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USD/JPY: A Bullish Thesis for Trend ContinuationThis analysis outlines a data-driven, bullish thesis for USD/JPY, identifying a strategic long entry within an established market trend. The setup is supported by a combination of fundamental catalysts and a clear technical structure. 📰 The Fundamental Picture The primary driver for this trade will be the high-impact US economic data scheduled for release. This release is expected to inject significant volatility into the market. Fundamentally, this trade is a play on the deep policy differences between the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. While the Fed's future steps are a topic of debate, the Bank of Japan's policy remains one of the most accommodative in the world, creating a long-term headwind for the Japanese Yen. This dynamic provides a strong fundamental basis for relative US Dollar strength against the Yen. 📊 The Technical Structure Chart analysis reveals that USD/JPY is in a confirmed and healthy uptrend. The current price action indicates a constructive pullback, presenting a strategic opportunity to join the dominant trend at a favorable price. The proposed entry point is positioned at a key technical level that offers a low-risk entry. Technical indicators support the continuation of the trend, suggesting that momentum remains with the bulls. ✅ The Trade Plan This trade is structured with a clear and favorable risk-to-reward profile, aiming to capitalize on the established trend. 👉 Entry: 146.343 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 145.233 🎯 Take Profit: 148.560 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
Long
by MaxellAguiran
EUR/JPY: Bullish Thesis on Policy DivergenceOur primary thesis is built on a powerful confluence of compelling fundamental drivers and a clear technical structure. We are taking a long position in EUR/JPY with high conviction, anticipating significant upside fueled by a stark monetary policy divergence confirmed by a constructive chart formation. 📰 Fundamental Analysis: The core of this trade is the widening policy gap between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). While the BoJ is only just beginning to exit its ultra-loose monetary policy, the global environment points toward continued JPY weakness. The upcoming high-impact US news will act as a major catalyst. A "risk-on" reaction to the data would significantly weaken the JPY, providing a strong tailwind for this trade. 📊 Technical Analysis: The chart structure for EUR/JPY is decidedly bullish. The pair has established a clear uptrend, and recent price action indicates a period of healthy consolidation above key support levels. This presents a strategic entry point, as the market appears to be gathering momentum for the next leg higher. The current setup suggests a low-risk entry into a well-defined upward trend. 🧠 The Trade Plan: Based on this synthesis, we are executing a precise trade with a favorable risk profile. 👉 Entry: 172.422 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 171.292 🎯 Take Profit: 174.684 ⚖️ Risk/Reward: 1:2
Long
by MaxellAguiran
XAU/USD – Ranging Market Prepping for Breakout?Gold has been ranging for the next couple months and usually I am out of the market during the months of April Through July because historically these are not my best months trading XAU/USD. However you will see me posting a lot more in the coming months because my best months historically are August - December where the market really cranks up with some bigger moves. So in a summarized version below you will find what it is that i am looking at with gold. Gold (XAU/USD) has remained locked in a defined consolidation range between 3,250 (support) and 3,450–3,502 (resistance) since early April. Price has printed multiple internal falling wedge formations within this zone, indicating compression before potential expansion. 🔍 Technical Overview Range Duration: ~3.5 months Key Range: Support: 3,250 Resistance: 3,450–3,502 Compression Patterns: Multiple falling wedges breaking upwards inside the range, hinting at bullish pressure. Touch Confirmations: Both range boundaries have been tested multiple times, reinforcing validity (per Multi-Touch Confirmation). Contextual Bias: Seasonally, August–December tends to be a high-volatility trending period for Gold. 