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EUR/USD at a Turning Point:Rally or Trap for the Bulls?📉 Technical Analysis Price has decisively broken out of the descending channel highlighted in recent weeks. The weekly support zone between 1.1540 – 1.1580 is holding, triggering a significant technical reaction. The weekly RSI has entered oversold territory, suggesting a potential short-term reversal. Key Support: 1.1530–1.1580 (currently reacting) Key Resistance: 1.1720–1.1780 (inefficiency & supply zone) Base Case: Potential rebound toward 1.1720–1.1750 before next structural decision 🧠 Sentiment Analysis 82% of retail traders are long, with an average entry at 1.1635 Only 18% are short, a clear minority This extreme imbalance suggests downside pressure may persist to flush out weak long hands before a genuine reversal takes place. 📊 COT (Commitment of Traders) USD Index: Non-Commercials increased both long (+663) and short (+449) positions → uncertain stance but slight USD strengthening EUR Futures: Non-Commercials increased long (+6,284) and short (+8,990) positions, but net increase favors the bears This shift signals a bearish turn in sentiment among large speculators, indicating short-term downward pressure. 📈 Seasonality In July, EUR/USD historically tends to rise, but: This year’s price action is underperforming the seasonal pattern, showing relative weakness August is historically flat to slightly bearish Seasonality does not currently support a strong bullish continuation ✅ Strategic Conclusion Current Bias: Bearish-neutral (with short-term bullish bounce expected) A technical rebound toward 1.1720–1.1750 is likely (liquidity void + RSI bounce + retail imbalance) However, 1.1720–1.1750 is a key supply zone to monitor for fresh shorts, in line with: Dollar-supportive COT data Overcrowded long retail positioning Weak seasonal context 🧭 Operational Plan: Avoid holding longs above 1.1750 without macro confirmation Monitor price action between 1.1720–1.1750 for potential short re-entry Clean breakout above 1.1780 → shift bias to neutral/bullish
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
5
EURUSD: Bullish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why: Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the EURUSD pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Long
by UnitedSignals
2
SILVER Is About to Collapse? Watch This Critical Supply Zone!Price recently tapped a high near 39.20 before sharply rejecting from the 38.80–39.20 supply zone, confirming strong selling pressure. The current structure shows: - Supply zone tested and rejected - Likely return to the previous demand zone (36.50–36.00) - RSI is turning down, confirming loss of momentum A pullback toward 38.30–38.50, followed by a bearish continuation toward the 36.50 area, which acts as a key structural and institutional support. 🗓️ Seasonality Historically, July is bullish for silver: Last 5Y average: +0.89% Last 2Y average: +2.18% However, August–September are bearish months: August: mildly positive, but weak September: consistently negative across all time frames (-0.86% to -1.10%) This increases the probability of a downward move starting in early August, in line with current price action rejection. 🪙 Commitment of Traders (COT) – July 22 Non-Commercials (speculators): Longs: +656 Shorts: -516 Commercials (hedging): Longs: +1,337 Shorts: +916 ➡️ Commercials are increasing both long and short exposure, while non-commercials remain net long — a sign of moderate optimism. However, long positioning is slowing down compared to previous weeks. A potential exhaustion in bullish momentum is forming. 📉 Sentiment 52% short vs 48% long Volume: more lots on the short side (492 vs 454) Sentiment remains neutral to slightly contrarian bullish, but not extreme. This may allow for a fake breakout before a deeper move down. 🧩 Operational Summary Main bias: Bearish short to mid-term (starting August), supported by: - Technical rejection at supply - Negative seasonal tendencies ahead - RSI showing momentum loss - COT showing stabilization, not accumulation
OShort
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
CRUDE OIL Bullish Continuation! Buy! Hello,Traders! CRUDE OIL made a rebound From the support just as I predicted and the price Went further still and broke The key horizontal level Of 66.50$ and the breakout Is confirmed so we are Bullish biased and we will be Expecting a further bullish Move up! Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TLong
by TopTradingSignals
1
USD-CAD Short From Resistance! Sell! Hello,Traders! USD-CAD went up and Retested a horizontal Resistance of 1.3800 From where we are Already seeing a local Bearish pullback and As we are locally bearish Biased so we will be Expecting a local move down Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TopTradingSignals
1
Euro Drops Hard — Is a 100-Pips Slide Toward 1.1500 Next?Euro’s current situation doesn’t look great — we’re clearly seeing strong selling pressure across the board. Price has now reached the block zones near 1.1600, and I want to break down what this area means to me. The lower pivot of the 1.1600 zone was created after the 50% level of the previous bullish leg was consumed — which is typical in many bullish trends. Based on that, we expected a move toward 1.1800 to break the structure and continue the uptrend. However, the recent bullish move lacked strength, which became quite clear during the last upward leg. And now, after that weak rally, we’re witnessing a sharp and aggressive selloff. This reaction weakens the 1.1600 block in my eyes — and I’m now watching 1.1500 as the more probable target. It’s a major price level and also aligns with a bank-level midline zone. In my view, it’s still too early to buy. I’d want to see price range and confirm before looking for longs. That said, this area could be a good place to partially exit short positions and lock in some profits. 🔁 This analysis will be updated whenever necessary. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion!!!
by Mehrasfx
"XAU/USD Hits Major Demand – Is a Relief Rally Brewing?"🟡 XAU/USD (Gold) – Demand Zone Rejection in Play | Bullish Correction Ahead? Timeframe: 30-Minute | Date: July 25, 2025 Created by: AllyPipsExpert Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud, BOS (Break of Structure), Dynamic S/R, Trendlines --- 🔍 Technical Analysis & Key Insights: 🔸 1. Market Recap – Distribution & Downtrend Confirmation: After the Break of Structure (BOS) near 3385, gold confirmed a bearish reversal following the distribution phase at the top resistance zone around 3445–3460. Bearish momentum was sustained by a descending trendline, paired with a bearish Kumo (Ichimoku cloud) crossover. 🔸 2. Major Zone Tagged – Key Demand Area Tested: Price has now reached the critical demand block at 3320–3340, a zone that previously initiated bullish impulse on July 18–19. The current bullish projection (in blue) reflects potential short-term recovery or correction phase, following oversold conditions and historical support strength. 🔸 3. Bullish Reversal Potential – Short-Term Retracement? The blue arrow reflects a likely bullish retracement toward 3360–3380, aligning with trendline retest and potential Kumo rejection. Expect sellers to re-enter if price retests former BOS/imbalance zone, creating scalp or swing sell setups on confirmation. --- 🔧 Confluences & Technical Highlights: Confluence Point Description Demand Zone Strong previous accumulation at 3320–3340 BOS Retest Area Key liquidity level now acting as resistance Ichimoku Cloud Price below cloud = bearish bias maintained Descending Trendline Reinforces bearish structure unless broken Price Action Rejection wick at demand + potential short squeeze --- 🎯 Trade Outlook: 🧭 Bias: Short-Term Bullish Rebound → Long-Term Bearish Continuation 🟩 Support: 3320 – 3340 🟥 Resistance: 3360 – 3385 (BOS & Trendline zone) 🔁 Scenario: Bounce → Retest → Continuation lower (unless breakout confirmed) --- 📘 Why This Chart Could Be Featured: ✅ Multi-layered Analysis: BOS, zones, cloud, price action, and psychological zones used together. ✅ Forward-Looking: Projects the next logical market reaction instead of just explaining the past. ✅ Clean, Structured, Educational: Layout and visuals guide the viewer through logical trade steps. ✅ Value-Packed: Provides actionable levels and flexible scenarios — helpful to traders of all levels.
OLong
by AllyPipsExpert