Get started

Trend Analysis

BTC is in a macro-uptrend but undergoing a healthy correction Structure: BTC recently broke out from a local ascending wedge and is now pulling back toward support. Current Price: ~$115,250 (at time of chart). Day Support: ~117,000 (currently lost). Next Key Support: ~109,244 (marked as WEEK RESIST, now potentially flipping to support). Upside Target: 123,000 zone remains a key resistance, and aligns with projected measured move from wedge. RSI: Just broke downward from overbought (divergence present). Currently ~59. A bearish signal in short-term momentum. Williams %R: Deep in oversold, suggesting short-term bounce potential, but may be early. 200 SMA (blue): Holding well below current price — long-term uptrend remains intact. Forecast Scenarios: Base Case: BTC pulls back to 111K–109K, forms support, and continues the uptrend toward 123K. Bullish Alt : If macro surprises (e.g., ETH ETF approval or FOMC dovish pivot), BTC reclaims 117K swiftly and rallies straight to 131K. Bearish Risk: Break below 109K support, leading to retest of 98K (200 SMA area).
Short
by lesnermj
ETHUSD – Long Setup Activated | VolanX Protocol AlertEthereum (ETHUSD) is displaying strong bullish intent after reclaiming the VolanX Alert Line (~$3,659). Price action is forming higher lows with BOS (Break of Structure) signals, indicating that smart money is accumulating before a potential continuation rally toward the premium zones. Key Levels & Zones: Entry Zone: $3,660 – $3,680 (retest of equilibrium/alert line) Target 1: $3,767 (weak high zone) Target 2: $3,875 (premium zone) Target 3: $4,000+ (extended bullish target) Invalidation: Close below $3,620 (discount zone breach) Rationale: CHoCH → BOS → Retest Pattern: Multiple change-of-character moves followed by a BOS above $3,705 signal bullish market structure. Liquidity Hunt Completed: Price swept the $3,540 discount zone and rebounded sharply, confirming smart money entry. OPEX Volatility Catalyst: With options expiration tomorrow, volatility could drive ETH toward key liquidity zones. Favoring long bias as buy-side liquidity builds above $3,750. Volume Surge: Breakout volume on 15m and 1H charts suggests institutional participation. Trade Plan: Long Entry: On a successful retest of $3,660–$3,680 zone with strong bullish candle confirmation. Stop-Loss: Below $3,620 (structure invalidation). Targets: Scale out at 3,767 → 3,875 → trail above $3,900. Risk-Reward: ~1:3 or better, depending on execution and trailing strategy. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade responsibly and use proper risk management.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Gold is under pressure, shorts aim at 3310Gold is under pressure, shorts aim at 3310 Gold technical analysis and trading strategy: key support faces test, weak rebound, beware of breakout risk Fundamental driving factors The stabilization of the US dollar index suppresses gold prices: recent US economic data (such as retail sales, initial jobless claims) show resilience, the market's expectations for the Fed's rate cuts have been postponed, and US Treasury yields have rebounded, weakening the attractiveness of interest-free assets such as gold. Risk aversion cools down: The situation in the Middle East has not escalated yet, and the rebound in US stocks has weakened the safe-haven demand for gold. Fund flow: ETF holdings data show that institutional investors have continued to reduce their holdings of gold recently, reflecting that market sentiment is cautious. Key technical signals 1. 4-hour cycle: oscillating bearish structure Clear suppression: The overnight rebound high of 3375 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement level) constitutes a short-term strong and weak boundary, and the price has failed to stand firm here, indicating that bullish momentum is insufficient. Support overlap: The 3340-35 area is the resonance area of the 4-hour trend line support and the Fibonacci downward target (3335-40). If it is lost, the downward space will be opened to 3320-3300. Indicator divergence: The MACD histogram is shrinking and the fast and slow lines are close to the zero axis, and the RSI is hovering below 50, suggesting that the rebound momentum is exhausted. 2. 1-hour cycle: short-term technical structure is formed Descending channel: Thursday's high of 3395 and the current high of 3377 form a secondary high point. Connecting the low point of the hourly chart can draw a descending channel, and the price runs along the lower track of the channel. Key watershed: 3350 (61.8% retracement level) is a short-term long and short battle point. After breaking it, it will accelerate the test of 3340-35. Today's trading strategy Direction: Rebound high and empty mainly, and follow up after breaking the support. Entry: Aggressive short order: 3368-3373 light position short test, stop loss above 3380, target 3345-3340. Steady short order: If the price rebounds to 3375-3380 under pressure, add short position, stop loss 3385, target unchanged. Take profit and risk control: Partial reduction of position