USOIL is ready to push againNo comment needed. All information is in the chart analysis.
Steps to follow:
Analyze yourself.
Take the position with SL and Take Profits.
Wait, it may take a couple of days, so take a break and step away from the screen from time to time, just like I do :)
Get the result.
I will update the trade every day.
Like, comment with your good mood or viewpoint, share with your circle. It’s together that we get stronger!
Good trades, Traders!
The golden bear
Trend Analysis
Baba waking up after 3 years accumuationMonthly
VRVP indicate huge multiyear volume accumulation
Need to close monthly May candle above last month's high
Weekly
Expecting green continuation candles (good thing that each weekly candle is making a higher high each) as low is probably in with that weekly reversal candle and volume spike
Medium term target 200
300 in the cards along with monthly target RSI 70, but let's see if it goes through 200 without any major reversal candle
Will coffee still be affordable in the upcoming months?Huge demand on the way up and very little interest to sell at the current highs. A bullish flag has been formed and in my opinion would be a great place to put a bet on taking also in consideration a support zone as confluence too and then add to the position once breakout occurs at the top. In Brazil since September the consumer is already feeling the prices in their pockets with an increase of almost 50% on the price of the coffee.
Bitcoin Dominance TO 52% with in 7 to 14 days Bitcoin dominance has recently experienced a significant upward trend, reaching 64.96% on the daily timeframe. This surge highlights Bitcoin’s growing strength 💪 relative to the broader cryptocurrency market. Currently, dominance is approaching a key resistance level at 65.79% 📈, which is considered a potential reversal zone 🔄.
🧠 Technical Overview
A closer look 🔍 at the recent momentum in Bitcoin dominance reveals signs of a maturing uptrend 📶. As the indicator nears historically significant resistance levels, the probability of a downward correction 📉 increases. Based on time-based analysis ⏱, signs of a pullback are expected to emerge within the next 7 to 14 days 📆 from the point of touching or nearing the 65.79% level.
🎯 Potential Correction Targets
If the anticipated reversal materializes, the correction targets are as follows:
First Target: A retracement to the 60% level, which has acted as prior support 🛑 and could temporarily halt further declines.
Second Target (deeper correction): A move down to 52%, a strategic support level 🧱 that could pave the way for altcoins 🚀 to outperform.
BTC breaks out - Can it sustain the bullish momentum?Over the past week, Bitcoin (BTC) has shown notable strength, forming an ascending triangle pattern, a typically bullish structure that often resolves to the upside. True to form, BTC has now broken out above the triangle's resistance, pushing higher with strong momentum.
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Price target ascending triangle
This breakout sets a technical price target above $98,000, suggesting there’s still significant upside potential if the pattern plays out fully. However, the rally is now approaching a critical test.
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Golden Pocket + POC
BTC is currently moving into a zone of strong resistance, both the Golden Pocket Fibonacci retracement level and the Point of Control (POC) from recent months converge in this area. These technical levels often act as magnets for price and can serve as significant barriers, potentially leading to a pullback or consolidation.
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Stochastic RSI
Adding to the caution, the daily Stochastic RSI remains in overbought territory, where it has lingered for an extended period. While this doesn’t guarantee an immediate reversal, it does suggest that a corrective move could be on the horizon.
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Conclusion
Still, there's a chance BTC could first push toward the psychologically significant $100K level before any major retracement occurs. Traders should keep a close eye on how BTC behaves around this key resistance area, confirmation or rejection here will likely shape the next major move.
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move below 3273-3270 zone and wait for reaction from US NF news🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ Gold prices are holding modest gains heading into the European session, though bullish conviction remains lacking, and the metal continues to trade below the key $3,265–$3,2703 support-turned-resistance zone. Meanwhile, the US dollar has come under some selling pressure, snapping a three-day winning streak after hitting a three-week high.
➡️ A mix of factors is discouraging traders from making aggressive bullish bets, thereby capping further upside in the precious metal. Investors remain hopeful for easing trade tensions between the United States and China—the world’s two largest economies. This optimism supports a broader risk-on sentiment, which in turn undermines demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The 3265–3273 zone is a strong resistance zone for gold. A break above this zone would mean the end of the short-term downtrend and vice versa. Therefore, buyers and sellers will be aggressive to secure this zone. Today's US NF news will be a strong driving force for gold prices before the tariff information appears and covers the market.
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3202- 3205
❌SL: 3198 | ✅TP: 3210 - 3215 – 3220
👉Sell Gold 3270 - 3272
❌SL: 3276 | ✅TP: 3266 - 3261 – 3255
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
USDJPY Long PositionUSDJPY pair is currently positioned at a key support zone, where price action has historically reversed direction. Following a recent rebound from this level, the pair retested the support area. Given the broader uptrend structure (characterized by higher highs and higher lows), this retest presents a potential opportunity to enter long positions, contingent on bullish confirmation at this critical juncture.
