Euro Coils into Weekly Open- Fed on TapEuro is off more than 2% from the yearly high with EUR/USD carving the weekly opening-range just above multi-month uptrend support. From a trading standpoint, rallies would need to be limited to Friday’s high IF price is heading lower on this stretch with a break below the lower parallel exposing eh 2024 high at 1.1214 and 1.1160- both levels of interest for possible exhaustion / price inflection IF reached. Ultimately, a breach / close above 1.1420 is needed to threaten uptrend resumption.
-MB
Trend Analysis
FNMA: great looking consolidation Price is showing impressive relative strength during recent market weakness with 3 weeks of tight closes
• W-bottom structure forming
• Fund accumulation increasing
• EPS estimates for 2025–26 rising sharply
• Regulative catalyst + Bill Ackman backing
Next mid-term resistance zone: 12–16
Macro/Weekly structure
Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions!
AUDUSD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
AUDUSD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short AUDUSD
Entry - 0.6477
Sl - 0.6503
Tp - 0.6429
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
I'm shorting thisTwo weekly timeframe for a better understanding. Looks like a large bearish flag forming. Price just bounce off the bottom of the flag. But I think is a dead cat bounce. Is hitting a resistance level 35-36. Doesn't look too sting to break it up. SL triggers if a weekly candle breaks up the resistance and closes above it.
EURCHF Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on EURCHF and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.9315 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.9351
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
ETH/USDT ETH/USDT 4-hour chart
Price is currently just above the 200 EMA, which often acts as dynamic support.
ETH has been consolidating around this level neither showing strong bullish breakout nor bearish breakdown.
The price is ranging sideways in a relatively tight band, showing a lack of strong momentum either way.
There’s no clear higher high or lower low — a neutral/balanced market phase.
Recent candles show wicks on both ends, indicating indecision and equal pressure from buyers and sellers.
As long as price holds above the 200 EMA (~$1780), bulls maintain slight control.
If ETH breaks and closes below the 200 EMA, it may open a path toward lower support zones (~$1740, $1700).
To regain bullish momentum, ETH need to break and hold above ~$1840–$1860, the recent local highs.
Looking for breakout with strong momentum, watch for massive volume candle.
stay strong and take care.
NVDA eyes on $105: Support for one last DIP before new highs?Followup to my warning about $113.56 (click)
NVDA back to the Golden Genesis Fib, a major landmark.
If we are to see one more dip from here, look for $105.08
If we continue then lookout for the Golden Covid at $122.25
.
Big picture view showing the $113.56 Golden Genesis
=======================================================
Spot Signal for Weekly Cycle, STPTUSDTSpot Signal for Weekly Cycle, STPTUSDT
These are spot signals suitable for the 2025 investment strategy.
I use a multi-timeframe trend analysis system combined with a structure-based system. The monthly timeframe is currently in an uptrend, and as of now, the monthly trend (M) is still ongoing.
In May, June, or July, the monthly trend of STPT is expected to continue with a new upward move.
At this moment, we should look for a pullback on the D1 or W timeframe to enter.
Strategy Applied:
Spot trading
Entry: Around the current price, $0.07969
Targets: $0.12 and $0.2
Hold time: Based on the weekly (W) cycle combined with the monthly (M) cycle.
Good luck!
Gold shorts coming?
Gold broke through and fell sharply, hitting the lowest level of 3200, breaking the previous shock pattern.
Friday's non-agricultural data was unexpectedly negative, and the rebound was under pressure at the top and bottom conversion level of 3268. The daily line closed with a cross K, and the overall shock remained.
Driving logic changes, and the impact of the tariff war weakens
The tariff tension that pushed gold to 3500 in the early stage has gradually eased, and the market focus has shifted to the Fed's policy.
The Fed's interest rate cut expectations have been postponed, and the non-agricultural data is strong, which strengthens the Fed's position of maintaining high interest rates, and gold is under pressure in the short term.
ETF positions continue to decrease. The world's largest gold ETF has continued to reduce its positions since it peaked on April 22, reflecting the bearish sentiment in the market.
Technical analysis
The daily structure, the cross K followed by three consecutive negatives, is usually a signal of continued decline. Combined with the bearish fundamentals, the probability of downward movement is relatively high.
