GOLD Technical Analysis - Deeper Pullback in PlayOANDA:XAUUSD remains within a broader ascending channel, but recent price action suggests that the market is undergoing a deeper corrective phase. Following a prolonged bullish rally, price appears overextended and is now pulling back more decisively.
This correction aligns with expectations for a healthy retracement after such strong upward momentum. I anticipate that the pullback will extend further toward the $3,160 level, a key technical level defined by the confluence of horizontal support, ascending trendline support, and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the latest bullish impulse.
This zone will be critical for determining whether the broader bullish structure remains intact. If price holds at this level and shows signs of reversal, it may present a strong re-entry opportunity for buyers. However, a decisive break below this zone would invalidate the current bullish structure and open the door to a deeper correction.
Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
Trend Analysis
Where will EURUSD go next? 4hr1. Technical Analysis
• Bearish Structure Break
After a strong bullish impulse in March and early April, price formed a rising wedge pattern—typically a bearish continuation structure when it follows an uptrend. Price has now broken below the wedge support and is retesting the underside of the structure.
• Key Supply Zone (1.1377–1.1444)
Price failed to break through this resistance twice, forming a double top with strong wicks and rejection candles. That zone remains a key institutional supply area, reinforcing downside bias.
• Break and Retest Confirmation
The break of the ascending trendline and horizontal support near 1.1287 confirms a change in structure. Price is now retesting the area as resistance—textbook bearish price action.
• Target Zones
• TP1: 1.1204 – minor demand and previous support
• TP2: 1.1090 – high-probability demand zone and fib confluence
• TP3: 1.0938 – extended move to fill imbalance and hit key structure low
• Stop Loss
Place stop above 1.1377—the recent high and above wedge resistance—to maintain a good risk-to-reward ratio.
2. Fundamental Analysis
• ECB–Fed Divergence
Recent comments from the ECB suggest a potential rate cut in the near term as inflation cools across the Eurozone, while the Fed remains relatively hawkish due to persistent U.S. core inflation. This divergence supports USD strength.
• Weak Eurozone Data
Recent German and French PMI data came in under expectations, pointing to slowing growth. Meanwhile, the U.S. economy continues to show resilience—especially in labor and retail sales—boosting USD demand.
• Risk Sentiment
As global markets flirt with risk-off sentiment due to geopolitical tensions and slower growth forecasts, safe-haven demand increases—typically favoring the U.S. dollar over the euro.
Conclusion
EUR/USD is showing strong signs of a bearish reversal after rejecting a major supply zone and breaking below wedge and trendline support. With structure, momentum, and fundamentals aligned, a short setup targeting 1.1204 down to 1.0938 makes sense. Wait for continued rejection or bearish confirmation before entering.
BITCOIN 1st 1W MACD Bullish Cross in 7 months!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is ahead of completing this week a Bullish Cross on its 1W MACD, which will be the first one after 7 months (since October 14 2024).
This is a major technical bullish development as since the very first one (Sep 26 2022) right before the November 21 2022 Bear Cycle bottom, it has always kick-started the Bullish Legs of this 2.5-year Channel Up.
In addition to that, this was accompanied by an Ichimoku Bullish Cross, where the Conversion Line (green) crossed above the Base Line (black). Considering also that exactly 4 weeks ago BTC found Support and rebounded on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), we can safely confirm a Bottom there and call for the minimum +100.73% rise, similar to the first Bullish Leg of this Channel Up. We remain consistent to our $150000 Target.
So do you think this 1W MACD Bullish Cross is the final confirmation we need for the new Bullish Leg? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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US Stocks Pare Back All Tariff-Fueled Losses. Are We So Back?Remember “Liberation Day”? The one that felt more like Liquidation Day ? When markets tanked, tickers turned red, and you were afraid to check the markets on the next day? Well, turns out the rumors of the market’s demise were — once again — greatly exaggerated.
If the average recession 10 years ago lasted two years, this year’s recession was approximately 37 minutes (more or less, depending on the day).
Just a month ago, the S&P 500 SP:SPX started crumbling to the point it entered into correction territory (and then got out of correction territory ).
Long story short, it took the punches, went down 15%, stood back up, and is now throwing jabs with a nine-day winning streak — its longest since 2004, when iPods were still a thing and Facebook was just for Harvard students.
So… are we back? Like, really back? Let’s dig in.
