Trend Analysis
Ethereum ETH Is Gaining Strength Agains BitcoinHello, Skyrexians!
BINANCE:ETHUSDT was a huge underdog last 4 month on the bearish phase, but recently it started to gain power, on the recent dump it has not showed correction.
On the daily chart we can see that price has printed 5 waves Elliott cycle. Wave 3 corresponds to the minimum Awesome oscillator. After that wave 5 has finished this cycle with divergence. The conservative bounce target is $3000 at 0.61 Fibonacci level, but we have one problem here. AO did not crossed zero line at wave 4, so we can be in wave 4 only now, in this case another one lower low will happen. We need to count sub waves every day. Wait for our updates.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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GBP/USD Short Trade Setup: Reversal from 1.34370 with Target at Entry Point:
Marked at 1.34370, where the analyst anticipates a reversal or price rejection.
Stop Loss:
Positioned above at 1.34975, covering a 2.62% risk margin. This is a protective level in case the price moves against the trade.
Target (Take Profit):
Set at 1.31015, just above a strong support zone around 1.30818. This is where the analyst expects the price to eventually fall.
Resistance Point:
Noted around 1.33007 – 1.32859, acting as an intermediate level of interest and possible price reaction zone.
Let's wait for gold to break new highs
Today, the price of gold bottomed out and rebounded, breaking through the expected dividing point of 3260.
At this time, many traders need to learn to adjust their thinking.
If it is a retracement, on the one hand, the price will not break through and open a decline, and on the other hand, after the force is too strong, it must be a position adjustment and a reverse long.
Even if you don’t go long, you can’t go short easily. In many cases, the rules of trading must be followed.
The second rise from the low point to the high point just corrected the 382 support 3252 and continued to rise and break the high. It depends on whether you have the courage to enter the market.
The intraday increase of 80 US dollars +, today there is only one idea, continue to go long;
The support level refers to 3210 and 3215, you can go long in batches, with 3290 as defense, and continue to watch the gold price break high!
After the strength, there will be a second high point!
Thank you dear traders for reading, if you like it, please tell me
XAUUSD: Mayali Signals - Premium Insighthe market surged like a tidal wave—swift, unexpected, and bold. But every wave eventually pulls back.
At $3,312, our system triggered a high-conviction SELL, backed by three signals; Overextension beyond psychological barrier $3,310, Exhaustion candlestick with low follow-through, and Divergence from momentum indicators on the 1H frame.
Today’s gold price: go long on dipsToday’s gold price: go long on dips
The price of gold has risen sharply today, with the current price at 3320.
Obviously, the strong gains during the European and American sessions did not give the opportunity to go long at the bottom during the Asian session.
Remember the plunge in the Asian market before the May Day holiday?
When Asian markets open tomorrow (Tuesday), gold prices will inevitably fluctuate at high levels.
Gold prices have risen nearly 100 points again from last Friday to today.
It is not difficult to analyze it next.
It will be a high probability event for gold prices to rise to 3500 points next week.
And I think it is unlikely to bring a buffer opportunity to the Asian session, which will be another precise financial blockade.
Next, pay attention to 3300 points.
This week's gold price strategy continues to return to low-priced longs.
This week's target expectation: 3400-3500+
Main support levels:
3260
3280
3300
As long as the gold price runs above these support levels, the intraday trading idea is still mainly to buy on dips.
Even if the gold price does not rise significantly, there is a high probability that it will return to the shock pattern of the 3260-3360 range.
Operation strategy:
Pay attention to the support level in the 3280-3300 range and wait for the gold price to pull back and go long on dips.
Swing Trading/XAUUSDband trading strategy points out. XAUUSD can be bought on the left side, TP3330-3350.
Aggressive traders can buy at the current price. Conservative traders can wait until the price retreats to around 3300 or below before buying.
The Swing Trading Strategy Center continues to announce trading opportunities. Stay tuned.
XAUUSD - Gold Trend Before FOMC!Gold is trading above its EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is trading on its uptrend line. A continued upward move in gold will put it in the supply zone, where it is possible to look for short positions. A downward correction in gold will also open up long positions.
Gold traders endured another turbulent week, marked by the second consecutive decline in prices—once again underscoring the market’s acute sensitivity to economic news and developments.
