EUR/USD: What to Expect - Trump vs FED!The EUR/USD has recently shown a recovery phase after reaching the late-September high near 1.1150 last Thursday, initially supported by the weakness of the US dollar following fears of stagflation in the United States, fueled by tariff announcements from President Trump. However, the scenario changed rapidly after the release of Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data and Jerome Powell’s speech last Friday. Employment data showed NFP growth in line with expectations, but also an increase in the unemployment rate, signaling a less solid labor market than anticipated. During his speech, Powell expressed concerns about the resilience of the US economy, highlighting the risk of an economic slowdown while at the same time reiterating the focus on inflation, maintaining a cautious approach regarding further monetary easing policies.
From a technical perspective, the chart shows that the area around 1.0980-1.1000 represents a crucial zone to assess the sustainability of the bullish trend. A daily close above this level could trigger a new upward push towards the highs of 1.1100 and subsequently 1.1150, especially if supported by further signs of dollar weakness or positive European economic data. If the EUR/USD fails to hold above 1.1000, we could see a pullback towards the support at 1.0950 and subsequently 1.0900. The critical support area on the chart is identified between 1.0360 and 1.0280, and a break below these levels would indicate a significant change in market sentiment.
Signals
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [April 07 - April 11]This week, the price of OANDA:XAUUSD increased sharply from 3,076 USD/oz to 3,168 USD/oz, then made a "reverse" move to 3,015 USD/oz and closed this week at 3,038 USD/oz.
The reason why the price of gold increased sharply to 3,168 USD/oz in the trading session on April 3 was because US President Donald Trump decided to impose reciprocal taxes from 10% to 49% on many trading partners. However, it was also because of the tariff issue that caused the gold price to break the upward trend right after the Trump administration announced a list of tariff exemptions for many goods.
Meanwhile, many countries have also proactively negotiated with the US to reduce import taxes on US goods, import more goods from the US to contribute to gradually balancing the trade balance with the US so that the Trump administration can remove tariffs.
In addition, the US non-farm payrolls (NFP) data for March unexpectedly jumped to 228,000 jobs, much higher than the forecast of 137,000 jobs. This shows that the US labor market is still positive, causing investors to believe that the FED may continue to delay cutting interest rates.
In addition, FED Chairman Powell also said that the Trump administration's recent reciprocal tariff policy will cause inflation to increase for a long time, risking pushing the US economy into recession. This implies that the FED will not cut interest rates in the upcoming meetings.
In particular, the stock market has fallen too sharply, causing investors to close profitable gold investment positions to add margin (cover losses) for stocks.
According to many experts, gold prices may continue to adjust next week, but will not fall too deeply. Because the Russia-Ukraine war and armed conflicts in the Middle East are still complicated. Moreover, China has just imposed an additional 34% tax on all US goods. Without hesitation, Canada also imposed a 25% import tax on all cars imported from the US that are not eligible for preferential treatment in the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA). If more countries retaliate against the US like China and Canada, the trade war will become increasingly heated, pushing the world economy into instability, increasing the role of gold as a safe haven.
🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
Inflation and the Fed will be back in the spotlight next week, with the release of the minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) March monetary policy meeting on Wednesday. This will be followed by the US consumer price index (CPI) report for March on Thursday, and the producer price index (PPI) on Friday. Friday morning will also see the latest preliminary survey of consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan – a key indicator of how Americans feel about the outlook for the economy.
📌Technically, observing the H4 chart, it is necessary to pay attention to the important support level at 3,000 USD/oz. If next week the gold price trades above this level, it can re-enter the correction phase to 3085. In case the 3000 round resistance level is broken, the gold price will continue to be under selling pressure, causing the price to drop to around 2,900-2,950 USD/oz.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 3,019 – 3,000 USD
Resistance: 3,050 – 3,056 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3093 - 3091⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3097
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2988 - 2990⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2984
NZD_USD RISKY LONG|
✅NZD_USD has hit a key structure level of 0.5520
Which implies a high likelihood of a move up
As some market participants will be taking profit from short positions
While others will find this price level to be good for buying
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bullish correction
LONG🚀
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NZD-USD Strong Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-NZD is approaching a
Horizontal support level
Of 0.5521 so when the
Market opens we will be
Expecting the pair to retest
The support first and then
Make a nice bullish rebound
Buy!
