Trend Analysis
Dow Jones - April ReviewUnlike ES and NQ, YM has the potential to book massive gains if the algorithm was to spool prices higher into the $42,836 lower range FVG in comparison to the others. However, if the market is weaker than many anticipate, YM could be frontrunning the overall stock index pairs (out of NQ, ES and YM) to the downside.
Gun to my head, we are bound for some short term bullish price action back up into the premium array
S&P 500 - April ReviewI see more potential in S&P 500 than Nasdaq for the mere fact that the premium array at $5,773.25 - $5,902.50 has not been met yet but Nasdaq has already made it's way inside of the same SIBI imbalance. (refer to my most recent S&P500 analysis)
Aiming for low hanging fruits for now.
QQQ Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the QQQ next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 488.86
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 463.87
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
US30What is US30?
The US30, also known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) or simply the Dow 30, is a widely followed stock market index that tracks the performance of 30 large, publicly traded U.S. companies. These companies are considered some of the most important and influential in the U.S. economy, representing a diverse range of sectors such as technology, healthcare, finance, consumer goods, and industrials.
The index is price-weighted, meaning that stocks with higher share prices have a greater impact on the index’s value than those with lower prices. The DJIA is calculated by adding the prices of all 30 component stocks and dividing by a divisor that adjusts for stock splits and other corporate actions.
The US30 acts as a barometer of the U.S. stock market and overall economic health, though it only includes 30 companies and is not weighted by market capitalization like the S&P 500.
Companies That Make Up the US30 (As of 2025)
The 30 companies in the US30 include some of the largest and most influential U.S. corporations:
Apple Inc. (AAPL) – Technology
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) – Technology
Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) – Technology
Visa Inc. (V) – Financial Services
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) – Healthcare
Procter & Gamble Company (PG) – Consumer Goods
Walmart Inc. (WMT) – Retail
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) – Financial Services
The Coca-Cola Company (KO) – Consumer Goods
The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) – Retail
McDonald's Corporation (MCD) – Consumer Services
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH) – Healthcare
The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) – Insurance
The Boeing Company (BA) – Aerospace & Defense
Amgen Inc. (AMGN) – Biotechnology
Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) – Financial Services
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) – Machinery
Merck & Co., Inc. (MRK) – Pharmaceuticals
Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) – Technology
Chevron Corporation (CVX) – Energy
IBM Corporation (IBM) – Technology
Honeywell International Inc. (HON) – Industrials
Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) – Technology
The Walt Disney Company (DIS) – Media & Entertainment
Nie, Inc. (NKE) – Consumer Goods
Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) – Telecommunications
American Express Company (AXP) – Financial Services
3M Company (MMM) – Conglomerates
Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. (WBA) – Retail
Dow Inc. (DOW) – Chemicals
How Bond Yields and the US Dollar (DXY) Affect US30 Price Movement
Bond Yields Impact
Rising bond yields (especially U.S. Treasury yields) generally increase borrowing costs for companies, which can dampen corporate profits and weigh on stock prices, including those in the US30.
Higher yields can also make bonds more attractive relative to stocks, causing some investors to shift capital out of equities and into fixed income, putting downward pressure on the US30.
Conversely, falling bond yields reduce borrowing costs and can boost stock valuations, supporting gains in the US30.
US Dollar Index (DXY) Impact
The US Dollar Index (DXY) measures the strength of the dollar against a basket of major currencies.
A stronger dollar can hurt multinational companies in the US30 by making their exports more expensive and reducing the value of overseas earnings when converted back to USD, often leading to downward pressure on the index.
A weaker dollar tends to support US30 companies with significant international sales, potentially boosting the index.
Additionally, dollar strength often reflects risk-off sentiment, which can coincide with stock market declines, while dollar weakness often aligns with risk-on sentiment and rising equities.
Summary
Factor Effect on US30 Price Movement
Rising Bond Yields Negative: Higher borrowing costs, shift to bonds
Falling Bond Yields Positive: Lower borrowing costs, stocks more attractive
Stronger US Dollar Negative: Exporters hurt, overseas earnings worth less
Weaker US Dollar Positive: Boosts multinational earnings, supports stocks
In essence, the US30 reflects the performance of 30 major U.S. companies weighted by stock price. Its price movements are influenced by macroeconomic factors such as bond yields and the US dollar, which affect corporate profitability and investor risk appetite.
