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USDCAD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISUSDCAD is currently trading around 1.3820, exhibiting a bullish bias as it approaches the upper boundary of a consolidation range. The pair has been forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating potential for a breakout. A decisive move above the 1.3850 resistance level could pave the way toward the 1.3920 target. Fundamentally, the U.S. dollar has gained strength due to stronger-than-expected manufacturing data, with the ISM PMI rising to 48.7 in April, surpassing forecasts. This data has bolstered U.S. yields and supported the dollar. Conversely, the Canadian dollar has faced pressure from weaker domestic manufacturing activity, with the S\&P Global Canada Manufacturing PMI falling to 45.3, marking the sharpest contraction since May 2020 . Additionally, recent U.S. tariff announcements on Canadian goods have introduced further uncertainty, potentially impacting Canada's export-driven economy. The Bank of Canada may consider easing monetary policy to counteract these challenges, which could further weaken the Canadian dollar. In summary, USDCAD is poised for a potential breakout above 1.3850, driven by a combination of technical patterns and fundamental factors favoring the U.S. dollar. Traders should monitor key resistance levels and economic indicators to confirm the continuation of this upward trend.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
6
Watching carefully USDCAD this weekWith the abundance of US & CAN data this week, we may see some interesting action in USDCAD pair. Let's dig in. Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
AUDJPY, our risk on/off monitor, is near a key resistance areaAUDJPY has been on a good run lately. The driving force behind it was the improved market sentiment due to the calming moment in the tariff wars. Can this be sustained? Let's look at the technical picture of AUDJPY. Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
XAUUSD DETAILED ANALYSIS TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALS XAUUSD is currently trading around the 3256 level and is clearly respecting a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. The price is now pushing higher from the lower boundary of the channel, suggesting short-term bullish momentum. Based on the current technical structure, I am anticipating a clean breakout above the channel resistance, with the next key target at 3300. The marked purple resistance zone around 3310–3320 also acts as a magnet for price once the breakout is confirmed. On the fundamental side, gold remains supported by ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and speculation around the Fed's next rate decision. With recent U.S. economic data showing mixed signals—strong labor market figures but slowing inflation momentum—the market is pricing in fewer rate hikes, which weakens the USD and favors upside in XAUUSD. Additionally, central bank gold demand remains strong globally, acting as a long-term support for bullion. Traders are currently reacting to a softening dollar index and treasury yields, which further underpins bullish sentiment in gold. A clear break above the upper boundary of this channel, ideally with strong volume confirmation, could set the stage for a swift move to retest the 3300 psychological level. From a risk-reward perspective, the breakout trade setup here aligns well with institutional strategies that favor trend continuation post-consolidation. In summary, XAUUSD is trading inside a clean descending channel, with buyers stepping in aggressively near the support zone. A breakout above the structure could trigger a bullish continuation move toward 3300, backed by strong macro tailwinds and technical confirmation. This setup offers an excellent opportunity for swing traders to capitalize on short-term momentum. Are you also tracking gold fundamentals this week?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2
USD/JPY(20250430)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The European Central Bank expects prices to rise 2.9% over the next 12 months, up from 2.6% in February, according to a monthly survey released on Tuesday. This is the highest level since April 2024. The three-year indicator rose slightly to 2.5%. The ECB's first five-year forecast was 2.1%. Technical analysis: Today's long-short boundary: 142.32 Support and resistance levels: 143.13 142.83 142.63 142.01 141.81 141.51 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 142.32, consider buying, the first target price is 143.00 If the price breaks through 142.01, consider selling, the first target price is 141.81
Long
by Toml1314
EURGBP DETAILED ANALYSIS TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALSEURGBP is currently trading around 0.85, having completed a successful breakout and retest of the previous resistance-turned-support level. The price action aligns with a classic bullish continuation pattern, suggesting that the pair is poised for another upward move. My target for this bullish wave is 0.88, which corresponds to the next significant resistance zone. Technical indicators support this outlook. The formation of a falling wedge pattern on the 4-hour chart has been confirmed, with the breakout leading to a sustained upward trajectory. The retest of the breakout level has held firm, indicating strong buyer interest and the potential for continued bullish momentum. From a fundamental perspective, the euro is gaining strength due to improved economic indicators in the Eurozone, while the British pound faces headwinds amid ongoing fiscal policy uncertainties in the UK. This divergence in economic outlooks is contributing to the euro's relative strength against the pound, further supporting the bullish case for EURGBP. In summary, the combination of technical patterns and fundamental factors suggests that EURGBP is well-positioned for a move toward 0.88. Traders should monitor key support levels to manage risk and look for confirmation of continued bullish momentum as the pair approaches the target zone.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
