XAU/USD Potential Head & Shoulders Pattern FormingXAU/USD - Potential Head & Shoulders Pattern Forming 🔍
A possible Head and Shoulders pattern is taking shape on the 2H chart. With the right shoulder now forming and price nearing resistance, this setup could indicate a short opportunity.
🎯 Short Target: 3,304
🛑 Stop Out: 3,370
This setup offers a clean risk-to-reward ratio. Let’s see how price reacts in the coming hours!
💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments – do you agree with this setup? Let's support each other with ideas!
👍 Don’t forget to like and share if you find this helpful – your support means a lot!
Tradingsetup
EURUSD 4H Structure Analysis | MMC Strategy + Channel + CurveIn this EURUSD 4-hour chart analysis using MMC (Market Mind Concept), we are observing a textbook rising channel structure accompanied by a black mind curve (evidence of psychological support behavior). Let's break it down:
📊 Structure Overview:
Straight Ascending Channel:
Price has been respecting a clean, straight rising channel, forming higher highs and higher lows over the past several weeks. This structure provides a controlled bullish bias, but we are approaching an inflection point.
Black Mind Curve Support (Evidence 2):
A curved trendline (Mind Curve) is providing dynamic support. This curve intersects with the lower boundary of the rising channel—creating a confluence zone, which is likely to act as strong short-term support or the base of a reversal.
Major BOS (Break of Structure):
A significant bullish BOS occurred earlier, confirming momentum strength. This previous break is acting as a reference point for bullish continuation scenarios.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below the channel and mind curve support, this would invalidate the current bullish channel structure.
A clean breakout + retest below the support zone may invite strong selling pressure, targeting previous support zones around 1.1500 – 1.1350.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If the price holds above the mind curve and continues upward, we may see a breakout above the top of the channel.
A confirmed breakout could send price toward the 1.1900 – 1.2000 resistance zone.
Patience is key—wait for a confirmed breakout from the channel (either side) before engaging.
⏳ Strategy Outlook:
✅ Wait for channel breakout confirmation (up or down)
⚠️ Watch for fakeouts or liquidity grabs near channel boundaries
🔁 Mind Curve Support adds another layer of decision-making structure
🧠 Trade with the trend, but remain adaptable to shift if channel breaks
🔍 Summary:
The EURUSD pair is in a decision-making zone—either we get a bullish continuation breakout, or the structure fails and we flip into a bearish correction. The confluence of the straight channel and mind curve makes this setup high-quality for both trend traders and breakout traders.
Ethereum - This structure decides everything!Ethereum - CRYPTO:ETHUSD - trades at a key structure:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
After Ethereum retested the previous all time high in the end of 2024, we saw quite a harsh move lower. This move was followed by an expected recovery, however Ethereum is still trading below a key structure. Either move is still possible and will shape the future of Ethereum.
Levels to watch: $2.500, $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
ARKK: when a breakout isn’t just a breakout-it’s a runway to $91On the weekly chart, ARKK has broken out of a long-standing ascending channel, ending a year-long consolidation phase. The breakout above $71.40, with a confident close and rising volume, signals a transition from accumulation to expansion. The move came right after a golden cross (MA50 crossing MA200), further confirming institutional interest. Price has already cleared the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracements — and the 1.618 extension points to $91.40 as the next technical target.
Momentum indicators like MACD and stochastic remain bullish with room to run. Volume profile shows low supply above $75, which could fuel an acceleration toward the target zone.
Fundamentally, ARKK remains a high-beta, high-risk vehicle — but one with focus. The ETF is positioned around next-gen tech: AI, robotics, biotech, and automation. Assets under management now exceed $9.3B with +$1.1B net inflow in 2025. YTD return stands at 37%, and its top holdings (TSLA, NVDA, COIN) are back in favor. This isn’t just a bet on innovation — it’s diversified exposure to a full-blown tech rally.
Tactical setup:
— Entry: market $69.50 or on retest
— Target: $80.21 (1.272), $91.40 (1.618 Fibo)
Sometimes a breakout is just technical. But when there’s volume, a golden cross, and billions backing it — it’s a signal to buckle up.
