DXY STRONG DOWNTREND CONTINUES|SHORT|
✅DXY is going down currently
In a strong downtrend and the index
Broke the key structure level of 98.000
Which is now a resistance,
And after the pullback
And retest, I think the price
Will go further down next week
SHORT🔥
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SMC
EUR-NZD Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the pair
Is printing higher highs and
Higher lows while breaking
Important key levels such
As 1.9270 which is now
A support and the pair
Is consolidating above the
New support so we are
Bullish biased and we will
Be expecting a further move
Further up on Monday
Buy!
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US100 – Extended Rally, Eyes on Pullback to Key SupportUS100 continues to show impressive strength, with no real signs of slowing down yet. The recent push above the previous all-time high came with strong bullish candles and high volume, confirming the breakout as legitimate rather than a false pump. This surge followed a clean retest of the fair value gap below, which acted as a springboard for the next leg higher.
Imbalance Retest and ATH Break
Before the breakout, price perfectly respected the FVG just above the 20,800 zone. That retest was crucial, showing institutional interest in defending higher prices. From there, the index cleared the old ATH with authority, and we are now trading comfortably above it, establishing new highs in the process.
Support Zone Outlook
While momentum remains bullish, the market doesn’t move in a straight line forever. A short-term cool-off is possible. I’m eyeing the marked-out support zone just above 21,400, which previously acted as resistance and now flips to demand. If we do pull back, this is the most logical area for buyers to step back in.
Potential Price Path
The dotted projection outlines two possible paths: one, a minor pullback followed by immediate continuation, and two, a deeper retest into the green support zone before resuming the uptrend. Both scenarios remain bullish as long as price stays above that support. A retest into this level would be healthy and provide a clean long entry for continuation.
Key Levels to Watch
The area around 21,400 to 21,700 is critical. If we revisit this zone, I’ll be watching for bullish price action to confirm continuation. On the upside, we’re now in price discovery mode, so upside targets are more open-ended, but 23,000+ becomes a magnet if momentum stays intact.
Conclusion
US100 is in strong bullish territory, with institutional signs backing the move. A pullback would be welcome and likely provide a high-probability long setup. Until the structure breaks, I remain bullish on this index, watching for a healthy dip into the support zone for potential continuation higher.
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USOIL: Next Move Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 65.100 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 65.468 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NG1!: Target Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse NG1! together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3.745 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NI225: Move Down Expected! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse NI225 together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 40,150.79 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 39,753.50..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SMC Trading Basics. Change of Character - CHoCH (GOLD FOREX)
In the today's post, we will discuss one of the most crucial concepts in SMC - Change of Character.
Change of Character relates to market trend analysis.
In order to understand its meaning properly, first, we will discuss how Smart Money traders execute trend analysis.
🔘Smart Money Traders apply price action for the identification of the direction of the market.
They believe that the trend is bullish ,
if the price forms at least 2 bullish impulse with 2 consequent higher highs and a higher low between them.
The market trend is considered to be bearish ,
if the market forms at least 2 bearish impulses with 2 consequent lower lows and a lower high between them.
Here is how the trend analysis looks in practice.
One perceives the price action as the set of impulse and retracement legs.
According to the rules described above, USDCAD is trading in a bullish trend because the pair set 2 higher lows and 2 higher highs.
🔘Of course, trends do not last forever.
A skill of the identification of the market reversal is a key to substantial profits in trading.
Change of Character will help you quite accurately identify a bullish and bearish trend violation.
📉In a bearish trend, the main focus is the level of the last lower high.
While the market is trading below or on that, the trend remains bearish .
However, its bullish violation is a very important bullish signal,
it is called a Change of Character, and it signifies a confirmed violation of a bearish trend.
In a bearish trend, CHoCH is a very powerful bullish pattern.
Take a look, how accurate CHoCH indicated the trend reversal on Gold.
After a massive selloff, a bullish breakout of the level of the last lower high confirmed the initiation of a strong bullish wave.
📈In a bullish trend, the main point of interest is the level of the last higher low. While the price is trading above that or on that, the trend remains bullish.
