Stocks
Oracle (ORCL) shares surge 24% in a week, hitting all-time highOracle (ORCL) shares surge 24% in a week, hitting an all-time high
Last week, Oracle (ORCL) shares:
→ rose by approximately 24% — marking the strongest weekly gain since 2001;
→ broke through the psychological level of $200 per share;
→ reached an all-time high, with Friday’s session closing above $215. It is possible that a new record may be set this week.
What’s driving Oracle (ORCL) shares higher?
The main catalyst was the quarterly earnings report released last week:
→ Earnings per share ($1.70) exceeded analysts’ expectations ($1.64);
→ CEO Safra Catz projected revenue growth of 12–14% in upcoming quarters;
→ Company founder Larry Ellison highlighted “astronomical” demand for data centres, as well as Oracle’s competitive edge in building and servicing them.
Notably, Oracle provides infrastructure services for both OpenAI and Meta Platforms.
Technical analysis of ORCL shares
ORCL shares have shown high volatility throughout 2025, largely influenced by news surrounding Donald Trump. His promises to strengthen the US position in AI served as a bullish signal, while plans to impose international trade tariffs had a bearish impact.
As a result, a broad upward channel has formed on the chart, with the following key observations:
→ the price has repeatedly bounced sharply from the lower boundary (1), indicating strong demand;
→ by early June, the price had risen and stabilised near the channel’s median line (2).
Currently, the ORCL chart shows that the earnings-driven rally has pushed the price into the upper quartile (3) of the channel.
With the RSI indicator at extreme highs, it is reasonable to assume that ORCL may be vulnerable to a pullback. However, if a correction does occur, it is unlikely to be deep — perhaps testing the psychological $200 level — given the company’s strong fundamentals.
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NAS100 - Stock market awaits an important week!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading in the specified pattern. If it does not rise again above the broken trend line, I expect a correction.
If the index returns above the broken trend line, we can expect a new ATH to be recorded on the Nasdaq. It is better to wait for confirmation on the breakout in order to control further risk.
Last week, U.S. stock markets—particularly the Nasdaq index—experienced significant volatility, driven by a combination of economic and geopolitical factors:
• A reduction in trade tensions due to ongoing U.S.-China negotiations
• The release of inflation indicators
• Heightened geopolitical tensions
According to Politico, as G7 leaders meet in Canada, the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran will top the agenda. Politico reported that leaders of the free world have gathered in the Rocky Mountains to discuss the very real threat of a full-scale war in the Middle East. The initial sessions of the G7 summit will take place in Kananaskis, where the worsening Israel-Iran conflict will be the primary focus. Donald Trump, who in recent days has fueled tensions through social media, is now expected to join discussions aimed at de-escalation.
On the economic front, lower-than-expected inflation in May could encourage the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates sooner than markets had previously anticipated. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that inflation rose 2.4% in May compared to a year earlier. Housing costs were identified as the primary driver of this inflation, while price increases in categories most affected by high tariffs were not as pronounced as economists had expected. So far this year, the Fed has refrained from cutting its benchmark interest rate, citing concerns that tariffs might push consumer prices higher. While the likelihood of a rate cut at this week’s meeting remains low, the latest report could ease some of these worries and accelerate the timeline for potential cuts.
Meanwhile, Bloomberg reported that a growing group of President Trump’s advisers is urging him to consider Besant for the Fed chair position. Jerome Powell’s current term extends until May 2026, and he was originally nominated by Trump in November 2017. Other names reportedly under consideration include Kevin Warsh (considered a favored candidate), Kevin Hassett (head of the White House National Economic Council), Christopher Waller (a current Fed board member), and David Malpass (former World Bank president).
After a week dominated by U.S. inflation data, investor attention in the coming days will shift toward central bank decisions and potential signals regarding the future path of interest rates. The trading week kicks off Monday with the Empire State Manufacturing Index, offering an initial snapshot of the industrial sector in New York. Later that day, the Bank of Japan will announce its first interest rate decision, an event that could shape Asian market trends and the yen’s valuation.
