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"MDLZ Heist LIVE! Quick Profit Grab Before Reversal!"🚨 MONDELEZ HEIST ALERT: Bullish Loot Zone! (Swing/Day Trade Plan) 🚨 Thief Trading Strategy | High-Risk, High-Reward Play 🌟 Greetings, Market Pirates! 🌟 Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! To all Money Makers & Strategic Robbers 🤑💸—this is your blueprint to plunder "MONDELEZ INTERNATIONAL, INC" with precision. 🔎 THIEF TRADING ANALYSIS (Technical + Fundamental) The Vault is Open! Bullish momentum detected, but caution—this is a high-risk police barricade zone (resistance level). Overbought? Consolidation? Reversal? Yes. Bears lurk here, but we’re stealing profits before the trap snaps. 🎯 Target: 72.50 (or escape earlier if momentum fades). 🚨 Scalpers: Long-only! Use trailing stops to protect gains. 📈 ENTRY: How to Swipe the Loot "Buy the Dip" Strategy: Optimal entries on pullbacks (15m/30m timeframe). DCA/Layering Tactics: Spread limit orders for better risk control. Aggressive Robbers: Enter now. Patient Thieves: Wait for retests. 🛑 STOP LOSS: Survival Rules SL at 68.50 (nearest swing low wick on 2H chart). Adjust based on risk/lot size—protect your capital! ⚡ CRITICAL ALERTS 📰 News Volatility: Avoid new trades during major releases. Lock profits with trailing stops! 📊 Fundamental Drivers: Check COT reports, macro trends, and sector sentiment Klick the 🔗. ⚠️ Reminder: This is NOT financial advice. DYOR and manage risk! 💥 BOOST THE HEIST! Like 👍 + Boost 🔄 to fuel our next market robbery plan. Together, we trade smarter, steal bigger, and profit faster! 🚀 Stay tuned—more heists coming soon! 🤑🔥
NASDAQ:MDLZLong
by The-Thief
AAPL Weekly Breakout – Targeting $266Hello Traders, Here’s my latest analysis on Apple (AAPL) based on the weekly chart. 🔍 Chart Breakdown: Main Uptrend Channel (Blue): Price has respected this channel since 2023. Red Downtrend Sub-Channel: Recent corrective phase is now broken. Breakout Signal: Last week, AAPL closed above the sub-channel’s upper line, confirming bullish momentum. 📌 Updated Trade Setup Section: Entry Zone: Around $215 (current price) Stop-Loss: Weekly close below $195 (Risk = $20) Targets: ✅ $230 (Reward = $15 → R:R = 0.75:1) ✅ $266 (Reward = $51 → R:R = 2.55:1) Always confirm with your own strategy before entering a trade. Position sizing and risk control are key. 💬 Do you think AAPL can reach $266 before Q4 2025? Share your thoughts below! NASDAQ:AAPL
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Eymen-GUVEN
Apple (AAPL) Shares Surge to Four-Month HighApple (AAPL) Shares Surge to Four-Month High According to the AAPL price chart, the stock rose to the $220 level yesterday – marking its highest point since early April. The rally was fuelled by several bullish factors: → Trade developments: President Trump announced an additional 25% tariff on goods from India, but notably excluded smartphones – a key point, as a significant portion of iPhones are manufactured there. → Seasonal momentum: Apple is approaching its historically strong period. A new iPhone model is traditionally unveiled in September, followed by the start of the holiday shopping season and strong retail demand. Technical Analysis of Apple (AAPL) Shares In our previous analysis, we identified an ascending channel (marked in blue) formed by price fluctuations following the April 2025 correction. A bullish reversal (highlighted with an arrow) has provided a basis to update the channel’s slope. In this configuration, the price is now in the upper half of the channel, moving towards its upper boundary. From a price action standpoint, AAPL's rally is characterised by aggressive upward movement, accompanied by bullish gaps. This is a notable observation, suggesting that while sellers attempted to regain control during a consolidation phase in late July, they lacked conviction – with momentum now favouring the bulls. This resembles a failed Rounding Top bearish pattern – bulls were able to push the price higher, signalling strong demand. Potential resistance levels: → Near-term: The upper boundary of the channel, reinforced by the $225 level – a price point that has previously acted as a reversal zone. → Longer-term: A descending trendline (marked in red), drawn across key highs from recent months. Bulls might find support at the channel median, which is further reinforced by the former resistance level of $214. Having risen more than 8% since the start of the week, AAPL now appears overbought in the short term. However, given the strong fundamental backdrop, any potential pullbacks might prove to be shallow. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by FXOpen
1
