GBPAUD: 2 Strong Bearish Confirmations 🇬🇧🇦🇺
GBPAUD is in a very bearish price action after a test
of the underlined horizontal resistance.
The price formed an inverted cup and handle pattern
and violated its neckline and a support line of a rising
parallel channel on an hourly time frame.
Probabilities will be high to see a decline at least to 2.064 support.
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Technical Analysis
Yen Falls Past 145 as Dollar StrengthensThe Japanese yen weakened past 145 per dollar, hovering near a one-month low as the U.S. dollar strengthened with improving global trade sentiment and diminishing expectations of near-term U.S. rate cuts. The greenback gained momentum after President Trump announced a preliminary trade deal with the UK, the first since broad U.S. tariffs were introduced last month. He also signaled that tariffs on China could be eased, depending on the outcome of high-level trade talks set for this weekend in Switzerland.
Adding pressure on the yen, Fed Chair Powell dismissed the idea of a preemptive rate cut, citing persistent inflation risks and labor market concerns. In Japan, personal spending rose more than expected in March, suggesting resilience in consumption, though a third straight monthly drop in real wages highlighted broader economic challenges.
Resistance stands at 145.90, with further levels at 146.75 and 149.80. Support is found at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bullish Reversal Confirmed?!
Dollar Index formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern on a daily.
Its neckline breakout is a strong bullish reversal signal.
The broken neckline of the pattern turns into a significant support now.
We can expect a growth from that at least to 101.25 resistance.
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USDCAD: Important Breakout 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD broke and closed above a significant daily resistance cluster.
The broken structure turns into a solid demand zone now.
The next strong resistance is 1.3957.
It will most likely be the next goal for the buyers.
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DXY Rebounds on Fed Pause and Trade Deal Hopes.Macro approach:
- DXY edged higher, recovering earlier losses as the Fed held rates and Powell was cautious.
- Jun cut hopes faded, though markets expect three cuts this year, potentially lifting DXY short-term.
- A potential US-UK trade deal also helps ease bearish sentiment on the dollar.
Technical approach:
- DXY is hovering around the key resistance at around 100.200, confluence with EMA21, indicating a potential short-term correction.
- If DXY closes above the resistance at 100.200, the price may continue to claim to retest the following resistance at 101.800.
- Conversely, closing below the current trendline may lead DXY to retest the swing low at around 98.000.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
USDJPY: Pullback From Resistance 🇺🇸🇯🇵
There is a high chance that USDJPY will retrace
from the underlined blue resistance cluster.
As a confirmation signal, I spotted a double top pattern
on that on an hourly time frame.
Closest support - 145.1
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[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(09/05/2025)Today will be gap down opening expected in banknifty. Expected opening near 54000 level. After opening if banknifty started trading below 53950 level then expected further downside rally upto 53550 level and this can be extend for further 400-500+ points if it gives breakdown of 53450 level. Any upside movement expected if banknifty sustain above 54050 level.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 9, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 9, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🚢 Maersk Adjusts Outlook Amid U.S.-China Trade Tensions
Global shipping giant Maersk reported better-than-expected Q1 profits but lowered its forecast for global container volume growth, citing uncertainties from the ongoing U.S.-China trade war. CEO Vincent Clerc highlighted that while U.S.-China shipping volumes have declined, the rest of the world remains stable.
🇺🇸 Fed Officials to Speak Post-Meeting
Following the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain interest rates, eight Fed officials are scheduled to make public appearances today. Investors will be keenly observing their remarks for insights into future monetary policy directions.
📈 Markets React to Trade Developments
U.S. markets closed higher yesterday, with the Dow gaining 250 points, as investors responded to President Trump's encouragement to 'buy stocks now' amidst ongoing trade negotiations.
🛠️ U.S.-U.K. Trade Deal Finalized
The U.S. and the U.K. have agreed on a trade deal involving reduced tariffs and adjustments to digital services taxes. This development is expected to influence sectors ranging from automotive to digital services.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, May 9:
3:00 PM ET: Consumer Credit (March)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Fri 9th May 2025 AUD/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a AUD/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
HOOD daily chart: breakout or fakeout? Key zone approaching.Robinhood's stock has formed a falling wedge pattern on the daily chart, indicating a potential bullish reversal. The price has broken above the 0.618 Fibonacci level at $44.00, suggesting further upside potential. Next targets are $48.40, $52.79, $58.22, and $67.00. RSI and MACD indicators confirm bullish momentum.