Oil Price: Breakout or Fakeout? Watch This Zone Closely Technical Overview:
The current price action is testing the upper boundary of a descending wedge, a bullish reversal pattern. The recent strong green candle indicates a potential breakout attempt, yet price is hovering near a critical resistance level at $74.20 (Fib 0.5).
Key levels from the Fibonacci retracement are:
🔼 Resistance at $74.20 (0.5), then $78.16 (0.618)
🧲 Local support at $69.78 (0.382)
🛡️ Strong demand zone near $63.81 (0.236) if rejection occurs
Structure + Patterns:
Price has been compressing inside a falling wedge, which statistically resolves to the upside.
The breakout candle broke above the 20 EMA and touched the upper wedge resistance — signaling a decision point.
Volume is rising on bullish candles — initial confirmation of buyer interest, but not yet decisive.
Scenarios to Watch
Bullish Case:
Break and close above $74.20 on higher volume → likely move toward $78–$86 resistance zone.
Confirmation of wedge breakout could trigger trend reversal, aligning with bullish fib levels.
Momentum could accelerate if macro factors support demand (see geopolitics below).
Bearish Case:
Failure to close above $74.20 = fakeout risk → price may reject down to $69.78 or even retest $63.81.
Bearish rejection wick on the daily/4H would be an early signal.
Macro & Geopolitical Factors to Monitor:
Middle East Tensions: Any escalation (especially around Iran or shipping lanes) could spike oil due to supply fears.
US Strategic Reserves & Elections: Moves to refill reserves or control inflation could support demand.
China Demand Recovery: Data showing improved industrial output or stimulus from PBoC may strengthen global oil outlook.
Final Thoughts:
Price is at a pivot zone — breaking this wedge with strength could shift the short-to-midterm trend. Until then, this remains a "show me" breakout . Watch how the next 1–2 weekly candles close around the $74–$75 area to confirm direction.
EURAUD Potential Longs - Technical Outlook 17.06.2025Overall Trend & Context:
FX:EURAUD has been in an overall uptrend since mid May when price reacted off a daily demand level.
Technical Findings:
Price is currently trading just above the discount (equilibrium).
Would prefer to see it drop into the discount area - There are areas of demand on the 1h chart which we could possibly consider however the 4h demand shown on the chart above qualifies as a STRONG zone to trade from.
Notes:
If we see a 15m shift in structure it may be worth getting involved.
NZDCAD - a few technical things togetherFib's retracement level of 50.00% will probably give the trend some strong upward impulse,
After that, this "Bull Flag" will come into play, and the price will go up a little bit higher,
The next step is to enter the price into the current "Most meaningful" channel...
Our take profit is: 0.82550. (Near +24 pips from current price).
EURUSD LongHere is our EUR USD Signal that we posted
As you can see it's running nicely at 258 Pips.
EURUSD Buy
📊Entry: 1.13538
⚠️SL: 1.12594
✔️TP1: 1.14732
✔️TP2: 1.16256
✔️TP3: 1.18194
We have 5 big swing trades running at present, all of which comes from our trading strategy that is solely based on pure maths. So far in 2025 we have hit 1 stop loss from over 100 trades.
My point to this post is to encourage you all to keep trying, don't give up. It took us over 2 years to perfect this strategy, and we know it works.
If you want any help just ask me, and I will help you.
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis : MMC Setup Confirmed + Target📊 1. Market Structure Overview
After a strong rally earlier this month, XAUUSD entered a corrective phase and formed a descending trendline which acted as resistance for multiple days. This trendline has just been tested and broken, suggesting that the correction may be coming to an end.
At the same time, price is showing signs of strength by bouncing off the lower boundary of a long-standing parallel ascending channel—a structure that has acted as dynamic support over the past two weeks.
🧱 2. Key Technical Elements
🟦 Support/Resistance Interchange Zone (S/R Flip)
Price recently interacted with a horizontal S/R interchange zone around the $3,310–$3,330 area.
This zone served as resistance during the earlier part of the trend and is now acting as support after the breakout.