Snap Inc. — key weekly support area for long positionsSnap Inc. Regularly Pays Cash as Salaries Price is testing a strong support zone near 6.00–7.00 USD, held since 2022. Bullish reversal signals are forming. First target: 10.30, second target: 13.16 to 17.43. Potential upside exceeds 60 percent. The area is attractive for mid-term investors if the support holds. If price dips lower, I will average the position at 5.50 USD within the extended support zone. "simple deal that makes money"
NYSE:SNAPLong
by InvestWorld_777
1
BABA 1M: Chinese favorite rising againTechnical setup: Breakout from long-term triangle Retest of trendline confirmed Price holds above Fibo 0.236 (116.94) First resistance: 151.85 Fibo targets: → 0.5: 187.82 → 0.618: 219.50 Trade plan: → Hold after successful retest → Add on dips to 116–118 Targets: 151.85 / 187.82 / 219.50 Fundamentals: Alibaba is restructuring around cloud and AI. Regulatory pressure from China is easing, and earnings are stabilizing. Buybacks and renewed institutional interest provide strong mid-term support. Conclusion: Alibaba may fall seven times, but rise eight — especially when Fibo and price action agree.
NYSE:BABALong
by InvestWorld_777
1
AMD Shares Decline Despite Strong Earnings ReportAMD Shares Decline Despite Strong Earnings Report Yesterday, following the close of the stock market, Advanced Micro Devices released a strong quarterly earnings report: → Earnings per share came in at $0.48 (roughly in line with forecasts); → Revenue reached $7.68 billion (versus expectations of $7.41 billion). At the same time, CEO Lisa Su stated: “We’re well positioned to deliver significant growth in the second half.” However, despite the solid performance and optimistic outlook, AMD shares declined in after-hours trading, falling below $165. The decline in AMD’s share price following a strong report may be attributed to excessively high expectations and the stock's overbought condition ahead of the announcement. Technical Analysis of the AMD Stock Chart Since April 2025, price fluctuations have formed an ascending channel (highlighted in blue). In July: → the price broke above the upper boundary of this channel, moving sharply higher (marked in purple); → the RSI indicator remained above the 50 level throughout. We can assume that investors were following the meteoric rise of Nvidia (NVDA) shares and were betting that the ongoing AI boom would enable AMD to deliver extraordinary results. However, these hopes were not fully realised — the classic case of "buy the rumour, sell the fact". As a result, AMD shares may open today with a bearish gap. From a technical standpoint, this suggests that the price is returning to the limits of the blue ascending channel, where the midline and lower boundary may act as support levels. The psychological support level at $150 also appears significant. This move may be interpreted as a correction — and once the excessive optimism accumulated in July dissipates, bulls may attempt to resume the upward trend, supported by fundamentally strong data. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:AMD
by FXOpen
1
Cyclical Stocks vs Non-Cyclical Stocks: How Can You Trade Them?Cyclical Stocks vs Non-Cyclical Stocks: How Can You Trade Them? Not every stock is created equal. One of the biggest distinctions is cyclical vs non-cyclical—those that grow or decline alongside economic conditions and those that are less sensitive. In this article, we explore the key differences between the two, how to analyse both, and how to trade them. What Are Cyclical Stocks? Cyclical stocks are those that rise and fall in line with the broader economy. They’re more sensitive to consumer spending and include those in the travel, automotive, construction, and luxury goods sectors. Simply put, when consumers have more disposable income, they’re likely to buy new cars, travel abroad, or invest in home improvements. Demand boosts corporate earnings and pushes share prices higher. However, when consumers have less money or face economic uncertainty, they reduce and delay spending on these discretionary purchases, dampening company earnings and stock valuations. Nike and Starbucks are good examples here—both are cyclical companies that see higher demand when consumers are in a stronger financial position and feel comfortable purchasing brand-name clothes or buying coffee on the go. Cyclical stocks tend to be more volatile than non-cyclical ones. Their sensitivity to cyclical business conditions offers potential opportunities for traders to capitalise on a growth phase, but timing matters—getting caught in a temporary or prolonged downturn can lead to sharp drawdowns. Cyclical Sectors - Automotive - Airlines & Travel - Luxury Goods & Apparel - Construction & Materials - Banking & Financial Services - Technology & Semiconductors - Restaurants & Entertainment - Retail (Discretionary Spending) Is Tesla a Cyclical Stock? Yes, Tesla is a cyclical stock. Demand for electric vehicles moves in line with economic conditions, consumer spending, and interest rates. Is Amazon a Cyclical Stock? Amazon is partly cyclical. Its retail business depends on consumer spending but its cloud computing division (AWS) sees constant demand and provides diversification. What Are Non-Cyclical Stocks? Non-cyclical stocks belong to companies that sell essential goods and services. Contrasting with cyclical stocks and their sensitivity to consumer spending, non-cyclical companies sell things people buy regardless of economic conditions. They’re often referred to as defensive stocks because they tend to hold up when the economy weakens. Non-cyclical sectors include healthcare, utilities, and consumer staples. Supermarkets, pharmaceutical companies, and electricity providers see relatively steady demand because people still need food, medicine, and power whether the economy is growing or contracting. For example, consumer non-cyclical stocks, like Procter & Gamble, which owns brands like Oral-B, Charmin, and Gillette, continue to generate revenue year-round because consumers still buy everyday household items. The same goes for Johnson & Johnson, which sells medical products that hospitals and pharmacies need. Compared to cyclical stocks, non-cyclical stocks are usually less volatile because their earnings are more consistent. While their potential returns are relatively limited vs their more growth-oriented cyclical counterparts, non-cyclical stocks are believed to not dive as sharply during a downturn. Non-Cyclical Sectors - Consumer Staples (Everyday Goods) - Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals - Utilities (Electricity, Water, Gas) - Telecommunications - Grocery & Essential Retail - Defence & Aerospace How Traders Analyse Cyclical Stocks In a market where going long or short volatile cyclical stocks is an option (such as with CFDs), many prefer to trade them over non-cyclical stocks. More broadly, traders analyse a few key indicators to determine whether cyclical stocks are in a growth phase. Macroeconomic Indicators When GDP expands, businesses and consumers spend more, and free-flowing spending boosts demand in cyclical sectors. Similarly, interest rates determine spending on more big-ticket purchases, like cars, homes, and luxury goods. Lower interest rates encourage borrowing and vice versa. Employment rates also play a key role. More layoffs and a higher unemployment rate mean consumers dial back purchases of discretionary goods and services. Employment conditions, along with economic and policy uncertainty, drive consumer confidence. When optimism is high, cyclical stocks often rally. Earnings Trends & Sector Data Unlike non-cyclical companies, cyclical firms see earnings fluctuate based on economic cycles. Traders pay attention to quarterly reports and especially forward guidance. If a company expects strong sales growth due to rising demand, this can drive its stock price higher and possibly signal an upswing in the sector. Industry-specific data, like auto sales figures or airline bookings, is also a useful gauge for assessing the future performance of a company. Market Sentiment & Seasonal Trends Cyclical stocks are prone to seasonal patterns—retailers surge in the holiday season, while travel stocks perform well in summer. Market sentiment is another important factor; for instance, if economic uncertainty is growing but investors on the whole believe it to be a temporary blip, then cyclical stocks may still rise. Analysing Non-Cyclical Stocks While traders often favour cyclical stocks for their higher potential returns, many still turn to non-cyclical companies as a possible form of short-term defence against downturns, to balance a long-term portfolio, or when unique occasions arise (earnings reports, company-specific news, etc.). Earnings Stability & Cash Flow Since non-cyclical companies sell essential goods and services, their earnings tend to be more consistent. Traders look at revenue trends, gross margins, and free cash flow to assess a firm’s ability to generate relatively steady income. Consistent earnings—even during downturns—can be a marker of a strong non-cyclical stock. Dividend History & Payout Ratios Many non-cyclical stocks pay dividends. That makes them attractive for those looking for income-generating assets. A company with a long track record of consistent or growing dividend payments is often a sign of financial strength. The payout ratio (dividends