5
GBPJPY DETAILED TECHNICAL AND FUNDAMENTALSGBPJPY is currently trading around the 191.00 zone, and price action is forming a classic bullish flag pattern on the 4H chart. This follows a strong impulse leg, suggesting a potential continuation to the upside. The consolidation is tight and healthy, showing market participants are preparing for a breakout. My upside target stands at 193.000, which aligns with the descending trendline resistance. From a fundamental perspective, the British Pound remains supported by recent hawkish signals from the Bank of England, which is facing persistent inflation pressures. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen continues to weaken across the board due to the Bank of Japan’s ultra-loose monetary stance and its defense of yield curve control, which makes it less attractive in a high-interest environment. Technically, this setup aligns with key momentum indicators and market structure. If price breaks above the flag pattern with volume confirmation, we can expect buyers to take control, pushing price toward the 193.000 resistance zone. This level also coincides with a key liquidity area where prior sellers may be trapped. Overall, GBPJPY continues to offer a solid bullish bias in the short term. The pair is fundamentally and technically aligned for a push higher. Breakout traders should monitor closely as the price approaches the upper trendline of the flag. This is one of the most watched JPY pairs right now—momentum is building.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
USD/JPY(20250429)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The U.S. Treasury Department raised its second quarter debt forecast to $514 billion. U.S. Treasury Secretary: The "X Day" for the debt ceiling issue will be announced soon. Technical analysis: Today's long-short boundary: 142.62 Support and resistance levels: 144.52 143.81 143.35 141.89 141.43 140.72 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 142.62, consider buying, the first target price is 143.35 If the price breaks through 141.89, consider selling, the first target price is 141.43
Long
by Toml1314
1
USD/JPY(20250428)Today's AnalysisMarket news: The Fed's subsequent policy path considers two scenarios: First, there is no substantial progress in the negotiations between the United States and its trading partners. After 90 days, the US tariffs are still high. Weakened economic demand may prompt the Fed to cut interest rates starting in July, and the annual rate cut may reach 100 basis points; second, the negotiations are fruitful, tariffs are reduced, and the demand shock is small, but inflationary pressure continues. The Fed may postpone easing and only cut interest rates slightly in December. For the market, although the easing comes early in the first scenario, the "recession-style" rate cut may suppress risky assets. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 143.40 Support and resistance levels: 144.89 144.33 143.97 142.83 142.47 141.91 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 143.97, consider buying, the first target price is 144.33 If the price breaks through 143.40, consider selling, the first target price is 142.83
Short
by Toml1314
GBPJPY NEXT WEEK BULLISH OR BEARISH ??GBPJPY is setting up for a major breakout on the weekly timeframe. After weeks of consolidation under a clear descending trendline, price action is now approaching a decisive point where a bullish breakout could trigger a strong rally. With the current price holding firm at 191.00 and clear resistance overhead, a successful breakout could open the doors for a powerful bullish wave targeting 205.000 and beyond. Fundamentally, the yen remains weak due to continued Bank of Japan dovishness and ongoing yield curve control policies. Meanwhile, the British pound is finding strength as the Bank of England maintains a relatively hawkish stance with the possibility of delaying rate cuts compared to other major central banks. This fundamental divergence between GBP and JPY heavily favors bullish momentum for GBPJPY. Technically, the pair has formed a solid base of support and is squeezing toward the apex of a descending triangle. If the breakout confirms with strong bullish volume, GBPJPY could enter a fresh bullish cycle, offering a great risk-reward setup for medium to long-term traders aiming for the 205.000 area. Overall, GBPJPY remains one of the hottest pairs on watch right now with excellent bullish potential. Traders should watch for a clean breakout above the trendline with strong candlestick confirmation to ride the wave higher. Staying patient and disciplined around this breakout zone could deliver highly profitable results.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
3
Berger Paints at Make-or-Break Point:Descending Triangle PatternBerger Paints is currently testing the upper boundary of a long-term Descending Triangle on the weekly chart — a pattern known for sharp breakouts or breakdowns. 📊 Resistance Zone: 600 – A breakout above this level could trigger a powerful upside rally towards 825+, supported by the pattern's height projection. 🔻 Support Level: 543 – A breakdown below this level may lead to a sharp fall towards 400 levels. ⚠️ Bearish Pin Bar Candle at resistance signals caution; confirmation is key before entering any trade. 📌 Watch closely for a decisive move – this zone is critical for trend reversal or continuation. This setup offers a high-reward opportunity for positional traders, with clear entry and exit zones. Manage your risk wisely and follow with volume confirmation.