near the first target 3340, the remaining position observes the support strength of 3340-35. If it quickly breaks below 3340, short can be chased to 3325-3320 (previous low of daily line). Alternative plan: If the price unexpectedly breaks through 3380 and stabilizes, short position needs to be exited, wait and see the 3390-3400 pressure zone and then choose the opportunity to layout. Key Tips Don’t blindly buy the bottom: The current technical structure has not shown a bottom signal. Although the 3340-35 area is support, if it is accompanied by a large negative line break, it may trigger long stop-loss orders. Data risk: Pay attention to the US PMI data in the evening. If it is stronger than expected, it may strengthen the dollar to suppress gold prices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Crypto_Sniper_btc
Gold is weak. Beware of lows.On Thursday, the dollar index ended a four-day losing streak thanks to the progress of the fund between the United States and its trading partners. As signs of easing global trade tensions curbed demand for safe-haven assets, gold fell for the second consecutive trading day, and yesterday it hit the 3350 bottom support level. From the 4-hour chart although it rebounded to the 3370-3380 range after hitting 3350. But it can be found that the current rebound is actually weak, and it is still maintained at 3360-70 for rectification. At present, the bottom of the 4-hour bottom is absolutely supported at 3340-3335. The rebound high is around 3375. As of now, gold has not rebounded above 3375, and gold is actually in a weak position. Secondly, from the hourly chart, the weakness is even more obvious. The high point on Thursday was around 3395. Today's current high point is around 3375. It can be seen that if the bottom falls below the 618 position 3350 again, it will directly touch around 3335. It coincides with the target position of 3340-3335 in the previous 4-hour chart. Therefore, it is not possible to buy the bottom and go long today. Be alert to the possibility of further touching 3340-3335.
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
BTC - shake out!BTC Correction 📉 After observing the recent price action, it now seems clear that the inevitable correction is taking the stage. I revisited the chart and drew potential bullish trendlines for a bull pennant on the 12h timeframe, but even those appear to be breaking down, confirming that we're currently experiencing a clear shakeout/correction. I'm now expecting at least a full fill of the CME gap, and potentially even a drop toward $112,000. Keep in mind that the CME price often lags behind spot prices on other exchanges, so in order to properly fill the gap down to $114,000 , a dip toward the $112,000 zone remains a very realistic scenario. Take note that a lot of new retail investors are coming in recently by all the sounds of a ‘’possible altseason’’ around the corner, especially during the summer holidays when they have more time on their hands to look deeper into this. all this in combination with a lot of long positions around and beneath the price range of 114k and 116k I expect a shake out and liquidity grab. The only bullish short-term possibility that remains would be if this turns out to be a massive fakeout from the pennant structure, but I find that unlikely. Personally, I’m watching for signs of a bottom sometime next week before looking for new upward momentum. The BTC.D began a dive towards 60%, still: BTC remains dominant, which strongly impacts altcoins. That’s why I’m currently staying cautious and holding off on entering new trades till we see clear support. Let’s reach the summit together! 📝 Note I'm currently building a portfolio of crypto analyses here on TradingView. Your feedback, tips, or validation are greatly appreciated, especially as I continue developing this skill further!
Short
by PeakTrades94
XRP/BTC – Channel Midline in Play The XRP/BTC pair trade inside a multi-year channel, with price currently testing the midline of this structure — a pivotal level that could define the next macro leg. If bulls manage to break the midline to the upside and successfully retest it as support, the upper boundary of the channel becomes the next major target. 🔼 Upside Scenario: A confirmed breakout above the midline would signal structural strength and likely lead to a rally toward the upper channel resistance. If this move aligns with BTC dominance dropping below the 60% threshold, we could see a full-blown altseason emerge. Under such conditions, historical XRP/BTC behavior suggests that XRP/USD could reach $12–$24. 🔽 Downside Risk: Losing the mid-channel from here would weaken the structure and invalidate the breakout thesis. In that case, XRP/BTC would likely rotate back toward range lows, and a defensive strategy is warranted. Macro Implication: The 60% BTC Dominance level remains critical. A clean breakdown below it historically marks the beginning of altseason, where high-beta plays like XRP against BTC have outperformed. XRP’s current posture within the channel reflects this high-stakes moment.
