Solana's fate: pump or dump ?Hello friends
You see that Solana, after its good growth, got stuck in a range and is gathering strength. Now, considering the strong upward trend of this currency, it can be said that this force can push the price upwards, but everything is possible in the market, so observe capital management and trade with your will and wisdom.
*Trade safely with us*
Solana
SOL – Compression at Resistance IISolana remains locked in a corrective sequence, unwinding from the mid-June $164 high. Price has now respected a clearly defined descending trendline, recently validating it with a third consecutive rejection—establishing it as dominant short-term resistance. Compression is now occurring just above a well-tested 2H order block near 144–139, where bulls must respond or risk cascading into inefficiency zones.
Structural and Momentum Breakdown:
Descending Resistance Structure: Three clean rejection wicks off the same trendline establish this as firm structural resistance. The latest failed bounce confirms this diagonal as active seller control.
Fib Cluster Rejection: Price has struggled below the 50–61.8% retracement (152–155 zone) from the June high, marking that cluster as distribution resistance.
Volume Profile (VRVP): Sitting atop a low-volume pocket between 144.88 and 139.71; below that lies high-acceptance around 132.
Volumized OB Zones: 2H OB between 144–139 overlaps with key support shelf—any breakdown from here opens path to 132–129 range sweep.
RSI: Persistently sub-40 with no bullish divergence—momentum continues to degrade.
PVT: Flat-to-declining, showing no inflow response to support retests—suggests buyers are stepping back even at local lows.
Example Trade Strategy:
Bullish Reclaim Setup:
Entry: Only with breakout and 2H close above 152–153 (above OB and breaking descending resistance).
SL: Below 144.50 (reclaim invalidation).
TP1: 158–160 (Fib 78.6%)
TP2: 164 (100% retrace)
Confirmation Criteria: RSI >50 + breakout volume + PVT uptick.
Bearish Continuation Setup (If OB breaks):
Entry: 2H close under 144.88, confirming OB loss and trend continuation.
SL: Above 148.
TP1: 140
TP2: 138
TP3: 132–129 (macro demand + HVN)
Confirmation Criteria: Momentum stays sub-40 RSI, increased sell volume, and continued PVT drop.
SOL – Compression at ResistanceAfter retracing up toward the 50% Fib level (around 154.3–154.4 on the daily chart), SOL/USDT has now stalled beneath key resistance and is rolling back into the reaction range. A close look at both the 1D and 2H charts reveals a clear case of a failed swing high rather than a trend reversal.
1. Structural Context
SOL remains inside its broader downtrend channel (green lines). The bounce off the June low carved out a higher low, but the subsequent rally ran into:
The daily descending trendline (red) from the June high
The 50% Fib retracement of the June down-leg (154.3–154.4)
A sell-side order block (red volume bars on the left VPVR)
The daily 20-period SMA and upper Bollinger Band
Because price could not clear these layers, the move shows the characteristics of a lower high inside a downtrend rather than a genuine breakout.
2. Multi-Timeframe Confirmation
Daily (1D) Chart
Retracement: Peaked at 50% Fib then reversed.
Volume Profile: Thick VPVR node at 154–156 acted as a supply shelf.
Bollinger Bands: Upper band contained the rally.
RSI: Pulled back from ~55 and printed a lower high as price challenged 50%.
PVT: Flat, indicating no real net buying during the bounce.
2-Hour (2H) Chart
Trendlines: A shorter-term red downtrend line capped the local rally near 154.
Order Blocks: Green buy-block around 137–140 held the low; red sell-block around 154–157 limited upside.
RSI: Printed a lower high on the second leg up, even as price revisited prior highs.
Volume: Tapered off on the approach into the 50% Fib zone, then increased on the pullback — a sign of distribution.
3. Key Levels & Next Moves
Immediate Support:
152.2–152.5 (38.2% Fib)
151.1–151.9 (23.6% Fib & daily BB midline)
Structural Support Zones:
146.1–144.6 (prior consolidation & lower Bollinger band)
141.5–140.9 (secondary order block)
134.0–137.0 (major demand cluster)
Immediate Resistance:
154.3–154.4 (50% Fib + daily trendline + SMA)
156–158 (78.6–100% Fib band + higher-timeframe supply)
If SOL fails to hold 152.2–152.5, look for a retest of the 146–144 zone. A breach below 144 opens the path back toward the 137–134 order block. Conversely, a sustained reclaim of 154.4 on volume would be needed to shift the short-term bias neutral.