It also overlaps with the mid-section of the ascending channel, adding confluence to this support area.
📐 Descending Trendline Break
The break above the descending trendline signals a potential shift in momentum.
Traders often view this kind of breakout as an early indicator of bullish continuation, especially when combined with volume or retests.
🟩 Next Reversal/Target Zone
A green box is highlighted around the $3,345–$3,355 zone, which could act as the next resistance or reversal level.
This is based on prior market structure and Fibonacci extension zones.
This area may offer a take-profit level for longs or a short-term reversal zone for countertrend traders.
🔍 3. What to Watch
✅ Bullish Scenario
If the price sustains above $3,310 and holds above the broken trendline, we could see a push toward the $3,345–$3,355 area.
Ideal long entries may occur on a retest of the trendline or the S/R flip zone, confirming it as support.
❌ Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold above the $3,300–$3,310 support region would invalidate the breakout.
A clean break below this zone could result in a drop back to the lower parallel channel boundary near $3,270 or even lower.
⚙️ 4. Trading Plan & Bias
Short-term Bias: Bullish (Trendline break + support hold)
Mid-term Bias: Cautiously Bullish (until major resistance is tested)
Risk Management: Stop-loss for long entries should be placed below $3,300 with targets near $3,345 and $3,355.
💬 Conclusion
This setup presents a classic case of trendline breakout + S/R flip confluence, which often leads to favorable risk/reward opportunities. Gold traders should monitor the retest behavior around current levels closely, as it will likely determine the next directional move.
📌 Always wait for confirmation, manage risk, and don’t chase moves—especially near major zones.
BEST XAUUSD M30 BUY & SELL SETUP FOR TODAY 📉📊 Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook – Key Decision Zone Incoming! ⚠️📈
Gold prices are currently testing a crucial support zone around 3,251, following a strong bearish momentum. As shown on the M30 chart, the market is now at a make-or-break level, where two potential scenarios could unfold: either a bullish reversal toward the 3,280–3,300 area if price holds and confirms support ✅, or a bearish continuation if the level breaks, pushing price lower toward 3,220 or beyond ❌. Traders should watch for price action signals and wait for a clear breakout or strong bounce confirmation before entering any trades 🧠🔍. This is a high-volatility reaction zone — trade smart! 🎯📉📈
XAUUSD M30 BEST BUY AND SELL SETUP FOR TODAYGold (XAUUSD) is trading near a 🔴 strong resistance zone (3,239–3,252). If price shows a bearish rejection from this area, it could be a sign of a 🧨 liquidity grab or fake breakout. This sets up a potential 📉 sell opportunity, targeting the support zones at 3,175 and possibly down to 3,120 where the 🧊 weak low and demand lie. A safe 🛑 stop-loss can be placed above 3,260 to manage risk. However, if the price gives a strong breakout and 📈 retest above 3,252, then a bullish continuation toward 3,325–3,350 is likely 🎯. Patience is key—wait for clear confirmation before entering the trade ⚖️📊.
TBO TEK LTD – 19 May Trendline Resistance Test Incoming 📌 Trade Plan (Aggressive Swing Setup):
Buy above: ₹1,250 (on breakout + volume confirmation)
Stoploss: ₹1,195
Target 1: ₹1,310
Target 2: ₹1,385
Sell Below: ₹1,180 (if price rejects the trendline with high volume)
🔎 Technical Insights:
Strong volume buildup near resistance
RSI trending upwards with bullish momentum
Trendline acting as dynamic resistance since Nov 2024
For Education Purposes Only
OIL – Oil India Ltd | Target: ₹429.00🟢 Trade Details:
LTP: ₹417.30
Recommended Buy Range: ₹415.50 – ₹416.00
🎯 Target: ₹429.00
🛑 Stop Loss: ₹408.70
🔍 Technical Snapshot:
✅ Strong bullish candle with volume confirmation
✅ EMA crossover supports the uptrend (9 EMA > 13 EMA)
✅ RSI at 62.22 shows healthy momentum
✅ Breakout above previous range box visible on Daily & 1H TF
📊 BB %B at 0.82 – still room before overbought levels
💼 Strategy:
Suitable for short-term MTF holding (2–5 days)
Risk-Reward ~1:1.5
Trail SL to cost once ₹424+ is breached
Use smaller timeframes (15m / 1H) to confirm entry with volume
For Education Purposes Only
MKVENTURES CAPITAL – Positional Breakout Setup📈 Buy Above: ₹1,700 (Breakout Zone)
Stoploss: ₹1,630
Target 1: ₹1,790
Target 2: ₹1,880
🔹 RSI is bullish, above 60
🔹 Strong volume build-up
🔹 Near resistance zone – breakout likely
📉 Sell Below: ₹1,630 (Trend Reversal)
Stoploss: ₹1,700
Target: ₹1,550
📊 Chart: Daily
📌 Strategy: Resistance Breakout with RSI & Volume Confirmation
💡 Risk-Reward: 1:2 (Good for swing trade)
For Education Purposes Only
Equity Research Report – CARE Ratings Ltd (CARERATING)🔹 Technical Outlook
Stock has broken out of a horizontal resistance near ₹1,237 with volume pickup.
