dropped sharply. The loss was the result of impulsive trades made in an attempt to quickly recover from earlier setbacks. From $27,000 to $0 in Three Days. Another trader turned $500 into $27,000 in just a few days, only to lose it all within 48 hours after a market reversal. Instead of taking profits or stepping back, the trader kept chasing losses with increasingly risky trades, ending up with nothing. $100,000 Loss on a Yen Carry Trade. A trader, influenced by news of geopolitical tensions, made a large leveraged bet on the yen. After an initial loss, he refused to cut his losses and doubled down, ultimately losing $100,000 instead of accepting a smaller $30,000 hit. More juicy stories are to be collected... These stories are not isolated incidents. They are echoed across trading forums and social media, serving as stark warnings of how quickly revenge trading can destroy even substantial gains. Conclusion Revenge trading is DANGEROUS AND HARMFUL because it replaces rational, strategic decision-making with emotional reactions, leading to escalating financial losses, psychological distress, and long-term damage to trading discipline. The real-world examples from the past year underscore that no trader-regardless of experience-is immune to its risks. The best defense is to recognize the urge, step away, and return only with a clear, objective mindset and a disciplined strategy. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
CME_MINI:NQM2025
by PandorraResearch
If you think the 2025 bottom is in you couldn't be more wrongIf you think the bottom for 2025 is in and it's only up from here let me have what you're smoking. Just a puff, please! About 80% of social media retail traders are confidently calling a bottom, that's a major contrarian signal. Herding equals danger! If everyone is bullish, most are already positioned long leaving a few buyers to push prices higher. It's known as "pain trade" where markets often move in the direction that causes the most discomfort. Many of loudest voices are retail traders influencers chasing engagement, not portfolio managers or data driven strategists. AMEX:SPY SP:SPX NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:DIA NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN
AMEX:SPY
by ProfitTradeRoom
7
$HII Earnings Beat and Breakout ContinuationI have been long this name since April 17th. I held through earnings as it has been a slow but steady gainer. Revenue did fall about 2% YOY. However, this is a good candidate for the new ship building initiative. If you like this idea, please make it your own and be sure to follow "your" rules of trading. If you like this idea or any others I publish (and they are not always right) follow me on X where I post more often. Huntington Ingalls Industries Beat Expectations Thursday, May 1, 2025 at 7:15 AM ET Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) reported earnings of $3.79 per share on revenue of $2.73 billion for the first quarter ended March 2025. The consensus earnings estimate was $2.90 per share on revenue of $2.79 billion. The Earnings Whisper number was $3.00 per share. The company beat expectations by 26.33% while revenue fell 2.53% compared to the same quarter a year ago. The company said it continues to expect 2025 revenue of $11.80 billion to $12.20 billion. The current consensus revenue estimate is $11.95 billion for the year ending December 31, 2025. HII is a global, all-domain defense partner, building and delivering the world’s most powerful, survivable naval ships and technologies that safeguard our seas, sky, land, space and cyber.
NYSE:HIILong
by jaxdog
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 5-1 : Bottom-104Today's Bottom pattern suggests the markets will attempt to move downward - trying to find support. Even though it may appear my May 2-5 Major Bottom pattern will not happen as I expect - this is a very good lesson for traders. I'm not 100% accurate all the time. Sometimes, the markets do things that are not aligned with my research/patterns and sometimes the markets can be far more irrational than traders expect. For example, I believe this current rally is more of a speculative rally in the SPY/QQQ/BTCUSD. There is nothing I'm seeing in the Crash Index (or TRAN) to support this upward price move other than traders attempting to "buy the dip". Ultimately, I believe the current contraction in the global economy based on policies, tariffs and economic disruptions will continue to drive a consolidation, basing type of price trend, traders are buying into this dip and attempting to drive price upward on expectations of a growing global economy. Time will tell how things play out - but my longer-term modeling systems are still Bearish. I will be on the road with my father today - so I'm not going to be as available to answer questions. Watch this video twice if you need to. It will be interesting to see how the next 5+ days in the markets play out. As I stated, I'm not 100% accurate all the time. I do my best to try to help guide all of you through these market trends with my research and cycle patterns - but, that is not enough to guarantee 100% accuracy on any trade. That's just how it is in the world. No one is 100% perfect at predicting market moves. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
20
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 4-30 : Moving Into FlaggingThis quick update video should help you understand how my May 2-5 Major Bottom pattern could represent a move into FLAGGING within an inverted EPP pattern. If my research is correct, the next move for the market will be a moderate downward price trend that will represent the FLAGGING portion of the inverted EPP pattern. You've all see how bullish EPP patterns play out over the past 3 to 5+ months. Now we get to see how this recent SPY low near 480 turns into an inverted EPP pattern. This is basically the same pattern - but forming in an inverted mode. As we transition through this inverted EPP pattern, what I'm looking for is a breakdown move to create the new FLAGGING formation. This move aligns perfectly with my May 2-5 Major Bottom pattern and could be a perfect setup for the attempted "breaking of the Flag High" in late May 2025. I'm watching Gold and Silver stay relatively strong today. So I'm seeing today's market move as a "reversion move" - not really a breakdown move (yet). It will be interesting to see how this plays out. If the markets move into Flagging, as I expect, the big opportunities will be to ride the Flagging & Breakdown patterns over the next 30+ days before we move into either an INVALIDATION or CONTINUATION phase of the inverted EPP pattern. Price is the ultimate indicator - you just need to know what to look for. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
AMEX:SPYShort
by BradMatheny
15
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-30 : Carryover PatternToday's Carryover pattern suggests the markets may attempt to trend slightly upward after the big downward pressure/GAP sets up this morning. As many of you are already aware, I have been predicting a May 2-5 Major Bottom in the markets. I would suggest today's carryover pattern may be negated by an early breakdown in the markets. If my May 2-5 Major Bottom pattern is going to show up, the markets would likely start to break downward today and tomorrow - leading to the Major CRUSH pattern on Friday. Gold and Silver appear to be consolidating into a flagging/cradle pattern. I believe the downward pressure on the markets will likely prompt a flush-out low in metals before another big rally phase sets up. BTCUSD is stalling and will likely pull downward as my May 2-5 Major Bottom pattern plays out. Basically, HEDGE your positions. This market looks like it will roll into a moderate low over the next 4-5+ days, then base and bottom after May 10th or so. As I've suggested, I positioned for this move about 4-5 days ago. Now, I just need to ride it out and start booking profits when they happen. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
NASDAQ:TRANShort
by BradMatheny
10