4. Conclusion
This sequence—bounce into 50% Fib, capped by overlapping resistance, followed by divergence in momentum and rising volume on the pullback—confirms another lower high in SOL’s downtrend. Until price can clear 154.4 with conviction, the path of least resistance remains downward.
SOL/USDT : Strong Bullish Move Ahead?By analyzing the #Solana chart on the daily timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $149.62. If the price holds above the key level of $146.28, we could expect the beginning of a strong bullish wave, potentially delivering over 25% short-term returns.
If this scenario plays out, the next bullish targets are $168.50, $187, $220, and $263.
(Personal research is strongly recommended for long-term investment decisions.)
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
HolderStat┆SOLUSD got out of the triangleBYBIT:SOLUSDT is trading in a well-structured upward channel with a history of consolidation zones acting as breakout springboards. The price recently bounced off trend support and now targets the resistance at 170. Structure remains bullish as higher lows continue to form.
Give me 3 reasons not to be bullish on SolanaSolana’s Total Value Locked (TVL) expanded from $396M on Dec 26, 2022 to $8.69B by July 4, 2025, a 2,094% increase (~22x growth) across 80 weeks . This translates to a weekly geometric growth multiplier of ~1.089, or an 8.9% compound weekly rate .
This rapid TVL expansion reflects capital inflows, increased DeFi participation, and regained trust in Solana’s infrastructure following the FTX collapse.
————————————————
LST Ecosystem Expansion :
Liquid staking derivatives (JitoSOL, mSOL) accounted for a significant share of inflows, as yield-seeking capital returned with Ethereum-style primitives on Solana.
MEV Monetization & Compression Tech :
Validator-side MEV solutions and data compression (via Firedancer and ZK-state) improved scalability and trust in Solana’s low-latency environment.
Resurgence of DeFi-NFT Hybrids :
Protocols like Tensor and HadeSwap blurred lines between DeFi and NFTs, generating sticky liquidity and reinforcing Solana’s unique narrative.
Restored Institutional Confidence :
Post-FTX reforms and a more diversified validator ecosystem helped re-attract institutional capital, supported by enhanced wallet infra (e.g., Backpack, Phantom) and custodianship.
This pattern, paired with the geometric growth trend, suggests Solana’s DeFi ecosystem is entering a new structural bull phase, underpinned by both technical confirmation and fundamental evolution.
Anyways, let me know in the comments 3 reasons not to be bullish on Solana as we speak.
(PS: QC-resistant issues don’t apply only for Solana but for all major crypto assets!)
Solana Will Grow Despite "3,200% Rally"Oh my god! Folks, this friend of ours is saying Solana is going down because of a "3,200% rally." Crazy stuff. Can it continue growing after a 3,200% rally? But he is ignoring a massive correction between January and April. How big is the correction you ask? 67%. Meaning, there is no need to mention the previous rally because it has been corrected already.
Ok, hold on... Let's breatheeeeee deeply first.
Solana ETFs. Growing Cryptocurrency market. Global adoption. Old finance finally waking up to the new financial system. Even banks are starting to buy Crypto and opening up a ramp for their customers to buy Crypto, Solana, using their savings and other funds. This is why it will grow.
Think of this. Think of Apple, Inc. when it was young. Think of Tesla and Google and Microsoft. Would you quit after a 3,000% rally? Well, these companies are still growing today. Crypto is no different, it will grow for decades to come. Solana is going up. 100% certainty, you can see it on the chart; the fundamentals as well.
Get on board the bullish train, it is not too late.
Everything money goes into Crypto. You will be happy with the results.
If you stay out, your loss.
Namaste.
Solana Price Poised to Explode — But Only If This Level BreaksThe chart shows Solana trading around $153.85 USDT after a corrective rally from the June lows. Overall market structure has shifted in recent sessions, highlighted by a clear Break of Structure (BOS) on June 29, which signaled the first real attempt to reclaim higher ground after persistent weakness. However, the price has now approached a cluster of supply zones, which could either trigger a further rally if absorbed or mark a fresh rejection.
Above the current level, you can see strong red zones between 160–180 USDT, representing prior swing high supply and institutional sell interest. These are areas where large sellers previously stepped in to push price lower, so if Solana fails to break above this region with convincing volume, sellers may become more active again. In contrast, the nearest major demand zone sits around 137–140 USDT, highlighted in blue. This zone has acted as a key support and liquidity pocket where price has rebounded multiple times.
