btc . april recap . may outlookMAY instantly starts with a SHORT SQUEEZE
- out of pwRange
- into cwRange + 1 step higher
- all good, all bullish - but a price drop on HTF would open great opportunities for SHORT + LONG, while keeping bullish momentum
02.04.2025 . SHORT IDEA
- after trading out of range, start trading the/within new range
- approaching cmHigh towards 2pm Berlin time
- ladder in for possible SFP
- give yourself a little wiggle room for the SL, if price breaks +2% and approaches the next SFP level, a short entry higher towards friday close has a better R:R
entry. 97368
tp1 . 950908
tp2 . 94095
tp3 . 85113
LONG IDEA
- wait and see where the price find its support
- possibility that we keep STRONG BULL momentum, if price stays within cwVA
- on the way there, find percentage levels for daily +1.5% trades
Trend Analysis
Trend Analysis and Trading Tips for the Gold MarketThe market is deeply trapped in the tariff issue. US stocks and the US dollar are in urgent need of economic data to boost their performance. If the April NFP data is poor, it will trigger a selling spree in the market, and the risk of economic recession in the United States will increase. On the contrary, the significance of good NFP data far exceeds the data itself.
From a technical perspective, when the data is bearish, the upward pressure on the gold price doubles. Overall, it is highly likely that the April NFP data will be bearish for the gold price and drive it down. The fact that the gold price hit a low of nearly 3,220 yesterday also confirms this expectation. In addition, good data reduces the market's expectation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. Since an interest rate cut by the Fed is bullish for the gold price, and vice versa.
The tariff issue is likely to cool down soon. Although it doesn't mean the end, it will still suppress the gold price. Recently, we have accurately grasped the gold market, attaching equal importance to fundamental and technical analysis. In the following period, the market will still fluctuate around fundamental news such as the tariff issue. If the NFP data exceeds expectations and the tariff issue takes a turn for the better, the risk aversion sentiment will fade away, and the gold price is highly likely to retrace. It is recommended not to rush to buy at a higher price next week.
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GBP-AUD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-AUD made a bearish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 2.0730 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are
Bearish biased and we will
Be expecting a further
Move down on Monday
Sell!
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GBP/USD Trend JudgmentTechnical Analysis of GBPUSD 4 - hour Chart
Support Level Analysis
Several key support levels are clearly marked in the chart. 1.32000 is a strong support level. If the price drops to this level, it may bounce back due to the buying support formed by past intensive trading 📈. 1.32400 is near the current price and also plays a certain supporting role. The price fluctuating around this level reflects the tug - of - war between bulls and bears here 🤼. 1.30200 is an important support level further down. Once the price breaks below 1.32000, it may further test this level 📉.
Target Level Analysis
The target area is around 1.34200. Judging from the chart trend, the price previously had upward - fluctuating momentum 💹. If the current price can break through the short - term downward trend and is accompanied by trading volume, and the bullish force continues to strengthen, the price is expected to move upward towards the 1.34200 target area 🚀. This target area is derived from the high points of previous price fluctuations and trend lines. It has certain resistance, but once broken, it can open up the upper space 🚪.
Trend Judgment
Currently, the price is in a relatively volatile downward trend, but the lower support levels may change the price trend. If the price obtains effective support at the support levels and forms a reversal signal (such as a bullish engulfing pattern, etc.) 📊, an upward trend is expected to start. Investors can pay attention to the performance of the price at the support levels. If the support is effective, they can try to go long, with the stop - loss set below the support level; if the price breaks below the support level, they can consider going short, with the target looking towards the lower support level 📌.
⚡⚡⚡ GBPUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Buy@1.32000 - 1.32400
🚀 TP 1.33500 - 1.34000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
XAUUSD 3265: Bull-Bear Lifeline! Next Week's Trend PredictionFrom a daily chart perspective, overnight, the price of gold rebounded after hitting the bottom and closed with a bullish candlestick 🌞. However, on the 1-hour chart, the moving averages of gold have formed a bearish crossover pattern and are arranged in a downward trend for bears 📉. Moreover, this pattern will eventually continue to diverge downward. Currently, the price of gold has been suppressed and pulled back near the level of 3265 ⚠️. It can be seen from this that the area around 3265 will still be a crucial turning point determining the bull-bear trend of the gold price next week ⚡. Join 👉
In the latter part of the night, although the price of gold rebounded to some extent, compared with the previous decline range, the rebound strength is indeed limited 📉↗️. Looking ahead to next week, if the gold price fails to break through the resistance near 3265, then the market will most likely only maintain a volatile pattern at best, and it is less likely for the bulls in the gold market to achieve a direct reversal in the short term 📊. Investors should focus on the resistance at 3265 above and the strong support at the key level of 3195 below 🔍.
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MAGIC Rebuy Setup (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
The price didn’t reach our red zone for entering a Sell/Short position, but the trend reversal outlook on MAGIC was correct.
We are now looking for a potential Buy/Long position near the support zone.
We will only enter a Buy/Long position if the price touches the green zone.
Targets are marked on the chart.
A daily candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
I think were due for bad earnings reaction for once.As seen in the chart, we are at the top of the range with highly over extended price movement and hitting the largest target number at $400 which has been sought after for months.
I think a snap down to $360-$350 is inevitable.
If we do pop up to $420+ then its a blow off top unless market reacts positively to government involvement to crypto.