A bearish violation of the last higher low level signifies the violation of a current bullish trend. It is called a Change of Character, and it is a very accurate bearish pattern.
Take a look at the example on Dollar Index below.
In a bullish trend, bearish violation of the last higher low level
quite accurately predicted a coming bearish reversal.
Change of Character is one of the simplest , yet accurate SMC patterns that you should know.
First, learn to properly execute the price action analysis and identify HH, HL, LL, LH and then CHoCH will be your main tool for the identification of the trend reversal.
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GBP-CHF Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-CHF is hovering above
The wide horizontal demand
Level around 1.0926 from
Where we are already
Seeing a bullish rebound
So a further local bullish
Move up is to be expected
Buy!
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US30: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 43,673.57 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 43,576.88..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 1.17284 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 1.17538 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,274.66 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 35.998 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 35.727..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USD_CHF BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅USD_CHF broke the key structure level of 0.8050
While trading in a strong downtrend
Which makes me bearish
And I think that after the retest of the broken level is complete
A bearish continuation will follow
SHORT🔥
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DOW JONES Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
US30 is trading in an
Uptrend and the index broke
The key horizontal level
Around 43,200 and the
Breakout is confirmed so
We are bullish biased
And we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
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GU Bearish Friday ForecastHi everyone, hope we've all had a good week.
Here is my forecast for GBPUSD for today. After a fairly bullish week, I'm expecting some bearish price action to give us that top wick on the weekly candle close.
I'm looking at 2 price points, a pivot from 1.375 towards key level 1.37.
I'll post an update at the end of the day on how price ended up unfolding.
Regards,
Aman | SMC Wolf FX
1-1 student onboarding is currently open (website in my signature & profile)
Bitcoin - Bullflag formation towards $111k?After the long and steep rally in Bitcoin that began on April 9th, the price is now entering a period of consolidation and forming a classic bullish continuation pattern known as a bull flag. This type of structure often appears after a strong impulsive move to the upside and signals that the market may be gearing up for another leg higher.
Bull Flag
On the daily timeframe, BTC is in the process of developing a bull flag by printing a series of lower highs and lower lows within a narrow descending channel. This pullback phase comes after a significant rally and is generally considered a healthy part of a trending market. It reflects a cooling-off period in which the market digests the prior gains while maintaining a bullish bias. This type of structure typically resolves to the upside, continuing the dominant trend. At present, BTC is approaching a key upper boundary of the flag formation, which also aligns with a prior zone of price rejection. This area could act as resistance in the short term and will likely play a crucial role in determining the next directional move.
4H Fair Value Gap
Zooming in on the 4-hour chart, we can observe a clearly defined fair value gap (FVG) between the $102,700 and $103,800 levels. This imbalance was created during the sharp move up and now represents a potential area of interest for buyers. If price retraces into this zone, it could act as strong support where demand steps in, filling the imbalance and potentially triggering the next upward leg. Fair value gaps often serve as magnet zones in trending markets, and in this case, could offer a key entry point for those looking to position long within the larger bullish structure.
Liquidity Levels
One of the more critical areas to watch lies around the $111,000 level, where we see a double top on the lower timeframes. This region holds a significant amount of resting liquidity just above it, as evidenced by the liquidation heatmap. These clustered stop-loss orders and leveraged positions create a liquidity pool that could attract market makers and large players looking to trigger a stop run. As price approaches this level, it becomes increasingly likely that the market may spike into this liquidity before deciding on a longer-term direction. This liquidity zone acts like a magnet and is a common target for short-term wicks and fake-out moves.
Expectations
The current expectation is for Bitcoin to push higher toward the $111,000 level before the market makes a more definitive move. While this upside continuation seems likely in the short term, caution is warranted, especially considering the structure on higher timeframes. The weekly chart is starting to show some signs of exhaustion, with momentum slowing and potential bearish divergence forming. As such, the move to $111,000 could simply be a liquidity grab—a final push to trap breakout traders—before a deeper correction or reversal unfolds. If price does manage to break the all-time high with convincing volume and sustained follow-through, the bullish case would strengthen significantly. Until then, however, it’s important to remain cautious and recognize the risk of a fake-out at these elevated levels.