The Smart Money Concepts on the chart, including frequent CHoCH (Change of Character) and EQ/CHoCH labels, indicate that liquidity sweeps and engineered reversals have been common. This suggests the market may be preparing to hunt stops above recent highs or below recent lows before committing to a longer-term move.
At this point, the trend bias is cautiously neutral to bullish in the short term because the BOS suggests an attempt to reclaim higher levels. However, this bullish bias remains unconfirmed until Solana cleanly breaks and holds above 160–170 USDT. If sellers defend that area, the market could revert to the 137–140 zone.
Below is a clear trade scenario based on what the chart is showing:
Potential Trade Setup (Not Financial Advice)
Scenario: Short from Supply Resistance
o Entry: 153.85–154.35 USDT (currently being tested)
o Stop Loss: Above 160 USDT (invalidates bearish rejection)
o Take Profit Target: 137–140 USDT demand zone
Alternatively, if Solana rejects and returns to retest demand, this would offer a possible buy scenario for traders looking to play the rebound:
Scenario: Long from Demand
o Entry: 137–140 USDT demand zone
o Stop Loss: Below 135 USDT (confirms demand failure)
o Take Profit Target 1: 153.85 USDT resistance retest
o Take Profit Target 2: 170 USDT upper supply
At the moment, the price is balanced between these zones, so a wait-and-see approach can help confirm whether supply breaks or holds. A clean break above 160 USDT with strong momentum could invalidate the short idea and favor continuation higher toward the upper supply region around 170–180 USDT.
In summary, the chart structure is showing early signs of potential accumulation but still faces significant overhead resistance. Careful confirmation around the 154–160 level is critical before committing to either direction. If you’d like, I can help you refine these plans further or overlay additional indicators like volume or moving averages for extra confirmation.
PYTH NETWORK (PYTHUSD) - (10X - 50X Potential)Pyth Network is an oracle protocol originally built for Solana, optimized for ultra-low latency and first-party data directly from exchanges and market makers. Unlike Chainlink’s node-aggregator model, Pyth enables real-time price feeds (as fast as 400ms) sourced directly from over 100 institutional providers, including Binance and Cboe.
🧩 Why Pyth?
DeFi apps need fast, accurate pricing to avoid exploits and ensure fair trading. Pyth delivers high-frequency, high-integrity data, especially valuable for derivatives, perpetuals, and high-speed DeFi protocols.
🌐 Massive Expansion
What started on Solana now powers 100+ blockchains, including Ethereum L2s, Cosmos, Sui, Aptos, TON, and more. As of 2025, over 420 protocols integrate Pyth, with over $48B+ monthly trading volume secured. It has become the #2 oracle in DeFi by usage, dominating ecosystems like Solana, Sui, and Injective.
📊 Tokenomics & Unlocks
Max supply: 10B PYTH
Circulating: ~5.75B (mid-2025)
Next major unlock: May 2026 (~2.1B tokens)
Utility: Governance, staking, publisher rewards, and oracle integrity
Pyth’s decentralized governance is growing, with a DAO now guiding key protocol parameters. It’s also expanding beyond price feeds, launching products like randomness (Entropy) and MEV mitigation tools (Express Relay).
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
SOLUSDT Bullish Flag Pattern!Price has formed a Bullish Flag pattern on the daily timeframe. After multiple touches of both support and resistance, the price has now broken out above the falg resistance, signaling a potential trend reversal. and price trading above 50 and 100 EMA
Currently, SOL is bouncing from the channel breakout level, indicating strong bullish momentum. A clean breakout candle confirms buying interest, and the setup favors a strong bullish continuation if the breakout sustains.
Entry: Above $150
Stop-loss: Below $135
CRYPTOCAP:SOL TRADENATION:SOLANA
Sol Strategies Inc (HODL) - Inverse H&S🚀 SOL Strategies (HODL) – Public Market Gateway to Solana Yield
SOL Strategies (CSE: HODL) is a publicly traded company laser-focused on the Solana ecosystem. With nearly 395,000 SOL held (most of it staked) and over 3.7 million SOL delegated to their validators, they generate consistent income through staking rewards and validator commissions.
