No Altseason Until BTC.D Hits 70%?Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is currently climbing and approaching a major resistance zone between 71.38% and 73.06%. This area has proven to be a strong turning point in the past, acting as a top back in December 2017, September 2019, and again in 2021. These repeated rejections suggest that this zone is likely to remain a key resistance.
Right now, BTC.D is sitting around 64.66% and still has room to push higher. However, if it enters the resistance zone again, there’s a strong chance it may face selling pressure and start reversing. The white arrow on the chart shows the possible move into resistance, while the red projection outlines the expected rejection and potential decline back toward the 54.63% level—another important support zone from the past.
In simple terms, BTC dominance might be nearing its peak, and once it reaches the upper zone, we could start seeing altcoins gain more strength as dominance falls. This chart helps anticipate when the market might shift from BTC-led rallies to altcoin outperformance.
Trend Analysis
Bullish till March 26 High but open for retrace.We are at a daily -BPR at the moment. All daily candles have been bullish so far since April 22. The whole sentiment behind this has been the 90 day tariff pause.
There definitely is a mix of fundamental and technical reasons for both bullish and bearish bias once we achieve this target.
For this week, I would look for a long entry only if NQ retraces lower first. Otherwise would have to just watch it do its thing. Once we hit the March 26 High, I am very open for NQ to go to All time high again because that is what it historically does but I am also completely open for it to start dumping to monthly lows because it seems that the sell-side was not hit and the higher lows made on the 4H chart seem to be very low resistance targets.
Not a good time to marry a bias.
GBPUSD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.33000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 4.49
Entry 90%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
#202518 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Only Thursday was bullish and right now market is trying to decide if this breakout was legit or not. If bulls can stay above 95000, the breakout above has a higher chance of being succesful. Below 94000 it has likely failed and I favor the bears for more downside.
current market cycle: weekly chart says continuation of the bull trend but i highly doubt it. much more likely we are in a big trading range 73000 - 110000
key levels: 85k - 100k (if bears somehow manage to get below 85k again, we test 80k next)
bull case: Bulls want this breakout to be the start of the third leg up for 100000. That’s all there really is to it. Bull trends need higher lows and higher highs and if bulls fail to prevent the market from falling below the breakout bar under 94000, this was likely a bull trap.
Invalidation is below 94000.
bear case: Bears want a trading range 70000 - 98000 and not let market hit 100000 again because that would for sure attract more degenerates again. Bears really don’t have much here until they print a decent bear bar that gets below 94000. This looks as bullish as can be and above 98000 I expect 100k to be hit.
Invalidation is above 101k.
short term: Neutral. Below 94000 it’s likely a failed breakout and above 97000 we can expect 100000 or more. Above 100000 there would not be a reason not to go for a new ath, same as for other markets like dax.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-04-13: Bear targets for this year are met. Now we likely range before we get new impulse to either side. I wait for market reaction around 100000 before I write more here. For now my assumption is still that this will be a trading range 73000 - 100000 for longer than a retest or even new highs.
Update BTC.DFrom the data shown on the drawing, we find that a Diagonal Leading pattern has been formed and is then considered a wave A, then a correction is made in wave B, which is the bottom of the Leading pattern, from which altcoins and Ethereum breathe, and when it reaches the bottom, then a final wave C begins, rising strongly in the same direction upward. Let us follow
Note: The model fails if it closes above an area 55.26%
Ratio Charts in TradingView and IAAbove you can see the Bitcoin to Ethereum ratio chart. Ratio analysis between two or more symbols is a critical method for comparing the strength and weakness of assets relative to each other. TradingView offers basic capabilities for this task, but with the help of artificial intelligence (AI) and custom scripts, much more advanced and creative analyses can be conducted.
Here are some practical ideas:
1. Creating Conditional Ratio Scripts
2. Comparing Relative Averages and Issuing Smart Signals
3. Calculating Composite Ratios of Multiple Assets
4. Smart Alerts Based on Price Pattern Breakouts
For more information, search Google for "How to Use Ratio Charts in TradingView: A Hidden Gem for Traders."
NASDAQ's Inverse H&S that targets $25000Nasdaq (NDX) is forming the Right Shoulder of a potential Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern. The price action is 'stuck' within the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which got tested on Friday for the first time since March, and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Since the 1D MA200 was the level that initiated the March 26 rejection, it is possible to see a short-term pull-back now, all in the process of forming the Right Shoulder and after the market digests the new Fed Rate Decision, starts the next Leg Up. Note that the 1D RSI is already on its February highs.