🎯 Trade Plan Inside Range: Maintain neutral bias. Execute range-to-range scalps/swing setups with clear invalidation zones. Avoid trading mid-range. Breakout Scenario (Bullish): A clean close above 3,502 triggers breakout watch. Ideal setup: Retest + 15-min flag → long continuation. Potential upside target: ~3,700 (range height extension). Breakdown Scenario (Bearish): Loss of 3,250 opens door to bearish continuation. Look for clean liquidity sweep or structure flip before committing. Initial downside target: 3,100 zone. 🛡️ Risk Notes Avoid third-touch entries in aggressive momentum unless followed by flag formation. Remain disciplined with the 80/20 confluence rule — don't let perfectionism delay entries. Always execute with pre-trade checklist and defined R:R profile. ✅ Summary Gold is at a pivotal point. The confluence of a tight multi-month range, internal compression patterns, historical breakout timing, and validated levels builds a compelling case for an imminent expansion move. Remain patient, avoid anticipation, and react to confirmed structure and price behavior.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
Educational EUR/USD Chart Breakdown – Price Action at Key LevelsEducational EUR/USD Chart Breakdown – Price Action at Key Levels This EUR/USD (1-hour) chart provides a great example of how support and resistance zones, combined with price action and indicators like Bollinger Bands, can help anticipate market moves. 🔹 Resistance Zone Tested: The pair recently approached the 1.17500–1.17800 resistance zone. This level had previously acted as a supply zone, and price once again showed rejection here, indicating selling pressure. 🔹 Bollinger Band Overextension: Notice how the price extended beyond the upper Bollinger Band—this often signals that the market is overbought in the short term, leading to a potential reversal or correction. 🔹 Bearish Reaction & Target: After rejection from resistance, the chart outlines a bearish move with a target at 1.16097. This level lies just above the next strong support zone (1.15500–1.16100), offering a realistic area for price to stabilize if the downtrend continues. 🔹 What to Learn: Support & Resistance: Prices often react at key zones; previous resistance can turn into support and vice versa. Confluence Tools: Use indicators like Bollinger Bands with price structure to increase confidence. Target Planning: Identify likely reaction zones for risk management and profit-taking. 📚 Summary This setup is a clean example of trading within a range and using technical confluence to plan entries and exits. If price breaks below 1.17130 with strong momentum, the probability increases for the market to reach the 1.16097 target.
Short
by Mentor_Michael03
AUD/JPY: Capitalizing on the RBA-BoJ Monetary Policy GapThis analysis outlines a compelling short opportunity in AUD/JPY, driven by a powerful confluence of fundamental and technical factors. The trade is strategically positioned ahead of a key catalyst that could unlock significant downside potential. 1️⃣ The Core Thesis: A Clear Policy Divergence The primary driver behind this trade is the stark and widening gap in monetary policy between the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The RBA is signaling a clear dovish pivot amid a weakening labor market, making an interest rate cut imminent. Conversely, the BoJ is in a tightening phase, creating a fundamental headwind for the AUD relative to the JPY. This divergence underpins the strategic bearish bias. 2️⃣ The Confirmation: Technical Alignment This fundamental view is supported by a clear technical picture. The pair is in a well-defined downtrend and is currently testing a critical support level. This alignment of fundamental and technical factors presents a clear short opportunity, with the entry positioned for a breakdown below this key juncture. 3️⃣ The Catalyst: The RBA Bulletin The immediate catalyst for this trade is the upcoming RBA Bulletin on July 24, 2025. Any dovish language from the RBA concerning Australia's economic outlook will likely reinforce expectations for a rate cut and accelerate the downward move in AUD/JPY. The Trade Setup ✅ Here is the recommended trade setup: 📉 Trade: SHORT AUD/JPY 👉 Entry: 96.56200 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 96.96386 🎯 Take Profit: 95.49900 🧠 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.65 This setup offers a compelling risk-reward profile, capitalizing on a clear and powerful macroeconomic theme. The trade is designed to perform should the expected catalyst confirm the underlying bearish fundamentals.