RSI is above 60, indicating momentum strength.
Short-term EMAs are crossing over the 50-day EMA — bullish signal.
Volume confirms accumulation.
🛒 Trade Setup
✅ Short-Term View (Swing/Positional Trade):
Buy above: ₹1,240 (on closing basis)
Target 1: ₹1,320
Target 2: ₹1,375
Stop-Loss: ₹1,185
Timeframe: 2–4 weeks
🏦 Long-Term View (Investor Strategy):
Buy Range: ₹1,180–1,240
Target 1: ₹1,450
Target 2: ₹1,580
Stop-Loss: ₹1,080 (weekly close)
Timeframe: 3–6 months
for educational purpose only
BANKNIFTY 52700 PE (29 May 2025 Expiry) – Intraday Options Type: Intraday | Put Option (PE)
Strike: 52700
CMP: ₹635.00Recommended Buy Range: ₹626.00 – ₹631.00
Target Achieved: ₹730.00 ✅
Stop Loss: ₹570.00
Profit Booked: ₹94.35 / +18.45% 🟢
⏱️ Timeframes: 15min & 1H
This was a quick momentum scalp based on:
🔻 Weakness in BankNifty index with rejection near key resistances
📉 Bearish candles on 15min + volume confirmation
🔄 Entry near VWAP zone, breakout of structure support
For Education Purposes Only
Gold Price Analysis May 2D1 frame confirms closing below the disputed zone showing the downtrend continues to extend in the following days
The recovery in the Asian and European sessions can be a stepping stone for a decrease in the US session. Sellers are waiting for high price zones and old breakout zones to sell their goods. The 3271-3273 zone plays an important role in the bearish structure as long as this zone is held by the sellers, the possibility of a price increase is relatively low.
The barrier in the Asian session around 3257 will be where we consider the trading strategy. If the European session breaks this zone, we can buy at the target of 3271-3273. If the US session does not break this zone, SELL breaks it, the downtrend structure is broken and holds the BUY order until 3299. The daily resistance zone will be 3312. When 3371 is not broken, SELL and this is a good Swing signal to 3200. The possibility of a strong sell-off after Nonfarm is also understandable.
Strategy: If it does not break 3257 but falls, wait for the reaction at the border of 3243. When this zone is broken, the trend is broken, then we only SELL. If it increases from 3243, then maintain the above strategy with a better entry.
JUSTDIAL LTD Falling Wedge (Bullish breakout)🔁 Chart Analysis Summary
Weekly RSI is reversing from oversold levels and shows bullish divergence.
Volume on breakout candle confirms strength.
Clear breakout above falling wedge indicates a trend reversal.
✅ Buy Recommendation
Buy above: ₹925 (Confirmation of breakout)
Target 1: ₹1,050
Target 2: ₹1,250
Target 3: ₹1,400+ (Long-term potential based on pattern projection)
❌ Stop Loss
SL: ₹840 (Below wedge support & recent low)
for educational purposes only
T Trading Guide 4/21/25AT&T (T) Trading Analysis for Monday, April 21, 2025
Sentiment Analysis
-Overview: Sentiment on X and StockTwits is neutral, with investors appreciating T’s 4.11% dividend yield but expressing concerns over tariff-driven cost increases. Analyst consensus remains stable, with a “Hold” rating and a $21.50 target (April 20 ), though some Reddit (r/options) users highlight margin pressures from tariffs.
