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Spx500analysis

SPX500: my multi-time frame analysisHi Traders, This is my view on this pair for the next days on #SPX500 I remind you that this is only a forecast based on what current data are. Therefore the following signal will be activated only if specific rules are strictly respected. If you follow my strategy you will be able to identify the right filters and triggers to enter correctly the market and avoid fake signals. I really hope you liked this video and I would like to know what do you think about this analysis, so please use the comment section below this video to give me your point of view. Thank You ——————————— Pit from Trading Kitchen
FX:SPX500
by kitchen_trading
US Market Technicals Ahead (13 September – 17 September 2021)It is a relatively busy week ahead in the US on the economic data front. This Tuesday’s U.S. inflation numbers could help dictate market direction in the coming week amid concerns that persistent rising inflation could prompt the Fed to roll back emergency stimulus measures. The timing of when central banks choose to scale back economic stimulus has been a key driver of market sentiment amid concerns over rising inflation. Elsewhere on economic data, US retail sales and industrial production numbers for August are seen pointing to a decline in domestic trade and modest factory activity growth. Numbers will be out on Thursday. The UK is also due to release what will be closely watched inflation data, along with updates on employment and retail sales. Appearances by European Central Bank officials may shed more light on last week’s decision to scale back bond purchases. Meanwhile, data from China is likely to underline that the pace of the recovery in the world’s number two economy is slowing. Here’s what you need to know to start your week. S&P500 (US Market) The benchmark index $SPX ended the week off its longest daily losing streak since February (-1.58%), posting five straight days of losses. Fears over slowing economic growth and rising inflation have weighed on the market. $SPX medium term trend channel remains intact, with no violation of its upper and lower bound trendline since the Bullish Reversal supported by its 50DMA highlighted in the earlier weeks. $SPX is now trading below its 20DMA after the failure of its Bullish Pennant consolidation, spiraling down towards its 50DMA that has pivoted the index since November 2020. The immediate support to watch for $SPX this week is at 4,425 level; a break down of 50DMA along with its short term support level. U.S. inflation Tuesday’s data on consumer price inflation will be the highlight of the economic calendar amid an ongoing debate over whether the current spike in inflation is likely to fade as the imbalance between supply and demand causing price increases in recent months eventually eases. In July, price increases slowed but remained at a 13-year high on a yearly basis amid tentative signs inflation has peaked. Market watchers will also be looking at Thursday’s figures on retail sales, which are expected to decline for a second straight month. UK data Last week Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey warned that the economic rebound in the UK is slowing, so this week’s data on inflation, employment and retail sales will be closely watched, particularly ahead of the Bank of England’s upcoming policy meeting on Sept 23. July data showed that inflation slowed to 2%, while retail sales fell 2.5% month-on-month. Tuesday's jobs data will also be in focus amid labor shortages and a record 8.8% increase in wage growth in June. The end of furlough schemes may push people into the jobs market, but skills shortages risk fueling price pressures driven by supply bottlenecks and commodity prices. ECB speakers In the euro zone, ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane and Bank of Finland Governor Olli Rehn are both due to make appearances, with investors hoping for more insights into last week’s decision to pare back emergency bond purchases over the coming quarter. The move is a small first step towards unwinding the emergency stimulus the ECB deployed to bolster the euro zone economy during the coronavirus pandemic. ECB President Christine Lagarde was eager to stress that the move wasn’t the start of tapering. The move by the ECB to trim bond purchases is expected to be followed by the Fed later this year, despite the disappointing August U.S. jobs report. China data China is to release data on industrial production, retail sales and fixed asset investment on Wednesday, which will show the economic impact of a widespread Covid outbreak in August, which saw Beijing partially close the world’s third-busiest container port and impose fresh restrictions across some areas of the country. While the latest outbreaks have been largely contained the Chinese economy is still facing headwinds. While exports have remained strong, boosted by robust global demand domestic demand has faltered amid virus containment measures, supply bottlenecks, tighter measures to tame property prices and a campaign to reduce carbon emissions.
ULong
by jfsrevg
Here's some more bear heat for yaWe have now officially broken down out of the multi year rising wedge after getting almost to the exact apex of the drawing. The measured and or implied move for this rising wedge is roughly -1202.89 points or 26.64%. When we toss up a fixed range volume profile from our blow off top in 2018 to current price action it's apparent that we've just had one massive, massive Fed fueled momentum overshoot. What I've done is marked off the levels of highest participation in volume, or, most likely areas of support based off of volume profile. Those levels are roughly: 4185 3913 3692 3372 (Top of value area) These levels pale in comparison to the volume or participation in the value area. The Volume Profile Value Area is not until 3372. Yes, 3372. Meaning a trade down into the value area would net us somewhere around -1125 points... Roughly coinciding with our measured move. A trade down into the Volume Profile Point of Control would be roughly -1775 points or -40%... Your ball Jpow.