Key Observations:
Established Uptrend: The pair’s consistent upward trajectory on higher time frames supports a bullish bias.
Support Retest: The current pullback to the support zone aligns with typical price behavior in trending markets, where retests of prior levels often precede trend resumptions, but a decisive close below the support would invalidate the bullish setup, potentially signaling a trend reversal or deeper correction.
Risk Management Strategy: A prudent approach would involve placing a stop-loss below the support zone to protect against a breakdown, while targeting the next resistance level for profit-taking.
Final Assessment:
The setup aligns with bullish momentum, provided the support holds.
Analysis and Layout of Gold at the Opening of the Market!The underlying logic behind the current price movements of gold has changed. Previously, the main factor driving the sharp increase and subsequent decline of gold prices around $3,500 was the tariff war. Currently, the situation has gradually shifted from tension to relaxation, and the latest news indicates that both sides are attempting to make contact in preparation for the next round of negotiations.
Attention should now be focused on the Federal Reserve. Previously, Trump asked the Fed to cut interest rates to mitigate the economic impact of the tariff war. Powell's resistance led to Trump considering replacing the Fed chair. The better - than - expected non - farm payrolls data on Friday implies that the Fed's interest rate cut will be postponed, which is bearish for the gold market. Therefore, gold prices are likely to decline further in the early next week.
On the other hand, since the global - largest gold ETF significantly reduced its positions after gold prices peaked at $3,500 on April 22nd, it has continued to reduce its positions slightly without any significant addition of positions. This, to some extent, suggests that gold prices may further decline.
If your current gold trading performance is not satisfactory and you hope to avoid detours in your investment, you are welcome to communicate and exchange ideas with us!
AUDNZD Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
On the AUDNZD currency pair chart, we are witnessing the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern. These waves from 1 to 5 are quite clear and we can even count its sub-waves. Now a 5-wave pattern has formed, with wave C completed by a range.
Wave 5 of wave C is a contracting triangle.
Now the upper trend line of this triangle has been broken and pulled back.
So we expect the price to grow. Any situation may arise.
The first target is also the 1.08400 range.
The stop loss is also considered the 1.06500 range.
Good luck and be profitable.
Did They Buy the Bottom? EUR/USD Set for Another Reversal!After an explosive bounce from the 1.0800–1.0850 demand zone, EUR/USD is now in a key structural retest around 1.1300. The COT data shows a net increase in long positions by Non-Commercials, but with the Dollar still holding structural strength in its own COT report and an RSI showing bearish divergence, this area may act as a key zone for price discovery.
📊 WHAT THE DATA SAYS:
📉 Price Action: Clear rejection from the 1.1450–1.1550 supply zone. Retest at key structure near 1.1300.
📑 COT (EURO): Net long positions up by +183 (196,388 long vs 120,591 short) = bullish tone.
📑 COT (USD): Still balanced, but Non-Commercials are reducing net longs → potential weakening.
📊 Retail Sentiment (MyFXBook): 70% retail traders are short = contrarian long bias remains.
🌱 Seasonality (May): Historically negative for EUR/USD (–0.0088) = potential downside pressure ahead.
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.1450 / 1.1550 (Supply Zone)
Support: 1.1300 (Structural retest) — 1.0850 (Strong demand)
📉 BASE SCENARIO: Pullback toward 1.1100–1.1050 before renewed long accumulation.
📈 ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO: Break above 1.1450 could target 1.1600–1.1720 zone.
🔍 Watch out for May's seasonal inversion and extreme speculative positioning — fakeouts may precede real directional moves.
ADA - Ready for Launch? Helllooo and welcome!! - Look at this
This is a 4H SVP chart for Cardano,
The price is currently around $0.7078, and the recent structure shows a consolidation phase. The POCs (Point of Control) are clustering between $0.70 and $0.71, which means this is where the most trading volume is happening – a fair value area. Price is being accepted here.
We also see that in the past few sessions, VAH (Value Area High) and VAL (Value Area Low) are narrowing, suggesting reduced volatility and possibly a squeeze building up. The session from April 30th had a deep sell-off, but buyers responded well, and the price recovered quickly above VAL. This is a sign of demand stepping in at lower prices.
However, unless the price breaks above $0.715 (recent VAH zone) with strong volume, we might stay range-bound. If price falls below $0.695, it could slide to lower value zones near $0.685–$0.675
However my doodle is suggesting a move like this as mentioned. Invalid if touches the pink, first touches the cyan box, Purple shows the last place for all buys if it wrecks, what you want is breaking the orange!
Gold Long Setup - Manipulation Before AccumulationAfter an exceptional rally towards the highs, Gold will be retracing to retest the order blocks, trendline and sweep liquidity of the local lows. I will be looking at longing Gold at 3133 area upon internal liquidity sweep, trendline and order block retest.