paid as a percentage of earnings) is another metric traders examine—too high, and it could indicate unsustainable distributions. Market Conditions & Defensive Rotation If economic uncertainty rises, investors will generally shift into defensive sectors like healthcare, utilities, and consumer staples. Many will monitor fund flows—where institutional money managing exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, and large portfolios is headed—to understand if risk aversion is growing. Likewise, outperformance in certain sectors can be a signal. If sector indices like the S&P 500 Consumer Staples Index or the S&P 500 Healthcare Index outperform the overall S&P 500, it may indicate capital moving into non-cyclical stocks. Trading Cyclical and Non-Cyclical Stocks Now, let’s take a closer look at how traders engage with these stocks. Short-Term Trading Short-term traders generally focus on stocks or sectors expected to move over hours or days. One strategy might be to examine the broader conditions and trade ahead of earnings reports. If summer is approaching and the economy is doing well, Delta Air Lines could rise in the weeks before an earnings release as traders anticipate strong quarterly performance and positive forward guidance. Another strategy is trading macro themes. If inflation rises, traders might focus on companies with strong pricing power, like consumer staples firms that can pass costs onto consumers. If economic data points to a slowdown, they might focus on healthcare stocks. Medium-Term Trading Medium-term traders take a broader view and typically adjust their portfolio weightings based on economic conditions. During expansions, they may overweight cyclicals like construction and travel stocks, while shifting into non-cyclicals as recession risks grow. That could mean just rebalancing a collection of ETFs, over/under-weighting a set of stocks, or a mix of both. Here, the focus is usually on broader economic trends while also staying alert for possible strengthening or weakening consumer demand. Long-Term Trading Long-term traders often hold a mix of cyclical and non-cyclical stocks to maintain a balanced portfolio across economic cycles. While they may still adjust weightings over time, they tend to be more concerned with long-term sector trends and income generation. With a longer time horizon, these traders may be more willing to allocate more capital to cyclical stocks during a downturn, especially to otherwise strong companies or sectors, to take advantage of potential rebounds months down the line. The Bottom Line Understanding the difference between cyclical and non-cyclical stocks is fundamental to trading them. Careful analysis—macroeconomic, sectoral, and company-specific—can help traders identify potential opportunities across all time horizons. FAQ What Are Examples of Cyclical Stocks? Cyclical stocks include Tesla (TSLA), Delta Air Lines (DAL), Nike (NKE), Caterpillar (CAT), Marriott International (MAR), and Ford (F). Which Industries Are Most Cyclical? Highly cyclical industries include automotive, airlines, hospitality, construction, luxury goods, and consumer discretionary retail. Is Coca-Cola a Cyclical Stock? No, Coca-Cola is considered a non-cyclical stock. Demand for its wide range of products remains stable regardless of economic conditions. Is Starbucks a Cyclical Stock? Yes, Starbucks is a cyclical stock. Coffee purchases aren’t essential, so demand fluctuates based on disposable income and consumer confidence. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by FXOpen
1
ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) LONGThe Technology Sector Continues to Break Records The tech sector keeps setting new highs, and alongside individual stocks, it's a great idea to consider investing in an ETF that mirrors the profits of the NASDAQ 100 index. One of the most attractive options is TQQQ - it’s more affordable than the index itself, yet offers similar growth potential aligned with the entire tech sector. I expect continued growth through the end of the year, assuming the geopolitical landscape remains relatively stable. From a technical standpoint, those looking to minimize risk might prefer to wait for a retest of previous highs. However, my approach is to gradually build a position both before the breakout and after the retest of the highs. A classic technical analysis pattern -the cup formation, also supports the bullish case for entry. As George Soros wrote in his book: “What moves the market : our expectations or the events themselves?” I’d say it’s both. The key is not to miss the wave. P.S. Don’t forget: with TQQQ, you also receive dividends - a nice bonus while riding the trend.