💰 Trillions Lost, Trillions Found
On April 2, President Donald Trump dropped the hammer — or rather, the online post — unveiling his “reciprocal tariffs,” which, in true Trumpian fashion, sounded equal parts policy and promo PR.
Markets didn’t take it well. Global stocks collectively threw a tantrum. The S&P 500 dropped like it had a brick in its pocket . Financials cratered, energy took a gut punch, and tech? See for yourself — we don't want to talk about it .
But now? The dip buyers are shopping up, scooping up, snapping up everything from banks to oil stocks to beleaguered megacaps. Suddenly, all those stock discounts look like missed opportunities, and the cash-on-the-sidelines traders are jumping in.
👌 Jobs Data: Not Too Hot, Not Too Cold
Friday was a good day. Why? Because April’s nonfarm payrolls ECONOMICS:USNFP report came in at 177,000 jobs — not too strong to trigger Fed-tightening fears, not too weak to imply economic decay. It was the goldilocks print.
The number was a drop from March’s revised 185,000, but what mattered was the beat: economists had pencilled in just 135,000. Markets took that as permission to throw a party.
The S&P 500 jumped 1.5%, reclaiming the level it had before Trump’s tariff tirade and putting an emphatic end to the selloff. Nine green days in a row? That’s a bull flex Wall Street hasn’t seen in two decades.
💥 Truth Social Posts That Move Markets
Not to be left out of the celebration, Trump hopped onto Truth Social with his usual caps lock enthusiasm:
“THE FED SHOULD LOWER ITS RATE!!!”
Sounds familiar?
Still, even without a rate cut (for now), the market got what it wanted: signs that the US labor market isn’t collapsing, trade talks might be back on the table, and the economy hasn’t lost its way.
😌 A Global Sigh of Relief
While the US led the rally, global markets also joined the rebound chorus. China’s commerce ministry chimed in Friday, saying Washington had expressed a “desire to engage in discussions.” In market-speak, that translates to: "Everyone calm down — we might not blow this up after all."
It doesn’t take much to change sentiment. A tweet here, a headline there, a hint of diplomatic progress — suddenly risk appetite returns and everyone forgets they were panic-selling just three weeks ago.
But don’t go lining up the espresso martinis just yet — not everything is fully recovered. The US dollar, for example, remains nearly 4% below its pre-tariff-announcement level.
🤔 We Are So… Back?
So are we officially back? Short answer — “put the word out there that we back up” for now . Markets are up, volatility is down, and everyone’s pretending they didn’t sell the dip at the worst possible time.
But — and you knew there’d be a “but” — caution still applies. Trade tensions aren’t over. The next Trump post could shake things again. The Fed hasn’t made its next move (that’s coming this Wednesday). And geopolitics remains a powder keg.
Still, what this rebound tells us is clear: the market has resilience. Maybe not logic. Maybe not grace. But resilience? Yes.
It also reminds us that trying to time news-driven selloffs is a dangerous game. Often, the best trades happen when fear peaks and everyone else is running for the hills.
👉 Final Thoughts: Watch the Calendar, Not the Chaos
The key takeaway from this tariff-to-rally rollercoaster? Markets can move fast — but they can also recover faster. If you panicked, you probably sold low. If you stayed focused, checked the earnings calendar , and remembered that market narratives shift like wind direction, you're probably doing well right now.
We’re so back — for now. But stay sharp. This market may have nine lives, but it also has the attention span of a toddler.
Your move : Did you ride the dip? Buy the bounce? Or just mute the chaos and sip your coffee? Drop your best “Liberation Day to Redemption Rally” trade below.
Bitcoin Dominance - BTC.D - AltcoinsYears of struggle to be inside for a subseason that lasts a few weeks.
For some it's financial freedom, for others it's the cornerstone of a reset story.
We're talking about Bitcoin Dominance.
Few know just how powerful it has become.
The only thing that is real is bitcoin. By the time everyone realizes this, 99.99% of investors will have lost all their assets.
And we will all regret buying altcoins instead of bitcoin at the end of the day.
I think the most extreme peak for bitcoin dominance in the short term is 73%.
Dominance is going to have a rough ride before it crosses this target.
We will see an altcoin season that will give small investors a breather.
Then we'll break 73% with a disruptive bitcoin dominance.
Bitcoin will show everyone again who is the real boss.
Major Confluence Area for BTCBTC bulls have been very excitable recently but BTC has not yet done anything outside of a common bull trap norms.
The rally to 95K was perfectly inside the scope of a correction, see below idea;
Now we're into the biggest test area so far;
We have a possible butterfly (corrective pattern).