Their business model is simple:
📌 Accumulate SOL → Stake it → Run institutional-grade validators → Earn yield
📌 Expand through partnerships (3iQ, Neptune, BitGo, Pudgy Penguins)
📌 Hold strategic Solana ecosystem tokens like JTO and jitoSOL
📌 Operate with SOC 2-certified infrastructure and pursue a Nasdaq listing
SOL Strategies is not just holding crypto – they are building core infrastructure for Solana, giving equity investors direct exposure to staking economics in one of the fastest-growing blockchain networks.
📊 For traders: HODL stock offers a pure-play vehicle for Solana exposure, with an income-generating twist.
⚠️ Always do your own investment research and make your own decisions before investing.
Crypto breakouts: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana lead the surgeJune brought a wave of positive sentiment to digital assets. Despite global uncertainty, major cryptocurrencies continued their upward movement. Investors are once again turning to decentralized assets amid expectations of a Fed rate cut and an increasingly fragile macro backdrop.
Key moves this month :
• Bitcoin (#BTCUSD) +4.6% — Strengthened by a weaker dollar and renewed institutional interest. JPMorgan projects $150,000 by 2025.
• Ethereum (#ETHUSD) +3.8% — Gains on ETF optimism and rising DeFi activity.
• Solana (#SOLUSD) +6.1% — In the spotlight due to network scalability and new Web3 partnerships.
• Ripple (#XRPUSD) +2.4% — Rebounding after positive developments in the SEC case and potential global alliances.
• Dogecoin (#DOGUSD) +5.2% — Community-driven momentum and fresh public support from Elon Musk.
Underperformers:
• Litecoin (#LTCUSD) –1.8%, Cardano (#ADAUSD) –2.2% — Profit-taking and lack of new drivers weighed on prices.
• Polkadot (#DOTUSD) –3.1% — Weak on-chain metrics and fading interest in cross-chain solutions added pressure.
According to FreshForex analysts, the crypto market is entering a recovery phase. Signals from the Fed hint at upcoming rate cuts, while interest in decentralized projects and crypto ETFs is rising. Market leadership by #BTC and #ETH reflects growing confidence, while altcoins continue to follow the broader upward trend.
HolderStat┆SOLUSD aims for the $170 levelBINANCE:SOLUSDT has broken above triangle resistance, retesting the $146.60 level as new support. The breakout echoes earlier consolidation-based rallies, opening the path toward $170. As long as the structure remains intact, bulls could extend the climb over the next few sessions.
Solana (SOL) Flag & Pole Breakout (1D)BINANCE:SOLUSDT broke out of a textbook falling wedge two days ago, and is now retesting the former resistance as support.
Key Technicals
• Falling channel with clean structure and multiple touches
• Resistance trendline broken
• Price now retesting the breakout zone (~$148)
• Overhead supply zone at $238–$260
• Measured Target: $240, within supply
Why This Setup Matters
• Clear breakout followed by a retest, which can often precede the next leg up if support holds
• Falling channel retracement aligns with 0.618 Fib, a common reversal area
What to Watch
• Daily close above the previous resistance trendline
• Push above the local $160 high for full confirmation
Getting close to go long!
Solana bullish momentum is building up from both technical and fundamental perspectives.
Daily chart:
1) A daily candle decisively moved and closed above EMA21 on Sat 28th June.
2) RSI and MACD are still in the bear zone but the lines are crossed and now moving upwards.
3) RSI line is now above 50. When the RSI line moves above 50 and EMA21 closes above 21 at the same time, it is often (not always) an early sign of bullish momentum (see blue vertical lines in daily chart).
4H chart:
1) EMA21>EMA55, but EMA200 is still moving horizontally.
2) All momentum indicators have entered the bull territory. However, when the candle finally broke outside the descending parallel channel and broke and closed above EMA200, momentum indicators reached the overbought territory. It means the price is likely to consolidate first before taking off.
I plan to open a long position when:
1) Wait for the momentum indicators to come down and flip to the upside in the 4H chart.
2) A candle to retest, either EMA 21, 55 and/or 200 and forms a strong green (bullish) candle in the 4H chart.
3) A candle stays above EMA 21 in the 4H chart.
SOL Ready To Breakout?SOL had a decent move this weekend overcoming descending resistance and now testing as support.
Price appears to have a completed a wave (2) at the .618 Fibonacci retracement and S1 daily pivot and a larger degree wave 2 at the channel bottom, High Volume Node support and .618 Fibonacci retracement.
If a wave (3) of 3 is underway then we should expect a strong move sooner rather than later with an initial target of the swing high resistance a/ R2 daily pivot $208-$216 range
Safe trading.