NASDAQ:TQQQLong
by InvestWorld_777
S&P500’s Bullish Island Turns Risky: Elliott Wave Says “Top”The S&P500 Index( SP:SPX ) started to rise and even created a new All-Time High(ATH=$6,428) with the help of the Bullish Long Island Pattern , as I published in my previous idea on May 14, 2025 . The S&P500 Index is currently moving near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , upper line of the ascending channel , the Important Resistance line , and the Yearly Resistance(1) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , the S&P500 Index appears to be completing microwave 5 of microwave 5 of the main wave 5 . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect the S&P500 Index to correct at least -4% and fall to the lower line of the ascending channel . First Target: $6,233 Second Target: $6,033 Note: Stop Loss(SL) $6,513 Do you think S&P500 Index can create a new ATH above $6,500 !? Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. S&P 500 Index Analyze (SPX500USD), Daily time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by pejman_zwin
16
Meta Platforms (META) Shares DeclineMeta Platforms (META) Shares Decline Shares of the US tech giant Meta Platforms (META) hit a record high last week, climbing above $780 following the release of a strong earnings report: → Earnings per share (EPS) came in at $7.14, significantly exceeding the forecast of $5.88. → The company also outperformed expectations on key metrics related to advertising growth. → Additionally, the media has highlighted the growing importance of AI technology to Meta’s business. However, shortly after reaching an all-time high, META shares began to show bearish momentum. Technical Analysis of the META Chart On the four-hour chart, the following signals are visible: → A bearish engulfing pattern formed on Thursday; → A bearish gap appeared at Friday’s market open, followed by a continuation of the downward move. This represents a notable pullback from the historical peak — potentially indicating that the initial bullish reaction to the earnings report has faded. The share price decline suggests a correction from overbought territory, as confirmed by the RSI indicator. The $740 level appears to be a key support zone — previously acting as major resistance before the breakout. Bulls could also find support from the median line and the lower boundary of the ascending channel that has been developing since mid-May. Given this context, a scenario in which bulls attempt to resume the uptrend within the ascending channel cannot be ruled out, especially considering the company’s strong fundamentals and the presence of multiple technical support levels. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:META
by FXOpen
10
Watching for Pullback Below $84 in Citigroup (C)Over the past month, Citigroup shares have appreciated 8.58%, outperforming both the Finance sector's 1.91% gain and the S&P 500's 3.92% increase. This relative outperformance may signal strength, but short-term positioning and market structure suggest a potential shift. Expecting a Sharp Move Below $84 – Option Flow Insight Despite the recent strength, I anticipate a significant downward move below the $84 level in the upcoming week. This expectation is based on notable option activity detected in the Times & Sales feed, specifically large put orders suggesting bearish positioning. In response to this setup, I plan to execute a bearish vertical spread, specifically: Buying the $84 puts Selling the $80 puts This strategy limits downside risk while still profiting from a potential retracement. Fundamental Picture Ahead of Earnings Citigroup's next earnings release is scheduled for July 15, 2025. The company is expected to report: EPS of $1.70 (+11.84% YoY) Revenue of $20.85B (+3.51% YoY) For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimate forecasts: EPS of $7.38 (+24.03%) Revenue of $83.84B (+3.33%) While these figures suggest healthy growth, it's important to note that recent analyst estimate revisions have been modestly negative, with the EPS estimate decreasing 0.27% over the last 30 days. Citigroup currently holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), reflecting a neutral sentiment from analysts. Valuation Metrics From a valuation standpoint: Forward P/E: 10.75, notably below the industry average of 15.02 PEG ratio: 0.61, versus the industry average of 1.26 This indicates that Citigroup is undervalued relative to its peers, especially when considering growth prospects, which could provide some support. However, short-term bearish flows may dominate price action heading into earnings. Industry Outlook The Financial - Investment Bank industry, which includes Citigroup, currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 96, placing it in the top 40% of over 250 industry groups. Historically, industries in the top half outperform those in the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