by Katri01
Gold Bounces Back After Testing Key Support📊 Market Drivers • Gold dropped to around $3,352, touching a key support zone, then quickly rebounded to $3,373, gaining over +20 points. • The rebound is supported by continued weakness in the US Dollar and slight easing in Treasury yields, keeping gold attractive as a safe haven. • Although some optimism around US-Japan trade negotiations slightly reduced risk aversion, it wasn’t enough to push gold below support. 📉 Technical Analysis • Key Resistance: o $3,397 – $3,400: psychological resistance and near the next bullish breakout zone. o If breached, next target lies around $3,420–3,445. • Nearest Support: o $3,356 – $3,364: recently confirmed support zone that triggered the current rebound. o Deeper support at $3,326 – $3,320 if the rebound fails. • EMA (EMA50): o Price remains above the 50-period EMA, indicating bullish momentum in the short term. • Patterns & Momentum: o Market structure shows a "rising low" pattern — a bullish signal that buyers are stepping in at higher levels. o RSI was briefly in oversold territory and now supports a recovery bounce. o If $3,356 holds, the upside targets remain valid toward $3,397 → $3,439. 📌 Assessment • Gold has confirmed strong support at $3,356–3,364, with the rebound from $3,352 as proof. • Short-term uptrend remains intact, unless the USD strengthens sharply or unexpected macro news hits. • If gold breaks below $3,356, it may retrace toward $3,326–3,320, but the upside potential is currently favored. 💡 Suggested Trade Setups BUY XAU/USD: $3,356–3,364 🎯 Take Profit: 40/80/200 pips ❌ Stop Loss: $3,346 SELL XAU/USD: $3,397–3,400 🎯 Take Profit: 40/80/200 pips ❌ Stop Loss: $3,407
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
BTC/USD – 4H Technical and Fundamental AnalysisBTC/USD – 4H Technical and Fundamental Analysis BTC/USD saw sharp downside pressure today, driven by a wave of long position liquidations—exceeding $800 million across the crypto market in the past 24 hours. The sudden shift triggered panic selling, dragging Bitcoin below its psychological and technical support near $116,000. Broader crypto market sentiment turned risk-off as large investors reduced exposure, accelerating the sell-off. Fundamentally, the market remains cautious amid a lack of positive macroeconomic catalysts for risk assets. Speculation about stricter U.S. regulatory oversight and declining inflows into crypto ETFs also dampened sentiment. Combined with hawkish remarks from Fed officials, which keep interest rates elevated, appetite for high-risk assets like Bitcoin weakened further. From a technical perspective, BTC/USD broke below the major support level of $116,000, confirming bearish pressure. This breakdown followed a period of consolidation, with price failing to maintain bullish momentum. A liquidity hunt appears to be underway, with price revisiting the zone to trap breakout traders before resuming its move. We are now watching for a confirmed 4H candle close below the liquidity zone. Once confirmed, a short setup is validated, with targets aligned with the next key support zone. 📍 Sell Setup Entry: Sell Limit at 115,980.00 Stop Loss: 117,985.00 Take Profit: 111,940.00 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by RebornFXTrader
GBPUSD Q3 | D25 | W30 | Y25 FUN COUPON FRIDAYGBPUSD Q3 | D25 | W30 | Y25 Daily Forecast🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FRGNT FX:GBPUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?USD/CAD is rising towards the resistance level, which serves as a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take-profit target. Entry: 1.3673 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 1.3729 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 1.3583 Why we like it: There is a swing low support. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Elliott Wave Analysis – XAUUSD July 25, 2025📊 ________________________________________ 🔍 Momentum Analysis • D1 Timeframe: Momentum is declining. Based on the current pace, it’s likely that only 1–2 more daily candles are needed before momentum enters the oversold zone → suggesting one more potential downward leg. • H4 Timeframe: Momentum is about to turn bearish, indicating we might see a sideways movement or a slight drop in the short term. • H1 Timeframe: Momentum is currently falling. By the end of the current H1 candle, momentum will likely enter the oversold zone → potential for a bullish reversal soon. ________________________________________ 🌀 Elliott Wave Structure • A clear 5-wave Wave A has already formed with no irregular patterns, so I’m expecting Wave B (black) to unfold as