GOLD: Will Go Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,311.72 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SMC
GOLD Trending Higher - Can buyers push toward 3,300$?OANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum indicates that buyers are in control, suggesting a potential continuation.
The price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and may come back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would reinforce the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move toward the 3,300 target , which aligns with the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook stays intact. However, a failure to hold above this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a pullback toward the channel’s lower boundary.
Remember, always confirm your setups and use proper risk management.
The Ultimate Guide to Smart Money ReversalsLet’s cut to it. Most retail traders get caught chasing moves that were never meant for them. They’re entering late, reacting to structure breaks without context, or fading moves without understanding what’s really happening behind the price.
If you're trying to trade like smart money on the reversal, at the turn then you need to know when the game is flipping. That’s where the Market Structure Shift (MSS) comes in. But not just any MSS. I'm talking about MSS that follow a liquidity sweep and are driven by real displacementnot weak candles, not in consolidation. Real intent. Real shift.
Here’s how I approach it.
What Actually Counts as a Market Structure Shift?
Everyone talks about market structure higher highs, lower lows, etc. But structure breaks alone don’t mean anything. A valid MSS isn’t just about breaking a swing point. It’s why it broke and how it broke that matters.
I only consider a shift valid when three things are in place:
Liquidity has been taken (above a high or below a low).
The shift is caused by a displacement candle that clearly shows urgency.
The move happens with strength, not during chop or consolidation.
If you don’t have all three, it’s just noise.
Liquidity Comes First
Everything starts with a liquidity sweep. That’s the trap.
Price has to reach into a pool of liquidity usually above equal highs, clean swing highs, or below clean lows to grab those orders, and reject. That rejection is key. It shows smart money is offloading positions into retail breakouts or stop hunts.
Without a sweep, I don’t care what breaks. No liquidity = no reversal setup.
So the first thing I do is mark out obvious liquidity levels. Equal highs, equal lows, trendline touches anywhere retail is likely to have their stops sitting. That’s where the fuel is.
Then Comes Displacement
After the sweep, I want to see displacement a sharp, aggressive move in the opposite direction.
Not a weak pullback. Not a slow grind. A real candle that shows intent.
Displacement is always obvious. You’ll get a clean candle, often engulfing multiple others, that breaks structure and leaves behind an imbalance what we call a Fair Value Gap (FVG). That imbalance is the signature of smart money hitting the market hard enough to leave a gap in the order flow.
If the candle’s weak, or if it happens during consolidation, I skip it. Displacement is what separates real reversals from fakeouts.
Here is a clean example of what it should look like.
Confirming the Shift
Once displacement confirms intent, I check if it actually broke structure.
That means:
In an uptrend, I want to see price break a previous higher low after sweeping a high.
In a downtrend, I want price to break a lower high after sweeping a low.
When that happens, that’s your MSS. Price has grabbed liquidity, shown displacement, and broken a key point in the structure. At that point, we’ve got a confirmed shift in control.
Entries, Stops, and Targets
Here’s how I trade it.
After the MSS, I wait for price to pull back into the origin of the move. Usually, that’s going to be one of two things:
The Fair Value Gap (imbalance left by the displacement candle)
Or the MSS line itself (Shown on the example)
Once price comes back into that zone, that’s where I’m interested in getting in.
Stop loss always goes just above the high (for shorts) or below the low (for longs) of the displacement candle that caused the MSS. You’re giving it room to breathe, but keeping it tight enough to protect capital.
Targets are straightforward: go for the next pool of liquidity. That means swing lows (sell-side) if you’re short, or swing highs (buy-side) if you’re long. That’s where price is most likely to be drawn next.
A Clean Bearish Example
Let’s say price is trending up, putting in higher highs and higher lows. Then it takes out a recent swing high liquidity swept.
Immediately after that, a strong bearish candle drops and breaks the most recent higher low. That candle leaves an imbalance behind—perfect.
Now I’ve got:
✅ Liquidity sweep
✅ Displacement
✅ Break of structure
I mark out the FVG / MSS line, wait for price to retrace back into it, and enter the short. My stop goes above the displacement candle high. My target? The next clean swing low. That's the next spot where stops are resting where the market is drawn.
A Few Things to Watch Out For
This method works, but only if you’re strict about the rules.
Don’t take MSS setups in consolidation. Wait for clean, impulsive breaks.
If the shift happens without displacement or imbalance, skip it. It’s not clean.
Be realistic with stops. Tight is good, but don’t choke the trade. Give it the structure it needs.
The biggest mistake I see? Traders jump in too early trying to front-run the shift before displacement confirms it. Let the story unfold. Wait for the sweep. Wait for the candle that slaps the market and breaks structure. That’s your edge.
As shown here, the first "MSS" is invalid and not the A+ setup you're looking for.
Final Thoughts
Trading smart money reversals is about reading intent. You’re not just looking at price, you’re understanding why it moved the way it did.
When you combine a liquidity grab, displacement, and a break in structure, you're aligning with institutional activity. You're trading at the turn when smart money flips the script and leaves everyone else chasing.
This isn’t about trading every break. It’s about knowing which breaks matter.
Keep it clean. Stay patient. Follow the flow.
__________________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this guide helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
Gold hovers at the All-Time High (ATH)Gold Analysis Update:
As Gold hovers at the All-Time High (ATH), it's crucial to observe how the market behaves during the London session, which is known for its high liquidity and volatility. After taking the Asian session high, the price action is now poised to potentially revisit the marked Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone.
If the market retraces to this zone and provides a bullish confirmation, such as a strong bullish candlestick pattern or a break above a key resistance level, it could set the stage for a beautiful buy-side trade setup. This would potentially offer a lucrative trading opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the ongoing bullish trend.