$420 Solana Within 2 Months —TargetsSolana is on a path to a hit a price target of $420 mid-term, within 1-3 months. This is the continuation of the uptrend that started in early April with the end of the previous correction and a more than a year long strong low.
This is not for the faint of heart. Solana is preparing for something massive, even scary but positive. $600+ is also possible but we are going step by step and $420 is the first step.
Immediately when prices start to rise Solana is likely to find resistance around $220 and $253.
The last high, January 2025, would be the minimum on this bullish wave. This would be price tag of $296.
The end of the retrace happened 22-June. This means that the market is already bullish for an entire week. Bitcoin is about to produce the best possible weekly close. As Bitcoin is ultra-bullish above $106,000/$107,000, the altcoins can continue to recover and will aim higher trying to catch up. Of course, no altcoin can catch up to Bitcoin but invariably the entire market will grow.
The wait is over, we are bullish now. Timing is great.
Bullish momentum will grow for weeks and then a major force will permeate the market, something not seen in many years. I hope you are prepared.
Namaste.
Buying Reploy AI (RAI) Today Is Like Buying Bitcoin at $345Buying Reploy AI (RAI) Today Is Like Buying Bitcoin at $345—Or Even $3.45
Imagine going back in time to 2016 and buying Bitcoin at $345. Most people didn’t believe in it. They thought it was too risky, too early, or just plain irrelevant. Today, Bitcoin is trading in the six figures. The opportunity was historic.
Now, there’s another chance brewing—and it’s quietly sitting in front of us.
That opportunity is Reploy AI ($RAI).
🚀 What is Reploy AI?
Reploy AI is a micro-cap artificial intelligence (AI) project focused on decentralizing the compute layer that powers AI training and inference. It’s building a distributed AI network that connects GPU resources with developers and businesses in need of scalable AI infrastructure. Think of it as the decentralized AWS + OpenAI — built from the ground up for speed, accessibility, and equity.
It’s early. But the fundamentals, vision, and market positioning are explosive.
💰 Let’s Talk Numbers: The Bitcoin Comparison
Right now, Reploy AI ($RAI) trades at a tiny market cap—roughly $3 million at the time of writing.
If $RAI hits a $1 billion market cap, that’s a 31,000% return.
Yes, 31,000% — not a typo. That’s a 310x gain.
That would be like buying Bitcoin at $345, before it ran to over $100,000.
If $RAI grows into a $10 billion AI ecosystem, it would be like snagging Bitcoin at just $3.45.
Let that sink in.
🌐 Why This Could Actually Happen
AI Is the Next Internet
The world is undergoing an AI revolution. But centralized giants (like OpenAI and Google) dominate access. Reploy offers a decentralized, censorship-resistant alternative — and the market desperately needs it.
Micro Cap = Maximum Asymmetry
Unlike hyped-up billion-dollar AI tokens, Reploy is still undiscovered. Small caps like this can explode with just one partnership, listing, or viral catalyst.
Strong Tokenomics & Ecosystem Design
RAI has a deflationary supply structure, utility-driven demand, and real infrastructure use cases tied to decentralized compute, developer tooling, and enterprise deployment.
It’s Not Just Hype. It’s Being Built.
Reploy isn’t vaporware. The team is shipping code. The platform is live. And the network of compute contributors is growing.
⚠️ Of Course, This Is Risky
Yes, it’s still early. Yes, micro-cap tokens carry real risk. But so did Bitcoin when it was $345. So did Ethereum when it was $7.
The difference is this: most people only see opportunity when it’s already gone.
This isn’t financial advice. But if you’ve ever wished for a second shot at catching a generational trend early—this might be it.
🧠 Final Thought
In crypto, the biggest returns come from spotting the future before it’s obvious.
Buying $RAI at today’s price could be your version of buying CRYPTOCAP:BTC at $345—or even $3.45. The only question is: will you see it in time?
📈 DYOR. Stay sharp. Think long-term. And don’t miss what might be the next breakout in AI + crypto.
Can Penguins Fly?Pudgy Penguins #Pengu is up nicely already 3.6X from it's april low.
And is sitting nicely outside the top 100 CMC list and is the 8th biggest Memecoin by marketcap.
It appears it is on the cusp of a cup and handle breakout and projects to a very high flying 5 cent log projection.
(#Crypto's are highly speculative and can go down -99%)