On Tuesday, May’s U.S. retail sales data will be released—a key indicator of consumer strength. Signs of weakness in this report could bolster expectations for rate cuts. Wednesday will be the focal point of the week, as the Federal Reserve announces its policy decision. While markets have already priced in a pause in tightening, investors will scrutinize Jerome Powell’s remarks for clues on the likelihood of rate cuts in the months ahead. Additionally, data on May housing starts and weekly jobless claims will also be released that day.
On Thursday, with U.S. markets closed for Juneteenth, attention will turn to monetary policy decisions from the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England. Changes in tone or interest rates from these key European central banks could influence currency market volatility. Finally, the week will conclude Friday with the release of the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index—a leading indicator closely watched by traders for insights into the health of the manufacturing sector in the U.S. East.
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 16–20, 2025 🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 16–20, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🏦 Fed Holds Rates, Powell Expresses Caution
The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep rates at 4.25–4.50%, though Chair Powell likely won’t provide fresh guidance. Markets see limited upside without stronger inflation or growth cues
💱 Dollar Strengthens on Geopolitical Risk
The U.S. dollar rose slightly as investors flocked to safe assets amid global tensions with Iran. Treasury yields eased slightly on risk-off flows
🛢️ Oil Near Multi-Week Highs on Mideast & OPEC Dynamics
Oil held near seven-week highs (~$67–70/barrel), buoyed by Iran-Israel tensions and OPEC+ output hikes (411K bpd added from May–July), offset by demand concerns .
⚠️ G7 Summit Faces Heightened Stakes
G7 finance ministers meet in Canada under pressure from Middle East escalation. Watch for policy coordination and commentary on trade, inflation, and global economic risks .
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Monday, June 16
Regular markets open after Juneteenth holiday
Quiet day; oil & geopolitical headlines dominate
📅 Tuesday, June 17
8:30 AM ET – Retail Sales (May): Signals consumer spending strength/duration
8:30 AM ET – CPI (May): Confirms inflation trend post-CPI cooler reading
10:00 AM ET – Housing Starts & Building Permits (May): Gauges housing market demand
Unexpected Tesla Robotaxi Demo (Austin): Watch for surprise developments this week
📅 Wednesday, June 18
Global Central Bank Day: FOMC, BoE, BoJ policy updates; U.S. Fed will most likely hold steady
📅 Thursday, June 19 – Juneteenth Holiday – U.S. markets closed
📅 Friday, June 20
8:30 AM ET – Existing Home Sales (May): Measures U.S. housing activity
10:00 AM ET – Leading Economic Indicators (May): Early snapshot of economic momentum
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
MGY: Technical Breakout + Fundamental Momentum = Quiet Winner?Magnolia Oil & Gas (MGY) is showing one of the cleanest technical breakouts in the energy sector — and the market hasn’t priced it in yet. After months of pressure, price has broken above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages with rising volume, signaling a clear phase shift from distribution to accumulation. Recent candles confirm control shifting to the buyers, with a tight structure, rising lows, and bullish momentum building underneath resistance.
The fundamentals back the technical setup. In the latest earnings report, MGY delivered a 9.7% revenue increase, $110M in free cash flow, and continues to pay dividends with low leverage. UBS upgraded the stock with a $29 target, which aligns precisely with the post-breakout projection. Operationally, the company is expanding in key U.S. basins like Eagle Ford, while seeing growing demand from Australia and Latin America.
With oil prices pushing higher and geopolitical tensions rising, MGY stands out as a stable energy play in a volatile world. Holding above the $24.00–$24.30 zone keeps the breakout valid, with $29+ as a natural magnet for price. Most investors are still asleep on this name — but the structure is already telling a very different story.