Short
by MaxellAguiran
SILVER (XAGUSD): Confirmed Break of Structure Silver updated a year's high yesterday, breaking a strong daily resistance. With a confirmed Break of Structure BoS, we can expect that the market will rise even more. The next strong resistance is 40. It is a round number based psychological level. It can be the next goal for the buyers. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis
TRADENATION:XAGUSDLong
by VasilyTrader
2
Apple (AAPL) — Expected 20% GrowthThe fundamental outlook for Apple stock remains positive: the upcoming fall presentation and anticipated AI-related announcements are driving bullish sentiment. Technical picture: The price has broken through a key trendline, signaling a shift in momentum toward growth. Near-term target: a move toward the 225.0 level. Next step: a possible pullback to 214.0 for a retest of the support level. Long-term scenario: after the correction, I expect a rise toward 250.0, which could bring approximately 20% growth within 1–2 months. This growth potential may coincide with Apple’s upcoming earnings report and further AI news.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by InvestWorld_777
Solid setup for $DLTR in 2025 : $95-$105- NASDAQ:DLTR is a nice turn around story for 2025. It is showing great strength when the market is red. - Any fear around recession will skyrocket this stock. This is by far one of the best risk/reward setup which provide gains when the market is red or is going under correction of some sort. - It's a better buy than its peer NYSE:DG as headwinds for NASDAQ:DLTR are temporary and can be resolved as compared to NYSE:DG which has headwinds which will take time.
NASDAQ:DLTRLong
by bigbull037
2
SYM Trade Breakdown – Robotics Meets Smart Technical's🧪 Company: Symbotic Inc. ( NASDAQ:SYM ) 🗓️ Entry: April–May 2025 🧠 Trade Type: Swing / Breakout Reversal 🎯 Entry Zone: $16.28–$17.09 ⛔ Stop Loss: Below $14.00 🎯 Target Zone: $50–$64+ 📈 Status: Strong Rally in Motion 📊 Why This Trade Setup Stood Out ✅ Macro Falling Wedge Reversal After nearly two years of compression inside a falling wedge, price finally tapped multi-year structural support and fired off with strength. This wasn’t just a bottom — it was a structural inflection point. ✅ Triple Tap at Demand Zone Symbotic tapped the ~$17 area multiple times, signaling strong accumulation. Volume and momentum picked up with each successive test, showing institutional interest. ✅ Clean Break of Trendline Price broke through the falling resistance trendline decisively, confirming the bullish reversal and unleashing stored energy from months of sideways structure. 🔍 Company Narrative Backdrop Symbotic Inc. isn't just any tech stock. It’s at the forefront of automation and AI-powered supply chain solutions, with real-world robotics deployed in major retail warehouses. That kind of secular growth narrative adds rocket fuel to technical setups like this — especially during AI adoption surges. Founded in 2020, Symbotic has quickly become a rising name in logistics and warehouse automation, serving the U.S. and Canadian markets. With robotics in demand and investors chasing future-ready tech, the price action aligned perfectly with the macro theme. 🧠 Lessons from the Trade ⚡ Compression = Expansion: Wedges like this build pressure. When they break, the moves are violent. 🧱 Structure Never Lies: The $17 zone was no accident — it was respected over and over. 🤖 Tech Narrative Boosts Confidence: Trading is easier when the fundamentals align with the technicals. 💬 What’s Next for SYM? If price holds above the wedge and clears the $64 resistance, we could be looking at new all-time highs in the next cycle. Watching for consolidation and retests as opportunity zones. #SYM #Symbotic #Robotics #Automation #AIStocks #BreakoutTrade #FallingWedge #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #TradeRecap #SupplyChainTech
NASDAQ:SYMEducation
by Adlercon333
GBP/JPY: A Key Short Setup Forms as Momentum FadesHello traders, Taking a look at GBP/JPY on the 4-hour timeframe. After a significant run, the price action has stalled, and we're seeing clear signs of fading momentum. This is creating a well-defined consolidation zone, which may present a key opportunity for a short position. The Technical Picture 📊 1️⃣ Price Consolidation: GBP/JPY is currently trading sideways within a tight range, highlighted on the chart. This period of indecision and balance between buyers and sellers often precedes a significant directional move. The structure suggests a phase of distribution may be underway. 2️⃣ Fading Momentum: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) confirms this loss of momentum. A sustained reading below the 50 midline would signal that sellers are beginning to gain control and that the path of least resistance is shifting to the downside. The Strategy 🧠 The core idea is to anticipate a bearish breakdown from the identified consolidation zone. A clean break and hold below this range would serve as confirmation that sellers have taken over, providing an opportunity to enter a short position targeting a continuation of the larger bearish move. Trade Parameters 📉 👉 Entry: 198.895 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 201.405 🎯 Take Profit: 192.872 Risk/Reward Ratio: approx. 2.4 This is my personal analysis and perspective, not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage your risk accordingly. Good luck, and trade safe.