Adrian Day, CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management, offered a cautiously humorous take on the situation by likening it to the Peggy Lee song that asks, “Is that all there is?” He pointed out that gold has pulled back by over 7% from its recent high in less than two weeks.Although this correction is notable, it hasn’t been deep enough to flush out all short-term traders or weak-handed investors from the market.
Day added that rising fears of a U.S. recession—which typically exert early downward pressure on gold—alongside the possibility of easing U.S.-China trade tensions, may limit investment demand for gold in the short term. Concluding his comments, he maintained a cautious stance, saying that further downside remains likely and that his outlook for the coming week is bearish.
Meanwhile, U.S. President Donald Trump, in a new interview with NBC, addressed several key economic and political issues. He stated that if necessary, the deadline for selling TikTok would be extended, and some tariffs on Chinese goods might become permanent. Nevertheless, he indicated that he is also considering reducing certain tariffs in the future.
Trump emphasized that small businesses do not require additional assistance and that the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates. He confirmed that Jerome Powell will remain Fed Chair through the end of his term in 2026. He also mentioned potential successors for his own position, naming Vance and Rubio as possibilities.
After a week dominated by employment data, the upcoming week will be entirely focused on monetary policy. The centerpiece will be the May FOMC meeting, the Fed’s rate decision, and Jerome Powell’s press conference on Wednesday. While markets broadly expect the Fed to hold rates steady, Powell’s official remarks and answers to press questions—especially following his sharp tone earlier in April—will be under close scrutiny.
It is widely expected that the Federal Reserve will leave its key interest rate unchanged on Wednesday, as policymakers assess how President Trump’s tariffs gradually impact various sectors of the economy. Markets are currently pricing in a potential rate cut starting in July. The Fed’s dual mandate is to maintain low inflation and high employment, and it may face a dilemma if tariffs negatively affect both indicators, as many economists now warn.
Immediately following the Fed meeting, senior policymakers including Barr, Kugler, Waller, and Cook will travel to Iceland to attend the Reykjavik Economic Conference. On Friday, they will participate in panels discussing artificial intelligence, labor market trends, and monetary research—topics that could offer insights into the Fed’s long-term policy direction.
Simultaneously, traders are also awaiting two key reports: the ISM Services Index for May, due today, and weekly jobless claims figures set for release on Thursday. Together, these reports will help complete the picture of the U.S. economy as critical monetary policy decisions approach.
NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Bank Money Heist (Bullish)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 1D timeframe (0.58400) Day trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 0.60800
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CHFJPY: Pullback From Support 🇨🇭🇯🇵
There is a high chance that CHFJPY will pull back from
the underlined intraday horizontal support.
As a confirmation, I see a bullish imbalance candle
after a release of today's Swiss CPI data.
Goal - 175.37
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPNZD Daily Analysis – Bearish Setup in PlayGBPNZD pair is setting up for a potential bearish continuation as technical patterns and macroeconomic context align. With key central bank events on the horizon this week—including the Bank of England rate decision and New Zealand's employment data—volatility is expected. Traders should be cautious yet prepared, as current price action suggests a possible breakdown in the days ahead.
🔍 Chart Structure & Key Observations
Rising Wedge Breakdowns (Bearish Patterns):
Multiple rising wedges broke to the downside, which is a bearish signal.
These breakdowns were followed by lower highs — indicating bearish momentum is strengthening.
Current Price Action:
Price is currently sitting at 2.2245, just above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level (2.2039).
A support test is occurring here. If it breaks, expect acceleration in downside momentum.
Bearish Flag/Pennant Setup:
Recent price action appears to be forming a bearish continuation pattern (flag or descending channel).
The blue arrow indicates a potential bearish breakout continuation after a short-term pullback (retest).
Fibonacci Retracement & Key Support Zones:
Fib levels and horizontal support coincide at multiple critical zones:
2.2039–2.2002: Minor support.
2.1818–2.1685: Strong confluence of 100% Fib level and horizontal demand zone.
2.1515–2.1509: Next major support (prior structure level).
2.0981: Projected extension target (141.4% Fib), a potential final target if the breakdown continues.
Trade Plan (as per the chart):
Entry: Bearish confirmation after a retest around 2.23–2.24 zone.
Stop: Just above the recent highs or above 2.25.