Fundamental Factors:
Robinhood continues to show revenue and profit growth, supporting positive investor sentiment. The company is expanding its services and attracting new users, strengthening its market position.
Scenarios:
Main scenario: continued rise to $48.40, then to $52.79 and higher.
Alternative scenario: pullback to $39.71 with potential decline to $36.00.
NVIDIA: Breakout above ascending triangle, retest confirmationNVDA has been forming an ascending triangle over the past few weeks, with declining volume. Finally, it broke out yesterday, and today, we had a retest of the resistance line. NVDA was down about 1% earlier today however after a successful retest of the resistance line, it is now up 0.8% at the time of writing.
In terms of support, it seems the price has successfully bounced off the 50-Day SMA line. While an ascending triangle is bullish, the 200-Day SMA is likely going to be a point of resistance (around $125).
This is amid the renewed overall market strength and the news related to the reduced limitations of exporting AI chips - which is contributing to the momentum.
Please note: Not financial advice.
Sugar Is In A Higher Degree Correction; Elliott Wave AnalysisSugar has been trading lower since 2023 when we spotted final wave V of an impulse on the weekly chart. So from Elliott wave perspective, it’s trading in a multi-year higher degree ABC corrective decline, where wave C can drop the price even down to 78,6% Fibonnaci retracement and 14-12 support area before bulls show up again.
The reason why Sugar can go lower is a short-term daily Elliott wave structure, where we see a five-wave leading diagonal formation into wave A, followed by a bearish abcde triangle pattern in wave B. It can now extend the decline within wave C towards 14 -12 area which can be made by a lower-degree five-wave bearish cycle, just be aware of short-term pullbacks.
Tron Built a Fresh Down Trend!!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring TRX/USDT for a selling opportunity around 0.2530 zone, Tron is trading in a down trend and currently is in a correction phase in which iti s approaching the trend at 0.2530 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
DEXE ANALYSIS📊 #DEXE Analysis
✅There is a formation of Descending triangle pattern on daily chart 🧐
Pattern signals potential bullish movement incoming after a breakout.
👀Current Price: $14.68
🚀 Target Price: $18.50
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #DEXE price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#DEXE #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
ETH/USDT – Ascending channel. Breakdown below support?Ethereum - is a smart contract platform that allows developers to build decentralized applications (DApps) on its blockchain.
CoinMarketCap : #2
↗️ Ethereum is moving within an ascending channel, and the bullish trend remains intact.
Inside the channel, there are two triangles.
The first triangle, with a base of 88%, has played out—its third wave broke through the triangle.
Liquidity grabs and shakeouts before the growth in the inner channel zones are marked with yellow circles.
Currently, we see a mirrored situation with a new triangle, this time with a 156% base. However, if this pattern plays out, it will break the ascending channel.
At the moment, the price has been dragged below the channel support, and there is a lot of negative sentiment in the news and opinions. Few believe in an upward move, and many have been liquidated. To me, this looks like a strong trigger.
⤵️The bearish scenario implies a -61% drop. (A less likely scenario.)
I've marked everything on the chart—consider this in your trading strategy. Remember, there's a lot of negativity around Ethereum, just like with all altcoins...
I also believe that on the monthly chart, it will end up being just a wick of the candle.
PYTH 4H ANALYSIS – Bullish Setup in PlayAfter completing a 5-wave impulse to the downside, PYTH has shown signs of a trend reversal. The first upward impulse displayed a clear 5-wave Elliott structure, breaking out of the descending channel — a strong bullish signal.
Following this, a classic A-B-C zig-zag correction occurred, which acted as a retest of the broken channel resistance, now turned support. This confluence increases the probability of a bullish continuation.
With market structure aligning and correction likely complete, PYTH is showing potential for a 50%+ move to the upside.
🟢 Entry Zone: 0.1400 – 0.1500
🔴 Stop Loss: 0.1272 (Below wave C & structural support)
🎯 Target Price: 0.2235
💡 Note: Always manage your risk and confirm with your own analysis before entering any trade.