NSE:BERGEPAINT
by TradZoo
USD/JPY(20250425)Today's AnalysisMarket news: Federal Reserve-①Hamack: If economic data is clear, the Fed may cut interest rates in June ②Waller: It will take until July to get a clearer understanding of how tariffs affect the economy. If tariffs lead to higher unemployment, interest rate cuts may be initiated. ③The Atlanta Fed GDPNow model predicts that the US GDP growth rate in the first quarter will be -2.5%. ④Kashkari: The frequent announcements from Washington have brought challenges to policymakers and everyone. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 142.79 Support and resistance levels: 143.94 143.51 143.23 142.34 142.06 141.63 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 142.79, consider buying, the first target price is 143.23 If the price breaks through 142.34, consider selling, the first target price is 142.06
Long
by Toml1314
btc . w4 . fancy SHORTthe 'OTF - one time frame' Break of the monthly is still due. There was no chance for LONGS during the week for retail buyers, only late buyers. We've traded 2 days just under resistance, accumulating: - late LONGS - early SHORTS I'm willing to SHORT now on friday, once the OTF has been hit. Scalling in from cwHigh upwards Invalidation would be to keep pumping and then potentialy SFP on monday for downside. R:R is alright! I like to give myself a 3% invalidation range till SL.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by Dartagnones
GBPAUD DETAILED ANALYSIS FUNDAMENTALS AND TECHNICALSGBPAUD is currently showing strong bullish momentum after a clean bounce from a key support level around 2.0600–2.0700. The pair has formed a textbook bullish flag pattern on the 12H chart, indicating a potential continuation of the prevailing uptrend. Price action is respecting the trend structure well, and a breakout above the descending flag resistance could open the doors toward the next major resistance around 2.20. I'm currently watching the 2.0870–2.0900 zone closely, as a sustained close above this level may trigger a high-probability upside continuation. From a technical standpoint, this consolidation within the bullish flag is healthy after a strong impulsive move that started in late March. Volume is gradually decreasing within the flag, which often precedes a breakout. The risk-reward setup here is compelling, with a clear invalidation below 2.0450 and a defined target at 2.2000, aligning perfectly with the recent highs and psychological round number. On the fundamental side, GBP remains well-supported due to the Bank of England’s hawkish tone. Sticky inflation data in the UK is pushing market expectations for further tightening or at least a delay in rate cuts. Meanwhile, AUD continues to lag behind amid concerns over China’s economic recovery and the Reserve Bank of Australia's cautious policy stance. Recent Australian CPI data showed signs of easing inflation, which strengthens the divergence between BOE and RBA, favoring more upside in GBPAUD. This setup is ideal for swing traders and position traders looking to capture a trend continuation with a clear structure and clean price action. GBPAUD is now on breakout watch and remains one of the top-performing GBP pairs in April. If momentum aligns post-breakout, the 2.20 target could be reached swiftly. Keep this pair on your radar—momentum, structure, and fundamentals are in sync for a bullish scenario.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
3
USD/JPY(20250424)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The United States hit a 16-month low in April. The total number of new home sales in the United States in March was an annualized to a new high since September 2024. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 142.82 Support and resistance levels: 144.93 144.14 143.63 142.01 141.50 140.71 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 143.63, consider buying, the first target price is 144.14 If the price breaks through 142.82, consider selling, the first target price is 142.01
Short
by Toml1314
USDJPY BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISUSDJPY has just completed a clean breakout above a well-defined descending channel on the 4H chart, signaling the beginning of a short-term bullish wave. This move reflects a technical shift in sentiment as buyers reclaim control after weeks of selling pressure. The breakout candle closed above the upper trendline, indicating a strong potential for continuation. The target zone appears to align with the previous resistance zone around 147.68, where price reacted multiple times in the past, creating a well-defined liquidity area. From a fundamental standpoint, the dollar is regaining traction following a stabilization in U.S. Treasury yields and a slight pullback in geopolitical tensions. Market participants are also pricing in a slightly more hawkish Fed tone, as inflation remains persistent and jobless claims continue to show strength. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan remains firmly dovish, with no indication of tightening policy anytime soon, reinforcing yen weakness and supporting the upside momentum in USDJPY. This current price action is not just technical—it is aligned with macro drivers. The divergence in monetary policy stance between the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan continues to be a key bullish factor for USDJPY. As long as U.S. inflation remains sticky and Fed officials lean toward holding or even hiking rates, this pair is likely to stay supported on dips. Add to that Japan’s fragile domestic consumption outlook and persistent intervention threats, and USDJPY may find itself grinding higher toward resistance zones. In conclusion, with the channel breakout confirmed and fundamentals favoring a bullish bias, I’m eyeing upside continuation toward 147.68. A tight stop below 140.20 makes the setup attractive in terms of risk-reward. I'll be watching price reaction at interim levels, but the structure is clean and the setup has strong confluence—perfect for capturing this short-term wave.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
