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EUR/USD - Triangle Formation (16.05.2025)The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours. Possible Long Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Resistance – 1.1321 2nd Resistance – 1.1376 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
15
USD/JPY - Trendline Breakout (14.05.2025)The USD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 145.34 2nd Support – 143.81 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
28
[𝟬𝟱/𝟭𝟮] 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗹𝘆 𝗦𝗣𝗫 𝗚𝗘𝗫 𝗣𝗹𝗮𝘆𝗯𝗼𝗼𝗸🔍 IF/THEN QUICK GAMMA PLAYBOOK IF > 5825 THEN path to 5900 → stall/profit-taking likely IF > 5900 THEN path to first 5950, then 6000 → gamma squeeze extension zone IF < 5825 THEN path to 5700 → test of transition zone support Chop Zone: — re-entry = short-term balance/testing zone IF < 5700 THEN path to 5500 → gamma flush / dealer unwind risk 🧭 𝗘𝗫𝗧𝗘𝗡𝗗𝗘𝗗 𝗭𝗢𝗡𝗘 𝗠𝗔𝗣/b] ✅ Gamma Flip Level 5700 → This is the confirmed Gamma Flip level = High Volatility Zone = HVL. We are comfortably above it, confirming positive gamma environment. 🧱 Major Call Walls / Resistance to upside from here 5900 → Significant call resistance zone (highlighted across GEX, profile, and /matrix command). 5825–5900 = Current rally zone → expected stall at 5900 (Profit-taking zone)5950 → Next mid-large positive gamma wall to the upside, mid-station between mounts. Dealers short gamma, adding fuel to breakout.6000 → Positive Gamma squeeze continuation target. Gamma squeeze intensifies → likely extends to 6000.🟦 Transition / Chop Zone 5700–5825 → Previous chop range. Retrace could test this before renewed upside.Currently outside and breaking up from this zone, indicating trend initiation. Balance zone from prior structure. Expect fade setups if price dips back in. Needs catalyst or strong sell flow to re-enter meaningfully. 🛡️ Major Put Supports to the downside 5700 → = HVL, also aligned with pTrans and Put support.Dealer unwind risk, downside opens.5500 → Key level if the 5700 zone fails — “total denial zone” of current FOMO. ----------------------------- This week’s SPX setup remains decisively bullish from a gamma perspective. The GEX profile shows strong positive gamma, with institutional and dealer hedging flows firmly positioned to support continued upside—especially into Friday’s OPEX. The environment is ideal for a controlled melt-up: volatility is softening, implied volatility is trending lower, and there’s no sign of panic in the options market. Put pricing skew is also declining, which suggests reduced fear and a shift toward more aggressive call buying—another sign of bullish sentiment. Dealer positioning implies that any upward momentum is likely to be chased and hedged into, reinforcing the trend. However, traders should stay alert: if SPX slips back below 5825, we may see a pause or retracement back into the 5700–5825 transition zone. Only a decisive break below 5700 would flip the gamma regime back to negative and open the door to real downside volatility.
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
1
Gold - $3160 before the next move up?Introduction Gold is currently exhibiting interesting price behavior across multiple timeframes, reflecting a mix of short-term bullishness within a broader context of consolidation. On the one-hour chart, gold is trading within a well-defined rising channel, suggesting a controlled upward correction following a strong impulsive move downward. This upward movement appears to be a retracement rather than a full reversal, especially when analyzed in conjunction with the higher timeframes. Daily tight range Zooming out, gold remains range-bound between the key levels of $3,500 and $3,200. The market has been oscillating within this wide horizontal band, making relatively equal highs and lows. This type of price action typically signals indecision or accumulation, where neither buyers nor sellers are firmly in control. Such a range can often precede a more decisive move in either direction once a breakout occurs. Until then, the market remains reactive to both support and resistance zones within this range. Latest Gold sell-off Yesterday’s trading session introduced a notable shift in momentum, as gold posted a large bearish candle on the one-hour chart, marking a sudden and aggressive sell-off. This move established a short-term bearish impulse. Since that moment, however, the price has been gradually recovering, climbing back within the confines of the rising channel. This rebound appears corrective in nature and has yet to reclaim the previous levels before the sell-off. Above the current price action lies a one-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), which could be an area of interest for liquidity hunters. Should gold manage to break out to the upside of the channel, it is quite possible that price action will aim to fill this FVG, which sits around the $3,300 level. This could represent a short-term bullish target before any potential continuation lower. Bearish scenario On the flip side, the more compelling scenario from a technical standpoint lies on the downside. If gold fails to sustain its upward trajectory and breaks below the lower boundary of the rising channel, the probability of a move toward the strong support level at $3,160 increases significantly. This level is particularly noteworthy because it aligns with multiple technical confluences. It represents a historical support area where price has previously reacted strongly, and it coincides with the so-called “golden pocket” of the Fibonacci retracement, typically considered a high-probability reversal zone by many traders. The presence of this confluence suggests that a breakdown could trigger a swift move toward this level, possibly attracting buyers once again if the support holds. Bullish scenario While the potential to move higher toward the $3,300 region and fill the FVG remains valid, especially if the current bullish momentum within the channel continues, it is, in my view, the less probable scenario. The recent sharp downward candle suggests that sellers have established control in the short term, and the current upward movement may simply be a retracement before a continuation lower. Conclusion In conclusion, the most likely and technically supported path for gold appears to be a breakdown from the rising channel, followed by a decline toward the $3,160 support level. This zone, bolstered by historical significance and Fibonacci confluence, presents a strong target for price if bearish momentum resumes. While a temporary push toward $3,300 is possible, especially to fill the FVG, it should be seen as a lower-probability scenario compared to the downside risk currently unfolding. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Youriverse
39
EURUSD - at Resistance: Will it drop to 1.11300?OANDA:EURUSD price is now at a strong resistance level, this is an area where it has struggled to break through in the past and reversed to the downside. It's also where sellers have stepped in before, so it’s worth keeping an eye on, especially for anyone considering short trades. If we start seeing signs that the price is getting rejected here: like long wicks, bearish candles, or buyers starting to lose momentum, I think we could see a move down toward the 1.11300 level. But if price breaks through this zone clearly, that might dismiss the bearish idea and suggest even more upside will continue. This area is pretty important and could give us a better idea of where price is headed next. Just sharing my thoughts on support and resistance, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk wisely.