SP:SPX
by merkd1904
7
The S&P Bullish trend is still ActiveHello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :) _________________________________Make sure to Like and Follow if you like the idea_________________________________ The Bullish trend that started in November where the SPX index started moving up in an Ascending Channel is not stopping yet. The trend is still giving Bullish signals where we kept getting higher highs and higher lows. The S&P 500 index booked fresh record closes on Thursday, despite falling from the session’s best levels, ahead of a highly anticipated August employment report on Friday. The index price is still not showing any signs of weakness and most likely the Index movement for the next period of time will be like this : If we look at the chart and where the market is right now we see that every time the SPX hit the upper end of the Ascending channel it always dropped into the middle range of the Channel, We probably won't see a big Bullish breakout in the Index right now, so the price most likely will be dropping this week a bit and it will be headed near the first support line at 4474.64 and if the Bears were able to gain more control then it could reach the second support at 4439.92 where the major Bull power will be and where the bounce back up will happen that would get the index above the resistance zone between 4528.74 - 4548.12. Technical indicators are showing this : The S&P 500 index is trending above the 5 10 20 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA ( Bullish Sign) The MACD is above the 0 line showing that the market is in a Bullish state, With a positive crossover between The MACD line and The Signal line. The STOCH indicator is in the overbought zone, With a positive crossover between %K (95.00) and %D (92.84). *The overbought zone indicates that the price might drop down. The Ultimate Oscillator is at 79.95 sitting in the overbought zone. The overbought zone indicates that the price might drop down. Support & Resistance points : Support/Resistance 1) 4474.64 1) 4528.74 2) 4439.92 2) 4548.12 3) 4420.54 3) 4582.84 Fundamental point of view : On Thursday, the S&P 500 rose to records on the back of better-than-expected jobless claims data. The initial filings for unemployment insurance fell to their lowest levels since March 2020. The Labor Department reported first-time jobless claims totaled 340,000 for the week ended Aug. 28, compared with the 345,000 estimate. The S&P 500 climbed 0.3%, hitting its 54th record closing high of 2021. Investors are now looking ahead to August’s nonfarm payrolls report — released Friday morning — which could give clues about how fast the Federal Reserve will remove easy monetary policy. Economists polled by Dow Jones expect 720,000 jobs were added in the month, down from 943,000 jobs added in July. The unemployment rate is expected to dip to 5.2%, compared to 5.4% in July. According to CNBC Markets This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice. If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !! Thank you for reading.
SP:SPXLong
by GabiDahduh
SPX500USD ES1! SnP500 2021 Aug 23 WeekOANDA:SPX500USD ES1! SPX500USD ES1! SnP500 2021 Aug 23 Week Price approaching previous supply area, there may be temporary weakness. Wait for price to come down first before taking a long. Weekly: Ultra Wide Spread Up bar closing off high, and lower than previous bar = Weakness. Daily: Ultra Wide Spread Up Bar, High Volume = Strength H4: Narrowing Spread, advancing on diminishing volume = Weakness Strategy for Short (Test and Reject): - 4476 - 4460 - 4445 Strategy for Long (Test and support): - 4412 - 4378 - 4345 - bullish absorption past 4476 Like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week ahead.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by paradox677
S&P 500 The trend is not stoppingHello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :) _________________________________Make sure to Like and Follow if you like the idea_________________________________ A Bullish trend started in November where the SPX index started moving up in an Ascending Channel and the trend kept giving Bullish signals where we kept getting higher highs and higher lows. The S&P 500 jumped to record closes for a third straight day on Thursday, with mega-cap technology stocks driving the market higher as investors warmed to jobs data showing a steady U.S. economic recovery. The index price is still not showing any signs of weakness and most likely the Index movement for the next period of time will be like this : Scenario 1 : The Index price is at 4429.29 trendings near the first resistance level at 4460.08 and it's gonna try to breakout of that resistance line if the Bulls were able to keep control then we could be seeing the S&P going even further and hitting the resistance levels at 4483.64 or even 4527.08. Scenario 2 : If the bulls try to make a move now then we will see a drop in the price that's gonna be headed to near the first support line at 4393.08, where the Bulls and the Bears will battle over control of the trend, The bulls are most likely to win since we have no signs of a reversal yet and the result will bounce the price back up to near the resistance level at 4460.08. Technical indicators are showing this : 1) The S&P 500 index is trending above the 5 10 20 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA (Bullish Sign) 2) The MACD is above the 0 line showing that the market is in a Bullish state, With a positive crossover between The MACD line and The Signal line. 3) The STOCH is in the overbought zone and has been trending there for the last 10 days, With a positive crossover between %K (98.94) and %D (95.92). 4) The Ultimate Oscillator is at 63.704 giving a Bullish sign Support & Resistance points : support Resistance 1) 4393.08 1) 4460.08 2) 4349.64 2) 4483.64 3) 4326.08 3) 4527.08 Fundamental point of view : The IGCS gauge (IG Client Sentiment Report) implies that 31% of retail investors are net-long the S&P 500. Upside exposure has increased by 1.62% and 9.07% over a daily and weekly basis respectively. The fact that traders are net-short hints that prices may continue rising. The combination of this and recent changes in sentiment are offering a stronger bullish-contrarian trading bias. All three main equity benchmarks closed higher Thursday and the Dow and S&P 500 booked a third straight record finish after fresh labor-market data provided insight on the pace of the recovery. The moves for stocks came even as a reading for wholesale inflation came in hotter than expected. the S&P 500 index SPX, +0.30% advanced 0.3% to 4,460, led by gains in health care XLV, +0.79% and technology XLK, +0.57%. The S&P 500 closed at records in three consecutive sessions for the first time since March 15. According to Marketwatch This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice. If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !! Thank you for reading.
