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AUDCHF - Already Overbought!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈AUDCHF has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red and it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel acting as an over-bought zone. Moreover, the blue zone is a strong weekly resistance. 📚 As per my trading style: As #AUDCHF approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
8
GBP/JPY Trap? Smart Money Might Be Setting Up the Next Drop📊 1. Technical Overview Price broke the bullish structure decisively, closing below a key demand zone between 195.00–196.00, leaving a large unfilled imbalance. Last week's recovery candle suggests a potential pullback toward 197.40–197.80, now acting as a resistance confluence. The descending channel and weak RSI further support a continuation of the bearish trend. Bearish targets: 193.50 and 192.20 📈 2. COT (Commitment of Traders) Report GBP: Non-commercials are cutting long positions (–5,961) and adding shorts (+6,637) → Bearish divergence developing on GBP. JPY: Non-commercials are heavily increasing short exposure (+15,113), but remain strongly net-long overall, indicating a potential exhaustion of bullish JPY positioning. 💭 3. Retail Sentiment Positioning is neutral: 51% long / 49% short. This balance suggests no excessive retail bias, leaving room for directional moves without immediate contrarian pressure. 📆 4. Seasonality August is historically bearish for GBP/JPY: • –2.82% (20Y average) • –3.04% (15Y average) • –1.44% (5Y average) The data shows a consistent historical bias to the downside during this month. 🎯 5. Strategic Outlook • Primary Bias: Bearish below 197.40–197.80 • Invalidation: Weekly close above 198.10 • Targets: 195.00 > 193.50 > 192.20 The confluence of technical rejection, bearish COT dynamics, neutral sentiment, and negative seasonality supports a corrective scenario for August.
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
2
Supply in Sight: AUDUSD Gearing Up for a Reversal?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈AUDUSD has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red and it is currently retesting the upper bound of the channel acting as an over-bought zone. Moreover, the blue zone is a strong supply. 📚 As per my trading style: As #AUDUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
6
PALANTIR GOES 'BOMBASTIC', DETHRONES JUGGER BITCOIN SUPERIORITYIt's gone less than a year or so since Palantir stock has joined on Friday, September 20, 2024 Stock Top Club, also known as S&P 500 stock index SPX . Palantir was one of the strongest contenders for inclusion in the broad market S&P500 Index. This inclusion, as well as Dell (DELL), came after tech companies Super Micro (SMCI) and Crowdstrike (CRWD) also joined the index earlier in the year 2024. Since that, Palantir stock became the best (i.e. #1) S&P500 index performer the year 2024 and even in nowadays this Jugger remains 'The Best of The Best' over the whole S&P 500 index, with current +127% YTD return in 2025 (and +697% over the past 12 months), being highlighted at 173.29 USD per share - the new all the history peak reached last Wednesday, August 05, 2025 at regular session close. What is most important also, nor Federal Reserve (The US Central Bank) hawkish projections on monetary policy in 2025, nor bearish were not able to stop the only game in the city, or even make a pause on Palantir leadership. Since Palantir stock is rallying, the stalkers remain decently far away, swallowing the galactic dust of Palantir shares. Judge for yourself. All the nearest pursuers in 2025 are still under 100% YTD return while Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is traded with modest +21% YTD return in 2025. What is most important also, Palantir stock was able to outperform S&P500 index within 12 (twelve) straight month in a row. In human words that means, Palantir stock monthly returns (every single month from June 2024 to May 2025) were better against broad market index. What is Behind this? On August 4, 2025 Palantir Technologies has announced financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2025. Palantir reported revenue ahead of Wall Street’s expectations in Q2 CY2025, with sales up 48% year on year to $1.00 billion. On top of that, next quarter’s revenue guidance ($1.09 billion at the midpoint) was surprisingly good and 10.5% above what analysts were expecting. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.16 per share was 15.6% above analysts’ consensus estimates. “The growth rate of our business has accelerated radically, after years of investment on our part and derision by some. The skeptics are admittedly fewer now, having been defanged and bent into a kind of submission. Yet we see no reason to pause, to relent, here. It has been a steep and upward climb—an ascent that is a reflection of the remarkable confluence of the arrival of language models, the chips necessary to power them, and our software infrastructure, one that allows organizations to tether the power of artificial intelligence to objects and relationships in the real world,” said Alexander C. Karp, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Palantir Technologies Inc. Palantir stock Alpha What is Alpha? Alpha (a) is a term used in investing to describe an investment's ability to beat (outperform) the market, or its “edge.” Alpha is thus also often referred to as excess return or the abnormal rate of return in relation to a benchmark, or any other asset (even against simple sitting in a cash) when adjusted for risk. The main graph represents a comparison across Bitcoin and Palantir stocks. Since Palantir outperforms BTC and accelerate right now, so why isn't to continue the play, by staying in a long with Palantir, and finally dethrone "the new oranges" respectively.