-Implication: Mixed sentiment suggests range-bound trading absent a catalyst, with tariff concerns capping upside potential.
Strategic Outlook
-Assessment: The outlook for Monday is neutral, supported by balanced options activity, oversold technicals with potential for a bounce, and a VIX at ~40 indicating volatility.
-Implication: Anticipate a price range of $26.50 to $27.50, with support at $26.50 likely to hold and resistance at $27.50 posing a challenge for bulls.
Market Influences
-Overview: No new Federal Reserve decisions today; recent guidance on April 17 signals caution on rates, potentially impacting telecom spending. T’s earnings are due April 23, with a consensus EPS of $0.52 (April 20 ). Social media chatter on X and WallStreetBets focuses on dividend stability, though some Reddit users note tariff risks (10% baseline). No M&A news has surfaced.
-Implication: Earnings anticipation and tariff pressures suggest cautious trading, likely keeping T within a tight range on Monday.
Price Context
-Overview: Current price at $27.15. The stock has declined 4% over the past month from $28.30 on March 31 and is up 13% year-over-year from $24.02 in April 2024. Support lies at $26.50, with resistance at $27.50.
-Implication: Recent declines indicate limited upside; a break below $26.50 could signal further downside to $26.00.
Technicals:
Monthly: RSI at 45 (neutral), Stochastic at ~40 (neutral), MFI at ~42 (neutral). Price below 10/20-month SMAs ($28.00/~$29.00, bearish).
Implication: Long-term bearish trend with neutral momentum.
Weekly: RSI at 42 (neutral), Stochastic at ~35 (neutral), MFI at ~38 (neutral). Price below 10/20-day SMAs ($27.50/~$28.00, bearish).
Implication: Bearish trend with neutral momentum, suggesting consolidation for weekly contracts.
Daily: RSI at 40 (neutral), Stochastic at ~30 (neutral), MFI at ~35 (neutral). Price below 10/20-day SMAs ($27.20/~$27.50, bearish).
Implication: Daily trend bearish, but oversold conditions may support a bounce.
4-Hour: RSI at 43 (neutral), Stochastic at ~38 (neutral), MFI at ~40 (neutral). Price below 10/20-period SMAs ($27.10/~$27.20, bearish).
Implication: Medium-term bias bearish, aligning with weekly caution.
Hourly: RSI at 46 (neutral), Stochastic at ~42 (neutral), MFI at ~44 (neutral). Price below 10/20-hour SMAs ($27.05/~$27.10, bearish).
Implication: Intraday bias bearish, suggesting potential selling pressure.
10-Minute: RSI at 48 (neutral), Stochastic at ~45 (neutral), MFI at ~46 (neutral). Price below 10/20-period SMAs ($27.00/~$27.05, bearish).
Implication: Short-term bias bearish, supporting a cautious weekly stance.
Options Positioning
Overview: Weekly options show balanced volume ($27.00 calls: 800 contracts, 50% at ask; $26.50 puts: 900 contracts, 55% at bid), with a put-call ratio of 1.1 (neutral) and IV skew flat ($27.00 calls/puts: 35%). Monthly options have a put-call ratio of 1.0, IV flat ($27.00: 32%). 3-Month options show a put-call ratio of 1.2, IV flat ($26.50: 30%). VIX at ~40 (down 5%, above 30-day average of ~35).
Option Flow Dynamics (OFD) Analysis:
Vanna:
-Impact: Minimal, ±$0.02 intraday.
-Insight: Balanced call/put volume and flat IV skew at 35% result in negligible delta adjustments by dealers, even with a VIX of 40.
-Stance: Neutral for weekly contracts; bullish if IV exceeds 38%.
Charm:
-Impact: Pins price ±$0.02, minimal volatility.