As a result, our long-term Target is at 25000, just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level, which is a standard technical target for IH&S patterns.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NIFTY50.....Buying panic all around!
Hello Traders,
the NIFTY50 has extended my cited price area to ~24620 range. It was exactly @ 24589.15 points!
Here, a wave iii (blue) ended!
Chart analysis:
If this was all of waves (5) of iii (blue), the next move could be a wave iv (blue) to around the range of 23709 to 23845.15 zone! This one should morph into an a-b-c correction, or a triangle. While triangles are the most often failed chart patterns during a wave iv of any degree is, we will focus on the a-b-c correction!
So, one higher high is still missing, but I guess the next high will be just a wave ((i)) of v (blue) with more highs to come!
As I am in a hurry, only a short update today. I'll try to publish another update by Wednesday.
Have a great Sunday.....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
Gold Trade Plan 5/5/2025Dear Traders,
If we take a look at the gold chart, it is currently in a descending channel, and the price is trying to reach the top of that channel. Given these conditions, I believe the price will reach the target zone around 3285–3290 by midweek. If we observe a rejection at that level, we can enter a sell position, with the first target being the midline of the channel and the final target being the bottom of the channel. If the descending channel is strongly broken and the price stabilizes above it, a new update will be necessary.
Trend-base Fibo Extension AB=CD 3290
Fibo Retracement(1.618)= 3298
Top Of Descending Channel : 3290-3300
So we Are looking for Reversal 3290-3300 Area !
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
USDJPY Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my USDJPY analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
"Bitcoin Analysis" (Update)Here's what I can gather from the chart right now:
The Minor Resistance zone has been strongly broken to the upside; we haven't seen good pullbacks to this level yet.
On the other hand, below the broken zone, there's a price gap toward the FVG, as indicated by the arrow.
Also, the pullback to the breakout level at 0.382 has not been completed, and no patterns have formed in that area!
So? When we analyze all the breakout factors, we see a very high chance of a correction.
Now, this correction could start from the confirmation level at 96,364, or with an overextension, it could happen from the 98k zone.
Stay Awesome , CobraVanguard
Atlético de Madrid Fan Token, How To Read Charts & 726% PPA small tidbit about trendlines; you can draw a trendline by matching two or more points from any set of sessions. The trendline doesn't have to be necessarily the last session nor the lowest or highest, there can be middle trendlines, internal trendlines and so on. As long as the trendline is supported by multiple reactions it works. These are arbitrary lines and it is for you to decide. Play around with it and what works for you overtime and based on results is the right method. Nobody can tell you what is right or what is wrong or how it is done. Right or wrong can be decided objectively based on actual results.
Here we have Atlético de Madrid Fan Token (ATM) and guess what? I knew it would go up.
This chart has the same price patterns as all the other Altcoins charts, and this is great because the bullish breakout confirms what I've been saying and also what is coming to the rest of the Altcoins market.
After a major low on the 7th of April, in this case an All-Time Low, ATMUSDT started to recover and is now trading four weeks green. Today, the fourth week closes and there is a strong bullish breakout taking place.
The ATL is the bottom and from the bottom we grow.
The market is changing from a sideways market leading to a final flush/liquidity hunt event, to a new bull market growth phase.
Total growth since the bottom was hit now reaches more than 50% coupled with rising volume. This confirms that the downtrend is over, the bearish move is over, the correction is over the bull market is starting now or started 4 weeks ago when the bottom was hit.
When prices are at their lowest, that is when the market is the most bullish.
When prices are high, the potential for a correction or retrace becomes strong. That is why we sell when prices are high and buy when prices are low.
The bottom is confirmed through price action (when the market goes bullish and starts growing) and based on resistance and support. Now that ATMUSDT moved above the 3-Feb. low which happened a long lower wick we can say that the bullish bias is confirmed. This leaves behind a rounded bottom pattern or a v shaped bottom.
Another signal that I mention frequently is the size of the bearish waves.
Left side, the big wave is a bearish impulse or downtrend.
Right side, the small wave is a final market flush before bullish growth.
The first one is a market move, phase/cycle.
The second one is a market reaction.
