MCX - Multi Commodity Exchange (45 minutes chart, NSE) - LongMCX - Multi Commodity Exchange (45 minutes chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea.
Risk assessment: Medium {volume structure integrity risk}
Risk/Reward ratio ~ 1.35
Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 6490
Entry limit ~ 6400 on May 16, 2025
Target limit ~ 6680 (+4.38%; +280 points)
Stop order limit ~ 6192 (-3.25%; -208 points)
Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter.
LEGEND:
{curly brackets} = observation notes
= important updates
(parentheses) = information details
~ tilde/approximation = variable value
-hyphen = fixed value
Support and Resistance
XAUUSD remains bearish unless it breaks 3265🗞News side:
1. India considers using new Indus River project to cut water supply to Pakistan.
2. Pay attention to the news of Russia-Ukraine ceasefire negotiations today
📈Technical aspects:
Today's opening correction is due to technical repair and adjustment, which is why I shorted. The support of 3200-3210 is of great significance to the short-term trend. If it can be supported here again, it may further promote the upward expansion space. However, after the rebound in the morning Asian session, it did not break through the 3265 line. On the contrary, the bulls began to weaken. Today is Friday, and the market is not expected to show a unilateral strong attitude. It will be treated as a shock during the day. Before breaking through 3265 above, we can short at a small level during the intraday rebound. Short-term operation suggestions, temporarily look at 3235-3240 on the upper side, and look at the support of 3210-3200 on the lower side.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
NZDUSD to find buyers at previous swing low?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
Pivot support is at 0.5850.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.5900 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5975.
We look to Buy at 0.5850 (stop at 0.5800)
Our profit targets will be 0.5950 and 0.5975
Resistance: 0.5900 / 0.5950 / 0.5975
Support: 0.5875 / 0.5850 / 0.5825
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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GOLD SHORT SETUP🟡 Harmonic Pattern + Support Break = Bearish Confirmation 🐻
📉 #XAU/USD Analysis | 4H Timeframe
#Gold has temporarily shifted into a bearish trend, and here's why I'm eyeing a short setup at current levels:
✅ Harmonic Pattern Completion spotted on the 4H chart
✅ Clear break below key support zone, now acting as resistance
✅ Lower highs and lower lows forming – confirming short-term bearish structure
📌 Entry: Current Market Price (CMP)
📌 SL: 3353.751
📌 TP Zones: 2974.632
⚠️ Important Note:
If bullish divergence forms on the 1H or 4H timeframe, I will consider closing the trade early at CMP.
💬 What’s your view on this #GOLD setup?
Would you short here or wait for a pullback?
🔁 Like, share, and follow for more clean setups!
📲 Comment below with your thoughts or questions – let's discuss!
#GOLD #XAUUSD #BearishTrend #HarmonicPattern #PriceAction #SupportResistance #Forex #TradingSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #ShortTrade #RiskManagement #Divergence
Gold has a strong deep V, 3200 support is good for longThe 1-hour moving average of gold begins to turn and continue, so the momentum of gold bears begins to weaken, and gold bulls may begin to exert their strength. However, gold started to rise all the way from 3120 to 3252 yesterday. Gold rose by about 130 points, so the volatility began to increase. Therefore, we must wait patiently for gold to adjust. Because of such a large fluctuation, an adjustment will also be tens of dollars. We must wait patiently for the adjustment and stabilize before going long. After gold breaks through 3192, it is considered a strong deep V breakthrough of important resistance. Then 3192 of gold has now become an important support level. If it falls back to 3192 in the Asian session, go long on dips. If gold falls back to near the 3200 mark, you can try to go long.
Since gold has started to reverse strongly, gold bulls have begun to show their muscles. In the short term, we should not be stubbornly bearish anymore. We should be flexible and adapt to the market. The market is like this, changing rapidly. We should adapt to the market and not be too obsessed with bears or bulls. Obsession is a trap. Gold bulls are strong now, so gold is now the home of bulls. Go long when the Asian session falls back.
USDJPY – 4hr Breakdown – May 16USDJPY has pulled back, filled the Sunday gap, and is now approaching the bottom of the bullish channel we’ve been monitoring.
🔹 Main interest is at 144.767 — key level to look for long entries
🔹 If this support holds, we can expect a swing move to form a new higher high, giving us potential for ~500 pips
🔹 No sell positions unless we break the structure with a close below 143.802
🔹 If that happens, 142.00 becomes the first target
This remains a structure-led swing setup — patience is key until confirmation shows.
Bitcoin Ascending Triangle (4H)BINANCE:BTCUSDT might be forming an ascending triangle on the 4H chart, with a horizontal resistance at $105k and support being the resistance of the broadening wedge we identified last week: Bitcoin Ascending Broadening Wedge (4H)
A sustained break above $105k would set the target at $109k, very close to ATH.