NYSE:CShort
by Wiiso
Dow Jones Triple Top & Critical Trendline Break - Buy The Dip?Potential Tripple Top formation spotted on the Dow. This would represent a full fibonacci retracement, which leads me to believe a 38.2 retest is likely. If this 23.6 level can hold support and price does not close below the fib band (orange channel), then the bullish continuation to new all time highs can still happen in Q3/Q4 of this year. The clear trendline break dating back to April is very concerning (white line), leading me to believe more downside in the coming weeks. Let me know what you think in the comments! Thanks
SKILLING:US30
by Lorenz_Capital
2
Amazon (AMZN) Shares Rise Ahead of Earnings ReportAmazon (AMZN) Shares Rise Ahead of Earnings Report Today, 31 July, Amazon is set to release its quarterly earnings after the close of the regular trading session. Available data show that Amazon (AMZN) shares are exhibiting bullish momentum, reflecting positive market expectations: → In July, AMZN shares have outperformed the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen); → Yesterday, following the end of the regular session, AMZN shares surged by approximately 3% in after-hours trading. The rise in AMZN comes amid strong earnings reports from other tech giants, such as Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META). For example, MSFT shares rose by more than 8% in post-market trading. Their success has likely fuelled optimism that Amazon’s upcoming report will also impress. All of this has brought noticeable changes to the technical outlook for the AMZN stock price. Technical Analysis of the Amazon (AMZN) Chart Following the release of the previous earnings report, price movements have formed an upward channel, as indicated by the Regression Trend tool. However, in recent days, a series of bearish signals emerged: → On Thursday, AMZN broke above the $230 level (marked by an upward arrow), but the session closed well below the highs – a sign of selling pressure; → Friday and Monday’s sessions produced candles with small bodies, indicating market indecision; → On Tuesday, bears took the lead (marked by a downward arrow), with a relatively long candle closing near the session low. Thus, the chart gave reason to assume that optimistic sentiments were waning. However, today’s session is likely to open near the $237.30 level, effectively negating the bearish interpretation of the previous five candles and shifting momentum back in favour of the bulls. In this context: → Support could be provided by the $230 level as well as the median of the Regression Trend channel; → Key resistance could be found at the previous high of $242.23 and the psychological level of $250. Whether AMZN can surge to a new all-time high will largely depend on the company’s performance in AI – a theme that remains highly relevant in 2025. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by FXOpen
2
Nifty 24780 Pullback possible on next 1-2 days On 31 July, if someone watch closely price action he could capture Today up move coz Nifty gave almost same price action as 13 June let's try to find what is the Same thing: - (A)31 July 2025: gap down is (-70%) volume around 97 million Bounce Back after gap down around +1% (B) 13 June: gap down was (-80%) Volume around 93 million Bounce back after gap down around +1 On 13 June Nifty faced resistance of 24980 level then retraced. Due to such similarities, we can conclude that it could be pullback around 24780 level although I don't say market will behave same as before, I know every second of market is very dynamic and different from past days, but technical analysis always based on historical data. so, this is just assumption. take the trade on your own analysis & research.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by rahul25
Microsoft’s Big Moves This Quarter | From Activision to AI AgentMicrosoft’s Revenue Surge: The Power of AI, Gaming, and Strategic Investments Microsoft has released its Q1 FY25 earnings for the quarter ending in September The stock saw a 6% drop, indicating the results fell short of investors' high hopes. Trading at over 30 times projected earnings for next year, expectations for Microsoft were significant. CEO Satya Nadella stated “Our AI business is set to exceed an annual revenue run rate of $10 billion next quarter, making it the fastest business in our history to reach this milestone.” This means that AI will soon account for about 4% of Microsoft's total revenue in under three years a remarkable feat for a global giant. If you need a quick summary, here are three main points: 1. ☁️ Azure’s growth is slowing. As Microsoft’s key player in the AI competition, Azure grew 34%, down slightly from 35% in the prior quarter (after adjustments). This comes as Google Cloud raised the bar, with its growth accelerating from 29% to 35% during the same period. 