Entry: 3133
Target: 3500
Stoploss: 2953
BTCUSDT – Small Bullish Setup Forming Above Key SupportBitcoin is currently holding above a strong support zone marked by a Break of Structure (BOS). After a healthy retracement, price is respecting this demand area and may be setting up for a move higher.
✅ Support Zone Holding (Purple Box)
🔁 Retest of Breakout Level (BOS)
📈 Potential Move to $97,950+ if momentum continues
Short-term bulls may look for confirmation signals around the support zone. Keep an eye on price action in the next few candles!
#BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #CryptoSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #SupportZone #BreakOfStructure #TradingPlan
15-minute gold time frame analysis
To start the market structure, the 15-minute market is currently bearish, but to start an upward movement, it can be expected to reach the order block 3259-3263 and then continue towards the support area 3220-3210 and from this area it will rise towards the liquidity of the dynamic line of the 1 and 4-hour time frames. If the initial market rise closes above 3264, any lower market pullback is considered an upward trend.
Netflix price correction will continueBased on the 2-month Cash Data chart, it is quite clear that the diametric pattern is completing.
Considering that the diametric wave-(B) has taken a lot of complexity and time, it seems that the wave-(F) is not completed and has little complexity and time, so we considered two scenarios for the wave-(F):
Scenario 1
Considering that after the wave-(E) there was a rapid downward movement, the wave-(F) will become an irregular contracting triangle, then the wave-(G) will start and grow
Scenario 2
The wave-(F) can turn into a flat pattern with a strong wave-b. In this type of flat, usually the wave-c cannot retrace the entire wave-b, as a result, the wave-c of this type of flat pattern can turn into a terminal pattern, and then the diametric wave-(G) of a higher degree will start.
BTC/USD) Trend channel analysis setup Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. It showcases a potential breakout continuation vs. pullback scenario, depending on how price reacts around a key short-term resistance area.
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Key Observations:
1. Current Price:
$93,754 — Price is consolidating just below a local high.
2. Support and Resistance Zones:
Support BOS (Break of Structure): Around the $87,351 level, highlighted in yellow.
Upper Target Zone: $98,954–$98,983
200 EMA: Near $86,926, offering dynamic support.
3. Two Possible Scenarios:
A. Bullish Continuation:
If the price holds above the immediate structure and breaks out of the short-term consolidation near the top:
It may surge toward the upper target zone ($98,983).
This aligns with the ascending channel and continuation pattern.
B. Bearish Pullback:
If the price fails to sustain above the resistance area:
A correction down to the support BOS zone (~$87,351) is likely.
This pullback may be temporary, potentially offering a re-entry zone for bulls.
4. RSI Analysis (Bottom of Chart):
RSI is showing signs of bearish divergence (price making higher highs while RSI makes lower highs).
This suggests momentum is weakening, and a short-term pullback could occur.
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Trade Ideas:
Long Setup (Breakout):
Entry: Above recent high (~$94,500).
Target: ~$98,950
Stop Loss: Below ~$92,000
Short Setup (Rejection):
Entry: Rejection near ~$94,000–$94,500
Target: ~$87,350
Stop Loss: Above ~$94,800
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
This analysis reflects a critical decision point for BTC/USD. Price is nearing a local high with RSI divergence suggesting a pullback may come first — but if buyers remain strong and break resistance, a continuation toward GETTEX:98K is likely. Wait for confirmation of direction before entering.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
USD/JPY) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY chart shows a bullish reversal setup. Here’s a breakdown behind the analysis:
1. Downtrend & Channel Breakout:
Price was trending downward within a descending channel (marked “channel trend”).
Recently, the price broke out of the channel, signaling a potential trend reversal.
2. Demand Zone (Diamond Zone):
The yellow box labeled “Diamond Zone” represents a demand/support zone where price previously found buyers.
A retest of this zone is expected before the bullish move.
3. EMA (200):
The EMA (200) is currently above the price but close. A break above this level (142.522) could add to bullish momentum.
4. RSI Indicator:
RSI is showing a bounce off a mid-level (~50), suggesting bullish momentum is gaining.
5. Target Level:
The analysis targets 147.838, which aligns with a prior resistance zone.
The move projects a 5.19% gain (~778.5 pips) from the current setup.
Trading Idea Summary:
Entry: Around the “Diamond Zone” after a successful retest.
Confirmation: Watch for bullish candlestick patterns or a break above EMA 200.
Target: 147.838
Stop Loss (implied): Below the Diamond Zone (~140.000)
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
EUR/USD – Bearish Rejection from FVG🔻 EUR/USD – Bearish Rejection from FVG
Price broke market structure to the downside and is now retesting the FVG (1.13195–1.13088). If it holds, we expect rejection and continuation lower to 1.12655.
🎯 Target: 1.12655
🛑 SL: Above 1.13300
🔁 RR ≈ 1:2.5
Confluence with rising DXY adds strength to the bearish bias.