5/16 Gold Trading Signals
🌇Good afternoon, everyone!
Gold made a strong one-way rally from 3120 to above 3200 yesterday, perfectly achieving our bullish target with substantial profits.
Today, after a slight uptick at the open, gold started to pull back and enter a consolidation phase. Technically, this is a normal correction after a $120 surge. However, the key question now is:
🔍 Is this just a healthy pullback, or a bearish continuation pattern?
There’s some uncertainty in the current structure:
On the larger scale, the market still appears to be forming a double top.
On the shorter-term, this week’s pattern resembles a head and shoulders bottom, and price is now testing the neckline zone.
🧭 So, while the direction remains unclear, we can still identify key trading zones to act on.
🗞 News Watch:
Several important U.S. data releases are scheduled during the New York session. They may provide crucial directional signals for gold.
📌 Today’s Gold Trading Strategy:
🟢 Buy Zone: 3176 – 3148
🔴 Sell Zone: 3265 – 3287
🔄 Flexible Trading Zones (watch for reversals or breakout plays):
▫️3187-3198-3209-3237-3258-3267
✅ Reminder: With the structure being complex and direction unclear, avoid aggressive positioning. Focus on scalp or short-term trades near key zones and react to market post-data.
EGX30 Neutral Zone AnalysisEGX30 stock is currently in a neutral zone, between the 31,970 resistance line and 31,424.07 support line, reflecting the buyers' and sellers' wait and taking their time for market analysis, especially with the investment atmosphere that is full of unaligned points of view. In case of taking an upward trend, it is expected not to breach the resistance line at 32,464.493 points, but in case of falling, it's expected not to break the support line at 29,989.245.
Short Position on EURUSD 4H – 16th May 2025 AnalysisTrading Idea: Short Position on EURUSD 4H– 16th May 2025 Analysis
This chart illustrates a short position on EURUSD, in 4hour Time Frame near Resistance 1 with clear Stop loss above this zone. Because this is the potential place for reversal as well.
Overall, the market structure is bearish. However, it has reached the Fibonacci Retracement Level of 0.71, from the recent major breakout Swing and it too support. This is the time to check whether Resistance 1 will be taken out and market will turn bullish or if it fails at resistance 1 and continues the downtrend towards the target and then to key support area.
Analysis:
• Market Structure: The overall market structure is Bearish. However, previously, there was a good breakout from 8th April 2025.
• Fibonacci Level: Market Retraced to 0.71 of Fibonacci retracement level from 8th April Swing to recent Swing High.
• Trend Change: Might occur, if it can break above Resistance 1and sustains, then we can aim at breaking the other resistances and reaching the Target Area, i.e. recent Swing High.
Trade plan:
• Entry: Near 1.2553
• Stop Loss: 1.2935
• Take Profit: Around 1.1098
• Risk-Reward: 1:4
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Latest trading opportunities for XAUUSD.The market went to the target position smoothly as expected.
Due to the sharp decline this week, there was a huge rebound in technical demand on Thursday. The highest broke through 3175/3200/3250. There were some pullbacks in the Asian market. So what positions should we pay attention to now? How to trade?
From the news side. The results of today's meeting between Russia and Ukraine are very important. The delay of one day in yesterday's negotiations has increased geopolitical uncertainty again. This is the biggest black swan event and the factor affecting the rise of XAUUSD. Before the results are announced today. There are still uncertain factors, which are the support for the decline of XAUUSD. However. If the results of the meeting are announced on the news side, then XUAUSD will have a corresponding response in the market. Then we can naturally choose the direction of trading.
Two results. Stop or extend the truce, then XAUUSD will fall further. If no agreement is successfully reached, then it is an opportunity to buy. So the impact of today's news results is very large. It needs to be paid attention to.
The basic data needs to pay attention to the support of 3200. Maintain the principle of long.
BTCUSD Next MoveNote: This chart presents a short-biased plan for BTC/USD based on key technical levels and price action signals.
🔍 Key Levels
: Resistance / All-Time High Area: $105,000
: Support Zone: Around $101,000
: Sell Trade TP1: $99,000
: Sell Trade TP2: $96,000
: Final Target: $93,500
: Critical Breakdown Level: $101,000 (Support)
📌 Plan Breakdown
🟦 Bearish Bias Setup:
> The market is consolidating between $101,000 support and $105,000 resistance, forming a range-bound structure near all-time highs.
> A breakdown below $101,000 support with a confirmed candle close below that level would trigger a sell signal.
> Rewritten chart note:
If the price breaks below the $101,000 support area and a candle closes beneath it, we can consider initiating a sell trade.
🔽 Downside Path:
: If the price breaks the support:
: First target: $99,000 — minor support.
: Second target: $96,000 — highlighted range zone.