Silver Slips as Fed Holds RatesSilver rose more than 1% to approach the $33 mark on Thursday, supported by renewed interest on precious metals with ongoing trade and economic uncertainty. The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, with Chair Powell citing heightened risks while dismissing the need for early rate cuts. Sentiment was also influenced by President Trump’s announcement of an imminent trade deal, reportedly with the UK, and his firm stance on maintaining tariffs against China ahead of upcoming negotiations.
Technically, resistance is seen at $33.80, followed by $34.20 and $34.85, while support levels are noted at $32.00, $31.40, and $30.20.
Gold Dips Toward $3,360 as Fed HoldsGold slipped to around $3,360 per ounce on Thursday, pressured by the Fed’s cautious tone after keeping rates unchanged. Chair Powell dismissed preemptive cuts and highlighted inflation and labor market risks, dampening demand for non-yielding assets. However, gold's downside was limited by trade uncertainties as Trump reaffirmed tariffs before U.S.-China talks in Switzerland.
Resistance is expected at $3,460, followed by $3,500 and $3,550. Support sits at $3,320, with further levels at $3,300 and $3,265.
GBP Steady Near $1.33, BoE Rate Cut ExpectedThe British pound hovered near $1.33 as traders awaited the BoE’s decision, with a 25 bps cut to 4.25% widely expected. Markets are also eyeing new economic forecasts for signals of further easing. While Trump’s tariff plans have stoked global slowdown fears, the UK is less exposed due to a U.S. goods surplus. A fresh trade deal with India, expected to generate £4.8 billion annually by 2040, may also cushion the economy.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3430, resistance levels come in at 1.3500 and 1.3550. Support lies at 1.3200, followed by 1.3050 and 1.2960.
Euro Strengthens on Political ShiftsEUR/USD traded just above 1.1300 on Thursday, staying in a tight range as reduced political uncertainty in Europe and a softer U.S. dollar offered mixed cues. The euro was supported by news of Friedrich Merz becoming Germany’s chancellor, while the dollar struggled despite a hawkish Fed pause, as Powell flagged tariff-related risks. Traders are focused on Trump’s press conference at 14:00 GMT and U.S. jobless claims for near-term direction.
Resistance is seen at 1.1460, with higher levels at 1.1580 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1260, followed by 1.1200 and 1.1150.
Yen Firms with BoJ CautionThe Japanese yen strengthened to around 143.6 per dollar on Thursday, recovering as rising global trade uncertainty stimulated demand for gold. The move followed President Trump’s announcement of a deal with a “big” country, reportedly the UK, and his refusal to cut tariffs on China ahead of U.S.-China talks in Switzerland. U.S.-Japan negotiations continue, with Tokyo aiming to finalize a bilateral deal by June. Meanwhile, BoJ minutes showed policymakers remain open to rate hikes if inflation targets are met, though they flagged external risks from U.S. trade policy.
Resistance stands at 145.90, with further levels at 146.75 and 149.80. Support is found at 139.70, then 137.00 and 135.00.
MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, USDCAD, NZDUSD, USDCHF
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD formed a huge head and shoulders pattern.
The price is currently testing its horizontal neckline.
Bearish breakout of that and a daily candle close below
will confirm a bearish reversal and push the prices lower.
2️⃣ #USDCAD daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇦
The price is breaking a solid falling trend line.
Its violation is an important bullish signal that
indicates a strength of the buyers.
We can expect even more growth.
3️⃣ #NZDUSD daily time frame 🇺🇸🇳🇿
The pair is consolidating within a horizontal range.
The price is going to reach its support soon.
I suggest looking for a pullback trade from that then.
4️⃣ #USDCHF daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇭
The price is stuck within a horizontal parallel channel.
I expect a bullish continuation within that and a test
of its upper boundary.
Then, look for a confirmation to see and try to catch a retracement from that.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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Gold Price Drops: A Great Buying OpportunityFenzoFx—Gold formed a new bearish wave after the price dipped below $3,360. As of this writing, XAU/USD is testing the $3,323 support, which could potentially offer a favorable entry point into the bull market.
The price will likely rise toward $3,360 if this level holds. Please note that the market outlook remains bullish as long as the price stays above the $3,323 support.
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