We have a possible 76 retracement (Corrective pattern)
We have a retest of the logical resistance (Corrective pattern).
If BTC is able to break through these this would be extremely positive. There's be no classical bear case to be made and failing funky bull traps this would likely develop into a good trend leg.
But if it's a bull trap, then this rally helps us to plan the downside levels (Which have not changed much).
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 146.90
1st Support: 142.06
1st Resistance: 150.92
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Lingrid | BTCUSDT Short-Term PULLBACK After Momentum ExhaustionBINANCE:BTCUSDT is showing signs of distribution after failing to break through the $96,400 resistance zone. The structure still respects the upward trendline, but bearish divergence and fading momentum hint at a deeper correction. As long as BTC stays below this resistance, the risk of a pullback to the $91,000 level remains elevated.
📈 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Rejection below $96,400
Buy zone: $91,000
Target: $91,000
Bullish breakout: Only on strong close above $96,400
💡 Risks
Bitcoin is still holding trendline support, so aggressive shorts are risky without confirmation.
If bullish volume picks up near $91,000, price may bounce fast.
Macro catalysts or ETF news can flip sentiment in minutes.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
USDCAD → Storming the support level to break throughFX:USDCAD continues to storm support within the trading range amid a global downtrend
The currency pair is within the range, but the battle for support continues. The reaction to false breakouts is weakening and the price continues to attack the 1.378 level, which only increases the chances of a further decline
The dollar is rebounding from resistance and beginning to fall, which is having a corresponding effect on USDCAD. If the currency pair breaks 1.378 and consolidates below the level, this could trigger a continuation of the trend after consolidation...
Resistance levels: 1.381, 1.383
Support levels: 1.378, 1.374
Focus on the lower boundary of the trading range at 1.378. The role of the range is consolidation against the backdrop of a downtrend. Thus, a breakout of support will activate the distribution phase
Best regards, R. Linda!
#GBPJPY:Three Positions Currently Opened, What about the next? Our three positions are currently open based on our last three ideas on GJ. We’re witnessing a strong bullish movement at the moment. Our next big target is 197, and then we aim for 200. Remember, trading involves risk, so take your own decisions.
Good luck and trade safely!
Thank you for your unwavering support! 😊
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#BTCUSDT: Will Bitcoin Make Any Correction To $90,000?Hey Everyone,
Happy Sunday
Currently, Bitcoin’s price is consolidating within a shorter timeframe, which has heightened the likelihood of it reaching the $90,000 ‘FVG’ region. However, this could be attributed to the hectic week we experienced, with numerous significant market announcements that have heightened uncertainty in the cryptocurrency market. At present, there are two opportunities for Bitcoin: one is riskier, while the other is considerably safer. You can utilise this analysis as a secondary bias.
We extend our best wishes and good luck in your trading endeavours. Your unwavering support is greatly appreciated.
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SOL - Strong Structure Rejected!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
The picture says it all!
📈As long as the $134 structure marked in red holds, I will be expecting a bullish continuation towards the $180 resistance level.
📚 Reminder:
Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key.
Good luck, and happy trading!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Ethereum: Sell Or Hold? Panic Buy, Panic Sell or Panic Hold?If I were you in this situation, what would you do?
What would you do if you were not you in this situation?
Ethereum hit bottom on the 9th of April and the bottom is confirmed based on the same candle. It ended full green and with really high volume.
The action moved back above support on 22-April when the 3-Feb. low resistance was conquered. Ethereum now trades within a tight price range.
This range's support has been tested four times and it holds, Ethereum now trades higher but what will happen next? What would you do if I were me?
Market conditions can change in a day. Two days green, two days red it is all sideways, nothing changes and nothing has changed.
If you are still wondering if you should panic sell or panic hold right now all you have to do is panic buy because Ethereum is going up.
Ignore the short-term nothing because this chart isn't showing even noise. It is the consolidation of the higher low before additional growth.
Ethereum's chart looks very different to Bitcoin, it is incredible. Ethereum is no longer "#2" but more like an Altcoin, Bitcoin has its own chart while Ethereum has the chart of a medium sized Cryptocurrency pair. This is good, it tells us that Ethereum is about to grow really strong and will produce a new All-Time High in 2025. This All-Time High will be higher than 2021 because while this isn't Bitcoin it is still a very strong chart. Expect lower no more, panic buy followed by panic hold while you rest easy and relaxed because there is no panic when the market grows.