Short
by TrendDiva
89
BTCUSD – Multi-TF Bearish SFP & Fib Retrace Before ATH Rebound Bearish SFP printed on 4H / 8H / 12H / 1D at $103 345 – $104 985 after a parabolic ~$94 k → $104 k run and multiple rejections at $104 k–$106 k resistance. Trump tariff-cut announcement sparked a sharp spike into resistance that was quickly sold off, confirming heavy supply at $104 k – $106 k. Baseline plan: drop to 0.786 Fib ~$102 586, then 0.618 Fib ~$100 613, before a push toward the ATH ~$109 588. Trade Setups Short – SFP Breakdown Trigger: 4H close below $103 345 Entry: ≈ $103 300 on retest SL: $105 500 (above swing high) TP1: 0.786 Fib ≈ $102 586  RR ≈ 0.7 TP2: 0.618 Fib ≈ $100 613  RR ≈ 2.6 Long – Fib Rebound Trigger: Bullish reversal at 0.618 Fib / FVG cluster ≈ $100 613 SL: $99 300 (below FVG) TP1: SFP top / range high ≈ $104 145  RR ≈ 2.7 TP2: ATH ≈ $109 588  RR ≈ 6.8
Long
by mikavehns
6
SUI - Leveraging Fibonacci & Elliott for Precision TradesSUI’s movement is rapid, sharp swings—both up and down. In volatile conditions like this, we aim 0.702–0.786 fib retracements (and occasionally 0.886 in harmonic contexts) for high‑probability entries. Below is a clear, Elliott-focused breakdown of the current setup and both long and short trade plans. Before diving into the charts, let’s cover the basics of Elliott Wave Theory. Elliott Wave Theory provides a roadmap for market psychology by dividing price action into two distinct phases: 1. Impulse Phase (Waves 1–5) Wave 1: The spark that ignites a new trend as early adopters push prices beyond the prior range. Wave 2: A corrective pullback that tests the strength of the emerging trend, often retracing 38–61.8%. Wave 3: The powerhouse wave—typically the longest and most dynamic—driven by broad market participation and often extending to key Fibonacci levels (1.618, 2.618). Wave 4: A consolidating correction that digests gains and builds the base for the final thrust; it must not overlap Wave 1 territory in a classic impulse. Wave 5: The final leg of the advance, often fueled by last bursts of optimism and weaker hands. 2. Corrective Phase (Waves A–B–C) Wave A: Initial counter-trend reaction as profit-taking begins. Wave B: A deceptive retracement back toward the trend, frequently trapping traders. Wave C: The concluding leg of the correction, which typically tests or breaks the low of Wave A before the next cycle begins. Key Points: Impulse waves showcase momentum and structural clarity, often aligning with Fibonacci extensions. Corrective waves follow Fibonacci retracements (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%), offering optimal entry points. Wave 3 is seldom the shortest; Wave 4’s complexity sets the stage for Wave 5’s final push. In the current SUI structure: Wave 1 ignited the initial rally. Wave 2 delivered a healthy retracement, a pullback close to the 0.618 fib, setting the stage for stronger momentum. Wave 3 roared to a powerful peak topped at the 2.618 extension ($3.875) Now, we’re deep into Wave 4, likely an ABC corrective pattern. This pause is critical—it gathers energy before the final push of Wave 5. Below is a clear breakdown of each wave, big-picture confluences, and trade setups. 🚀 Elliott Wave Overview 1. Wave 1 & Wave 2 Wave 1: Quick surge from $2.4175 → $2.75, setting initial momentum. Wave 2: Pulled back close to the 0.618 fib, creating a solid launchpad. 2. Wave 3: The Power Move Peak: Hit the 2.618 extension of Wave 1→2 and aligned with the –2 extension of Wave 1. Significance: In strong bull markets, a run to the 2.618 extension often precedes a meaningful pullback. Here, Wave 3’s exhaustion suggests a retrace toward the 38.2% Fib of that advance—our ideal Wave 4 entry zone. 3. Wave 4: The Correction All eyes on the $3.17 level—the projected 1:1 extension of A→B and 0.382 fib retracement of Wave 3. This confluence zone is yet to be tested and could offer an ideal Wave 4 entry. ABC Pattern: Currently working on Wave C. 4. Wave 5: The Finale Target Zone: $4.00–$4.35, with strong focus at $4.31 Extension Levels: 1.133 → $3.9695 aligns with the 0.618 fib retracement. 1.272 → $4.0683 is close to the weekly resistance level. 1.412 → $4.1678 alings with the 0.666 fib retracement. 1.618 → $4.3142 alings with the key swing high. 🔑 Key Confluence Levels Golden Pocket: $3.9739–$4.1492 (90-day retrace). Speed Fan 0.618: Support around $3.15. Fair Value Gap: Psychological: $3.00 major support. 