The adjustment is not over yet, and attention should be paid to whether 3160 (61.8% golden ratio) can form support.
Short-term trend
The hourly chart rebound is weak, and the 100-day moving average continues to be under pressure, and the trend is still bearish.
Key positions and operation strategies
Pressure level: 3268-3275 (top and bottom conversion position), the extreme pullback does not break the 3280 watershed.
Support level: 3222-3224 (short-term support), break down to the 3200 mark, further target 3160.
Strategy:
Short at the beginning of the week based on the 3275-3268 pressure level, stop loss above 3280, target 3220-3200.
If it falls below 3200, follow up with short orders to 3160; if it stabilizes, observe the reversal signal.
Summary
Gold is dominated by shorts in the short term, and the operation is mainly rebound shorting, focusing on the Fed's policy expectations and the performance of the key support of 3160.
USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D5 Y25USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W19 D5 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Intraday breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅15' order block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Doge H4 | Overlap support at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementDoge (DOGE/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.1667 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.1460 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.2028 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
US30 Stuck at Resistance – 05/05/2025🛑 US30 Stuck at Resistance – 05/05/2025 🛑
📈 Strong Bounce – But Watch This Supply Zone!
US30 ripped from the 36,700s all the way back above 41,000 🔥 — but now we’re seeing price stall just under a major resistance zone at 41,200–41,300. Bulls have full control for now, but signs of exhaustion are building 🥵.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔹 Price holding above 40,700 (key support)
🔹 41,200–41,300 = local resistance zone
🔹 42,359 = next major upside target 🎯
🔹 EMAs still bullish but starting to curve → 🌀 possible slowdown?
⚠️ Expect a squeeze or rejection play soon — market is winding up for the next breakout or pullback 💣.
🎯 Trade Plan:
🟰 Current range = 40,700 – 41,300
🔻 Lose 40,700 = retrace likely to 39,775, possibly 39,200
🚀 Break + close above 41,300 = upside open toward 42,359–42,787
🧠 Mindset Reminder:
🔁 Don’t chase highs! Wait for clean structure or rejection
⚡ When EMAs compress, expect volatility to explode
💎 Patience + plan = edge
Oil on high time frame
"Regarding WTI oil, the price trend on high time frames is bearish, especially on the daily chart. After completing its pullback on the 4-hour chart, there are indications of further downside potential.
The market's volatility may be influenced by geopolitical tensions and political factors between Iran and the USA, as well as tariff issues. Despite these fluctuations, candle formations suggest the potential for prices to drop towards the $58 zone."
If you require more assistance or have any specific questions, feel free to ask!
Technical Breakdown on Gold Spot / USD (XAU/USD) | 1H TimeframeTechnical Breakdown on Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 1H Chart using Volume Profile, Gann, and CVD + ADX
1. Key Observations (Volume, Gann & CVD + ADX Focused)
a) Volume Profile Insights:
Value Area High (VAH): 3,312
Value Area Low (VAL): 3,230
Point of Control (POC):
High-Volume Nodes: Dense cluster near 3,229–3,250 and again around 3,312
Low-Volume Gaps: Noticeable void between 3,260 – 3,290, suggesting possible fast movement zone
b) Liquidity Zones:
Liquidity Pools:
Order Absorption:
c) Volume-Based Swing Highs/Lows:
Swing High (Volume Spike): 3,312 – area of rejection with reduced follow-through
Swing Low (Reversal Support): 3,230 – heavy volume absorption followed by rally
d) CVD + ADX Indicator Analysis:
Trend Direction: Currently shifting bullish after a prolonged downtrend
ADX Strength: ADX > 20 with DI+ > DI- (early bullish momentum building)
CVD Confirmation:
2. Support & Resistance Levels
a) Volume-Based Levels:
Support:
Resistance:
b) Gann-Based Levels:
Swing Low: 3,230
Retracement Levels:
3. Chart Patterns & Market Structure
a) Trend: Turning bullish (CVD rising, ADX > 20, price forming HLs)
b) Notable Patterns:
Reversal Base formed near 3,230 with upward breakout
Forming ascending channel – prices respecting the lower boundary support
Retest of breakout zone (POC + lower trendline) acting as potential launchpad
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
a) Bullish Entry (CVD + ADX confirm uptrend):
Entry Zone: 3,240–3,250 (near lower trendline + POC retest)
Targets:
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,225 (below POC + swing low)
RR: Approx. 1:2.5
b) Bearish Entry (Only if trend reversal confirmed):
Entry Zone: Below 3,225 (loss of POC/VAL with CVD breakdown)
Target: T1: 3,200 (psychological + historical support zone)
Stop-Loss (SL): 3,255 (back above POC)
RR: Approx. 1:2
c) Position Sizing:
Use 1–2% capital per trade to manage downside risk
Gold Price Analysis – XAU/USD 4H Chart | Supply Zone Rejection +Gold is currently trading at $3,259, showing signs of rejection from a major supply zone around $3,271 - $3,259, highlighted by LuxAlgo's Visible Range. The price tapped into the high-volume area and faced rejection, signaling potential downside.