Targets:
TP1: 2.2002
TP2: 2.1810
TP3: 2.1510
Final TP: 2.0980
🧠 Fundamental Context to Watch
Considering the NZD and GBP sensitivity to central bank policy:
NZD: Watch RBNZ’s Financial Stability Report and employment data (due this week)
GBP: Bank of England rate decision and inflation letter also due this week
USD & global risk appetite could influence sentiment, as Powell and Trump tensions gro
(XAU/USD – Gold Spot, 1H Chart) Long🔍 Technical Analysis (XAU/USD – Gold Spot, 1H Chart)
🔹 Chart Structure & Trendlines
Descending Trendline Breakout: Price has decisively broken above the long-standing descending trendline, indicating a potential bullish trend reversal.
Horizontal Support/Resistance:
Key support zone: Around 3260–3270, shown with horizontal cyan lines and multiple bounce points (green arrows).
Key resistance zones:
Minor resistance at 3334.48.
Strong resistance at 3358.62 (previous structural high).
🔹 Price Action Insights
Double Rejection & Breakout: After testing the descending trendline twice (red arrows), price finally broke above it with strong bullish momentum.
Retest Expected: Price may retest the 3260–3270 support zone (previous resistance and trendline convergence), which aligns with standard breakout-retest-continuation behavior.
Projected Targets:
Target 1: 3334 (recent high/resistance).
Target 2: 3358 (next major resistance).
🔹 Bullish Structure Confirmation
Higher lows and higher highs are forming.
Bullish engulfing breakout candle above resistance zone.
🌐 Fundamental Analysis – Key Drivers for Gold (XAU/USD)
🔸 Global Economic Context
U.S. Dollar Weakness: If recent U.S. economic data (jobs, inflation) shows signs of cooling, it weakens the dollar, boosting gold prices.
Fed Policy Outlook: Markets are closely watching the Federal Reserve’s stance on rate cuts. Dovish signals (rate cuts or pause) tend to support gold due to its inverse relationship with real yields.
🔸 Geopolitical & Safe-Haven Demand
Any rise in geopolitical tensions (e.g., Middle East, Eastern Europe) increases demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Recent market uncertainty may explain the breakout move shown on the chart.
🔸 Inflation & Commodities Correlation
Persisting inflation keeps gold attractive as an inflation hedge.
Rising oil prices also tend to support gold prices due to commodity correlation and inflationary spillovers.
📈 Conclusion & Outlook
Technical Bias: Bullish (breakout confirmed with clean structure).
Fundamental Bias: Mildly bullish to bullish, depending on Fed tone and macroeconomic prints.
Short-term Strategy: Look for a retest around 3260–3270 as a potential long entry zone targeting 3334 and 3358.
Risk Management: Use stops below 3250 to protect against false breakouts.
Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis – Will the Rally Continue or Is a CorrectBitcoin is currently trading at $94,500 💰, but statistical studies and mathematical models indicate a potential downward movement 📉 that could push the price toward $93,800, with a strong likelihood of testing the $89,900 zone.
🛡️ Critical Support at $89,000
To maintain the long-term bullish trend, it is crucial that Bitcoin holds above the $89,000 support level. If the price closes below this level for an entire week, it would be a clear negative signal ❌ and could suggest a trend reversal to the downside for a longer period before any renewed upward movement.
✅ When Does the Correction End?
According to statistical studies and mathematical models, the clearest signal that the current correction has ended would be a break above $97,650 followed by three consecutive daily closes above this level 📈.
If this scenario plays out, we could see a strong and rapid surge toward the following targets:
🎯 Target 1: $104,900
🎯 Target 2: $112,900
💡 Investor Advice
If the breakout occurs, it is advisable to take profits 💸 at the mentioned targets and avoid entering new positions until further notice. The market could experience dramatic and swift movements ⚡, so caution is essential.
📢 The analysis will be updated upon reaching these levels to provide a clearer outlook based on price behavior at that time.
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Xauusd.4h chart pattrentrend line and is showing strong bullish momentum, that supports your target of 3365. Here's a quick technical outlook based on your info:
Entry: 3272
Target: 3365
Trend: Bullish breakout (potential for continuation)
Upside Potential: 93 points
Suggested Stop-Loss (if not set): Near recent support or just below breakout zone (e.g., 3245–3250) for risk management
Watch for confirmation like:
Strong bullish candles on higher timeframes (e.g., 1H, 4H)
Volume increasing on the breakout
Retest of the trend line acting as support
Would you like a visual chart analysis or real-time gold price check?