2. 🤖 AI growth is limited by hardware supply, as capacity struggles to meet demand. Data center expansion is a long-term process, and Microsoft is investing heavily in infrastructure, aiming for a growth boost by 2025. 3. 👨‍👩‍👧‍👦 Consumer-focused products like Gaming and Devices are underperforming. Although not essential to Microsoft's core business, their poor performance has impacted overall results. Here’s a breakdown of the insights from the quarter. Overview of today’s insights: - New segmentation. - Microsoft’s Q1 FY25 overview. - Key earnings call highlights. - Future areas to monitor. 1. New Segmentation Revised Business Segments In August, Microsoft announced a reorganization of its business segments, effective this quarter. The purpose? To better align financial reporting with the current business structure and strategic management. Summary of the main changes - Microsoft 365 Commercial revenue consolidation: All M365 commercial revenue, including mobility and security services, now falls under the Productivity and Business Processes segment. -Copilot Pro revenue shift: Revenue from the Copilot Pro tool was moved from Productivity and Business Processes to the More Personal Computing segment under Search and news advertising. -Nuance Enterprise reallocation: Revenue from Nuance, previously part of Intelligent Cloud, is now included in Productivity and Business Processes. -Windows and Devices reporting combination: Microsoft now reports Windows and Devices revenue together. Impact of These Changes: Core Segments Overview: In summary: - The Productivity and Business Processes segment has grown significantly. - The Intelligent Cloud segment has decreased due to the reallocation of Nuance and other revenue. Products and Services Overview: - M365 Commercial now includes Nuance, shifted from the Server products category, along with integrated mobility and security services. - Windows & Devices have been merged into a single, slower-growth category. Additional Insights: - Azure, Microsoft's cloud platform, is reported within 'Server products and cloud services.' Although its growth rate is shared by management, exact revenue figures remain undisclosed. Azure’s past growth figures have been adjusted for consistency, with the last quarter’s constant currency growth recast from 30% to 35%, setting a higher benchmark. Tracking these metrics is challenging due to limited revenue disclosure, but this recast indicates Azure's raised growth expectations. 2. Microsoft’s Q1 FY25 Performance Financial Summary: -Revenue: Up 16% year-over-year, reaching $65.6 billion (exceeding estimates by $1 billion). Post-Activision Blizzard acquisition in October 2023, the growth was 13% excluding the merger. New Product and Services Segmentation Results - Server products & cloud services: $22.2 billion (+23% Y/Y). - M365 Commercial: $20.4 billion (+13% Y/Y). - Gaming: $5.6 billion (+43% Y/Y), influenced by Activision. - Windows & Devices: $4.3 billion (flat Y/Y). - LinkedIn: $4.3 billion (+10% Y/Y). - Search & news advertising: $3.2 billion (+7% Y/Y). - Enterprise & partner services: $1.9 billion (flat Y/Y). - Dynamics: $1.8 billion (+14% Y/Y). - M365 Consumer products: $1.7 billion (+5% Y/Y). Core Business Segments Breakdown: - Productivity and Business Processes: Increased 12% Y/Y to $28.3 billion, supported by M365 Commercial, especially Copilot adoption. - Intelligent Cloud: Grew 20% Y/Y to $24.1 billion, with Azure AI driving growth. - More Personal Computing: Grew 17% Y/Y to $13.2 billion, including a 15-point boost from Activision. Devices fell, but search and ad performance improved under new segmentation. Key Observations: - Microsoft Cloud revenue climbed 22% Y/Y to $39 billion, making up 59% of total revenue (+3 percentage points Y/Y). - Azure continues to drive cloud services and server products' growth. - Xbox growth has surged due to the Activision acquisition since Q2 FY24, expected to stabilize by Q2 FY25. - Windows OEM and devices combined, showing a 2% decline in Q1 FY25. - Office rebranded to Microsoft 365; updated naming will be used starting next quarter. - Margins: Gross margin at 69% (down 2pp Y/Y, 1pp Q/Q); operating margin at 47% (down 1pp Y/Y, up 4pp Q/Q). - EPS: Increased 10% to $3.30, beating by $0.19. Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: - Operating cash flow: $34 billion (52% margin, down 2pp Y/Y). - Cash**: $78 billion; Long-term debt**: $43 billion. Q2 FY25 Outlook: - Productivity and Business Processes: Anticipated 10%-11% Y/Y growth, steady due to M365, Copilot inclusion, and expected LinkedIn growth of ~10%. Dynamics set to grow mid-to-high teens. - Intelligent Cloud: Projected 18%-20% Y/Y growth, slightly slowing, with Azure growth expected between 28%-29%. - More Personal Computing: Forecasted ~$14 billion revenue, declines in Windows, Devices, and Gaming anticipated, with some offset from Copilot Pro. Main Takeaways: - Azure's growth slowed to 34% Y/Y in constant currency, with AI services contributing 12pp, up from 11pp last quarter. This marks a dip from the recast 35% prior and included an accounting boost. - Capacity limitations in AI persist; more infrastructure investments are planned, with reacceleration expected in H2 FY25. - Commercial performance obligations grew 21% to $259 billion, up from 20% in Q4. - Margins were pressured by AI infrastructure investments; Activision reduced the operating margin by 2 points. - Capital expenditures increased by 50% to $15 billion, half dedicated to infrastructure, with further Capex growth expected. - Shareholder returns included $9.0 billion through buybacks and dividends, matching Q4 repurchases. Earnings Call Highlights: Azure AI saw a doubling of usage over six months, positioning it as a foundation for services like Cosmos DB and SQL DB. Microsoft Fabric adoption grew 14% sequentially, signaling rapid uptake. AI Expansion: GitHub Copilot enterprise use surged 55% Q/Q, with AI-powered capabilities used by nearly 600,000 organizations, a 4x increase Y/Y. M365 Copilot has achieved a 70% adoption rate among Fortune 500 companies and continues to grow rapidly. LinkedIn saw accelerated growth in markets like India and Brazil and a 6x quarterly increase in video views, aligning with broader social media trends. Search and Gaming: Bing’s revenue growth surpassed the market, while Game Pass hit a new revenue record, propelled by Black Ops 6 Capital Expenditures: CFO Amy Hood highlighted that half of cloud and AI investments are for long-term infrastructure, positioning the company for sustained growth. 4. Future Outlook Energy Needs: Microsoft, facing higher power demands, plans to revive a reactor at Three Mile Island with Constellation Energy by 2028 to power its AI data centers sustainably. Autonomous AI Agents: Coming in November, these agents will perform tasks with minimal human input, enhancing efficiency. Copilot Studio will allow businesses to customize these agents, with 10 pre-built options to start. Industry Impact: Salesforce has launched Agentforce, signaling increased competition. CEO Mark Benioff recently compared Microsoft’s Copilot to the nostalgic Clippy, stoking rivalry. For further analysis stay tuned
NASDAQ:MSFT
by moonypto
UnitedHealth (UNH) Shares Plunge Following Earnings ReportUnitedHealth (UNH) Shares Plunge Following Earnings Report Yesterday, prior to the opening of the main trading session, UnitedHealth released its quarterly results along with forward guidance. As a result, UNH shares dropped by over 7%, signalling deep disappointment among market participants. According to media reports: → Earnings per share came in at $4.08, missing analysts’ expectations of $4.48. → Revenue guidance was set at $445.5–448 billion, falling short of the anticipated $449.07 billion. → Concerns were further fuelled by rising costs and declining profitability, which the company attributed to the continued impact of Medicare funding cuts. Consequently, the UNH share price dropped to its lowest level of 2025, last seen on 15 May. Technical Analysis of UNH Stock Chart In our end-of-May analysis, we updated the descending channel on the UNH stock chart and highlighted that following the recovery from the May low (marked by arrow 1), sellers could regain control. Since then: → Throughout June, the share price exhibited signs of supply-demand equilibrium around the psychological $300 level. → However, after an unsuccessful rally that formed peak A (which now resembles a bull trap), the balance shifted in favour of the bears. The price began to slide lower along the median line of the descending channel (illustrated by arrow 2). This pattern was a red flag, particularly against the backdrop of a broadly rising equity market since the beginning of summer. Even if the bulls had hope, yesterday's candle could have completely extinguished it: → The session opened with a wide bearish gap. → During the day, bulls attempted a recovery, but failed — the candlestick closed at the daily low, leaving a long upper wick, a classic sign of selling pressure. In this context, we could assume that: → Bears may seek to extend their advantage and test the year’s low; → The bearish gap area (highlighted in purple), reinforced by the descending channel’s median line, could act as resistance during any potential recovery. At the same time, the $250 psychological level appears to be a strong support zone. This is backed by the 15 May bullish pin bar formed on record trading volumes — a potential sign of institutional interest in accumulating shares of this healthcare giant in anticipation of a long-term recovery. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:UNH
by FXOpen