SMC-ICT
Perfect Market Maker Plan completed before Halvest (be safe) pt2Yesterday, before the huge fall, I posted:
"A lot of Bearish Confluences. The crown: Daily Rising Wedge completed after price cleared all the Poor Highs + Resting Liquidity in the Top of the Daily Range. Be safe."
Fall confirms my Bearish Plan. Not sure how far BTC will fall but its very probable that the Daily Range is indeed a Distribution scheme. Protect your capital and positions. Be cautious.
In this image I share some possible perspectives of what can be expected.
SOLUSDT.PAfter a BOS, the price is in a downward movement and closed below the inducement OB. In this scenario, I anticipate a short-term upward movement to mitigate liquidity on the 15m, followed by a continuation of the downtrend.
Given the bullish market conditions, this zone is sensitive, and taking a short position absolutely requires confirmation from the 1m time frame.
Possible Bearish Scenario Silverwe had a market structure shift (Ch) that could tell us that silver might be bearish aswell as there are a lot of imbalances to still take after price moved very hard without pullbacks. I also see that we broke some 4H trendlines as an extra confluence. For now i will be waiting for a Break of structure to signal that silver wants to go down. this is just a possible scenario, i just wanted to share it with you guys.
AUDCAD Short TradeMARKET PHASE
OANDA:AUDCAD is in a long term downtrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour).
AREA OF VALUE
Price continued to break new highs within this corrective structure. Eventually, price reached an area where sellers stepped in, resulting in a buildup of liquidity (buy stops, longs, short stop losses) above the corrective structure swing highs. Price violently moved up to trigger the buy stops (liquidity) to pair against the sell orders needed to take price down. Price has already started it's initial move down, the velocity of the downward move caused a gap in price around 0.89169. Price retraced to this level, triggering our entry and has continued downwards.
TRADE
I will be entering short on OANDA:AUDCAD with the following parameters:
Sell Limit: 0.89169
Stop Loss: 0.89239
Take Profit: 0.88889
USOIL LongReason:
Market structure is bullish
Fair value gaps
Break of structure
COT data showed me that last week smart money have been going long on OIL
i always take trades on the 0.8 level of fibonacci retracement but ive been trying something different and enter on the 0.618 level and have a set R.R of 2.5. dont see this as a signal but just an idea