NASDAQ:PLTR
by PandorraResearch
PTON Peloton Interactive Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on PTON: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PTON Peloton Interactive prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 7.50usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-8-8, for a premium of approximately $0.46. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:PTONLong
by TopgOptions
Everyone’s Short on CAD… But This Is Why I’m Going Long📊 CAD/CHF – August 4th, 2025 | Tactical Long Bias 🔹 Technical Outlook The daily chart shows: Strong bullish reaction within a weekly demand zone (0.5800–0.5830), confirmed by multiple lower wicks → growing buying pressure. Weekly RSI bouncing out of oversold → potential mid-term reversal signal. Structure may be shifting with a first target at 0.5950 (intermediate zone) and second target at 0.6000–0.6030 (major supply). Recent bullish engulfing broke out of inside candle sequence → active technical trigger. 🧠 Commitment of Traders (COT) – July 29 Non-Commercials: CAD: Aggressive increase in shorts (+3,888) and reduction in longs (-2,222) → heavily bearish speculative positioning. CHF: Increase in longs (+936) and decrease in shorts (-1,095) → net bullish sentiment on CHF. 📌 However, CAD’s overstretched short positioning may lead to technical short-covering, especially if CHF starts to lose momentum. 📈 Seasonality – August CHF: Range-bound or weak in August across all timeframes (20y, 15y, 10y). CAD: Mild seasonal strength in August, especially on the 2y and 5y outlook. ➡️ Seasonal bias supports a tactical long on CAD/CHF during the first half of August. ✅ Trading Outlook 📌 Tactical Bias: LONG 🎯 First Target: 0.5950 → mid-level reaction zone. 🛑 Invalidation: below 0.5800 (demand breakdown). 🧠 Confluences: demand zone + RSI reversal + extreme COT positioning + seasonal support.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
Crude Oil setting up for a Long Trade to $78.40In the long term, Crude Oil is in a short position. We can see this from the red pendulum fork, which projects the price movement downward. However, in the short- to medium-term, we're long, as clearly illustrated by the white fork. Supporting the case for higher prices is the Hagopian signal that occurred on June 24, 2025. This essentially means that the market is expected to rise beyond the point it came from—specifically, the C-point of the red fork. The target would therefore be around $78.40 in the coming weeks or months, which does seem quite ambitious. But as long as price remains within the boundaries of the white fork, we're in an upward mode, and the potential profit target of $78.40 remains valid. Also, the fact that Crude Oil is finding support exactly at the L-MLH (Lower Median Line Parallel) of the white fork gives me further confidence in a long trade. Crude: Long and: Don't forget to watch the follow-up Video.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by Tr8dingN3rd
Emotional Reactivity: The Silent Killer of Trading PerformanceEven with the best strategy, traders often fall short — not because the system fails, but because they do. One of the most common culprits? Emotional reactivity. Fear and greed are the twin saboteurs. Fear leads to hesitation, premature exits, or failure to take action. Greed tempts us to oversize, chase trades, or hold too long. These emotional spikes don’t just “feel bad” — they disrupt the brain’s decision-making systems. Under pressure, the amygdala takes over, bypassing the prefrontal cortex (where rational thinking happens)—this results in reactive behaviour: impulse entries, revenge trades, panic exits. 🔧 How to Defeat Emotional Reactivity Here are proven strategies that work — not just in theory, but in the trenches of real-world trading. ✅ 1. Use Pre-Defined Rules & Checklists The more rules you build into your system, the less room there is for emotion to interfere. Think: “If X and Y are true, then I enter — no debate.” 🎯 2. Risk in Terms of ‘R’ Instead of thinking “I’m risking $5,000,” say “I’m risking 1R.” This reframing normalises risk, reduces attachment, and keeps you focused on process over outcome. 📓 3. Track Emotional States in Your Journal Don’t just log trades. Record your mental state before and after. Over time, patterns emerge: when you’re most reactive, most hesitant, most aggressive. 🧘 4. Control Your Environment & Physiology Fatigue, caffeine overload, or noise can heighten emotional spikes. A calm workspace and healthy habits reduce the likelihood of hijacked decision-making. 🌬️ 5. Use Breathing to Regulate State Even 60 seconds of box breathing can short-circuit fear. Try this: inhale 4 sec → hold 4 sec → exhale 4 sec → hold 4 sec. 🕵️‍♂️ 6. Trade Fewer, Higher-Conviction Setups Most overtrading is emotional. By filtering out B-grade trades, you reduce stress and decision fatigue. Final Word You can’t eliminate emotion — but you can contain it. The goal is to become emotionally aware and systematically anchored. Master this, and you stop trading your feelings — and start trading your edge. 👍 If this resonated, drop a like or comment below. 🔁 Repost to help other traders cut through the noise. 📌 Follow for more mindset and execution tips grounded in real-world trading.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by C_Tate
