Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 5–9, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 5–9, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🏦 Fed Holds Rates Amid Political Pressure
The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.5% during its meeting on May 6–7, despite political pressure to lower it. Investors will closely monitor Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s post-decision remarks for insights into future monetary policy directions.
📊 Key Economic Indicators on Tap
This week brings several important economic data releases, including the U.S. trade balance, initial jobless claims, consumer credit, and wholesale inventories. These indicators will provide insights into the health of the economy amid ongoing trade tensions and concerns over consumer confidence.
💼 Corporate Earnings in Focus
Major companies such as Palantir ( NASDAQ:PLTR ), Advanced Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ), Uber ( NYSE:UBER ), Walt Disney ( NYSE:DIS ), and Ford ( NYSE:F ) are scheduled to report earnings this week. Investors will be watching these reports for signs of how companies are navigating the current economic landscape.
🌐 Global Events and Leadership Changes
Europe is set for significant leadership changes, with Friedrich Merz expected to be confirmed as Germany’s new chancellor. Additionally, the Vatican’s conclave to elect a new pope convenes on Wednesday. These events, along with the 80th anniversary of VE Day, may have broader implications for global markets.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Monday, May 5:
9:45 AM ET: S&P Global Composite PMI (April Final)
10:00 AM ET: ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (April)
📅 Tuesday, May 6:
8:30 AM ET: U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services (March)
📅 Wednesday, May 7:
2:00 PM ET: Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
2:30 PM ET: Fed Chair Jerome Powell Press Conference
📅 Thursday, May 8:
8:30 AM ET: Initial Jobless Claims
10:00 AM ET: Wholesale Inventories (March)
📅 Friday, May 9:
3:00 PM ET: Consumer Credit (March)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
Trading
btc . april recap . may outlookMAY instantly starts with a SHORT SQUEEZE
- out of pwRange
- into cwRange + 1 step higher
- all good, all bullish - but a price drop on HTF would open great opportunities for SHORT + LONG, while keeping bullish momentum
02.04.2025 . SHORT IDEA
- after trading out of range, start trading the/within new range
- approaching cmHigh towards 2pm Berlin time
- ladder in for possible SFP
- give yourself a little wiggle room for the SL, if price breaks +2% and approaches the next SFP level, a short entry higher towards friday close has a better R:R
entry. 97368
tp1 . 950908
tp2 . 94095
tp3 . 85113
LONG IDEA
- wait and see where the price find its support
- possibility that we keep STRONG BULL momentum, if price stays within cwVA
- on the way there, find percentage levels for daily +1.5% trades
GBP_NZD LONG SIGNAL|
✅GBP_NZD is going down
To retest a horizontal support
Level of 2.2200 so after the
Retest we can enter a long
Trade with the TP of 2.2459
And the SL of 2.2132
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
DAX Correction Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
DAX is trading in a strong
Uptrend but the index is
Locally overbought so after
The retest we will be expecting
A local pullback and a
Bearish correction
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
USD_CAD WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅USD_CAD is consolidating
Beneath the horizontal resistance
Of 1.3862 so we are bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
This trading week
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBP-AUD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 2.0730 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Move down on Monday
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Why Being Delusional Might Be Your Greatest Asset in TradingIf you think you’re going to make a full-time living trading financial markets you’re completely delusional!... and that's a good thing.
It was 1997, and two friends—let’s call them Reed and Marc—thought it would be fun to have a movie night and rent Apollo 13 from their local Blockbuster store.
For those of you who might need some context, Blockbuster was a video rental store where you’d go to rent a movie you’d like to watch.
This was shortly after discovering fire and the wheel, and it was revolutionary. At its peak, Blockbuster was worth approximately $5 billion and had over 80,000 employees across 9000 stores worldwide.
Their business model was very simple, and although they generated revenue in various ways, their core revenue was generated through a combination of rental fees, video sales and late fees.
You see, it just so happened that our two friends who thought it would be fun to rent Apollo 13, chill at home, and eat popcorn would essentially have to pay the $40 late fee, and they were admittedly, not too happy about that.