Mogcoin and the completion of the downward cycle; $0.000000068On the 4-hour chart of Mogcoin, equilibrium levels are marked from two highs of December 2024 and January 2025. As you can see on the chart, the recent reversal of Mogcoin price is due to entering the main zone of the January high and the market has not yet reached the downside of the main high in December... The equilibrium downside target of 0.000000068 will be touched to complete the equilibrium price cycle from the main highs....
In the long term and after completing the downward cycle, Mogcoin will reach the weekly bullish target of 0.0000041$.
Note: Equilibrium analyses look at the market on a large scale and macro scale and the targets may be delayed but will be touched...
GOLD SELL ZONE The $3271:$3272 sell zone for gold might be due to several factors:
- *Resistance Level*: This price range could be acting as a resistance level, where gold prices face selling pressure or struggle to break through.
- *Profit-Taking*: Investors might be selling gold at this price range to secure profits, especially if they've seen significant gains recently.
- *Technical Analysis*: Traders may be using technical indicators, such as moving averages or Relative Strength Index (RSI), to identify $3271:$3272 as a selling opportunity.
- *Market Sentiment*: Shifts in market sentiment, driven by news or economic data, could lead to increased selling pressure around $3271:$3272.
GOLD / XAUUSD: Breaking the down channel (correction wave)Therefore, if the 21-day SMA holds in the event of a weak US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, a rebound toward the immediate static support-turned-resistance at 3260 could occur.
A sustained move above that level would encourage Gold buyers to push further toward the former channel support, now acting as resistance, at 3405.
SCRTUSDT UPDATE
SCRT Technical Setup
Pattern: Falling Wedge Breakout
Current Price: $0.2453
Target Price: $0.59
Target % Gain: 160.55%
Technical Analysis: SCRT has broken out of a falling wedge on the 1D chart, indicating a bullish reversal. The breakout is confirmed with strong green candles and volume build-up.
Time Frame: 1D
Risk Management Tip: Always use proper risk management.
BTC Next target 70kwaiting for one bad news that will accelerate the fall of BTC into this zone, the Printing press has not yet been launched, the data is stable but everything is on the verge of collapse, in order to start the movement of lowering the rate and the printing press, the market needs to collapse again
FIL Stands While the Top 20 Bleed – Watch This DivergenceWhile top 20 crypto assets flash red across the board, Filecoin (FIL) prints green — up +0.49% on the day. This isn't noise — it's signal.
Price is holding its ground above support while sitting just under the 50 EMA resistance at $2.79. Bear Load at 75% means pressure, but it’s thinning.
The shakeout phase might be nearing its end.
MACD is flattening — signs of reversal brewing.
Smart capital hunts relative strength when others panic.
FIL is showing resilience, potential accumulation, and could be preparing for a break while the rest sleep.
Quant eyes are watching.
#FIL #Filecoin #CryptoTrading #TrendReversal #QuantEdge #Altcoins #MarketDivergence #TechnicalAnalysis #EMA #MACD
Gold Eyes Recovery as Price Targets $3,260 ResistanceGold is showing signs of a potential rebound on the 15-minute chart. After finding support around the $3215–$3225 zone, price action is starting to climb again. If this upward momentum continues, we could see gold make a push toward the $3260 resistance level. Keep an eye on price behavior near support—any strong bounce could be a signal for further upside.
Resistance Reloaded: EUR/CHF Prepares for Bearish Breakdown!Timeframe: 15-Minute (M15)
Ideal for short-term scalping or intraday setups.
Resistance Zone (Entry):
Price is testing 0.93780–0.93800, showing clear rejection — potential short entry zone.
Bearish Rejection:
Wick rejections and failure to close above resistance confirm selling pressure.
Stop Loss:
Placed slightly above resistance, near 0.93830.
Target Zone:
Marked at 0.93180–0.93200, previously tested demand/support area.
Price Action Bias:
Current structure suggests lower high forming, supporting bearish bias.
Risk-to-Reward:
Healthy RRR setup with limited upside risk and wide downside potential.
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XAUUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 3275.86, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 3222.63, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 3314.24, a swing high resistance.
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Mon 5th May 2025 GBP/CAD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/CAD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Can it hit the bottom and rebound?Fundamental Analysis: Driven by the trade concerns sparked by Trump and the risk aversion sentiment arising from the global economic slowdown, the trajectory of oil prices has been shaped. Additionally, OPEC+ convened an early meeting on Saturday and confirmed an increase in production of 411,000 barrels per day in June. This decision has indubitably intensified the market's apprehensions regarding the oversupply of crude oil 📉.
Technical Analysis: Technically speaking, the price of crude oil has persistently lingered below the midline of the Bollinger Bands, distinctly indicating that the bearish trend is in the ascendancy 📉. Last week, on the weekly chart, it closed with a substantial bearish candlestick, exhibiting a downward tail pattern, and in the short term, the price has been fluctuating within a trading range 📊. As for the upcoming week's trend, whether the support level established by the previous double doji bottoming formation will be broken through effectively will be the focal point of market attention 👀. Nevertheless, once the price reaches the crucial support level, there exists the potential for a technical rebound. Investors should closely monitor the variations in trading volume and the response of the moving average system 📈.
Market Situation: It is crucial to note that due to the holiday factor in the Asian market next Monday, market liquidity is anticipated to decline significantly. Under such circumstances, the oil price is likely to encounter a higher risk of more pronounced volatility, further escalating the uncertainty of the market situation ⚠️.
⚡⚡⚡ USOIL ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Buy@56.0 - 57.0
🚀 TP 59.0 - 60.0
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