GBPUSD STRONG DOWNTRND PATTERNTechnical Analysis
1. Trend Overview:
The GBP/USD pair is in a strong bearish trend, confirmed by:
Price consistently forming lower highs and lower lows
Breakdown of key support zones(1.3200), turning them into new resistance (especially 1.34400)
Momentum oscillators and moving averages showing sustained downward pressure
FIL bull-pollbakThe Filecoin ( BINANCE:FILUSDT ) chart, after a correction to $2.65, is attempting to pull back to the broken level around $2.77. If it fails to break this resistance, another decline towards support levels at $2.525 and then $2.39 is likely, which could act as a potential starting point for a new upward movement towards targets at $3.02 and $3.30.
🔑 Key Zones on the FIL Chart:
Primary Resistance: $2.77 (Pullback to broken level)
First Support: $2.525
Second Support: $2.39
First Bullish Target: $3.02
Second Bullish Target: $3.30
Consumer Goods Sector Calls on Trump for ExemptionsBy Ion Jauregui – Analyst, ActivTrades
Trade policy returns to the center of the U.S. economic stage. Donald Trump, in his new electoral program, has reignited his protectionist strategy with proposals for additional tariffs that could exceed 60% on certain products, including footwear, electronics, and manufactured goods imported from China and other regions. This measure, if implemented, will have direct consequences on the business fabric listed on Wall Street and, by extension, on the main stock indices.
Impact on major brands
Companies like Nike (NYSE: NKE), Skechers (NYSE: SKX), and Adidas (ETR: ADSGn), although the latter is listed in Europe, have already expressed their concern. Together with more than 70 other brands, they have asked the administration to exclude footwear from the new tariff package, arguing that adding an extra 145% to the current tariffs — which already range between 20% and 37.5% — would be a direct blow to their profitability and pricing structure, and would slow down their sales forecasts. This fear is not unfounded: both Adidas and Skechers have revised their U.S. sales forecasts downward, anticipating a drop in consumption due to the increased cost of their products.
Repercussions on stock indices
The effects are not limited to companies directly affected. The S&P 500, which includes the 500 largest U.S. companies, covers numerous sectors exposed to imports and international supply chains. An increase in tariffs translates into:
• Reduction of corporate margins in sectors such as discretionary consumption, retail, technology, and automotive.
• Drops in quarterly profits, which could lead to downward revisions in valuations.
• Greater market volatility, since investors usually react cautiously to aggressive protectionist policies.
The Nasdaq 100, with high exposure to tech companies such as Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) or Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), is also in the spotlight. Many of these firms depend on components manufactured in Asia, so a tariff escalation implies higher costs and possible delivery delays, directly affecting their operations.
Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, more concentrated in industrial and consumer sectors, could be affected by pressure on companies such as 3M, Boeing, or Home Depot, especially if domestic demand is impacted by the rising cost of imported goods.
Risks for the corporate economy
The risk goes beyond consumption. Increasing the tariff burden also implies higher operating costs for importing companies, reducing margins, pressuring quarterly profits downward, and in many cases, affecting stock prices. In addition, multinationals that manufacture in Asia could be forced to restructure their supply chains, which would involve unforeseen investments during a global economic slowdown.
Skechers Analysis
The company has been trading lower continuously after a poor start to the first quarter from its highs at the end of January at $78.24, added to the bearish gap caused by Donald Trump's tariff policy. The price is currently supported around the $45.58 level and trading in a middle area around $48.50. Its current upper zone is $56.70 and its lower zone is $42.50. If the price holds during the quarter, we could see a return to the upper part of the indicated range. Otherwise, if the results are as severe as forecasted, Skechers may test the support again and seek a new lower support zone around the current lows of $31.28.
Fiscal and political context
Although employment in the U.S. has shown resilience, with 177,000 new jobs created in April and an unemployment rate of 4.2%, the economic cooling is evident. Trump's proposal includes not only tariffs but also a sharp cut in public spending: $163 billion less, with a 23% reduction in non-defense sectors such as education, healthcare, or research, while the security budget increases by 65%. This fiscal reorientation could cool internal demand and affect GDP growth in the medium term, raising the risk of recession in consumption-sensitive sectors.
Tariff policies are usually poorly received by financial markets due to their distorting effect on prices, international trade, and business confidence. In summary, the new tariff proposals could put downward pressure on U.S. stock indices, especially if the markets price in lower business profitability, increased costs, and a slowdown in consumption. An environment that, far from bringing calm, brings investors back to a more cautious mode.
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