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Weekly XAUUSD Outlook (July 14–19, 2025)Hey team — we're entering a decisive week on gold as macro tensions heat up and price dances inside a key premium range. Let’s dive into what the chart is telling us. 🔸 HTF Bias: Weekly Structure Breakdown Bias: Bullish with exhaustion signs Current candle: Bearish rejection forming after last week's lower high inside the premium range Trend: Still bullish overall, but stalling inside a distribution-like pattern Weekly structure: Confirmed CHoCH in early 2023 launched the bullish leg Break of structure toward Higher High (HH) continues but weak high was created near 3500 We’re currently inside a weekly premium range, rejecting the upper quadrant 🔸 Key Weekly Confluences: Zone Type Price Level Confluences 🔼 Resistance 3490–3500 Weak High + Premium zone + FVG + RSI divergence 🔼 Upper Range 3450–3470 Historical imbalance fill + EMA5 overextension 🔽 Support 3355–3320 Weekly OB + Discount side of premium leg + FVG 🔽 Deep Support 3200–3170 Last strong demand + BOS origin + RSI oversold risk zone Fibonacci Range: 3500 = top of the bullish extension; 50% retracement sits around 3250 RSI (Weekly): Starting to curve down from overbought territory — watch for structure cracks EMAs (5/21/50): Strong upside lock remains but a flattening 5EMA hints short-term slow-down 🗓 Macro + News Context: This week is loaded with high-impact U.S. data and a parade of FOMC speakers: Core CPI (Monday) and Retail Sales (Thursday) = critical for short-term inflation outlook FOMC members speaking throughout the week = high chance of volatility spikes Pre-G20 positioning (Friday–Saturday) could lead to risk-off flows or safety bids on gold Watch Crude Oil Inventories and Building Permits for risk sentiment impact The combination of CPI, retail sales, and continuous Fed commentary could cause abrupt sentiment swings — especially if inflation surprises to the upside again. ⚠️ What to Watch This Week: Any weekly close above 3470 = potential sweep into weak high (3500) Failure to hold 3355 zone = opens the door to revisit the deeper OB around 3200 Look for a lower high inside premium to confirm bearish weekly intent — otherwise we remain bullish Any bounce from 3320 must show strong volume + FVG reaction to confirm continuation ✅ Final Notes: This week is all about patience. We’re in a premium exhaustion phase, and with heavy macro catalysts on the table, gold is primed for a decisive breakout — up or down. Stay flexible. Let price show its hand around the major zones. We’ll refine sniper entries on H4 and H1 once the weekly opens fully. — 📌 If this breakdown helped, hit 🚀🚀🚀 follow @GoldFxMinds🔔 for daily updates as this structure develops and drop a comment: Will gold sweep 3500 or collapse toward 3200? 👇 📢 Disclosure: This analysis is based on the Trade Nation TradingView feed. I’m part of their Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee. ⚠️ Educational content only — not financial advice.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
GBPUSD - Also continued downside continuationLooking at GU. This is a little bit ahead of its time in comparison to EU. And what i mean by that is EU is a lot further away from its 4H demand zone compared to GBP so it will be super interesting to see how we react at the level we are fast approaching on GU. I am in a short position as of Friday. I will be posting a video tomorrow showing exactly how and why i got short on GU so stay tuned for that one. As always if there is anything else i can be of assistance with give me a message and i will be happy to answer any questions you may have
by BenFxLDN
EURUSD - Still Orderflow remains bearishLooking at EU. The 1H Orderflow is still maintaining that bearish intent. My area is set now for where i want to take a potential sell to the downside seeing as everything else is pretty much mitigated. The only issue with this potential sell of is that we never really had a sweep of liquidity before we rolled over and moved to the downside. We do have a level of inducement before our POI but i think in an ideal world i would love to see us build up a bit more liquidity before the POI just to induce the early sellers before making that move to the downside. For now. On the lower TF's i will be looking to take short term long positions back up to our POI before looking for the longer terms short. to our 4H POI in which i will be looking to get long once again. Any questions feel free to give me a message
by BenFxLDN
Bitcoin - Blue Skies, Retest Before $125k?Bitcoin has pushed into blue skies after breaking through a major resistance zone around 110,000 USD. The breakout was sharp and impulsive, pushing price well into uncharted territory above 117,000. At these levels, traditional resistance becomes harder to pinpoint, and the market often behaves irrationally, so caution is warranted. With all-time highs being challenged, any small retracement must be handled with precision. Support and Retest Zones The previous resistance zone between 109,000 and 111,000 has now turned into a potential support area. This level acted as a ceiling for weeks and was finally broken with strong momentum. Price already had a minor retest on the breakout candle, which offers a bullish sign of acceptance. However, a deeper retest of this same zone remains a valid possibility, especially if short-term profit-taking intensifies. Trendline Confluence Alongside the horizontal support, we have an ascending trendline that has guided price from the June lows. This trendline now intersects with the 111,000–113,000 area, offering a secondary potential bounce level. If Bitcoin holds the trendline, a shallower correction could be enough to reset before another rally. But if we break below it, the horizontal support remains the final stronghold before deeper downside risks emerge. Short-Term Scenarios There are two likely short-term paths here. Either Bitcoin continues higher without a deep pullback, targeting 120,000–125,000 directly, or we see one more sweep into the 111,000 area before the trend resumes. The first scenario would trap sidelined traders, forcing late entries at higher levels. The second would provide a clean retest of structure, fueling a healthier, more sustainable breakout. Price Target and Expectations Assuming the retest scenario plays out cleanly and price confirms support at either the trendline or the former resistance zone, upside targets sit around 120,000 as the next psychological barrier, with 125,000 as a likely extension. These are natural magnet levels in a trending environment, especially with momentum still intact from the previous breakout. Conclusion Bitcoin is currently in price discovery, which means the structure must guide our expectations. A retest of either the trendline or former resistance could provide the next best entry. As long as we hold above the green support zone, the bullish structure remains intact, and higher targets remain in sight. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by TehThomas
84
USOIL: Local Bearish Bias! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 68.669 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 67.925..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FX:USOILShort
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
AUDJPY Technical Breakout - Targeting 97.400 Next?TRADENATION:AUDJPY has recently broken decisively above a key resistance zone that had previously capped price for several months. This breakout was preceded by a period of compression and range-bound price action, where bullish momentum steadily built up, indicated by higher lows pressing against the resistance level. This type of structure typically leads to an explosive breakout, which we are now seeing unfold. After the breakout, price came back for a clean retest of the broken resistance zone, which has now flipped into support. The retest held firmly, suggesting strong buyer interest at this level and confirming the validity of the breakout. With this structure in place, the bullish momentum is likely to extend further toward the next target zone around 97.400, provided price remains above the current support. As long as the price holds above the retested zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. A breakdown back below this area, however, would be a warning sign and could open the door to a deeper pullback. Remember, always wait for confirmation before entering trades, and maintain disciplined risk management.
Long
by TrendDiva
33