All these signals are meant to confirm that the bottom is in. Once we have confirmation that the bottom is in we know the market will grow so the next step is to find some targets. I already explained how to extract those in my FISUSDT publication. You can go to @MasterAnanda and use the search filter to find this publication and learn more if you are interested.
Here, ATMUSDT has so much more to grow.
I am mapping just two targets on the chart because I have to write and do the numbers manually and it is too much do them all, plus, you only need to hold strong until prices are up. When prices are high, collect profits (sell) and move on.
The market will always offer endless opportunities, specially if you buy and sell at the right place.
» The first target goes for 438% which is an easy target (blue) and the second one for 726% (red). Please keep in mind that this trading pair/token can go much higher.
Thank you for reading.
Follow if you enjoy the content.
Namaste.
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DISCLAIMER: I am NOT a SEBI registered advisor or a financial adviser. All the views are for educational purpose only
NQ continue with the UptrendOn NQ , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 19950 .
There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again.
Uptrend and high volume cluster + Weekly POC are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade.
Happy trading
Dale
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #82👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indicators. As usual, I’ll walk you through the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see, yesterday the price stabilized below 95370 and completed a downward leg to 93626, reacting exactly to the level I pointed out in the previous analysis.
✔️ I mentioned earlier that you could enter a short position after breaking 95370 — but remember, this position is against the higher timeframe trend, so the downward move will likely end once it hits the first support, since the market momentum remains bullish on larger timeframes.
💥 Currently, the price has reacted to 93626 and seems to be resting from the previous downward move. I believe a new range box may form between 95370 and 93626 — if that happens, I’ll go long on a break above 95370.
🔽 For short positions, given the bearish momentum in this timeframe, we can look to re-enter on a break below 93626 in the next retest.
📊 Watch volume and RSI today. The volume of red candles has been much higher than bullish ones, which increases the chance of a deeper correction. If you’re shorting, keep a tight stop-loss, take profits quickly, and treat it as a scalp trade.
📈 For long positions, since it’s against the short-term trend, you’ll need a wider stop — but if the correction ends and a new bullish leg begins, the trade may stay open longer.
🧩 As for RSI: as long as it stays below 50, market momentum is bearish. A break below 30 and entry into oversold increases the likelihood of more downside.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance broke 64.77 yesterday and retraced to 64.60. If this downward move continues, we could see early signs of a trend shift.
✨ Important note: dominance has been in an uptrend on higher timeframes, so a break of 64.60 only confirms a short-term correction. Don’t take it as a trend reversal just yet.
💫 If dominance continues to drop and the market rises, altcoins could outperform Bitcoin. Conversely, if dominance rises again, Bitcoin will rally more than altcoins.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Total2 broke below 1.03 yesterday, retested it, and now looks set to continue downward. The next support is at 1.00 — if you’re already short, consider taking profits at that level.
☘️ We’ll get full trend reversal confirmation with a break below 1.00. For long positions, the 1.05 breakout is extremely important. I strongly recommend not missing that trigger if it happens.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT dominance stabilized above 5.10 yesterday, moving further away from 4.99, and is now testing 5.19. A break above 5.19 would be a strong signal that a deeper market correction is starting.
🔑 On the flip side, a break below 4.99 is still the best and most important trigger to confirm the market’s return to a bullish trend.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Sideway range, gold price accumulates below 3302⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) kicked off the week on a positive note, rising toward the $3,271 level during Monday’s Asian session as a blend of geopolitical and economic concerns fueled demand for the safe-haven asset. The prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict, coupled with renewed tensions in the Middle East, continues to elevate global risk sentiment. Meanwhile, lingering uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump's tariff agenda has added to investor caution, further supporting the appeal of gold as a hedge in times of instability.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to accumulate, low amplitude at the beginning of the week, waiting for the most important interest rate information this week
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3302- 3304 SL 3309
TP1: $3290
TP2: $3280
TP3: $3270
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3204 - $3206 SL $3199
TP1: $3215
TP2: $3224
TP3: $3240
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Nasdaq Pending Short: previous wave 4 as resistance This idea is complementary to the S&P500 pending short idea. I've labelled the waves slightly differently but it doesn't impact the forecast for it's still the same expectation of a last wave. I purposely left it as a different count as comparison.
I would start building a short position around 20300. Stop above purple Fibonacci extension level.