1
MSFT Microsoft Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought MSFT when they announced the 49% stake in OpenAI: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MSFT Microsoft Corporation prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 550usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-12-19, for a premium of approximately $14.75. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:MSFTLong
by TopgOptions
BTCUSD 8H – Long Triggered on Cloud Flip, Can This Trend Keep?This BTC 8H setup highlights how the Enhanced Ichimoku Cloud Strategy V1 caught a +27% move using clean trend confirmation and a low-noise entry. 📊 Setup Breakdown: Major Support Zone held 5+ times between March and April — confirming buyer interest. Entry triggered once: Ichimoku Cloud flipped bullish Price crossed the 171 EMA Strategy alignment confirmed by Ichi + EMA + Cloud filters Entry candle: ~$93,400 Current price: ~$119,000 → +27% trend continuation. 📈 Strategy Logic: This system combines: Custom Ichimoku (7 / 255 / 120 / 41) for cloud confirmation A 171 EMA filter to block noise A trend-following “state memory” logic to avoid premature reversals This BTC move is a textbook example of how the strategy avoids second-guessing and holds strong trends without constant recalibration. ⚠️ What to Watch Next: Price is currently ranging near prior highs Cloud remains bullish, but RSI and momentum divergence should be monitored If support holds above ~112K, continuation is likely — break below could shift structure ✅ Backtest this strategy on your charts to see how it handles your favorite assets. It’s best used on high-timeframe trends where precision and conviction matter most.
by Quant_Trading_Pro
Gold 29 July – H4 Demand Holds, M15 Structure ShiftsGold (XAUUSD) Analysis – 29 July The Mirror is Forming at 3310: Structure + Reaction in Focus The market has successfully held the H4 demand zone, particularly near the critical level around 3310. This level is not just another number on the chart — it’s an inflection point. A possible first higher low or swing low, from which the next directional leg in gold could emerge. Yesterday’s price action swept liquidity beneath this zone and then showed a strong bullish reaction. This isn’t just a bounce. It’s a behavioral shift — one that hints at absorption of selling pressure and the re-entry of aggressive buyers. 🔍 Structure Alignment: H4 + M15 On the H4 timeframe, price has stabilized within the demand zone. Zooming into M15, we now see internal price action beginning to shift: • First, a Change of Character (ChoCH) — the earliest clue that momentum is starting to turn. • Then, a Break of Structure (BoS) to the upside — signaling potential bullish intent. This multi-timeframe alignment — H4 support holding + M15 structure shifting — builds a strong case for a potential reversal and continuation of the uptrend. 📍 What Next? The next step is to mark a refined M15 Point of Interest (POI) — a zone where price may pull back before making its next move upward. We don’t chase price. We let it come to us. ✅ Look for Lower Timeframe Confirmation Once price returns to your POI, it’s time to observe. You’re not looking for obvious signals. You’re watching for subtle behavior — a sharp reaction, a psychological flush, or a precise candle footprint that reveals intent. The deeper signals aren’t always visible to the untrained eye — but they’re there for those who’ve studied the mirror. ( For those who know what to look for — this is where the sniper entry reveals itself. ) 🎯 Summary • Bias: Bullish — structure and reaction support long setups • Plan: Wait for price to retest the M15 POI • Execution: Only enter on confirmed lower timeframe intent and confluence • Target: 120 pips (fixed, as per system) • Stop Loss: 40 pips (always 1:3 R:R minimum) 📚 This is the kind of structure-based clarity we teach in The Chart is the Mirror . Let the chart speak. Let the structure guide you — not your emotion. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartIsMirror
CHTR Charter Communications Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought CHTR before the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CHTR Charter Communications prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 387.5usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-7-25, for a premium of approximately $22.55. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:CHTRLong
by TopgOptions
