UVIX marching on (VIX proxy)Very nice spike this morning, that's typically a sign that there's more volatility in the works. Remember that we are at record lows on the VIX and that doesn't stay in this region for a long time. Add the Alpha VIX indicator to help you get an entry. The economy is brittle and staying focused on the VIX is a very nice play!
Best of luck and DM if you have any questions.....
Trend Lines
Potential buys?Trade Journal Entry – XAUUSD (Gold Spot)
Date: July 16, 2025
Platform: TradingView (Demo Account)
Timeframe: 4H
Direction: Long
Status: Active, In Profit
Unrealized Profit: +301.54 GBP
Entry: ~3,327
Stop Loss: Below 3,316 zone
Take Profit (TP): ~3,492
Risk:Reward Estimate: ~1:4 or better
Market Context
Previous pullback into the sell-side liquidity and POI zone held firmly.
Price rejected from POI and aggressively moved upward, confirming bullish order flow.
POI (Point of Interest) is marked intentionally — awaiting a return to the zone after price closes above the wick.
A full buy confirmation is expected only upon a bullish close above the wick, followed by a retest into the POI.
Trade Logic
Trade was initiated based on:
- Break of market structure (BMS)
- Sweep of sell-side liquidity
- Bullish intent shown via momentum candles
- Expectation: price returns to POI after wick close for full confirmation
Management Plan
- Consider partial TP at 3,365–3,375 zone.
- Trail SL below latest higher low on lower TF.
- Wait for price to revisit POI after close above wick before scaling in full size.
Emotional Reflection
Feeling composed. The trade plan is well-structured with a POI-based confirmation strategy. No rush to fully size until POI is respected post-wick close.
Reflection Questions
- Did I stick to my POI confirmation logic?
- Am I patient enough to wait for a close above the wick?
- Is my entry risk properly managed while awaiting confirmation?
Falling correction, shorting in European session📰 News information:
1. Beige Book of Federal Reserve's economic situation
2. European and American tariff trade negotiations
📈 Technical Analysis:
Currently, gold continues to consolidate around 3340, and the daily MACD indicator is stuck to the zero axis. Two consecutive days of negative bars also indicate that the overall trend of gold is weak and volatile. The hourly Bollinger Bands are closing, with the upper band located near 3352. The corresponding positions of the upper pressure middle band and SMA60 are basically at 3335-3350, but it is expected to gradually decline over time. On the whole, there are no particularly clear trading signals at present. Both bulls and bears have certain opportunities. It is recommended to wait and see for the time being. Pay attention to the 3342-3352 area above. If the bearish trend is confirmed in the future, you can consider shorting when it rebounds here, with the target at 3330-3325. If gold retreats directly to 3325-3320 and gains effective support again, you can consider going long.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3342-3352
TP 3330-3325
BUY 3325-3320
TP 3340-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
AAPL – Bullish Wedge Breakout Setup Toward Gap FillAAPL NASDAQ:AAPL has broken out of a descending trendline and is now consolidating inside a bullish wedge pattern . Price is holding above the 200 SMA and hovering near the 50 SMA.
The structure suggests a potential breakout above the wedge, with a clear gap area between $216–$224 acting as the next upside target.
Key levels:
Support: $206 (wedge base / 50 SMA)
Resistance: $216–$224 (gap zone)
Trend structure: Bullish consolidation after breakout
A clean breakout from the wedge with volume could trigger a continuation move toward the gap zone.
📌 Watching for confirmation and potential entry on a breakout + retest.
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research.
BTC Bull Flag Target Hit Is $150K Now on the Table?Bitcoin continues to deliver with precision. If you’ve been following the structure, this breakout is no surprise. We had a textbook bullish flag setup earlier in the cycle clean pole, sideways consolidation, and a sharp breakout. That initial flag target has now been achieved.
But here’s where it gets interesting: price didn’t just hit the flag projection it shows a good potential for a test towards the projected supply zone just beneath $128K. A short-term rejection here is completely normal and even healthy. The current pullback appears corrective, and the $115K–$111K region (our immediate buy-back zone) remains a critical area to watch for a potential base.