Short
by MaxellAguiran
USD/JPY: The 150.00 Rejection SignalThe chart for USD/JPY looks like a simple one-way street going up. But underneath the surface, my quantitative models are in a state of conflict, and that's a high-clarity signal that something is about to change. This isn't a signal to short right now. This is a signal to be patient and watch for a very specific setup that the "smart money" models are anticipating. The Quant Conflict 🤖 My analysis involves several different mathematical models. Here's the situation: One model, which is great at tracking trends, is still signaling BUY , following the obvious upward momentum. However, two other, more complex models that analyze the relationships between economic data are now flashing a SELL signal. They are detecting underlying weakness that the price chart isn't showing yet. When the simple trend model and the complex structural models disagree, it often means a major turning point is near. We are siding with the smarter models, but we need price action to confirm their warning. The Game Plan 📊 We will use the 150.00 level as our "line in the sand." We are waiting for the market to fail at this level and then break down, which would confirm the bearish quant signal. This is our high-probability entry trigger. Here is the exact setup we are waiting for: 📉 THE SETUP: A patient short position, waiting for confirmation of a breakdown. 👉 ENTRY: We enter only on a confirmed daily close below 148.00. ⛔️ STOP LOSS: Place the stop just above the psychological wall at 150.25. 🎯 TAKE PROFIT: Our primary target is the major support level at 145.00. This is a setup where patience pays. We are letting the market do the hard work and show its hand before we commit. Let's watch this one closely.
Short
by MaxellAguiran
ETH — Rally Exhaustion or More Upside?ETH has been on an absolute tear. After retesting its old 2018 all-time high, it marked a bottom at $1383 — a brutal -66% correction over 114 days from the $4109 top. From there, ETH ripped +100% in just one month, followed by 40 days of consolidation, and now, over the past 28 days, it’s surged another +76%, currently trading around $3715 — all without any major correction. So the big question: What’s next? Are we near a short setup, or is it time to long? Let’s break it down. 🧩 Key Technicals ➡️ Bounce Zone: On June 22, ETH retested the 0.5 fib ($2131.63) of the prior 5-wave Elliott impulse, with extra confluence from: Anchored VWAP Speed fan 0.618 ➡️ Key Highs to Watch: $3746 → recent local high $4109 → 2021 all-time high ➡️ Fib Retracement Levels: ETH has smashed through all major fibs, including the golden pocket (0.618–0.65) and 0.786 fib. The 0.886 fib at $3798.27 is the last major resistance, just above the $3746 key high. At this zone, we also have: Fair Value Gap (FVG) Monthly Resistance Negative Fib Extension Golden Pocket Target ➡️ Momentum Signal: ETH is currently on its 8th consecutive bullish daily candle — historically, after 8–13 consecutive candles, price tends to cool off or correct. A sign to be cautious about longing here and consider profit-taking. 🔴 Short Trade Setup Look for a potential SFP (swing failure pattern) at the key high $3746 to initiate a short trade. This offers a low-risk setup with: Entry: around $3746 (if SFP confirms) Target (TP): ~$3300 Stop-loss: above SFP R:R ≈ 1:4+ 💡 Educational Insight: Why You Don’t Want to Long the Top Markets often trap late longers near key highs or resistance zones — this is where smart money distributes while retail piles in emotionally. Lesson: Look for zones of confluence (fib, VWAP, liquidity, FVG) and avoid chasing extended moves after multiple bullish candles. Patience and confirmation at reversal points lead to higher-probability setups — you don’t need to catch every pump. Final Thoughts We’re approaching major highs, so this is a time for caution, not FOMO. Watch for reaction and potential reversals near $3750–$3850. Stay sharp, manage risk — and remember, tops are where longs get trapped. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by SiDec