: If the price breaks below $96,000, expect further downside toward $93,500 (final target).
🔄 Sideways Possibility:
: If the price breaks below $101,000 but fails to push through $96,000, the market may range between $96K–$99K before choosing a direction.
: The purple box (around $96K) is expected to be choppy — a break below confirms strong bearish continuation.
Can a V-shaped reversal continue the bull market?🗞News side:
1. Hamas official: If a permanent ceasefire is achieved, control of the Gaza Strip can be handed over
2. Fed Chairman Powell: The Fed is adjusting its overall policy-making framework. Zero interest rates are no longer a basic situation. The wording of underemployment and average inflation rate needs to be reconsidered. PCE is expected to fall to 2.2% in April.
3. Russia and Ukraine reached a ceasefire at the technical level
📈Technical aspects:
Yesterday, the gold price staged a V-shaped reversal and once rose to close near 3244. Although the technical indicators in the hourly chart show a favorable situation, there has been no correction in the current round of gold price increase, and the rise is slow. In addition, the RSI has entered the overbought area, so we need to be alert to the possibility of gold price correction today. Focus on the 3250-3260 resistance on the top and the 3210-3200 support on the bottom.
SELL 3245-3250 TP 3210-3200
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Is there still a chance for short sellers to make a profit?At present, gold continues to rebound to around 3230, and the intraday rebound has reached $100. Today, both short trades have touched SL, giving back most of the profits of the long positions in the morning. So are there still opportunities for shorts to make profits?
I think there are still considerable profit opportunities for shorts. Although gold has rebounded strongly to around 3230, it will soon face the short-term resistance area of 3240-3245, which happens to be the 38.2% split area when it retreats from 3435 to 3120, so this area has a certain suppression effect on gold in the short term! Then there is the suppression effect of the area around 3260; so I think there are still considerable profit opportunities for gold shorts. As gold rebounds, the short-term support below is raised to 3200-3190, followed by 3175-3165.
Trading strategy:
Consider trying to short gold in the 3235-3245 area, TP: 3200-3190
XAU.usd watch $3407/18: Key Resistance and end of "Wave B" ?Part of my ongoing analysis of Gold (see below).
Per the last plot, we bounced exactly where hoped.
We may well be at "Wave B" end point near $3400.
This is bears best and last chance to get a lower low.
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Last Plot that caught our bounces EXACTLY
Previous Plot called the last Dip Entry EXACTLY
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I will post updates on this Idea as price action progresses.
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Please follow and like, for more EXACT plots to use in your trading.
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QUICK HEAL is on strong support zoneafter continuous fall, quick heal is trying to take a reversal from the support zone, took multiple times resistance at the same zone in the past.
Taking 100 EMA support on Monthly timeframe.
RSI is below 30 and showing positive cross over.
Good opportunity for investment with good RR.
Support zone: 250~270
Can $AMC come back to life again? NYSE:AMC is showing some good TA on the weekly and daily chart. We are visiting lows from the past, which reminds me of when I played NYSE:AMC and it visited the COVID lows.
On both the Weekly and Daily we have the MACD in GREEN, RSI crossing MA which the weekly is showing downtrend being broke.
Daily chart Is almost or is right on the 8 day crossing the 21 day EMA. Daily is also breaking the downtrend of ~$4.40 along with breaking the 100 day SMA. Holding VWAP form the low of $2.45 on 4/4/2025.
NYSE:AMC Price as of 5/15/2025: $2.81
Need to see continuation out of the downtrend with volume
Break the resistance level of $2.81 - $2.85, which has the 100 Day SMA around the $2.83 that needs to be cleared.
Then $2.90 - $3.00 and we'll follow the Fib Levels and mark support/resistance levels as we go.
This could get spicy so buckle up knuckleheads!
NYSE:AMC Daily
NYSE:AMC Weekly
Beazer Homes Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 051525Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 22/61.80%
Chart time frame: D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Celsius Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 051525Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 35/61.80%
Chart time frame: D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Gold Wave Analysis – 15 May 2025
- Gold reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 3300.00
Gold recently reversed up from the support zone located between the pivotal support level 3155.00 (former top of the impulse wave 3 from the start of April), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from January.
The upward reversal from the support zone stopped the C-wave of the previous medium-term ABC correction (4) from the middle of April.
Given the clear daily uptrend and the oversold daily Stochastic, Gold can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 3300.00.
GBPAUD Wave Analysis – 15 May 2025
- GBPAUD reversed from the support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 2.1000
GBPAUD currency pair recently reversed up from the support zone between the pivotal support level 2.050 (which has been reversing the price from the end of March), the lower daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from January.
The upward reversal from the support zone stopped the C-wave of the previous short-term ABC correction 4 from the start of April.
Given the predominant daily uptrend, GBPAUD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 2.1000.