As they sat in frustration, one of them came up with the idea to start a website and rent movies to people without charging a late fee.
Instead people would just pay a monthly subscription of around $19.95 per month and they could rent up to three movies of their choosing and keep it for as long as they wanted, no rental fee, no video sales, no late fees, just a monthly subscription of $19.95.
If people wanted to rent a new set of DVD’s then all they’d need to do is return the DVD’s they’d initially rented and the new set was mailed to them within a day or two.
Now it is important to mention that all this occurred toward the end of the third industrial revolution and the internet was not nearly as advanced as it is today. People would use a dial-up connection which only produced 56 kbps or slower.
Streaming was near impossible unless you enjoyed watching a movie in three-minute increments before it loaded the next three minutes. Downloading a movie could take an entire day or even longer.
It’s fair to say that our two friends Reed and Marc were throwing stones at giants, but they had very good aim.
I’m sure you heard the story where a boy aimed at a giant's head and threw him with a stone. Turns out the boy won that fight, and ultimately claimed victory for his people, but I digress.
You see Reed had a background in computer science and software development, and at the time he co-founded a software company called Pure Software. Marc had a background in marketing and product development.
It’s safe to say that they made a very good team, but they were still going up against giants, they were challenging a system that was working with a system that was not even established yet. Essentially, they either had to be very confident or extremely delusional. Turns out they were both.
They decided to brainstorm a few names for their little startup, everything from Kibble to TakeOne, and even DirectPix and none of it seemed to stick. Eventually, they decided to combine the words “internet” and “film” to make “Netflix”.
Today Netflix is the most popular streaming platform, with its annual revenue peaking at 33.7 Billion back in 2023.
I share this story with you because it really takes more than just experience, skill, and luck to take on giants, I would argue you need to have a healthy amount of delusion as well.
So, if you think you're going to make a full-time living trading financial markets, you're completely delusional—and that might be the best thing going for you.
Because the truth is, every breakthrough, every disruption, every world-changing idea begins with someone who dares to believe in something that doesn’t quite make sense to the rest of the world—yet.
Reed and Marc didn’t just challenge a system; they challenged what was possible at the time. They bet on a future that didn’t exist—on a slower internet, a skeptical audience, and an unproven model. What looked like delusion was a vision in disguise.
In trading, as in business and life, it’s not the most logical or the most experienced who wins—it’s often those who are bold enough to stay in the game when everyone else calls it crazy. You’ll need skill, yes.
Strategy, of course. But you’ll also need the unreasonable belief that you can beat the odds, learn the rules, and then rewrite them entirely. So go ahead—be delusional.
Just make sure you’ve got the grit, the patience, and the aim to back it up.
What “giant” are you bold enough to challenge next?
GBP_USD POTENTIAL LONG|
✅GBP_USD fell again to retest the support of 1.3200
But it is a strong key level
So I think that there is a high chance
We will see a bullish rebound and a move up
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR-AUD Strong Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD made a bearish
Breakout of the rising support
Line and the breakout is
Confirmed so we will be
Expecting a further bearish
Move down on Monday
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
formed a bearish head and shouldersXVS has formed a bearish head and shoulders pattern and has already broken below the blue neckline. This breakdown suggests a potential move down to the green line level.
📈 Technical Overview:
Pattern: Bearish Head and Shoulders
Neckline: Blue level, already broken.
🎯 Target: Green line level upon confirmation of the breakdown.
NATGAS Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NATGAS below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 3.667
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 3.408
Recommended Stop Loss - 3.818
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SILVER Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 32.014
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 32.660
My Stop Loss - 31.682
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
QQQ Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the QQQ next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 488.86
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 463.87
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
APPLE Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for APPLE below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 205.25
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 208.36
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 3263.7
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 3249.1
Safe Stop Loss - 3271.6
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GBPCHF The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on GBPCHF and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 1.0953 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.0984
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Technical Analysis for FX,Indices and many More!(5May-9May2025)Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Which pairs or instruments should we keep a look out for?
For me I am looking at :
GbpAud and probably EurAud for shorts
BTC likely to continue upwards move
Majors to turn lower against USD
Precious metals like copper and silver to bear more, Gold too.
