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post market analysis/Trade recap 6/28/24Market Recap: Great technical analysis this week with my predictions in the market. Yesterday my levels of: 5583.00 (bullish) & 5518.50 (bearish) were almost spot on. Price went bullish to the level of: 5584.25 Price retreated back to the levels of: 5518.25 Trades Recap: Not so solid on the trade entries as I got faked out, not seeing the gap being filled rather than an anty setup. That is okay, however soon after I also missed a real Anty setup. It could have been a much better trading day but all in all I am not upset and feeling good for next week. Sunday I will be posting an analysis for the following week and potential levels to be looking out for. These are levels that I believe have merit and strength.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by SirBlob
EURUSD Trade Recap 11th August 2023Breakeven taken on EURUSD last Friday, very happy with the management. Full explanation in the recap. 🧠Emotional Log --- **Pre-Trade** I understand all the confluences within my thesis, I accept this risk as I know if it is a loss I clearly understand exactly why I took to the trade. My stop is protected and if price takes me out there is a chance it is forming something else anyway. Do not be greedy, but also do not hesitate. These are the trades I must allow myself to take. **During Trade** My stop is protected, allow price to do its thing. My entry is valid, and I understand structure over candlesticks. I utilised the timeframes as best I could, working from the 1H structure filtering down to the 15M without jumping in. Do not choke the trade, mini 90% rule is in play so let price do its thing. **Post-Trade** I understand that price created a mini scoop for a much sharper entry, however, how can we guarantee this will always happen. My entry was valid, and stop was protected, I understood the 90% rule kicking in and managed risk accordingly to price action on the 1H. Nothing more I could have done in this situation and capital was protected.
by JordanWillson
USDJPY Trade Recap 19th July 2023How am I feeling pre-trade? I am feeling confident in my mind, I forecasted the risk entry and not allowed little things to put me off the trade. Normally I would be saying things like ‘its gone past the hook’, ‘there needs to be a nice retrace or pin bar’ but ultimately it has all of the ingredients to sell. Ascending channel, meets AT hook with a 1H retrace candle. I am happy I did not allow these past issues to overcome my decision, this is also helping with my entry criteria and structure over candlesticks.
by JordanWillson
BOIL Day Trade Recap and ReviewBOIL the 3x Leveraged ETF of natural gas futures has been highly volatile. Volatility yields high profits if there are good entries and trade management. This past Friday BOIL was doing a reverse split ( 20 shares become one) which I considered to be an opportunity for high profit because a higher number of traders would have eyes on the chart. The 15-minute chart is shown here with an anchored VWAP from 2 days earlier. At market open price reversed a downtrend after the reverse split in the premarket. It got support from the line one standard deviation below the mean VWAP. My first considered entry was the second green HA candle in the reversal with a stop loss at the pivot low of the red candles. However I passed on this entry and instead entered upon price crossing the mean VWAP. The entry was supported by the indicators showing Z score and volatility. The entry was made more precise by analysis on the 5-minute chart. The stop loss was set at the value of the close of the last candle to close below VWAP. After that, trade management was routine. Every time price went up 1% I raised the stop loss by the same amount until getting up 6% Once at that level, I changed to a trailing stop loss of 2% so I could pay attention to other trading chores. At the same time, I set an alert for when the price crossed to above two standard deviations above the mean anchored VWAP. I did this because this is the overvalued overbought area where institutional traders will set sell orders either short selling or closing profitable trades. The resultant reversal would diminish my unrealized profits. In this case, I got the alert and closed the position without the trailing loss. The trade resulted in a profit of 12% without use of leverage or margin other than the leverage imbedded in BOIL inself.
AMEX:BOILLong
by AwesomeAvani
EUR/JPY, USD/JPY and USD/CAD on watch for me today.EUR/JPY: • If price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag. • If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade. USD/JPY: • If price continues to correct between now and I'm awake to place the order then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of this tight one hour flag. • If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade. USD/CAD: • If price breaks the upper descending trend line of our most recent piece of structure, it does so impulsively and in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag. • If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises. • If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
by StewySongs
38
EUR/JPY: 16/05. Good input for the sellerEUR/JPY is heading towards the neck and shoulder line after the cross broke out of the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 147.68. However, it still hesitates to achieve a decisive breakout that could invalidate the pattern. As the Asian session begins, EUR/JPY is trading around 147.95, down 0.06%. EUR/JPY remains skewed to neutral, although in the near term, will be tilted slightly to the downside. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator shows a pause in the uptrend as the RSI is flat in the bullish zone, while the 3-day Rate of Change (RoC) is neutral. Although EUR/JPY spot price tests the head and shoulders neckline, the pattern remains intact. The confluence of the neckline and last year's high of 148.45 could make it difficult for buyers while being a good zone for EUR/JPY sellers. OANDA:EURJPY SELL EURJPY zone 148.00 - 148.10 SL: 148.35 TP: 147.00
Short
by DNA_TradingFX
1