-Insight: High open interest at $27.00 (calls: 2,000 contracts, puts: 2,200 contracts) leads dealers to maintain delta neutrality, pinning the price near expiry.
-Stance: Neutral for weekly contracts; bearish if price breaks above $27.50.
GEX (Gamma Exposure):
-Impact: Pins price ±$0.05, minimal volatility.
-Insight: Balanced gamma from equal call/put open interest at $27.00 keeps price stable, though a VIX of 40 could amplify breakout volatility.
-Stance: Neutral at $27.15 for weekly contracts; bearish above $27.50.
DEX (Delta Exposure):
-Impact: No directional bias.
-Insight: A put-call ratio of 1.1 indicates balanced delta exposure, with dealers’ hedging activities netting zero directional impact.
-Stance: Neutral for weekly contracts, even on high volume.
OFD Summary: Weekly flows indicate a neutral bias, with price likely to remain within $26.50-$27.50, driven by balanced Vanna, Charm, GEX, and DEX dynamics. A VIX of 40 suggests potential volatility; earnings on April 23 could push IV above 38%, adding $0.05-$0.10 upside (Vanna). Monthly and 3-month expiries (put-call ratios 1.0 and 1.2) confirm range-bound confluence.
-Implication: Neutral bias for weekly contracts; high VIX suggests volatility within the $26.50-$27.50 range for Monday.
ICT/SMT Analysis
-Overview: Weekly: Neutral, support at $26.50, resistance at $27.50, SMT divergence versus VZ shows relative strength. Daily: Neutral, FVG $27.50-$28.00, OB $26.00. 4-Hour: Neutral, MSS below $27.15, liquidity below $26.50. 1-Hour: Neutral, MSS below $27.15, liquidity below $26.50. 10-Minute: OTE sell zone $27.20-$27.30 (Fib 70.5%), target $26.50.
-Implication: Neutral across timeframes; a breakdown below $26.50 could target $26.00, but weekly contracts are likely to see consolidation.
Edge Insights
-Institutional Flows: Recent block trades (April 18 ) show balanced buying and selling at $27.00, suggesting institutions are hedging rather than taking a directional stance.
-Sector Stability: Telecom sector is down only 5% YTD (Morningstar ), providing relative stability compared to other sectors, though tariff costs remain a headwind for T.
-Earnings Catalyst: With earnings due April 23, pre-earnings positioning may increase volatility, potentially favoring a breakout above $27.50 if sentiment shifts positively.
-Implication: Sector stability supports a neutral weekly stance, but monitor for pre-earnings IV spikes that could shift dynamics.
Trade Recommendation Analysis:
-Neutral: 50% likelihood (balanced options flows, GEX pinning at $27.15, high VIX choppiness).
-Bearish: 30% likelihood (MSS below $27.15, tariff pressures).
-Bullish: 20% likelihood (oversold indicators, potential bounce above $27.50).
-Action: Recommend a neutral stance with a bearish tilt; if bearish, buy $27.00 puts (weekly expiry) at ~$0.20, targeting $0.40, with a stop at $0.10 if T breaks $27.50. Risk $40 (2% of a $2,000 account).
Conclusion for Monday: T is poised for range-bound trading within $26.50-$27.50, driven by neutral options flows and tariff concerns. Focus on a potential breakdown below $26.50 for weekly bearish trades, targeting $26.00. High VIX and impending earnings add risk—execute with tight stops to manage volatility.
ONE POINT ONE SOL LTD bullish reversal pattern✅ Trade Setup (Swing Trade)
📌 CMP: ₹62.21
🟢 Entry (Buy Zone): ₹60–₹63
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: ₹69.80 (Fibo 0.382)
Target 2: ₹78.50 (Fibo 0.5)
Target 3: ₹87.30 (Fibo 0.618)
🛑 Stoploss: ₹55 (below wedge breakout and recent support)
⚖️ Risk-Reward Ratio:
Entry: ₹62 | SL: ₹55 | Target 1: ₹70 → ~1:1
For higher targets, risk-reward improves to 2:1 or more.
for educational purposes only