SP:SPXLong
by GabiDahduh
5
SPX500USD 2021 July 26 Week OANDA:SPX500USD SPX500USD 2021 July 26 Week Long from lower green zone was fruitful. Weekly: Engulfing wide spread up bar, closing at its high. No sign of weakness yet Daily: Wide spread up bar close of its low, decreasing volume on move up = SOW H4: Widespread up bar + Upthrust + decreasing volume on move up = SOW Strategy: 1) Short on ND / Upthrust / Mushroom over 2) Long if there's climatic down bar + strength Like and follow if you find this useful :) Have a successful week ahead in whatever you do
OANDA:SPX500USD
by paradox677
1
SPX500USD 2021 July 12 WeekOANDA:SPX500USD SPX500USD 2021 July 12 Week Bar 1 confirmed as SOW and move was manifested on 06 Jul. Theme last week was similar to Nasdaq - trapping longs and shake out Weekly chart: Net gain from previous bar has diminished, volume has picked up slightly.. Daily chart: No significant weakness observed H4 chart: Shortening of trust, weakness manifesting Strategy: Long on retracement is preferred. 1) If price returns to test bar 2, long when price is supported 2) Last bar shortening of thrust. If price hovers around that zone, we may have short opportunity 3) If you see a sudden spike in price and bar closes on its low, forming an upthrust, don't chase Like and follow if you find this useful :) Have a successful week ahead in whatever you do
OANDA:SPX500USD
by paradox677
SPX500USD 2021 JULY 05 WEEK OANDA:SPX500USD SPX500USD 2021 JULY 05 WEEK New high achieved. Last bar closing on the low. We will wait for Monday to see if this is mark down for buying or SOW. Weekly chart : Weakness - shortening of thrust, diminishing volume as price advances Daily chart : No significant weakness observed. H4 chart: Last bar is an Upthrust. Wait for Monday to show us if this is mark down for buying or if this is weakness. Strategy: 1) If Upthrust for further buying: price goes below UT bar, wait for reversal price action or intermediate support to buy 2) If Upthrust is sign of weakness: Wait for price to come down, return to test the high and price rejection to short. Like and follow if you find this useful : ) Have a successful week ahead in whatever you do.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by paradox677
SPX500: double entry intraday tradeHi Traders, This is my view on this pair for the next few days #SPX500 Double entry (wait for evidence after NY opening) SELL 4255 SELL 4257 SL 4262 TP 4240 I remind you that this is only a forecast based on what current data are. Therefore the following signal will be activated only if specific rules are strictly respected. If you follow my strategy you will be able to identify the right filters and triggers to enter correctly the market and avoid fake signals. I really hope you liked this video and I would like to know what do you think about this analysis, so please use the comment section below this video to give me your point of view. Thank You ——————————— Pietro from Trading Kitchen
FX:SPX500Short
by kitchen_trading
SPX500USD 2021 June 21 (Intraday) OANDA:SPX500USD SPX500USD 2021 June 21 (Intraday) The past reveals the future. Last week, we opined on possibility of history repeating as price reaches a previous high. Congrats to those who had not been sucked in as market was marked up and waited for a short. Price has paused at 50% 4151 of the previous up move. Scenarios: 1) If price is supported at the 50%, it may test ultra high volume bars 2 or even 1. 2) Price breaks through 50% and target 4078 3) Short opportunity should present itself if price returns to test the high volume bars 2, or even bar 1 4) Price resisted at a previous support turned resistance. Like and follow if you find this useful. Have a good trading week ahead.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by paradox677