The only panic right now is on the short side because the bottom is in and the bears are gone.
Rest easy, do not let go of your coins. Hold strong.
Never ever use a stop-loss. Think long-term and the market will bless you with amazing results.
Namaste.
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionGold ended last week under pressure as investors booked profits following improved risk appetite, driven by easing trade tensions and a strong U.S. labor market report.
📰 NFP came in at +177K in April, with the unemployment rate steady at 4.2%, matching forecasts—possibly keeping the Fed cautious on policy easing.
Technically, Gold remains bullish but is now testing the $3,200 support zone, and sellers are gaining momentum.
As we head into next week, gold price action is at a critical decision point, and whether buyers or sellers will take control is unclear.
In this video, I break down the key technical zones, share my trading plan, and discuss potential opportunities to help navigate the uncertainty ahead.
Disclaimer:
This is my take based on experience and what I see on the charts. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
#GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #GoldPrice #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #GoldOutlook #FedRateDecision #NFP #GoldBreakdown #GoldBulls #GoldBears #USJobsReport #ForexMentor
Bullish continuation?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 3,148.98
1st Support: 3,051.82
1st Resistance: 3,430.57
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BTC Fractal Update!!Join our community and start your crypto journey today for:
In-depth market analysis
Accurate trade setups
Early access to trending altcoins
Life-changing profit potential
Let' analyse BTCUSDT:
BTC is repeating the same ABC pattern that led to past 70%+ rallies.
We're now at a decision point — next weekly close will confirm:
Scenario 1: Rejection Below $96K (Circle 1)
→ Likely dip to $78K–$80.5K (channel bottom + 0.5 Fib)
→ Final shakeout before major move.
Scenario 2: Breakout Above $96K (Circle 2)
→ Retest at $90.5K
→ Then rally toward $160K+ begins (Circle 3)
BTC just needs to cool off after a 30% run — setup is identical to past breakouts.
If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button to support my content! Share your thoughts in the comments, and feel free to request any specific chart analysis you’d like to see.
Happy Trading!!
Ethereum (ETH): This Might Be Breakout Point For Us | Buy ZoneEthereum might start a good rally soon if buyers manage to secure current zones and form a break of structure here.
We are not going to rush here as today is just the beginning of the week and we might see bloody monday so waiting for proper BOS before entering into a long position here!
Swallow Academy
EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important supports & resistances on EURUSD
for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ETH : What the Options Are Saying (Hint: Big Move Ahead)Right now, Ethereum’s key players are positioning themselves to make some money on the rise.
And guess what? The market's already whispering where it’s headed next — but only if you know how to listen. And the loudest voice right now? Options flow on Deribit.
Let me break it down for you…
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We caught some serious heat in the options pit lately. On Deribit, someone — or maybe a few someones — started stacking **Call options on ETH at 1,800 and 2,200 strike prices**, all under one portfolio. That’s not random. That’s a classic **Call Spread** setup, expiring June 27, 2025.
Translation? Someone’s betting hard on ETH heading north — straight toward **$2,200**.
But here's where it gets spicy. The **Max pain** for this contract sits right at **$2,000** — currently above spot price. Yeah, we’ve seen mixed stats on whether "price gravitates" to max pain like magic. But from experience? Right before expiry, price tends to *flirt* with that level.
So here's our read:
- There's **bullish sentiment** building.
- Eyes are locked on the **$2,200 zone** — likely within the next **30–50 days**.
- BTC’s playing the same game — big interest around **$100K–$110K strikes**, same expiry.
This isn’t noise. This is signal.
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If you're tired of FOMO and want to catch the real setups before they blow up — follow. We turn complex flows into simple edge. Just actionable insights.
---
📈 *Trade smart. Stay sharp.
Join the crew that reads the market — not the hype.
Long-Term Bitcoin Forecast ($400k - $600k) By The End of 2025This price projection is taking into considering Fibonacci Extensions and projections as well as a well respected parallel channel and a fractal pattern from 2016.
If the fractal pattern unfolds like it did back in 2016, we can expect Bitcoin to reach these price levels at the end of this year! It's going to be a massive bull run filled with FOMO, retail and institutional investors and probably governments getting involved to fuel such a bull run. There have been a lot of positive developments in the US that could stimulate such price action.
Global M2 has been rising, interest rates are expected to go down in the US, and we'll see about QE, but that would definitely help.
Let me know what you guys think.