PLAINS - LONG TERM BUY OPPORTUNITY FOR 25%+ GAINSPLAINS ALL AMERICAN PIPELINE, L.P. (PAA) has been recovering from all-time lows at $3.00 per share in 2020 with a nice upward channel forming over the past 5 years. Expect some choppy price movements around $20.00 per share but once price breaks above, the next price target is $30.00 per share over the next few years. With uncertainty and war in the middle east, oil and oil stocks can be considered great investments, especially when the U.S. decides to invest more in producing oil domestically. Don't be surprised if the rise moves faster than anticipated if more uncertainty arises in the middle east.
TESLA WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅TESLA is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 336$
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 320$
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Taking profit on GE Aerospace stock to buy in lower after summerIt's clear NYSE:GE has hit overbought, it's the perfect time to take profits now. Less stress managing stocks over the summer too lol...
$196 is the 0.618 level I'm aiming to re-enter, there's also decent support near that level $190 to $200
Looking to take profits on Microsoft that's severely overboughtThis summer most stocks will lose their momentum making it a great time to take profits. We got into NASDAQ:MSFT at an average of $$350-375, it's time to sell at least half to 75% of the stack then buy back around the 0.618 golden fibonacci at $400 after the gap is filled.
SPY (S&P500) - Price Testing Support Trendline - Daily ChartSPY (S&P500 ETF) price has just closed below $600 and is currently under a support trendline.
If price cannot breakout above the $600 and $605 resistance level this month, a pullback could occur down to the support zone.
SPY price could potentially pullback to various levels of support due to:
-USA domestic conflict
-International military conflicts
-Technical chart bearish divergence
-USA federal reserve interest rate news
-Government and corporate news
Support Levels: $595, $590, $585, $580.
Resistance Levels: $600, $605, $610, $615.
The 50EMA/200EMA Golden Cross is still on-going, and support prices of $580 and $568 have yet to be tested significantly.
GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) – Powering the Global Energy TransitionCompany Overview:
GE Vernova NYSE:GEV is becoming a cornerstone of the global clean energy shift, providing advanced power generation, transmission, and renewable energy technologies that are now mission-critical for national energy strategies.
Key Catalysts:
Explosive Electrification Growth ⚡
Grid Solutions backlog tripled YoY, driven by demand for modern, resilient, and clean grids.
HVDC & FACTS technologies place GEV at the forefront of a global multi-decade grid overhaul.
Recurring Revenue from Wind Repowering 🌬️
1 GW of upgraded capacity in 2024 under the Repower program.
GEV operates the most widely installed wind platform in the U.S., giving it dominance in the high-margin retrofit market.
Strategic Manufacturing Expansion 🏭
$600M+ in investments across Florida and India expand capacity and de-risk the supply chain.
Supports global demand from infrastructure stimulus and decarbonization mandates.
Investment Outlook:
Bullish Case: We are bullish on GEV above $410.00–$415.00, as clean energy investment accelerates.
Upside Potential: Price target of $600.00–$610.00, backed by order momentum, retrofit leadership, and global energy reform.
🔋 GE Vernova – Electrifying the Future. #GEV #CleanEnergy #GridModernization #WindPower
ADM 1D: 10-Month Channel Says Goodbye?Since July 18, 2024, ADM had been locked in a clean downward channel — well-behaved, well-respected. But in May 2025, the structure finally cracked: price broke out, crossed above the 50-day MA, and pulled back for a textbook retest right on the channel’s upper edge. So far, the breakout is holding. The next targets sit at 50.6 (0.618), 53.5 (0.5), and 56.5 (0.382). As long as price stays outside the channel, the bullish structure remains intact.
Connor’s RSI down below is quietly doing its job — already bounced from deep oversold, now curling up with momentum. It’s not flashy, but in this context it signals early strength before the crowd notices.
