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Trend Analysis

NASDAQ-100 Head & Shoulders Breakdown?I've been tracking a potential head and shoulders pattern on the NASDAQ-100, with a neckline at 17,720. If the pattern completes and breaks down convincingly, the measured move projects a target near 13,200 — a significant potential drop. While technical patterns aren’t guarantees, they often coincide with underlying fundamentals. In this case, there are several macroeconomic headwinds that could catalyze such a decline: Sticky Inflation and Interest Rate Uncertainty: Despite some progress, inflation remains above the Fed’s target. A “higher for longer” rate environment continues to pressure equity valuations, especially in tech-heavy indexes like the NASDAQ-100. Weakening Consumer and Corporate Spending: Retail sales and corporate earnings revisions have shown signs of fatigue, suggesting slowing momentum in key economic drivers. Global Tensions and Supply Chain Risks: Ongoing geopolitical instability, including issues in the Middle East and renewed U.S.–China trade rhetoric, could reignite volatility and affect global growth assumptions. Overvaluation and Narrow Market Breadth: A small group of mega-cap tech names have driven much of the recent rally, leaving the broader market vulnerable if leadership falters. With technical and fundamental factors aligning, this setup is worth watching closely. A confirmed break below the neckline could be more than just a chart pattern—it may reflect a broader shift in sentiment.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Short
by technicaltrader18
Bitcoin: $94K and Climbing!Price Movement and Technical Patterns Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $94,075 on the 4-hour timeframe, marking its highest level in over two months. This surge comes after a clean breakout above a key trendline, a move that often signals the start of a strong upward trend. Over the past few weeks, BTC has climbed 28% from its five-month low of below $75,000, hit on April 9, 2025. Right now, it’s testing a major resistance level near $95,000. On the 4-hour chart, you’ll notice a clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows, a textbook bullish setup. The price has also broken out of a falling wedge pattern, which is typically a reversal signal that points to more gains ahead. Support is holding strong around $80,000, while the price seems to be coiling between $82,000 and $86,000, hinting at a possible explosive move toward $100,000 if it breaks out of this range. Market Context and External Influences What’s driving this rally? A big part of it is the broader economic picture. With trade tensions and tariffs stirring up global markets, Bitcoin is stepping up as a safe-haven asset, much like gold, which has also been on a tear lately. Investors seem to be turning to BTC to hedge against uncertainty, and that’s pushing prices higher. On top of that, there’s some positive news in the crypto space: the Maldives just signed a $9 billion deal to build a crypto hub, which could spark more mainstream adoption and boost market sentiment. There’s also chatter about the U.S. possibly pausing tariffs, which might ease economic pressure and give Bitcoin more room to run. These factors combined are creating a pretty supportive backdrop for this price action. On-Chain Data and Investor Behavior Digging into the data, there’s more evidence that big players are betting on Bitcoin. Large investors, often called "whales," have been scooping up BTC at a rate three times higher than what miners are producing daily. This kind of accumulation mirrors what we saw during the 2020 bull run, right before prices took off. It’s a sign that these heavy hitters are gearing up for something big. The 4-hour chart backs this up with steady buying pressure and no major sell-offs yet. If this trend holds, and Bitcoin stays above its key support levels, we could see a push toward new all-time highs sooner rather than later. Keep an eye on that $95,000 resistance, it’s the next big test. What to Watch For So, where does Bitcoin go from here? The technicals are screaming bullish: the breakout, the higher highs, and the wedge pattern all point up. But it’s not just about the chart, external factors like economic shifts and crypto news will play a role too. If BTC can smash through $95,000 with solid volume, $100,000 comes into view fast. On the flip side, a drop below $80,000 could cool things off, though the whale buying makes that less likely for now. For traders, this is a spot to watch for a breakout or a pullback to scoop up a dip. Either way, Bitcoin’s got momentum, and the market’s buzzing with potential.
by MonoCoinSignal
USOIL Today's strategyFrom a technical perspective, if USOIL can take advantage of the weakening of the DXY, stabilize and rebound near the current price, and break through the key resistance level, it may be able to form an upward trend. However, if it fails to effectively withstand the impact of the production increase by OPEC+, and breaks below the key support level, the price is likely to decline further. Currently, it is necessary to closely monitor the competition around the price level of $55. If this level can be held, the probability of a rebound will increase. Once it is broken, the next support level may be around the $53 area. At the same time, continuously tracking the trend of the DXY and the subsequent policy dynamics of OPEC+ is of vital importance for judging the future trend of USOIL. USOIL buy@55-56 tp:57.5-58.5 I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.