1
Bullish momentum holding, accumulation zones in focus__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points ➤ Strong bullish momentum across all timeframes. ➤ Key supports: 104–110k$ and 110–115k$; pivot resistance: 124k$. ➤ Normal volumes, no panic or exhaustion phases detected. ➤ The Risk On / Risk Off Indicator consistently supports the bullish trend, with minor short-term slowing. ➤ No behavioral alerts (ISPD DIV), multi-timeframe structure fully aligned. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary ➤ Structurally bullish bias as long as supports above 104–110k$ hold. ➤ Tactically seek long entries on retracements to 110–115k$ (preferred swing bias). ➤ Fast profit-taking zone above 124k$ or on loss of key support clusters. ➤ Macro environment neutral to slightly positive, no urgent negative catalysts. ➤ Action: prioritize long trades on pullback, strict stops below 104k$, reduce sizing before major news releases. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis 1D: - Strong 124k$ resistance, major supports at 104.5k$ & 108–110k$ (technical and on-chain clusters). - Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: strong buy, balanced volumes. - Buy zone = pullback to 108–110k$; rapid profit-taking on break of 124k$ without macro confirmation. 12H: - Distribution below 124k$ resistance, optimal support at 110–115k$. - Risk On / Risk Off Indicator bullish, clear bullish confluence. - Wait for confirmed break to extend; buy dips. 6H / 4H: - Failed breakout at 124k$, solid supports at 110–115k$. - Momentum intact, stable volumes, healthy structure. - Dip accumulation recommended as long as supports hold. 2H / 1H: - Active defense of 110–115k$ support and pivots at 115–118k$. - Risk On / Risk Off Indicator very favorable (swing pullback entries). - Stable volumes, no exuberance. 30min / 15min: - Moderated momentum, micro-range below 120k$. - Treat every dip as an opportunity to join the main trend. Cross-summary: As long as >110k$ holds, each pullback is an accumulation opportunity. Only a persistent break below 104k$ invalidates the bias. __________________________________________________________________________________ Fundamental & On-chain Analysis Macro: US CPI above expectations, no Fed rate cut expected, neutral to risk-on environment. No immediate negative news, volatility under control. Calendar: increase caution before key macro releases, reduce swing exposure ahead of FOMC/high-vol days. On-chain: major accumulation supports 104–110k$; watch for loss of STH in profit momentum. Strong coherence between technical and on-chain clusters, but remain watchful for euphoric tops >124–130k$. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic conclusion and action plan Trend: Bullish unless crash below 104k$. Action: Prioritize buying pullbacks at 110–115k$, strict stops under key pivots. Swing window possible up to 130k$ if no on-chain/macro overheating. Increase prudence if break >124k$ occurs without macro/sector momentum. As long as the multi-timeframe structure holds and on-chain support clusters are respected, every pullback to 110–115k$ should be seen as a buy opportunity. Key watch: breakouts above 124k$ without macro confirmation and on-chain STH/profit stress signals. __________________________________________________________________________________
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Ox_kali