Key Levels:
Resistance (Supply Zone): $3,259 – $3,271
Current Price: $3,259
First Support: $3,200 – price previously reacted here.
Second Support: $2,998 – a significant former resistance turned support.
Major Demand Zone: $2,576 – strong institutional buying area.
Bearish Bias If:
Price fails to reclaim the $3,259-$3,271 zone.
Break and close below $3,200 could trigger a move toward $2,998.
Momentum below $2,998 opens a path toward $2,576, especially if macroeconomic data favors USD strength.
Watch For:
Reaction near $3,200 (potential bounce or continuation).
NFP or major U.S. economic data (highlighted on the chart) that could spike volatility.
Trade Idea: Short-term traders may look for short opportunities if the current supply zone holds. Confirmation would be a bearish candlestick close below $3,200.
Risk Management:
Use tight stops above $3,271 to limit exposure. Monitor macro events closely.
---
What do you think – will Gold hold the $3,200 support or break lower? Drop your analysis below!
#Gold #XAUUSD #PriceAction #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis #LuxAlgo #Forex #Commodities #TradingStrategy #ChartAnalysis
Trump's latest tariff announcement weakens the dollar🔔🔔🔔 USD/CHF news:
➡️ US President Donald Trump on Sunday announced a 100% tax on films produced outside the country. A move to reimpose tariffs by President D. Trump. This move, once again raised concerns about the Trump administration's tariff policy. At the same time, the uncertain context of potential trade agreements between the United States and its trading partners has not been completed, causing the USD bulls to decrease. The US dollar fell again amid trade uncertainty and repositioning before the Fed.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The trade agreements are still uncertain and it is positive only at the level of cooling down between the parties involved, causing the USD to decrease.
➡️ Analysis based on important support resistance and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell USD/CHF 0.8256 - 0.8270
❌SL: 0.8296 | ✅TP: 0.8200
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
US 10Y TREASURY: rollercoaster, againMarket movements in a previous period are clearly showing how high uncertainty is currently among market participants. The US Treasuries for one more time took the downtrend during the previous week, clearly testing the 4,2% level with 10Y US benchmark, but Fridays better than expected jobs report, was a trigger for a move back toward the higher grounds. The lowest weekly level of 10Y yields was 4,13% on Thursday, however, the rest of the trading week the market was looking at the upside. The strong move up, brought the 10Y yields toward the level of 4,30% where yields have closed the trading week.
The volatility might continue also during the week ahead. The FOMC meeting is scheduled for May 6-7th, while on Wednesday will be the interest rate decision day, and also Fed Chair Powell's address to the public. As per current market expectations, as posted by the CME Group FedWatch Tool, the Fed could leave interest rates unchanged at this meeting, considering stronger than expected jobs data posted during this week. In addition, the market is expecting that the Fed will not change interest rates until their meeting in July. At the same time, analysts are noting that it is too early to see the reflection of trade tariffs in real economy, concretely in jobs data, in which sense, they are taking precaution with current strong jobs data. In this sense, the Fed Chair Powell's speech, after the FOMC meeting will be closely watched by markets, for a standing of Fed on the current state of the US economy as well as their view on tariffs repercussions in the future period.