Excellent profits booked [500 pips SECURED ]As I mentioned throughout yesterday’s and Today's commentary session: My strategy is still the same – sell from 3430-3435. Gold around my key level yesterday at 3432-3435, which the market respects well and as our first target was 3405 then 3495 Very happy with the profits so far. My medium-term targets remain 3390 & 3380 which is achieved alhumdulliah .I sold gold from every local high. Also I mentioned 3420 turns retest and i opend my another sell trades on down side All I say thanks to those who followed us and made profits.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Forexmaestro121
Buying TMO sharesI am buying TMO shares according to my strategy for stocks, ETFs, and precious metals. This strategy shows 100% performance on this stock on a weekly timeframe. Therefore, I am investing a small percentage of my deposit in it and will wait for it to perform. I hope that everything will work out this time too :) Of course, the price may go even lower, but I will buy more if the strategy shows a buy signal. In the long run, I think there will be an excellent profit. DYOR
NYSE:TMOLong
by IQTrend_Dev
GBPJPY - Trading The Range!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈GBPJPY has been hovering within a big range. This week, GBPJPY is retesting the upper bound of the range and $200 round number. As long as the resistance holds, we will be looking for shorts on lower timeframes, targeting the lower bound of the range. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TheSignalyst
8
DG Trading Setup: Capitalizing on RangeDollar General has experienced a stabilization phase following its Q1 2025 results, with same-store sales increasing 2.4% and revenue growing 5.3% to $10.4 billion. The company has regained traction in the discount retail space, mitigating previous challenges related to shrink and operational inefficiencies. Institutional Flow & Market Positioning Recent institutional flow highlights large orders in DG’s 115 call and 110 put, signaling either: - A range-bound setup, where smart money expects the stock to stay between $110-$115 in the near term. - Potential volatility, with institutions hedging both directions ahead of an unexpected move. Considering the ATR (18) and standard deviation (7.353), this aligns with a low-breakout probability, making range-based strategies the optimal play. The absence of earnings between now and July further supports sideways movement expectations. Options Trade Setup: Iron Condor To capitalize on premium decay and IV contraction, I’m structuring an iron condor: - Sell 115 Call / Buy 120 Call - Sell 110 Put / Buy 105 Put This strategy ensures limited risk while collecting premium in a high-probability range trade.
NYSE:DG
by Wiiso
BTC - Breakout, Fakeout… or Loading Zone?BTC is back inside the $116K–$117K demand zone — same level that launched the last breakout. But this time? Consolidation. Stoch RSI stuck mid-range. Unclear momentum. The Hull Suite Strategy nailed the previous breakout with clean stacked buys — but it’s showing hesitation now. This is where strategy testing really matters. Not every system handles chop the same. 📊 We test these setups across multiple variations — especially in zones like this where most signals lose edge. Support flip or breakdown brewing? Watching closely. — #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #HullSuite #StrategyTesting #BacktestBetter #QuantTradingPro #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Quant_Trading_Pro
GBPAUD: Weekly Reversal | COT & Seasonality Support Bullish📊 Technical Outlook Price strongly reacted from a key weekly demand zone between 2.0400 and 2.0500, showing clear absorption of bearish pressure. The RSI is rebounding from the 30 area, signaling early reversal potential. The next technical target lies between 2.08900 and 2.10000, within a well-defined supply zone. An early bullish reversal is in progress, with potential for a swing move toward the red zone. 🧠 Commitment of Traders (COT Report – 08/07/2025) GBP: Non-commercial traders are net long, with positioning growing across the board: +869 longs / -926 shorts. Commercials reduce shorts and increase longs → Bullish bias. AUD: Non-commercials are clearly short (-2,267 longs / +1,957 shorts). Commercials are increasing long exposure (+2,629), but still in the minority → Bearish bias. ➡️ The COT spread confirms a GBP long vs AUD short bias. 📅 Seasonality (July) GBP: Historically strong in July, with average monthly gains across all timeframes (especially the 2Y window). AUD: Less favorable seasonal profile in July; flat to slightly negative across all time horizons. ➡️ Seasonality supports GBP strength. 📉 Retail Sentiment 58% Long / 42% Short on GBPAUD ➡️ Retail traders are still heavily long → a shakeout of weak long hands is possible before the real rally begins. 🎯 Strategic Conclusion GBP shows bullish convergence across technical, COT, and seasonal factors. AUD presents clear weakness. The current price zone offers a clean entry point for longs, targeting the 2.08900–2.10000 supply zone.