Conclusion
Despite the strong rally in recent weeks, Bitcoin still faces substantial resistance overhead. The $111,000 level stands out as a critical zone that could act as a magnet, drawing in price action before reversing to the downside. This area is not only technically significant but also loaded with liquidity, increasing the risk of a bull trap. Traders should remain vigilant and avoid getting caught on the wrong side of the move. Watch closely for signs of exhaustion or divergence as price approaches this level, and be prepared for potential fake-outs designed to lure in overly aggressive participants. Staying patient and waiting for confirmation remains the most prudent strategy in this environment.
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NZD-USD Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Level of 0.6087 and as it
Is a strong key structure
We will be expecting
A local move down
Sell!
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EURUSD - Potential buying opportunityLooking at EURUSD
We are still very bullish with no sign of it slowing.
I am aware of a potential weekly liquidity point to the left, however, until EURUSD shows its hand it's important that we still remain bullish.
We have set up a lovely liquidity point before a lovely demand area.
So I will be setting a pending order at the demand area after the New York close and the Asian session begins.
EUR-CAD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CAD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is
About to retest a horizontal
Support of 1.5933 and as
We are locally bullish biased
We will be expecting a
Local bullish rebound
Buy!
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GOLD REVERSAL POINT [Bearish Bias]According to this analysis, today I'm expecting a sell opportunity. So here we're analyze 1H time frame, Price is currently moving near a strong order flow area, and has also SIBI is pending. If price faces clear rejection from this key levels, So there is a high probability that the market may decline from this level. Wait with patient and maintain discipline, confirmation is key.
Now let's see how our sell zone plays out.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#GOLD 1H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
CAD-CHF Bullish Rebound Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-CHF fell down sharply
And the pair was oversold
So we are not surprised to
See a bullish rebound from
The strong horizontal support
Around 0.5830 level and we
Think that we are likely
To see a further bullish move up
Buy!
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Bitcoin - Bears Take Control, Reversal Coming?After an aggressive bullish rally, Bitcoin has filled a clean 1H imbalance zone near 108K and swept short-term liquidity above recent 1H highs. The move into premium pricing saw clear signs of rejection, with a strong bearish reaction directly inside the imbalance area. This reaction confirms the area as a valid supply zone and signals that bulls may have exhausted their momentum in the short term.
Liquidity Sweep and Rejection
The sweep of prior highs was sharp and quick, lacking follow-through, and was immediately followed by rejection wicks and a drop in momentum. This kind of price action typically hints at engineered liquidity grabs, where smart money drives price into inefficiencies to fill orders before reversing direction. That liquidity sweep, paired with the fill of the 1H FVG, increases the probability that this high is now set in place for a short-term reversal.
Key Short-Term Level to Watch
The immediate level of interest lies at the most recent low before the rally, marked clearly as a potential short-term support. This low often acts as a magnet post-sweep, as price retraces to test if there’s real buyer interest left or not. If this low fails to hold, the bearish momentum could accelerate into the nearby 4H Fair Value Gap around the 102.5K–101.9K area.
Fair Value Gap and Lower Target
That 4H FVG has not yet been filled, and there’s also a small unmitigated imbalance sitting just above it. If price drops into this zone and still fails to show strong buyer interest, the path opens toward a more significant downside move. The final downside target sits near 98K, highlighted by a higher timeframe demand area and major structure level. This zone would only come into play if all intermediate support levels break cleanly.
Bearish Roadmap
Short-term, I expect a retest of the recent low, followed by a possible reaction. But if that reaction fails and momentum stays bearish, the 4H FVG fill becomes highly likely. A break below that would shift control decisively to sellers, with 98K as the next major liquidity pocket to target. This move would also clean out most of the inefficiencies left behind by the recent aggressive bullish move.
Conclusion
The rejection from the 1H imbalance and liquidity sweep suggest Bitcoin’s recent rally may be done for now. Until we reclaim the 1H FVG and break above recent highs with strength, the bias is bearish. If the key low breaks, I’ll be watching how price reacts inside the FVG zone. A weak reaction could open up the flush toward the 98K level for a larger liquidity draw.
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