9
USDCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISWe are currently observing the USD/CHF pair, which is trading around 0.8225 as of April 23, 2025. The pair has recently experienced a slight uptick, driven by renewed demand for the US dollar following President Trump's decision to retract threats against Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. This move has alleviated investor concerns regarding the Fed's independence, providing a temporary boost to the greenback. Despite this short-term rally, the overall outlook for USD/CHF remains bearish. The pair is trading below the critical 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near 36, indicating continued selling pressure. The immediate resistance level is identified at 0.8360, while the first support level to monitor is at 0.8121. Fundamentally, the Swiss franc has appreciated significantly, surging approximately 9% against the US dollar in April alone. This appreciation is attributed to global uncertainties stemming from shifting US trade policies, which have increased demand for safe-haven assets like the franc. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) is under pressure to address this rapid rise, as it poses risks to their inflation targets and the competitiveness of Swiss exports. In conclusion, while there may be short-term fluctuations influenced by geopolitical developments and central bank communications, the prevailing trend for USD/CHF appears bearish. Traders should remain cautious and monitor key support and resistance levels, as well as fundamental factors that could impact the pair's trajectory.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
GOLD (XAU/USD) Breakout Watch –Bullish Continuation or Pullback?🔍 Instrument Analysis: XAU/USD (Gold vs USD) Timeframe: Likely 1H or 4H (based on candle structure) Indicators: EMA 50 (Red) – Current value: 3,365.25 EMA 200 (Blue) – Current value: 3,248.04 📈 Current Market Structure Price: Trading at 3,433.62, in a strong uptrend with higher highs and higher lows. Trend: Bullish, supported by price trading above both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA. Key Zones: Immediate Resistance: ~3,430 - 3,440 zone (currently being tested). First Support Zone: ~3,315 - 3,330 Second Support Zone: ~3,250 - 3,270 🧠 Scenario Analysis ✅ Bullish Scenario (Primary Bias) Price is attempting a break and retest of the resistance zone. If a successful retest confirms it as support, next upside leg could target 3,480+. Bullish continuation is favored as long as price holds above 3,385 (recent breakout level). ⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Secondary Bias) If price fails to hold above 3,385, we may see a pullback to: 3,315 - 3,330 support area (reaction likely due to proximity to EMA 50). A deeper retracement toward the 3,250 zone, aligned with EMA 200, which would be a critical level for bullish continuation or breakdown. 📊 EMA Insight EMA 50 > EMA 200: Confirms bullish momentum. The slope of both EMAs is upward, reinforcing current upward trend. A test of the EMA 50 may offer a buy opportunity if structure holds. 🔔 Trade Outlook Bullish bias remains intact above 3,385. Look for bullish price action confirmation (bullish engulfing, pin bars, etc.) on retest of resistance-turned-support. Monitor volume/activity around 3,385-3,400 for potential rejection or continuation clues.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MrStellanSight
1
US30 Approaching Key Resistance–Potential Reversal Setup in Play🧠 Chart Overview Asset: US30 (likely the Dow Jones Industrial Average) Timeframe: Appears to be 1H or 2H Indicators: EMA 50 (Red): 40,119.5 EMA 200 (Blue): 39,897.3 Price at time of chart: Around 40,503 🔍 Key Technical Levels 🔴 Resistance Zone Range: ~40,750 to 40,850 Price has tested this level multiple times and is currently hovering near it. The resistance is holding, and no strong breakout has occurred. 🟦 Support / Focus Zone Range: ~39,200 to 39,600 Marked as the “FOCUS POINT” – likely the expected target on a breakdown. EMAs Insight: Price is above both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA, suggesting short-term bullishness. However, since it’s stalling at resistance, it could flip bearish on rejection. 🧭 Price Action Narrative The chart suggests a potential fakeout above resistance, followed by a sharp rejection. The path drawn shows a short-term dip, targeting the FOCUS POINT (support zone). Rejection at resistance aligns with typical distribution behavior. 📌 Trade Idea (Bearish Bias) Entry Idea: Short near or just above the resistance level (~40,800) Target: 39,400 zone Stop-Loss: Above the resistance level (~40,900+) Risk/Reward: Favorable if price fails to break above resistance convincingly 📉 Bias: Bearish Reversal Unless price breaks and closes above resistance with strong momentum, the chart favors a pullback scenario.
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by MrStellanSight
2