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GBP_USD LONG SIGNAL|
✅GBP_USD made some crazy
Moves last week and was eventually pushed
Back down to the horizontal support of 1.2874
From where we will be expecting a local
Rebound, therefore we can go long on
The pair with the TP of 1.2946
And the SL of 1.2849
LONG🚀
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EUR-USD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD made a nice
Bearish correction from the
Resistance above and hit
A horizontal support level
Of 1.0934 from where
We can go long on Monday
With the Take Profit of 1.0996
And the Stop Loss of 1.0906
Buy!
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USOIL Will Move Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 62.526.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 65.043 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBPUSD Is Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.289.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.326 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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ICPUSDT READY TO FLY AGAIN ?? ICPUSDT is currently forming a classic falling wedge pattern on the chart, which is widely recognized as a bullish reversal signal. The price has been compressing within this narrowing range and is now approaching a key point where a breakout is highly likely. With strong support being respected and buyers gradually stepping in, the setup is aligning well for a potential upside move.
Volume levels have been steadily increasing, confirming growing investor interest in Internet Computer (ICP). This increasing participation from traders and investors alike can often serve as a reliable indicator that a breakout may occur soon. Technical indicators such as RSI and MACD are also hinting at a momentum shift that aligns with a bullish scenario.
Given the strength of this chart formation and the positive volume dynamics, ICPUSDT could potentially see a price gain in the range of 90% to 100%+ from current levels. The risk-to-reward ratio is favorable, especially for those who are entering early before the breakout confirms with stronger candles above resistance. A retest of the wedge breakout, if it happens, could also provide a second opportunity to enter.
ICP is also gaining traction among long-term investors due to its unique blockchain technology aimed at decentralizing the internet. The ongoing development and community support around the project adds more fundamental strength to this setup. Keep an eye on it for confirmation of the breakout!
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AUD-NZD Massive Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-NZD has also fallen
Down by a lot last week
And we think that the
Initial panic move is over
So as the pair is oversold
And is about to retest a
Horizontal support of 1.0740
A strong bullish correction
Is to be expected on Monday
Buy!
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GOLD BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅GOLD fell again to retest the support
But it is a strong key level of 3000$
So we are already seeing a rebound
And we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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DAX Is Oversold! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DAX fell down sharply
But will soon hit a
Horizontal support level
Of 20,230 and after the
Retest we will be expecting
A strong bullish rebound
Buy!
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SILVER Strong Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER got decimated
By the bears last week
And lost almost 15%
Of its value, which is
Clearly an overreaction
And an oversold situation
So after the potential retet
Of the strong horizontal
Support below around 28.97$
On Monday we are likely
To see a bullish correction
Buy!
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USD_CAD SHORT SIGNAL|
✅USD_CAD is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down so we can
Enter a short trade with the
TP of 1.4171 and the SL of 1.4280
SHORT🔥
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LIMIT ORDER - #JAILSTOOL/USDTLIMIT ORDER - $JAILSTOOL/USDT
Direction: #Short 🔴
Entry Price: 0.007631
Stop Loss: 0.0079805
Target 1: 0.0073911
Target 2: 0.0071511
Target 3: 0.0069112
Target 4: 0.0066713
Target 5: 0.0064313
Lingrid | ETHUSDT approaching Key SUPPORT LevelBINANCE:ETHUSDT market has been moving sideways throughout the month, with the price gradually approaching the support level around 1700. The current month has closed bearish, and there is a possibility that the price may dip below the previous month's low before making a move higher in the long term. As we approach the mid of the current month, there seems to be a potential for the price to start moving upward. I anticipate that the price may briefly go below the 1700 level and then bounce back if it forms a fake breakout. This could present a buying opportunity, especially if the price shows signs of reversal after testing that support level. My mid-term goal is resistance zone around 2300.
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EURUSD Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.096.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.084 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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