The structure so far has respected its levels cleanly. The pole projection landed almost perfectly, which builds confidence in how this setup is unfolding. A retest of the demand block offers a decent long opportunity, especially with trendline confluence and horizontal support lining up in that zone.
If BTC continues to respect the broader trend and finds strength off this pullback, the path toward $128k, $141K and even $150K remains valid. Those targets are measured extensions based on the original flag pole, and given how price is behaving, they’re not unrealistic.
Momentum is strong, but rallies like this often pause before the next move. I’ll be watching how price behaves if it dips into the demand zone. Clean volume and rejection candles there could offer solid re-entry setups for the next leg higher.
Are you riding this wave, trimming profits, or waiting for the dip reload? Drop your thoughts below. Let’s see how everyone’s navigating this phase.
📌 Follow for more clean, structured setups no hype, just charts.
The high probability intraday trading strategy for gold is here!After gold fell below 3341 yesterday, the highest point of the rebound was around 3350-52. Today, we are long at 3320-25, and the target of 3340-45 has been reached. We continue to pay attention to the short-term suppression of 3340-45, but the overall rebound strength is limited. The 3340-45 point fell back several times last Friday, and it is now broken again. Therefore, we can participate in the short position at 3340-3345 in advance. Gold rebounded at 3322 today. Technically, it needs to rebound and repair when it falls back to 3316-20, so we can look for opportunities to go long below to seize the profit space of the rebound.
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term pressure above is around 3340-3345, and the current focus is on the support of the middle track 3310 at the hourly level. If the gold price can effectively hold the 3310 area, it is expected to bottom out and rebound and test the intraday high, but the upper rail resistance of the 3345 channel is strong, and it may still fall under pressure when it is touched, and the range shock judgment will be maintained at that time. In terms of operation, if you hold this support, you can consider light positions to try short-term longs, and pay attention to the short-term support of 3320-3315 below. Relying on this range to maintain the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycles during the day, the middle position is always more watchful and less active, cautiously chasing orders, and patiently waiting for key points to enter the market. I will prompt more specific operation strategies at the bottom, and pay attention in time.
Gold operation strategy: Gold falls back to the 3322-3317 line to go long, the target is 3335-40 line, and continue to hold if it breaks.
Hidden Support on RIG: Next Big Move?🔹 Trade Summary
Setup:
Price pulling back to ascending trendline support
Testing major support near $2.58
Analyst 1-year target: $3.76
Entry:
Above today's high of $2.64 (on confirmation of bounce from trendline)
Stop-loss:
Below $2.40 (clear break of trendline)
Targets:
$3.76 (analyst price target / major resistance)
Risk/Reward:
Approx. 1:4 (risking ~$0.25 for ~$1.10 gain)
🔹 Technical Rationale
🔹 Ascending trendline holding as key support since April
🔹 Oversold bounce potential at this zone
🔹 Daily timeframe shows structure for a trend reversal if support holds
🔹 Catalysts & Context
🏦 Strong analyst “Buy” rating; 1-year target at $3.76 (+45%)
🛢️ Oil sector volatility—any rally could boost offshore drillers
🌍 Macro: Global energy demand headlines could trigger momentum
🔹 Trade Management Plan
Entry: Wait for daily close above $2.65 to confirm support
Stop-loss: Move to breakeven if price closes above $3.00
Scaling: Trim partial at $3.20, rest at $3.76 (analyst target)
What’s your view? Are you watching NYSE:RIG ? Comment below:
🔼 Bullish
🔽 Bearish
🔄 Waiting for confirmation
🔹 Disclaimer
Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
*** Don't forget to follow us for more trade setups ***
Patanjali Foods: A Potential Reversal Brewing Near Demand Zone?The price has now retraced back into a key value zone between 1,610 - 1,635, which has previously acted as a strong base. This zone also coincides with high volume activity on the visible range volume profile - suggesting accumulation interest.
Technically, the stock is near the 0% Fibonacci extension with multiple confluences of past support and volume, forming a potential base.
