MKL - Markel Group Inc. (Daily chart, NYSE) - Long PositionMKL - Markel Group Inc. (Daily chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: High {volatility risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.21
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 1793
Entry limit ~ 1793 on April 28, 2025
1. Target limit ~ 1835 (+2.34%; +42 points)
2. Target limit ~ 1855 (+3.46%; +62 points)
Stop order limit ~ 1765 (-1.56%; -28 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observations
= important updates
(parentheses) = information
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
Support and Resistance
ACHR - KUMO BREAKOUTACHR broke nearest resistance. There is a bullish divergence in MACD. Based on ICHIMOKU CHART, the stock is BULLISH because :
i) Price breakout cloud
ii) Tenkan sen already cross above Kijun sen recently
iii) Chikou Span is above candlestick
ENTRY PRICE : 9.33 - 9.40
TARGET : 10.37 and 12.75
STOP LOSS : 8.16
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
It's been a decent week, our KOG Report trading plan worked well giving us the low we wanted to then take the long from. We published the NFP report earlier, that's given us a nice point to point move from above, into the level for the long.
This long now should be protected and managed, ideally we want to hold above the 3255 level and not see this go back again for the BE traders. This time, if it does, it's likely we will close lower on Gold for the week.
Take note, it's bank holiday on Monday in the UK, volume will be thin so make sure to protect any open trades over the weekend, just in case there is news that will affect pricing on market open.
For now, we'll stick with what we're in.
Wishing you all a great weekend ahead, and we'll see you on Sunday for the KOG Report.
PLEASE support us by hitting the boost button.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
$97,769 and 44 cents Coinbase: BTC Genesis Fib a MAJOR barrier Shown here is a single Fib series in three different timeframes.
The "Genesis Sequence" has caught all major turns since 2015.
First fib above the Golden Genesis is likely to get a reaction.
It is PROBABLE that we "orbit" this fib a few times.
It is POSSIBLE that we Break-and-Retest to continue.
It is PLAUSIBLE that we Reject for a significant Top.
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Previous Plots below
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$75k Long entry:
$105k Top call
$85.3k Break entry:
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NVDA watch $113.56: Golden Genesis fib and Most Important level NVDA has come back to its "Golden Genesis" fib.
We had a high apogee orbit and have returned.
What happens here will determine the trend.
It is PROBABLE that we orbit this a few times.
It is POSSIBLE that we reject to the fib below.
It is PLAUSIBLE that we break to next fib above.
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THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP
This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
We’ve done well this week on gold, capturing the high into the low and then taking the long late session which has nearly completed our higher target for a decent week on this precious metal. As we’ve said, best practice is to let this play out, let them take it to where they want, once it settles, then look for the trade.
We have support now at the 320-35 level which is a key level that will need to break in order to reverse and go lower. This level also lines up with our Excalibur levels and red boxes so we can say it’s pretty strong. Above, we have the 3270-75 region which is the previous order level, our volume indicator is suggesting a pull back, so rejection there can take us back into support to settle for the NFP release. It’s this level, if held which can push this upside and our thoughts are at the moment, are they going to take this back into the previous range and hold it there into the close.
So as long as 3240 holds us, we’re likely to see higher pricing for now, 3310-20 is the key level above which needs to break to then give us the flip and potential for a new all time high.
For now, let’s sit back and see what happens.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3262 for 3265, 3270, 3275 and 3288 in extension of the move
Break below 3252 for 3240, 3236, 3230 and 3220 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
NFP market, looking for opportunities to short goldFundamentals:
Mainly focus on today's NFP market;
Technical aspects:
Gold rebounded near 3200 and has gradually rebounded to around 3265. This wave of rebound is not surprising. After all, I have been insisting on short-term long gold since yesterday, and I have also gained a good profit. As gold falls and breaks through many key supports, my expectations for the magnitude of this rebound are not high. In the short term, it will first face resistance in the 3270-3275 area, and secondly, it will face resistance in the 3285-3295 area.
Moreover, the rebound and rise of gold before the NFP market is very confusing in itself. It is not ruled out that it is to pave the way for the sharp drop in the NFP market. Once gold falls again, it is likely to fall below 3200 and continue to around 3180.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider shorting gold when it rebounds to 3270-3280, TP: 3240-3230;
2. Consider continuing to short gold when it rebounds to 3280-3290, TP is the same as above.
Non-agricultural prospective data analysis Operation suggestions📌Fundamentals:
📊Technical aspects:
Technically, spot gold is in a downward trend in the short term, and there is a certain rebound or shock at the key support level. At the 4-hour level, the gold price is running above the lower track of the Bollinger Band, and the opening shows signs of contraction. The MACD indicator dead cross is gradually closing, and the RSI indicator is running in the 35-45 range, showing that the long and short forces are relatively balanced.
🎯Practical strategy:
3260-3270 light position short, target 3225-3200. When it reaches 3225-3200 and stabilizes, try to go long, target 3250-3270.
USDJPY: Bullish Trend Reversal?! 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY formed a strong bullish reversal pattern on a daily,
breaking the underlined daily resistance and confirming
a Change of Character CHoCH.
I believe that the pair will steadily return to a global bullish trend.
The price may grow at least to 147.0 level after a completion of a retracement.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
CIEN watch $72 then 76: Serious Resistance zones that cause dip CIEN coming back ferociously from the tariff bottom.
About to break second Major Resistance, one more to go.
Very likely to see a dip from one of these major zones.
$71.88-72.53 is the immediate resistance breaking
$75.93-76.30 is the next resistance to try shorting.
$68.77-69.37 is the first support in case of a dip.
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