TVC:USOIL
by H_C_12
GBP/JPY Short, GBP/USD Short, AUD/CAD Short and AUD/USD ShortGBP/JPY Short Minimum entry requirements: • If structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it. GBP/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • Corrective tap into area of value. • 4H risk entry or 1H risk entry after 2 x 1H rejection candles. Minimum entry requirements: • Tap into area of value. • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 5 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 5 min risk entry within it. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. AUD/CAD Short Minimum entry requirements: • 1H impulse down below area of value. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it. AUD/USD Short Minimum entry requirements: • 1H impulse down below area of interest. • If tight non-structured 15 min continuation follows, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it. • If tight structured 15 min continuation follows, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
Short
by StewySongs
XLM/USDT Breakdown: Structure Shift & Bearish Retracement Setup🚀 XLM/USDT Trade Outlook 🔎 I've been reviewing the XLM/USDT pair, and it's showing a very familiar setup compared to other majors. 🔁 On the daily timeframe, we've seen a notable shift in structure, with a clear break to the downside. 🧱📉 Dropping into the 4-hour chart, that structural break is even more apparent, adding confidence to a bearish bias. 🔍 Currently, the pair is extended away from value—and I’m anticipating a pullback into the fair value zone, where I’ll be watching closely for a potential short setup. 📐💼 🎯 In the breakdown video, we cover: The prevailing trend context 🌊 How market structure is unfolding across timeframes 🔂 Price action cues to validate the setup 🎥📈 Key support and resistance areas for both entry and target planning 🎯 For risk management, I’m positioning the stop above the retracement high, using roughly 2x ATR for calculated protection 🛑⚙️. A potential reward could extend to 5–6x ATR, depending on how price reacts around prior structure levels on the left. ⬅️📊 As always, I’m cross-checking with my Fibonacci levels for extra confluence—and the alignment here is looking solid. 🔢🧲 Remember, this is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence. ⚠️💡📉
PEPPERSTONE:XLMUSDShort
by fxtraderanthony
Gold Rejection at Channel Resistance – Bearish Setup in Play" 🔍 Analysis Summary Current Price: \~\$3,266 Indicators: EMA 50 (Red): \~\$3,277 – price is slightly below this level EMA 200 (Blue): \~\$3,180 – acts as a dynamic support Trend Structure: Previous Uptrend: Sharp bullish move within a rising wedge (now broken) Current Pattern: Descending channel or flag-like consolidation after the strong bullish trend Support Level: \~\$3,175–\$3,180 (highlighted zone with green arrows showing bounce) Resistance Level (Target 1): \~\$3,277–\$3,300 Target Point: \~\$3,356 📈 Bullish Scenario: Price bounced off strong support (around EMA 200 + horizontal level). If price breaks above the descending channel and retests resistance, it could aim for **Target 1 (\~3,300) and possibly reach **Target Point (\~3,356)**. 📉 Bearish Scenario: Failure to break above descending channel resistance could lead to a retest of the support zone. If support breaks, the next possible stop could be below the EMA 200, triggering deeper correction. 🧠 Trading Idea Buy Entry: On confirmed breakout above descending channel. Target 1: \~3,300 Target 2: \~3,356 Stop Loss: Below \~3,175 support
TVC:GOLDLong
by Fxhenry22
XAUUSD Hi, The Price was in an UPTREND before settling for consolidation, The moving Avarage is sloping downward, which indicates POTENTIAL REVERSAL. We can only have a BULLISH CASE if the price breaks above the CONSOLIDATION RANGE with strong BULLISH CANDLESTICKS. If the Candlestick Patterns show LONG RED BODIES it suggests STRONG SELLING PRESSURE , But if they begin forming HIGHER LOWS $ HIGHER HIGHS it will then be indicating BUYING PRESSURE. Using Fibonacci Retracement Levels , We Identified KEY SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS, where price might REVERSE or GAIN STRENGTH. The common Levels 38.2 % , 50 % and 61.8% . if the price retraces to the 38.2% level and bounces , it suggests BULLISH CONTINUATION if the price drops to the 61.8% level it's a stronger SUPPORT ZONE , indicating POTENTIAL BUY PRESSURE. A break below 61.8% may signal FURTHER DOWNSIDE. The pattern formation like DESCENDING CONTRACTING TRIANGLE, FALLING CHANNEL and FALLING WEDGES indicate SELL ENTRIES. OVERALL we are still on Consolidation and expecting to hit $3292 and then Experience a MINOR MELTDOWN TO at least $3193 and only then we will decide on where the market is headed to. Will be back with FURTHER UPDATES.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Ahmedshebe