$SUPRA Breakout Confirmed — Trend Reversal in Play!$SUPRA just flipped the script!
After months of bleeding under a brutal downtrend, it finally broke out clean and confident.
That long-term resistance? Crushed.
Now it's retesting the breakout zone, a classic reclaim move.
EMAs are curving up, momentum's clearly shifting.
In my opinion, this breakout confirms a trend reversal.
Buyers are stepping up.
$0.0096+ Looks like the next magnet.
like if you are bullish!
Today's rebound continues to be short!The logic behind the current rise and fall of gold has changed. The main factors for the previous crazy rise in gold and the decline at 3,500 were the tariff war, which has gradually turned from tension to relaxation. The latest news shows that the two sides are trying to contact each other to prepare for the next round of negotiations.
Later, we should focus on the Federal Reserve. Trump previously asked the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates to reduce the impact of the tariff war on the economy. Powell's resistance once made Trump want to change the chairman of the Federal Reserve. The big non-agricultural data on Friday was better than expected, which means that the time for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates will be delayed, which is bad for the gold market. Therefore, gold may fall further at the beginning of next week.
On the other hand, after the world's largest gold ETF reduced its positions significantly since the peak of 3,500 on April 22, it has continued to reduce its positions slightly during this period, and there has been no obvious increase in positions, which reflects that gold has further bottoming out.
The daily line on Friday closed with a cross K, following three consecutive negatives. From a technical point of view, it is either a signal of continued decline or a reversal. Combined with the news data and the overall trend, the probability of continued decline is very high.
On the one hand, the rebound strength on the hourly and 4-hour charts is not strong, and the upward continuity is poor. The 100-day moving average is always under pressure to fall, and the trend is still bearish.
On the other hand, the adjustment on the daily and weekly lines has not yet ended, and the indicators show that there is still further decline. Next week, we should focus on the 618 golden section position of 3160. As for whether it can be the bottom position, in addition to the price point, it is also necessary to consider the K-line pattern comprehensively. We will talk about it next week.
Therefore, for gold on Monday, we can rely on the 3264-3268 line of pressure to continue shorting, and the limit of the pullback cannot exceed the 618 position of 3275, which is the watershed. The support below is 3222-3224, and if it breaks, it will hit the low point of 3201-3202, which may not be maintained.
Gold intraday trading strategyGold operation strategy:
1. Go short at 3270-75 when gold rebounds, and cover short at 3388-93 when it rebounds, stop loss at 3397, target at 3230-3235, and continue to hold if it breaks;
2. Go long at 3220-3225 when gold falls back, stop loss at 3214, target at 3265-70, and continue to hold if it breaks;
Gold update next weekI really wanted to sell at a higher price.
But the selling pressure was very strong, not overcoming the resistance, so I came up with a new strategy to sell gold at a lower price. Do you have any other ideas? Leave a comment.
Limit sell 3255 sl65
Limit sell 3272 sl 82 ( fake break)
Take profit 3178- 3070
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Limit buy 3070
SL 3048.5 TP 3178
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Limit buy 2994- 2982
SL 2972 TP 3090- 3170
Will the price of gold continue to rise?The pressure position on the 44-hour chart is around 3270-3280, which becomes an important dividing point for intraday short-term trading. In the intraday trading, we focus on the 3200-line long-short watershed. Before gold falls further and breaks through, gold will maintain a bullish trend. In the intraday trading, we focus on the recent starting point of 3222 support. If gold wants to move steadily upward, it will not fall below 3222 in the day. In the short term, we refer to the points above 3222 to arrange long positions! Gold operation strategy: Gold falls back to 3230-3232, stop loss at 3220, target 3260-3270; it is recommended to go short when it touches 3270-3268, stop loss at 3280, target 3240-3230;
SPY - support & resistant areas for today May 5 2025These are Support and Resistance lines for today, May 5th, 2025, and will not be valid for the next day. Mark these in your chart by clicking grab this below.
Yellow Lines: Heavily S/R areas, price action will start when closing in on these.
White Lines: Are SL, TP or Mid Level Support and Resistance Areas, these are traded if consolidation take place on them.
Silver Lines: An Area where price action could happen and do work on a choppy day.