If this holds, look for retracement targets:
• First bounce zone: ₹1,687 (50% Fib)
• Further recovery: ₹1,745–₹1,775 (Fib 61.8–78.6%)
Long-term: ₹1,861 (161.8% Fib extension), ₹2,016 (261.8%)
Fundamentals Snapshot:
• Market Cap: ~₹58,000 Cr
• P/E: ~34x | P/B: ~3.8x
• Promoter Holding: 80.82% (No pledging)
• Debt-to-Equity: ~0.25
• ROCE: ~13.2% | ROE: ~10.4%
• FII Holding: 3.6%, DII Holding: 6.3%
Patanjali’s brand strength in edible oils, packaged foods, and growing FMCG integration offers secular demand visibility. The recent correction seems sentiment-driven, not structural.
Keep in Focus:
A decisive close above 1,660 could indicate a short-term reversal.
This chart is for educational use only and not a buy/sell recommendation.
BIG ALERT: Stock Market shown a massive break on a TL support. 🚨BIG ALERT: Tech Sector shown a break on a massive TL support level and this news just came out.
We may see everything reverse here pretty soon, depending how the market responds......
CRYPTO may still trend upward and most likely WILL!
- Crypto wins in the end, stay watchful! #BlackChain
Gold – Bullish Structure Still Intact, but Bears are Knocking📉 What happened yesterday?
As expected, XAUUSD made another leg down, breaking even below my buy zone (3330–3335) and hitting a low at 3320. From there, we’re now seeing a modest rebound, with gold trading around 3333 at the time of writing.
📌 Current position:
I'm currently holding a long position. It hovers around break-even – fluctuating between small gains and small losses. Nothing solid yet.
❓ Key question:
Was this just a deep pullback within a bullish structure… or the beginning of a deeper trend reversal?
🔍 Why bulls still have a case:
• Price prints higher lows – bullish structure technically remains intact
• A clean break above 3350 would show short-term strength
• A confirmed break above 3375 would activate a bullish ascending triangle → targeting the 3450 zone
⚠️ But here's the concern:
• Yesterday’s dip to 3330 happened during the New York session (strong volume)
• The bounce from 3320 has been weak, with no follow-through
• Daily candle closed near the lows, showing a long upper wick → a classic bearish signal
• The confluence support now lies at 3310–3320. A red daily candle closing in this area could mean the medium-term trend is flipping
🎯 My trading plan:
Although I'm still holding my buy, if bulls don’t recover 3350 quickly, I will consider closing early. The break of 3310 would shift my bias bearish.
________________________________________
📌 Conclusion:
We’re in a critical zone. The bullish structure isn’t broken yet, but yesterday’s action was not encouraging. If buyers fail to reclaim control soon, the market may be preparing for a deeper correction. Stay sharp. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
SWING TRADE OPPORTUNITY 〉LONGAs illustrated, I try to visualize what the next bullish impulse could look like if price holds 3300 as a key psychological and algorithmic price level.
Illustrated are the potential buy areas (a current one and an extended one in case a pullback occurs to manipulate lower levels in the next 24-48 hours).
This projection, if valid, could hold from now until next week, so it can be considered a swing trade to hold at least the next week and into the following one).
--
After this post, I will upload another analysis on the Daily timeframe projecting the longer term move, so make sure to go in my profile to check it out.
GOOD LUCK
MRVL Long Breakout Setup, Eyes $90 Target!Looking to enter long on a clear breakout above $70.13 (today’s high).
• Entry: Above $70.13
• Stop-Loss: Below today’s low (~$68.50) to protect capital
• Target: $90.35 – per analyst consensus (~+30%)
✅ Why:
📈 Trendline bounce & momentum: Price holding strong above an ascending trendline from April suggests buyers are stepping in.
🏢 AI-chip catalyst: Marvell’s custom ASICs are gaining traction with Amazon, Microsoft, and Google—data-center demand is surging.
💰 Analyst confidence: Consensus is “Strong Buy” with average targets between $90–$94 (some as high as $133).
🧩 Market & Sector Tailwinds: AI chip stocks rallying; Marvell poised as lower-cost custom-chip alternative to Nvidia—and undervalued vs peers.