Let's closely monitor the price action and wait for the market to provide a clear signal before making any trading decisions.
NZD_JPY SHORT SIGNAL|
✅NZD_JPY went up and
Retested the horizontal
Resistance above around 85.023
So we are locally bearish biased
And we can now take a short
Trade with the TP of 83.645
And the SL of 85.405
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DOW JONES Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US30 made a nice bullish
Rebound from the lows it
Plunged towards during the
High volatility of the last weeks
But now that the market seems
To have calmed down a bit we
Are seeing a retest of the
Horizontal resistance of 40,725
And a local pullback so we are
Locally bearish biased, therefore
We can enter a short trade
With the Take Profit of 39,700
And the Stop Loss of 40,956
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR_USD STRONG BULLISH BIAS|LONG|
✅EUR_USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is going
Down in a long-awaited bearish
Correction so after the retest
Of the demand level below
Around 1.1200 we will be
Expecting a local bullish rebound
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZD-JPY Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-JPY went up sharply
But then hit a horizontal
Resistance of 85.069
From where we are already
Seeing a bearish pullback
So we will be expecting
A local bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUD-USD BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅AUD_USD will soon retest a key resistance level of 0.6409
So I think that the pair will make a pullback
And go down to retest the demand level below at 0.6318
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR-USD Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is making a bearish
Correction towards the
Horizontal support of 1.1197
So after the retest we will be
Expecting a bullish continuation
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
US30: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 40,580.88 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 40,403.97..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Strong Bearish Sentiment! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 3,221.65 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 3,213.11.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 32.235 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.13260 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.13623.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USDJPY (1h) Potential SellAll major time frames indicate this pair will keep going down.
3 point confluences:
1. Created lower highs in both long term & short term tend failing to break the trendlines
2. We've just got a CHoCH (change in character)
3. Sell order block has formed after going sideways for a couple of days which means price is most likely to revisit it before exploding down.
Entry strategy:
Wait for a pullback into the recent sell order block then enter when the stochastics indicator is overbought to help give us a tighter stop-loss.
Alternatively you can set a sell-limit order on the entry price (green line)
Note: price could keep travelling down without doing a pullback
GoodLuck!
Bitcoin - Rejection at Resistance: Watching $80K and BelowBitcoin is currently trading within a tight range between $84,000 and $85,000, a region that has acted as a strong resistance multiple times in the recent past. Bulls have tried to break through this level, but we’re starting to see some clear signs of exhaustion. Price is struggling to create a new higher high, and unless we see a clean breakout above this resistance, this could be the early signs of a lower high formation.
A failure to break out here would indicate that bullish momentum is starting to fade, and that sellers are gaining control again in this zone. This could open the door for a short-term pullback before we see any renewed upside.
Major Resistance Holding Price Down
The red zone on the chart marks a key supply area, where sellers continue to step in aggressively. Multiple rejections have formed here, which gives this level more weight. Unless Bitcoin sees a strong breakout above $85,000 with volume, this area will likely hold price down.
What we want to watch now is whether price can push through this resistance or whether it will roll over and confirm the rejection.
Short-Term Bearish Bias – Eyes on Imbalance Zone
If Bitcoin fails to break above this resistance, the most logical target on the downside becomes the $80,000 range. This level is interesting for two reasons:
It lines up with an unfilled imbalance zone on the 4H chart.
There’s also the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level in the same area.
This imbalance acts like a magnet for price, pulling price back into it to rebalance the inefficiency in the market. If momentum shifts to the downside, this is a very likely level for price to revisit. I’ll be watching this area closely for potential bullish reactions or continuation setups depending on how price behaves once we tap into it.
Strong Support and Golden Pocket Below
If the $80K zone doesn’t hold, I’ll be turning my attention towards the next major area of interest — the $78,500 level. This is where we have two very strong factors aligning:
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (also known as the golden pocket).
A key historical support zone that has held well in previous pullbacks.
This level has a lot of confluence, which increases the chances of seeing a reaction or reversal from here if we drop that far. In my opinion, this is one of the strongest zones currently sitting below us. If price gets here, I’ll be watching closely for a solid long setup.
What Comes Next?
For now, I remain cautiously bearish in the short term. Price has been rejected at resistance and hasn’t shown the strength to break out just yet. If we start forming more lower highs and lose the support structure at $84K, I think we’ll make our way back down toward $80K.
What happens at that point will be key:
Bounce from $80K? We could get a short-term relief rally and retest the resistance.
Fail to hold $80K? Then I’m expecting price to dig deeper into the golden pocket and potentially find strong support at $78.5K.
At this stage, I’m not looking for longs unless price gives a clear reaction from one of the key levels below. The risk-to-reward on shorts looks more attractive while we remain under resistance.
Summary
Resistance at $85K–$84K is still holding strong.
If rejected here, I’m targeting $80K (imbalance zone).
Below that, $78.5K is a major support with golden pocket confluence.
Short-term bias is bearish unless we break above resistance with volume.
Watching for clean setups around these levels before taking action.
__________________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
US30 WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅DOW JONES is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above at 41,000
After trading in a local uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 40,000
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SPY Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
SPY went up again
To retest a wide horizontal
Resistance level of 551.00$
And as the political situation
Remains unstable we are
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a local move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DXY: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 99.315 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 99.687.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 1.13690 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 1.13104.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Does the Nasdaq keep dropping after approaching the nearby high?I have 2 zone that are coded as a "no close above" that should have held no issue
The reason why I am short mainly is because we haven't visit 50% of the New Week Opening Gap and we have rejected from 50% of the bearish gap above the range. As well as volumetric divergence after the rally.
I want to see this gap at least partially filled before anything else this week can happen.
SILVER: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 32.134 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️