GOLD SELL ANALYSIS The $3266:$3267 sell zone for gold likely refers to a resistance level or a strategic price point where investors or traders are inclined to sell. Several factors could contribute to this sell zone: - *Resistance Levels*: $3266:$3267 might be a key resistance area, where gold prices have historically faced selling pressure or struggled to break through. - *Technical Analysis*: Traders may be using technical indicators, such as moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), or Bollinger Bands, to identify $3266:$3267 as a selling opportunity. - *Market Sentiment*: Shifts in market sentiment, driven by news, economic data, or geopolitical events, could lead to increased selling pressure around $3266:$3267. - *Profit-Taking*: Investors might be looking to take profits at $3266:$3267, especially if they've seen significant gains in gold
TVC:GOLDShort
by Jordan-Fx6
Gold bull-bear game intensifies Weekly analysis of the gold market: bull-bear game intensifies, pay attention to the Fed's decision and trade situation Market Overview In the early Asian session on Monday (May 5), spot gold rose slightly by 0.2%, trading around $3246.44/ounce. Although retail investors are optimistic about gold prices, most Wall Street institutions are bearish on gold trends this week. The market focus has shifted to the Fed's interest rate decision this week and the progress of the international trade situation. These two factors are expected to dominate the short-term gold market. Significant divergence between bulls and bears Institutions are mainly bearish Kitco survey shows that 50% of 18 analysts are bearish, only 28% are bullish, and 22% expect sideways trading. Technical indicators show that gold is trending downward in the short term. If the US dollar rebounds due to the Fed's decision, it may further suppress gold prices. Some analysts believe that the 7% adjustment of gold from its recent high is insufficient and there is still room for decline. Retail investors are bullish In Kitco's online voting, 52% of retail investors are bullish, 29% are bearish, and 19% expect consolidation. Some believe that the current correction is excessive, and gold prices may rebound if US economic data is weak or the Fed sends a dovish signal. Analysis of key influencing factors Federal Reserve interest rate decision (May 7) The market generally expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged, but Powell's press conference may trigger volatility. If the Fed's statement is hawkish, a stronger dollar may suppress gold; if economic risks are mentioned, it may boost safe-haven demand. International trade situation The easing of trade tensions may weaken gold's safe-haven appeal, and vice versa, it may drive gold prices up. Be wary of the market's "knee-jerk reaction" to related news, and gold volatility may increase. Technical key positions Support level: $3,200 (psychological barrier), if it falls below, it may fall to the $3,150-3,000 range. Resistance level: $3,315, only after breaking through can the downward pressure be relieved. Summary of institutional views Bearish view: The adjustment of gold has not yet ended. If the trade optimism continues, the gold price may test $3,000. The rebound of the US dollar and the rise in US bond yields may further pressure gold. Bullish view: The current sell-off may be a short-term phenomenon, and economic and political uncertainties still support the long-term demand for gold. If the gold price is oversold, it may attract bargain hunting. Neutral view: It is expected that gold will maintain a wide range of fluctuations, and the fluctuation range is large. Investors are advised to operate with caution. Operational suggestions Short-term traders: Pay attention to the breakthrough of the $3,200-3,315 range and follow the trend. Medium- and long-term investors: If the gold price falls back to the $3,000-3,150 range, consider arranging long orders in batches. Hedging strategy: Use inverse ETFs (such as GLL and ZSL) to hedge short-term volatility risks. Summary The gold market is currently in a stage of long-short tug-of-war. The Fed's decision and trade trends will become the key drivers of the short-term market. The technical side is bearish, but if risk aversion rekindles or the Fed releases a dovish signal, gold prices may still rebound. Investors need to pay close attention to market dynamics and adjust their strategies flexibly.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Trending_Gold_Miners