Si1! (Silver Futures)
XAGUSD: The only Buy Opportunity before the return to the bottomSilver is now trading around the 0.5000 Fibonacci retracement level on 1D with the chart being oversold (RSI = 32.316, STOCH = 18.561, STOCHRSI = 7.542) after the continuous decline since last week. This is the only level that we may see a rebound as if it doesn't hold the danger of a full pull back towards 14.000 is significant. We are long, TP = 15.470.
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DXY XAU - Relationship - SeasonalityI was using these charts to explain to a friend where the price of gold could be heading depending on USD course of action. Maybe someone will appreciate them. :)
I'm considering 1282.XX, today's low to be the bottom unless DXY breaks above the long term descending trendline. Started buying in around this price.
XPTUSD I bought at $836 along the same theory.
XAGUSD I'm holding out a little longer to $14.90 - $15.00 range.
Silver [SI1!] Weekly Timeframe: Need to break 200 Week MAHi all,
Silver has been on a nice run since the double bottom bounce off the centerline of the descending channel back in Nov 18' causing a rally over 16%.
There was a breakout of it's descending channel on Dec 31st 18' marking the first time it has sustained meaningful trading outside this trajectory since July 2016! For Silver to go full bull mode with its counterpart Gold it needs to first break above it's own 200 Week MA. It got rejected once and now is in a profit taking pattern. We will need to watch this closely because a sustained break above it's 200 Week MA would mean a likely retest at 161.8% extension from Nov lows.
If things reverse it would be very bearish signal for Silver to fall back inside it's descending channel . So we would want to see silver bounce off the 38.2% Fib extension if you're looking to go long. If you're a bear you want to see a sustained break back inside the channel and then shorting just under the 38.2% extension as there is lots of air down to the Nov 18' lows.
Regards,
Bobby
Silver: Aiming at the next Resistance. Bullish.Silver is close to crossing through its previous High and being on a strong (RSI = 69.203) but stable (MACD = 0.030, Highs/Lows = 0.0739, B/BP = 0.0990) 1D uptrend, it is expected to test the 1W Resistance at 16.200, which is our long TP. After that is will most likely enter into consolidation on a similar candle sequence it traded on during the first 6 months of 2018.
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The uncanny similarity between Bitcoin's & Silver's bear marketsThis is another self explanatory chart that examines the common features between Silver's bear market since the near $50 peak and Bitcoin's current bear market since the near $20000 peak. The frames are on a different time scale but serves best the purpose of this comparison.
Common features:
Descending Triangles on both that broke down to a lower level followed by an immediate minor rally. This is as far as Bitcoin goes as the next candles are yet to be unfold. On Silver this minor rally only served as a bull trap as it has since led to a prolonged and frustrating long term bear market, from which it hasn't yet recovered. Will Bitcoin share the same fate? That remains to be seen.
SILVER Double Top Expected.end of January target is $15.91;
let's see if we can hit it. I'd like to see higher, but not likely in the short-term. I'm expecting not to break $16 this intermediate cycle; but very likely in the next one: come end of February to mid March, I think we then break resistance after a decent pull-back.
Why Silver's bubble hasn't reached a long term bottom.This is a simple study for investors who want to take a long term position on Silver, making use of Jean-Paul Rodrigue's Stages of a Bubble.
Although the "Fear" and "Capitulation" staged last longer than the theoretical pattern, the similarities are obvious through Silver's Bubble phase. It is also more likely that the "Despair" phase hasn't been entered yet and that the metal will continue to decline in the coming years 3 - 4 years until it starts returning to the "Mean".
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XAGUSD: Sideways within a Rectangle. Bigger downside. Short.Silver is trading within a 14.500 - 14.800 1D Rectangle (RSI = 52.138, STOCH = 53.739, ADX = 17.520, CCI = 1.5082, Highs/Lows = 0.0000) that is dictating the movement for the better part of the month. However as long as the 14.895 Resistance holds, the downside potential towards the 14.220 Support will be greater. Short TP = 14.265.
Silver. Short Opportunity. Target 12-13.66Silver market was undermined with a notorious Flash Crash occurred last summer.
The chart structure was spoiled but at the end of the day if we have enough patience
to wait until dust settles we could see the clear picture again.
I spotted for you both the blue downtrend and the yellow triangle pattern in the wave X on the chart.
It looks like we can gain from the last drop down to the previous low at the 13.65 or even lower to the downside
of the downtrend to the area of 12 handle.
The RSI indicator can't raise its head above the waterline beyond the 50 level and it favors the short.
The invalidation level is set at the finish of the wave "e" of X at the 17.70 level.
The minimum risk/reward then is equal to 2 and is healthily asymmetric.
SILVER IN CRASH MODE - USDOLLAR to 1021. Wave (X) is a complex correction, in that wave "X" is a triangle.
2. For me wave a) has finished and we are in the b) wave
3. I am expecting the wave "C" has to fall below the spike happen @ 14.390
to finish the wave (X)(red color)
4. Lot of possibilities wave formation and it may go messy too...
but for me this may happen here...dont bias on this..my stop
is in 15.600 below for the previous buy given @ 16.050-15.900.
5. I am looking my long position to closed once it reached and cross
above the 16.200 zone.