*** Be sure to follow us for more trade setups! ***
NZDUSD is Nearing an Important SupportHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.59100 zone, NZDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.59100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
HelenP I. Gold will continue to decline and break support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a prolonged period of consolidation, we can observe how price has formed a symmetrical pennant pattern. Price respected both the descending and ascending trend lines, bouncing several times from each side. Recently, gold tested the upper boundary of the pennant near the 3390 resistance level but failed to break through, confirming the strength of the resistance zone between 3390 and 3400 points. Following this rejection, the price started to decline and is now approaching the support level around 3305. If this support doesn’t hold, the price may drop further and break out of the pennant downward. In that case, the nearest significant target lies at 3280 points — near the lower trend line and previous reaction zones. Given the current structure, repeated rejection from resistance, and narrowing volatility inside the pattern, I expect XAUUSD to exit from the pennant and move down, breaking the support zone. That’s why I remain short-term bearish and set my goal at 3280 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Pay attention to 3320, if it falls below, go long at 3310-3300The short order has been completed and profit has been realized. Now the 1H technical indicators show that there is still room for decline in the short term. Focus on the 3320 support. If it falls below 3320, the gold price is expected to reach the 3310-3300 area, which is also an ideal trading area for intraday long positions. There is nothing much to say. Follow the wolves and you will get meat. Currently, the brothers who follow me to trade have all made good gains.
OANDA:XAUUSD
The rebound is not a reversal, continue to shortGold showed a trend of rising and falling back and closing low on Tuesday. The highest intraday rise was 3366, and the lowest fell to 3320. The daily line recorded a medium-sized Yin line with a long upper shadow. The K-line was negative, and the closing line broke the resonance support of the middle track and the short-term moving average, suggesting that the bullish momentum has slowed down and the bears are ready to move. Today, we need to pay attention to the further downward performance of gold. From the 4H level, the price stood firm at the four-hour resistance position last Thursday, and then rebounded upward in the short term. Yesterday, the price fell below the daily support level. Currently, the short-term market is bearish, and attention is paid to the resistance in the 3340-3345 range above. In the one-hour period, the price is in short-term shock adjustment. On the whole, it will be treated as a shock decline before breaking yesterday's low, and the lower side pays attention to the 3225-3320 area support. In the short term, you can consider shorting at 3340-3350 in the European session, and look towards 3330-3320
OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold adjustment is complete and continue to be long
Gold rebounded at 3322 today. Technically, it needs to rebound and repair when it falls back to 3318-25, so we can find opportunities to go long below to seize the profit space of the rebound. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope I can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate with us!
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term pressure focuses on 3340-45, and the lower short-term support focuses on 3318-20. Relying on this range, the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged during the day. In the middle position, watch more and move less, and follow orders cautiously, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
Gold operation strategy:
Gold falls back to 3318-25 and goes long, stop loss 3312, target 3340-45, and continue to hold if it breaks;
APLD Long: Trendline Bounce + CoreWeave AI Lease🎯 Trade Setup Overview
Entry: Market at Open
Stop‑Loss: Below the trendline at ~$9.00
Primary Target: $14.60–$15.50 (analyst zone + historical highs)
Reward/Risk: ~50–60% upside vs ~7–10% downside = solid R:R ~5:1
📈 Technical Rationale
The stock recently bounced off a long‑term ascending trendline, confirming it as key support. A breakout above ~$10.40 would challenge the analyst consensus target zone ($14–15), projecting a favorable conviction trade.
The setup aligns with classic trend‑continuation patterns—lower risk entry at support with clear upside objective.
🤖 Fundamental/Bull Catalysts
Landmark CoreWeave Lease: APLD signed two 15-year leases (250 MW, + optional 150 MW) with Nvidia-backed CoreWeave, expected to generate ~$7 billion in revenue over the term.
Strong Sector Tailwinds: AI infrastructure is surging. CoreWeave is investing billions in new data centers (e.g., 100 MW→300 MW in Pennsylvania). APLD rides this wave as a data-center REIT pivot.