This coming week is packed with interest rate decision, how?What to do?
Do check out my recorded video for more insights!
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
US100 BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
US100 SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 20,101.6
Target Level: 18,779.9
Stop Loss: 20,975.6
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUD/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CHF pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.513 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
DXY Will Go Up! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 100.036.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 100.899 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDJPY Will Move Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 144.942.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 148.284 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Trading Performance Review🎯 April 4 – May 3 | Trading Performance Review
Over the past 30 days, I executed 146 trades with a data-driven strategy focused on risk-adjusted returns and quantitative consistency.
🔍 Performance Metrics:
Total Trades: 146
Win Rate: 70.55%
Winning Trades: 103
Losing Trades: 43
Profitable Days: 22 / 30
No-Trade Days: 2
Winning vs Losing Trade Ratio:
✅ Winning Trades: 70.5%
❌ Losing Trades: 29.5%
Daily Outcome Distribution:
🟢 Profitable Days: 73.3%
🔴 Loss Days: 20%
⚪ No Trade: 6.7%
📈 This outcome reflects a strategy rooted in structured risk management, discipline, and probability-based execution — not impulsive decisions. Each trade was placed with purpose, not emotion.
With every data point, my trading edge sharpens. The goal remains the same: consistent performance through controlled risk and strategic action.
Progress is not measured by the number of trades, but by the quality of each decision.
How to Trade Gold with AI-Powered Algos in 2025📊 How to Trade Gold with AI-Powered Algos in 2025
A practical action plan for serious gold traders
🔍 1. Know Why Gold Requires Custom Algo Tactics
Gold is volatile, news-sensitive, and driven by macro events like Fed policy, geopolitics, and inflation. Generic stock or crypto bots fail here — gold needs precise, event-aware automation.
🧠 2. Use AI-Powered Bots Trained for Gold Volatility
Deploy bots that adapt to real-time data like CPI releases, bond yields, and geopolitical headlines. Use machine learning models that detect gold breakouts, consolidations, and safe-haven flows.
Top AI algos for gold traders: Multiple systems based on MT4/MT5
Fully-automated, AI-based gold bot with breakout detection, precision entries, and built-in risk control.
⚙️ 3. Build or Choose the Right Algo Strategy for Gold
Trend-Following: Use 21/50 EMA crosses on H1 and H4
Mean Reversion: Bollinger Band fades in range-bound sessions
Breakout Algos: Trigger trades on CPI or FOMC event volatility
Volume-Based AI: Analyze volume spikes vs. historical patterns
🧪 4. Backtest Gold-Specific Models
Always test your bot using historical gold data, especially during NFP weeks, Fed meetings, and geopolitical escalations. Use data from 2018 to 2024 for high-volatility periods.
Tools: TradingView for Pine Script testing, MetaTrader 5 for EA deployment
🛡️ 5. Control Risk with Gold-Specific Parameters
Max drawdown: Keep under 15 percent
Stop-loss: Always use hard stops (not just trailing)
Position sizing: 0.5 to 1 percent of capital per trade
Use volatility filters: Avoid entries during thin liquidity hours
🔄 6. Automate Monitoring and Adaptation
Run multiple bots for breakout, momentum, and reversal setups
Use dashboards to track gold-specific metrics like VIX, USDX, DXY, and 10Y Treasury yields Integrate AI that adjusts parameters after major data releases
🚀 7. Prepare for 2025 Market Structure
Gold is increasingly driven by
Central bank digital currency rollouts
USD de-dollarization risks
Global stagflation or recession themes
DeFi and tokenized gold products
Your algo must factor in these macro narratives using real-time data feeds
📌 Gold Algo Trading Success Plan 2025
Use AI bots built for gold volatility
Trade high-probability breakouts post-news
Backtest with gold-specific macro filters
Maintain strict risk limits with max 15 percent drawdown
Monitor global news and macro data with bot triggers
Continuously optimize and adapt
Gold is not just a commodity — it’s a signal of global risk. Automate smartly, manage risk tightly, and use AI to stay one move ahead.