MarketBreakdown | EURAUD, GBPJPY, WTI CRUDE OIL, SILVER Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list. 1️⃣ #EURAUD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇦🇺 The market is trading in a bullish trend. The price is steadily growing within a rising parallel channel. A recent test of its support triggered a strong bullish reaction. I think that a rise may continue at least to a current high - 1.8035 2️⃣ #GBPJPY daily time frame 🇬🇧🇯🇵 The market is consolidating within a narrow horizontal parallel channel. Consider consolidation, trading within its boundaries. The next bullish wave will be confirmed with a breakout and a daily candle close above its resistance. 3️⃣ CRUDE OIL #WTI daily time frame 🛢️ The market remains weak and consolidation continues. I see a wide horizontal range where the price is now stuck. I think that we may see a pullback from its support. 4️⃣ #SILVER #XAGUSD daily time frame 🪙 The market is retracing after a formation of a new higher high. I see a strong demand zone ahead: it is based on a rising trend line and a recently broken horizontal resistance. The next trend following movement will most likely initiate from there. Do you agree with my market breakdown? ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
XRP Hits $3.10 — Rising Wedge or Ready to Fly?XRP has been on a strong run over the past 24 days, rallying from $1.90 → $3.10 — a +62% price increase. But after hitting key resistance, is XRP about to correct, or will it break out further? Let’s dive into the technicals. 🧩 Market Structure Rising Wedge Pattern: The current market structure resembles a rising wedge, with XRP likely completing wave 5. Rejection Zone Hit: Price tapped the nPOC at $3.10 and rejected — providing a clean short opportunity. 📉 Key Support Levels & Confluences Taking the full 24-day bullish move: 0.382 Fib Retracement: $2.6326 — aligns with liquidity pool below the $2.6596 swing low. 226-day Trading Range VAH: ~$2.62 (red dashed line) — adds confluence. Daily Level: $2.60 — further support. Anchored VWAP from $1.90 Low: ~$2.54 (rising over time). ✅ Conclusion: The $2.66–$2.60 zone is a critical support area and offers a solid long opportunity. Trade Setups 🔴 Short Setup (After Breakdown Confirmation): Wait for a sell-off & breakdown of the wedge. Ideal entry: retest of the lower wedge edge, ideal short entry would be between 0.618–0.786 fib retracement. 🟢 Long Setup: Entry Zone: $2.66–$2.60 SL: below VWAP line Target: Fib 0.618 as TP 🧠 Educational Insight: Rising Wedges Explained A rising wedge is a bearish pattern, often signalling weakening momentum as price climbs within narrowing highs and lows. Key points: ➡️ Volume typically declines as the wedge matures. ➡️ Breakdown below the lower wedge edge often triggers stronger sell-offs. ➡️ Retests of the broken wedge support turn into ideal short entries. Pro tip: Combine wedge patterns with fib retracement zones and VWAP levels for higher-confidence setups. Watch for wedge breakdown confirmation before shorting. _________________________________ 💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment! Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
Short
by SiDec
SOUTHBANK - BUY SOUTHBANK - BUY NOW Key points : South Indian Bank strong Fundamentals . Stock PE - 5.47 Industry PE - 10.8 Stock Price Trade at Below Book Value .. Company Price - Possible to Double Technical : Monthly - Take Support Day - Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Breakout Entry - 25.45 Rs Target - 35.55 Rs Stoploss - 21 Rs Expected - 39 % This is Only for My Trade Setup . Dont follow Blindly . Take Educational Purpose Only . We not any responsiblities for Profit and loss .. Thank You . Happy Trading ..
NSE:SOUTHBANKLong
by Dreamtrader00
Western Carriers (WCIL) : Breakout Candidate#WCIL #patterntrading #breakout #breakoutstock #inverseheadandshoulder #swingtrading WCIL : Swing Trade >> Low PE Stock >> Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern visible >> Breakout & Retest Done >> Ready for New Highs >> Low Risk High Reward Trade Swing Traders can lock profits at 10% & Keep Trailing Pls Comment , Boost and Follow for more such Analysis Disc : Charts shared are for Learning Purpose and not a Trade recommendation, Consult your Financial afvisor or a SEBI Registered Advisor before taking postion in it.
NSE:WCILLong
by moneyfesttrading