Analyst & Options Sentiment: Analysts target $12.70–13.40; unusual options flow shows heavy interest in calls up to $15 strikes.
📊 Volume & Momentum Metrics
The recent bounce was accompanied by increased volume—a signal of institutional demand and trend continuation.
Technical indicators confirm bullish momentum building.
📝 Trade Plan
Initiate long position around $10.00.
Place stop-loss just under trendline (~$9.00) to limit downside.
Scale out partial at $14.60 (analyst target) and consider holding a tranche toward $15.40 (historic high).
🛠 Risk Considerations
Trend support could fail—if trend breaks below $9.00, cut losses quickly.
Broader tech pullback or AI sector rotation could pressure price—always trail stops accordingly.
As risk aversion wavers, will gold rise or fall?
💡Message Strategy
After falling for two consecutive days, gold (XAU/USD) rebounded slightly in the Asian session on Wednesday, stabilizing above $3,320, attracting some bargain-hunting buyers. The market has paid close attention to the tariff policy that US President Trump continues to increase, and the rising risk aversion has become the core factor supporting gold prices.
The US CPI data for June showed that overall prices rose by 0.3% month-on-month, the largest increase in five months, and the core CPI rose to 2.9% year-on-year, both higher than expected. This has caused the market to worry that tariffs are gradually pushing up inflation, prompting the Federal Reserve to extend the high interest rate policy cycle.
📊Technical aspects
The current trend of gold is constrained by both fundamentals and technical factors.
On the one hand, Trump's tariff policy has pushed up inflation expectations, triggering risk aversion and rethinking of the Fed's policy path, providing support for gold;
On the other hand, the Fed's tone of "maintaining high interest rates for longer" has limited the room for gold prices to rebound.
From the 4-hour chart, gold prices found support near the 100-period SMA (about $3,320) on Tuesday, stopping the decline from the three-week high. In the short term, if it can stand above the 3340-3345 resistance band, it may test the 3365-3370 area again, and the further target is the 3400-dollar round mark.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:3320-3330,SL:3305,Target: 3365-3370
Treat intraday fluctuations as long first and short later!Gold started to rebound near 3322 at the opening. Our long positions near 3324 are also in floating profit. We first focus on the short-term suppression of 3340-3345 on the upper side. The support below is at 3325-3320. We operate in this range. Technically, it needs to rebound and repair the demand when it falls back to 3320, so we can find opportunities to go long to grasp the profit space of the rebound.
4-hour cycle analysis: The strong dividing line of long positions below is at the 3320 first-line mark, and the short-term support focuses on the 3325-3320 range. The overall bullish rhythm of pulling back to lows and going long is maintained. Short-term pressure focuses on around 3340-3345. The overall main tone of participating in the high-altitude and low-multiple cycles remains unchanged relying on this range.
Gold operation strategy: Go long on gold when it falls back to around 3325-3320, target 3335-3340, and continue to hold if it breaks through.
USNAS100 – Bearish Below 22900 as Earnings & Tariffs Hit MarketUSNAS100 – Bearish Bias Ahead of Earnings, PPI & Tariff Tensions
S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures are slightly lower as traders weigh rate outlook, tariff developments, and major earnings reports.
📊 Earnings in Focus:
Goldman Sachs NYSE:GS , Morgan Stanley NYSE:MS , and Bank of America NYSE:BAC are set to report today.
JPMorgan Chase NYSE:JPM and Citigroup NYSE:C posted strong results yesterday, but expressed caution over U.S. tariff policies.
🌍 Tariff Watch:
Trump announced a 19% tariff on Indonesian goods, with more deals anticipated ahead of the August 1 tariff deadline. The EU is reportedly preparing retaliatory measures if negotiations stall.
🔧 Technical Outlook:
The Nasdaq100 shows bearish momentum as long as it trades below 22900 and 23010, with potential downside targets:
Support: 22720 → 22615 → 22420
Resistance: 23010 → 23170
To shift back to a bullish trend, price must stabilize above 22900 and break 23010.
Key Events Today:
• Corporate Earnings
• Tariff Developments
• U.S. PPI Report