📈 Long Trade Setup Entry Ladder: $3.25–$3.111 (stack orders to DCA) Stop‑Loss: $3.07 (just below the 0.786 Fib low) Profit Targets: Fib 1.133 at $3.9795 ($4 psychological & partial take‑profit) Fib 1.272 at $4.0683 Fib 1.412 at $4.1678 Fib 1.618 at $4.3142 Risk:Reward: ~6:1+ (average entry around $3.20 → SL at $3.07 → TP1 at $3.9795) 📉 Short Trade Setup Entry Zone: $4.00–$4.35 (sweet spot at weekly level/yearly open) Confirmation: Bearish reversal candle or volume spike down Stop‑Loss: Above $4.35 Target: $3.77 (near Wave 3 high turned support) Risk:Reward: ~2:1 (varies with DCA entry) ⚙️ Summary & Game Plan Primary Bias: Long in the $3.25–$3.111 zone—stack into the 0.382-0.412 fib retracement entries with tight SL, aiming for the $4.00–$4.30 upside zone. Alternate Bias: Short on a clear rejection within $4.00–$4.35, targeting $3.77 or lower. Risk Management: Keep stops tight to maximize R:R. Patience & Confirmation: Wait for price to reach these zones and show reversal signals (price action, volume, patterns) before committing. All set—now let SUI’s swings unveil the opportunities. Sit tight, follow your plan, and let patience pay its dividend. Happy Trading! ____________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
26
Risk aversion in China-US negotiations cools down!Gold closed with an "inverted hammer" positive line this week. The upper shadow line was mainly due to the continued stimulation of gold's safe-haven properties by the news at the beginning of the week. However, the tariff war with previous lessons helped the gold price to hit a historical high of 3500. The reaction of gold prices to this news this week was not as enthusiastic as before, which also led to the stop of the rise at 3439. The announcement of the interest rate decision in the second half of the week was in line with expectations. The gold price plunged 170 points in two days and stabilized above the 3300 mark as of yesterday's closing. Based on the previous evening star combination and this week's inverted hammer, it is believed that the gold price will continue to fall next week and will close below the real time, that is, below 3306. From the perspective of daily K, this week is generally a trend of rising and falling, and a slight rebound follows after the decline at the end of the week. Weekly Review We continue with the analysis of the second half of the week. From the perspective of the gold price trend since the high point of 3500, the first wave of decline has been considered to be over. The rebound from 3200 to 3439 did not exceed the previous high, so we will continue to analyze the second wave of decline, and strictly implement this idea in the operation. Now the overall trend of gold prices is also the same. Next week's operation will focus on the key suppression position of 3378 near the end of the week. If it cannot stand firm in the first half of the week, there is still a lot of room for further decline. From the four-hour level, the triangle convergence pattern we analyzed is still there. Unexpectedly, there was a false break of the lower track in the Asian session on Friday. Next week, we still need to continue to pay attention to the support of this position. In general, next week, we will first pay attention to the operation of the range from 3378 to 3274, and wait for the break before I will re-analyze the structure. Once again, I would like to remind you that the news market is repeated, and the base of gold prices is too large, so the intraday volatility has also increased. It is also common to go up and down more than 100 points in a single day. Everyone needs to pay attention to the risk control of their positions. In the short term, if we move to the hourly level, we can analyze the last wave of structure. The gold price rebounded after breaking through 3288 in the Asian session on Friday. After this action, the gold price rebounded quickly. Let’s not talk about who has the upper hand. From the last wave of rebound, the continuation is insufficient. If it is a restart of the bulls, the European and American sessions also need to cross the previous downward high point of 3368 to confirm. However, the European session was sideways throughout, and the US session also slightly continued the rebound trend and closed hastily. Therefore, at the opening of next week, it is necessary to continue to watch the gold price to test the support of the low point of the Asian session on Friday. In general, the operation ideas for next week are mainly high-altitude, and low-long also look at the rebound short-term.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5