Fundamentally, ADM is still cleaning up after the early-2024 accounting scandal that nuked investor trust. But management moved fast: reinstated buybacks, tightened guidance, and Q1 2025 came in strong — $22.6B revenue, $0.88 EPS, both beating expectations. ADM remains a pillar of the U.S. ag sector, and in an era of global food anxiety, that means structural demand isn’t going anywhere.
Вот адаптированный перевод финального блока под **английский пост**, в том же живом и профессиональном стиле:
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TESLA Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
TESLA went up from the
Horizontal support but has
Hit a horizontal resistance
Of 335$ and we are already
Seeing a bearish pullback
So we will be expecting
A further local move down today
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 13, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 13, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🚨 Israel Strikes Iran — U.S. Markets Sell Off
Israel launched airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear and military facilities, triggering a sharp risk-off move in global markets. U.S. stock futures slid over 1%, driven by a drop in equities and a surge in safe-haven assets
🛢️ Oil Prices Surge 7–8% on Supply Fears
Brent crude jumped over 7%, reaching ~$74.65/barrel, while WTI rose nearly 8%—the strongest move since early May. The sudden energy-price spike reflects heightened fears of supply disruptions in the Middle East
💱 Dollar & Safe Havens Climb
True to form, the U.S. dollar, Japanese yen, Swiss franc, gold, and Treasuries rallied as investors moved to the safety of low-risk assets amid escalating geopolitical uncertainty
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, June 13
(No scheduled U.S. economic data)
Data flow will take a backseat as markets digest geopolitical developments and await the weekend.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #geopolitics #oil #safety #charting #technicalanalysis
$SMCI "Buy The Dip" Value AreaSMCI (Super Micro Computer) has weathered the storm from all the negative press and I believe it is poised to go on a big run. This $26-$47 area is the BEST value you are going to get on it. This is probably the last discount before takeoff. We may not see this level again. As NVDA continues to fly, so will SMCI. Always do your own DD.
NVO Soaring Towards TargetsOur NVO call debit spreads and LEAPS options soaring towards targets at the 233 EMA here.
Beautiful thing when fundamentals, valuations and technicals align.
Impulse move from the bottom gave us a hat trick - triple green tags (white circles) for bullish A+ momentum signals into a consolidation period in which we built our position and added on the consolidation breakout
APPLE: 3 year Channel Up targets $285.Apple is marginally bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 43.788, MACD = -0.260, ADX = 30.978) as the recent weakness impeded the price from making the decisive bullish break-out above it. The 1W RSI structure though indicates that this is a bottom formation and it is evident on the Channel Up that the April 7th low has been the start of the new bullish wave. The first bullish wave which also started after a -32% correction, made a first peak on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. We are bullish on Apple long term, TP = 285.00.
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Rocket (RKLB) From Launch Innovator to Space Systems PowerhouseCompany Evolution:
Rocket Lab NASDAQ:RKLB is transforming into a vertically integrated space and defense systems company, leveraging its launch heritage to build long-term, diversified revenue streams.
Key Catalysts:
Rapid Launch Cadence 🛰️
3 Electron launches in 24 days demonstrate operational agility and scalability.
Meets rising demand for high-frequency satellite constellation deployments.
Strategic GEOST Acquisition 🛡️
$275M deal expands into electro-optical and infrared payloads, key for defense/ISR.
Boosts margin profile, backlog durability, and government contract appeal.
Validated Execution & Recurring Revenue 💼
100% mission success rate and multi-launch contract with Japan's iQPS reinforce credibility.
Positions RKLB for long-term cash flow stability and multiyear contract wins.
Investment Outlook:
📈 Bullish above $23.00–$24.00, backed by high reliability and strategic expansion.
🎯 Price Target: $42.00–$43.00, reflecting an expanding TAM, defense sector momentum, and vertically integrated execution.
🌠 RKLB is no longer just reaching orbit—it's building the infrastructure of space. #RKLB #SpaceStocks #DefenseGrowth