a 3-wave structure. • Within this black Wave B, price is now developing Wave B (blue), meaning Wave A (blue) has already completed. Looking at the lower timeframe, I can identify a 5-wave structure → suggesting a zigzag correction in the form of 5-3-5 for black Wave B. • Target for Wave B (blue): The 3360 area – this is a support level and also aligns with Fibonacci confluence, making it a strong candidate for the end of Wave B (blue) and a potential reversal zone. • If price respects the 3360 level, then projected targets for Wave C (blue) would be around 3386 or 3402. • However, if price breaks below 3351, the current wave count becomes invalid. In that case, we will shift to an alternate scenario and look for a buy opportunity near the lower edge of the triangle (c)-(e) and other confluence support zones. ________________________________________ 🔄 Combining Momentum & Wave Structure • D1 momentum shows weakening in this downward move, and the lower boundary of the triangle (c)-(e) is a prime area to look for the end of Wave e. • Ideally, we want to see: o A short-term bounce upward aligning with H1 momentum reversal to complete Wave C (blue). o Then a confluence with H4 momentum turning bearish, indicating possible trend continuation or reversal. ________________________________________ 📌 Trade Plan • For experienced traders: Watch closely around 3385 and 3401 for reversal signals to enter Sell positions. • For beginners, I recommend the following limit setup: o SELL ZONE: 3399 – 3402 o SL: 3501 o TP1: 3374 o TP2: 3351
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WavePoint_FX
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 25, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / CBOE:SPX Scenarios for July 25, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market‑Moving News 🌍 🏔️ Copper Market Flashpoint Following President Trump’s announcement of steep copper tariffs (15–50% range), U.S. copper futures surged, then sharply reversed. Inventory arbitrage between CME and LME markets surged, distorting pricing dynamics and triggering concern over metal market stability. 🇪🇺 EU–China Summit Signals Trade Reset EU leaders concluded their 25th summit with China, fostering deeper economic and strategic ties. Observers expect follow-up on mutual trade agreements, particularly regarding tech and sustainability sectors. 🌍 EM Equity Rally Consolidates Gains Emerging markets continue to outperform global equities in 2025—with MSCI EM up ~18% vs. S&P 500. Analysts highlight strong opportunities in AI/fintech stocks in China and Latin America, suggesting further rotations out of U.S. markets. 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Friday, July 25: 8:30 AM ET – Durable Goods Orders (June): Forecast shows a sharp drop (~–10%), following a ~16% gain in May—signaling possible cooling in business-related equipment purchases. 10:00 AM ET – U.S. Imports of Steel Products (June): Trade-data release monitoring steel flows amid evolving tariff frameworks. All Day – Corporate Earnings Reports: Companies such as First Financial Bancorp (FFBC), HCA, AON, Charter, and others report earnings. Outlooks may influence small- to mid-cap sentiment. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This report is for educational and informational purposes only—not financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #data #earnings #commodities #EM #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
Gold price analysis July 25Gold Analysis – D1 Uptrend Still Maintains, But Needs New Momentum Yesterday’s trading session recorded a D1 candle closing above the Breakout 3363 zone, indicating that buying power in the US session is still dominant. This implies that the uptrend is still being maintained, although the market may need a short-term technical correction. In today’s Tokyo and London sessions, there is a possibility of liquidity sweeps to the support zone below before Gold recovers and increases again in the New York session. Important to note: The uptrend will only be broken if Gold closes below the 3345 zone on the D1 chart. In this case, the 3320 level will be the next support zone to observe the price reaction and consider buying points. For the bullish wave to continue expanding towards the historical peak (ATH) at 3500, the market needs stronger supporting factors, which can come from economic data or geopolitical developments. 📌 Support zone: 3345 – 3320 📌 Resistance zone: 3373 – 3418 🎯 Potential buy zone: 3345 (prioritize price reaction in this zone) 3320 (in case of breaking through 3345) 🎯 Target: 3417
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader