Bullish bias for Exxon @ strong support lvl & bullish trendlineGeneral overview:
1) general direction since 2010 has been bullish
2) a 61.8% retracement occurred in late-2015, and we are at a similar level
3) lower highs seen after the massive retracement, though lower lows not being tested till recently
What I like:
1) the pin bar pokes through a strong support level, bullish trendline, and the 61.8% retracement and closes above all three
2) excellent R/R of around 2-3 (depending on stop loss location, either way quite favorable)
3. if price hits target and breaks the upper limit of the triangle, price target will be moved even higher up till ~$104 mark. This makes a R/R of around 2 to a 6 easily.
What I dislike:
1) subsequent day of the pin, price broke the high but closed not very much higher - this may be a sign of weakness
Others to note:
1) volatility in stocks globally are higher than usual. This means stop losses should be placed slightly further than usual to avoid being a victim of whiplashes.
*This is my first few attempts to contribute to the tradingview community. All suggestions/feedback welcome!
x
iskfx
Shell
Royal Dutch Shell Sell opportunity after trendline breakPrice has pulled back to this daily resistance after breaking this trendline. I see a sell opportunity to 2020.00
RDS.A - Inverse Head and Shoulders PatternA pretty clear inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed, it's a little cleaner on the weekly time frame. I will be watching for a break above the neckline for a possible long position.
RDSB Targeting a move into the £25.00 rangeMy use of multidiagonals suggest that we could expect a move into the £25.00 range here at RDSB, nevertheless as we approach that upper diagonal, don't be surprised if we perhaps pull back down before resuming the move.
A daily close below the lower diagonal would concern me and I would probably exit.
Shell (RDSA LN)This Co. has has a interesting time in recent months, the will they wont they OPEC saga has made energy based shares volatile. The most recent rhetoric from today has been from Saudi Arabia who stated that they considered scrapping output cuts if Iran refuse to join in. Last week API and DOE crude oil inventories reported a large build which doesn't bode well for the stock price.
In regards to the chart the long term trend is bearish (D1) but more recently share price retraced after the output cut was announced. On the H1 chart price has made a lower high and the previous wave low has just been broken at the 2026 area which could confirm a change in trend. In regards to value we are at the bottom of the recent value range but could break into the lower mean price range between 1980 and 1900.
R5 Downward trendline
R4 2125.30
R3 2093.84
R2 Internal downtrend line
R1 2026.62
Current 2019.00
S1 1956.17
S2 1940.00
S3 Upward trendline
S4 1929.80
sell shell?Coming sunday there will be a OPEC meeting, i expect/think the meeting will have a negative effect on the oil price in the short term and thus think selling today/tomorrow might be a good plan. Shell is currently near it new resistance and could move down but the momentum indicator doesnt support this view. If expecting that the OPEC meeting wouldnt have such a big a effect waiting for a few days might be better