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
10
Smart Money Reloading: Will EUR/USD Explode from Demand Zone?📊 Technical Context (Daily) EUR/USD is currently in a corrective phase following the strong June rebound from the 1.1450 area, which culminated in a high near the 1.1850 supply zone. The recent bearish move has pushed the pair back into a key demand area between 1.1450 and 1.1550, a zone that has acted as support multiple times in the past. The latest weekly candle shows a potential bullish exhaustion signal (long lower wick), with the RSI hovering in oversold territory. 📌 Primary scenario: Possible consolidation above 1.1550 followed by a bullish continuation toward 1.1750–1.1800. 📌 Alternative scenario: Break of the recent lows could lead to a deeper retest of the 1.1350 zone. 📈 COT (Commitment of Traders) Non-commercial positioning shows growing bullish interest in the euro: EUR: +971 new longs, -6,654 shorts → strong increase in net long exposure. USD Index: -267 longs, +92 spreads → signs of institutional indecision on the dollar. This suggests a favorable shift toward the euro by smart money. 💡 Retail Sentiment Retail traders remain heavily short on EUR/USD (63% short) with an average entry price of 1.1579. This reinforces the contrarian bullish case, as retail traders are trapped short in a potential reversal zone. 📆 Seasonality Historically, July has been a bullish month for EUR/USD: ➕ 2Y average return: +0.0287 ➕ 5Y average return: +0.0166 This supports a seasonal bullish bias aligning with the current technical setup. ✅ Operational Outlook EUR/USD is trading at a technically and macroeconomically significant area. The confluence of: Weekly demand zone being tested RSI in oversold conditions COT positioning favoring the euro Retail sentiment skewed short Bullish seasonality …makes a bullish bounce plausible in the coming weeks, with a first target at 1.1750. Invalidation level below 1.1450. 📌 Bias: Moderately Bullish 📍 Technical Activation Zone: Above 1.1550 with confirmed bullish price action
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
1
Smart Money Sell Setup on Gold (15-Min TF)# Smart Money Sell Setup on Gold (15-Min TF) ### 🔍 Market Context: Gold has recently formed a strong bullish retracement after a sharp impulsive bearish move. Now, price has returned to a critical zone — the **Equilibrium level (EQ)** — which also aligns with a **valid supply zone** and **bearish trendline resistance**. This zone is often considered the "decision point" where Smart Money evaluates whether to continue upward or resume the previous bearish trend. --- ## 📉 Strategy: Sell Limit Based on Structure + Liquidity ### ✅ Entry Zone: **3341.500 – 3343.000** (At the EQ zone + premium pricing area) ### 🛑 Stop Loss: **Above 3345.000** (Just beyond the last liquidity wick and top of supply) ### 🎯 Take Profit Targets: - **TP1:** 3338.000 → First demand zone - **TP2:** 3332.500 → Liquidity sweep target under previous lows ### 📐 Risk to Reward Ratio: **1:3 or higher**, depending on execution precision. --- ## 🔎 Confluences Supporting the Setup: | Factor | Confirmation | |--------|--------------| | EQ Zone (50% of previous move) | ✅ | | Supply Zone | ✅ | | Bearish Trendline Resistance | ✅ | | Liquidity above EQ | ✅ | | CHoCH + BOS (Market Structure Shift) | ✅ | --- ## 🧠 Why This Setup Works: This is a classic **"Premium Price Rejection"** in a bearish environment, combining: - Institutional logic (EQ level) - Structural resistance (previous BOS) - Liquidity traps above --- ## 🧵 Summary: - **Sell Limit:** 3341.5 – 3343 - **SL:** 3345 - **TP1:** 3338 - **TP2:** 3332.5 - **RR:** 1:3+ - **Style:** Smart Money / Liquidity + Structure Based --- 🔔 **Disclaimer:** This is not financial advice. Always do your own analysis and manage risk accordingly. #gold #XAUUSD #smartmoney #tradingview #liquidity #supplydemand #priceaction #forex #structure
TVC:GOLD
by mmozafari1357
ASML Holding Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on ASML: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of ASML Holding prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 800usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-7-25, for a premium of approximately $32.00. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:ASMLLong
by TopgOptions